2022 Sicilian regional election

2022 Sicilian regional election

←  2017 25 September 2022 2027 →
All 70 seats to the Sicilian Regional Assembly 36 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party   Leader Renato Schifani Cateno De Luca Party Forza Italia South calls North Alliance Centre-right Seats won 40 8 Seat change 4 New Popular vote 887,215 505,386 Percentage 42.05% 23.95% Swing 3.10% New   Third party Fourth party   Leader Caterina Chinnici Nuccio Di Paola Party Democratic Party Five Star Movement Alliance Centre-left Seats won 11 11 Seat change 2 9 Popular vote 341,252 321,142 Percentage 16.17% 15.22% Swing 2.48% 19.43%
President before election Nello Musumeci DB Elected President Renato Schifani FI

The 2022 Sicilian regional election for the renewal of the Sicilian Regional Assembly and the election of the President of Sicily were held on 25 September, 2022. Renato Schifani, candidate of the centre-right coalition, easily won the election, becoming the next president of the region. ^[1]

Electoral system

The Sicilian Parliament is elected with a mixed system: 62 MPs are chosen with a form of proportional representation using a largest remainder method with open lists and a 5% threshold, while 8 MPs (7+1) are elected using Party bloc vote.

AG	CL	CT	EN	ME	PA	RG	SR	TP	Total
6	3	13	2	8	16	4	5	5	62

Background

Progressive camp primary election

On 18 June a press conference was held between the leaders of Democratic Party, Five Star Movement, Italian Left, Green Europe, Article One, Italian Socialist Party and One Hundred Steps for Sicily. They presented the guidelines for the Progressive camp primary election, which was held on 23 July. The deadline for the candidacies was set for June 30. ^{[2] [3]} Caterina Chinnici won the primary election with 44% of votes, ahead of Barbara Floridia (32%) and Claudio Fava (23%). ^[4]

Candidate		Party	Votes	%	Notes
	Caterina Chinnici	Democratic Party	14,552	44.77%	[5]
	Barbara Floridia	Five Star Movement	10,317	31.74%	[6]
	Claudio Fava	One Hundred Steps for Sicily	7,547	23.22%	[7] [8]
Total				100%

Parties and candidates

Below is a list of the parties and their respective leaders in the election.

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate	Ref.
				Votes (%)	Seats
	Centre-right coalition		Forza Italia	16.4	12	Renato Schifani
			Populars and Autonomists – Us With Sicily	7.1	5
			Brothers of Italy (incl. DB)	5.6	3
			Italy First – League
			Christian Democracy (incl. UDC)	—	—
	Five Star Movement			26.7	19	Nuccio Di Paola	[9]
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party (incl. PSI)	13.0	11	Caterina Chinnici
		One Hundred Steps for Sicily (incl. Art.1, SI and EV)	5.2	1
	Free Sicilians			0.7	–	Eliana Esposito	[10]
	Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS)			—	—	Gaetano Armao	[11]
	De Luca's coalition		South calls North	—	—	Cateno De Luca	[12]
			Sicilia Vera	—	—

Opinion polling

Candidates

  Exit poll

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Schifani	Di Paola	Chinnici	De Luca	Armao	Others	Lead
25 Sep 2022	Opinio	–	37–41	13–17	15.5–19.5	24–28	1.5–3.5	1.5–3.5	13.0
1–8 Sep 2022	SWG	1,800	33–37	10–14	17–21	26–30	1–3	2–6	7.0
7 Sep 2022	Noto	1,000	41.0	15.0	25.0	12.0	4.0	2.0	16.0
2–6 Sep 2022	Ipsos	1,200	28.7	19.5	22.1	23.5	4.6	1.6	5.2
1–3 Sep 2022	Tecnè	2,000	37–41	11–15	25–29	13–17	3–5	2–3	12.0
26–29 Aug 2022	Tecnè	2,000	38–42	8–12	27–31	12–16	3–5	2–4	11.0

Hypothetical candidates

Date	Polling firm	Musumeci	Cancelleri	Micari	Fava	De Luca	No-one	Lead
26 Jun 2021	Keix	26.1	22.1	6.0	13.2	—	31.0	4.0
		28.1	27.1	—	—	—	44.8	1.0
		24.2	21.1	—	—	13.8	40.9	3.1
		23.6	—	—	21.1	14.6	TBA	2.5
		28.5	—	—	25.4	—	TBA	3.1

Parties

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	CDX								M5S	CSX						IV	A	+E	Others	Lead
			FI	MpA/NcI	UDC–CP–IS	#DB	FdI	Lega	CI	Other		PD	CPpS	Art.1	SI	EV	Other
9–14 March 2022	Keix	1,920	10.3	0.6	1.6	6.8	15.4	7.8	—	—	22.9	9.8	2.6			—	—	3.3	0.6	—	—	7.5
16 February 2022	Demopolis	—	14.0	—	—	—	26.0	9.0	—	—	21.0	18.2	—			—	—	—	—	—	11.8	5.0
23 December 2021	Noto	—	11	3.5	—	9	15	8	1	3.5	15.0	17.0	2.5			2.0	2.0	2	1.5	1.5	5.0	2.0
26 June 2021	Keix	—	9.2	2.5	3.5	8.1	13.7	10.5	—	—	22.7	13.9	4.4	3.1	0.7	—	—	4.2	3.1	—	—	9.0

Results

Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats
	Renato Schifani	887,215	42.05	7
						Brothers of Italy	282,345	15.10	11
						Forza Italia	275,736	14.75	11
						Italy First – League	127,454	6.80	4
						Populars and Autonomists	127,096	6.80	3
						Christian Democracy	121,691	6.51	4
					Total		934,322	49.96	33
	Cateno De Luca	505,386	23.95	1
						South calls North	254,453	13.61	7
						Sicilia Vera	50,877	2.72	–
						Sicilian Pride	18,165	0.97	–
						Land of Love	3,390	0.18	–
						Young Sicilians	3,042	0.16	–
						Sicilian Autonomy	3,042	0.16	–
						Sicily Feat	2,702	0.14	–
						Work in Sicily	1,793	0.10	–
						Enough Mafias	1,356	0.07	–
					Total		336,390	18.11	7
	Caterina Chinnici	341,252	16.17	–
						Democratic Party	238,761	12.77	11
						One Hundred Steps for Sicily	55,599	2.97	–
					Total		294,360	15.74	11
	Nuccio di Paola	321,142	15.22	–		Five Star Movement	254,974	13.64	11
	Gaetano Armao	43,835	2.08	–		Action – Italia Viva	39,788	2.13	–
	Eliana Esposito	10,973	0.52	–		Free Sicilians	7,654	0.41	–
Blank and invalid votes		140,596	6.25
Total candidates		2,250,399	100.00	8	Total parties		1,869,863	100.00	62
Registered voters/turnout		4,609,984	48.82
Source: Regione Sicilia

Popular vote FdI   15.10% FI   14.75% M5S   13.64% ScN   13.61% PD   12.77% Lega   6.80% Pe A   6.80% DC   6.51% CPpS   2.97% SV   2.72% A–IV   2.13%

President Schifani   42.05% De Luca   23.95% Chinnici   16.17% Di Paola   15.22% Armao   2.08% Esposito   0.52%

References

1. "Regionali in Sicilia, Renato Schifani sarà il candidato governatore del centrodestra". Corriere della Sera. 12 August 2022. Retrieved 12 August 2022.
2. "Centrosinistra e 5 Stelle, in Sicilia parte la corsa delle primarie". la Repubblica (in Italian). 18 June 2022. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
3. "Pd, M5S e sinistra siglano l'accordo: in Sicilia primarie unitarie il 23 luglio". la Repubblica (in Italian). 18 June 2022. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
4. "Chinnici vince le primarie in Sicilia, è candidata del centrosinistra alla Regione". Giornale di Sicilia (in Italian). Retrieved 23 July 2022.
5. "Il Pd lancia Chinnici: "Ci sono con competenza ed entusiasmo"". Live Sicilia (in Italian). 27 June 2022. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
6. "Presidenziali, il Movimento 5 stelle sceglie Floridia. Sfiderà Fava e Chinnici all'interno del centrosinistra". MeridioNews. Retrieved 30 June 2022.
7. "Regionali, Fava torna in campo? "Il mio patto di libertà coi siciliani"". www.lasicilia.it (in Italian). Retrieved 28 June 2022.
8. "Antimafia: Fava lascia la guida, è pronto per le regionali". Live Sicilia (in Italian). 31 May 2022. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
9. "Nuccio Di Paola candidato governatore per M5s in Sicilia, la Chinnici medita di ritirarsi". Giornale di Sicilia (in Italian). 22 August 2022. Retrieved 22 August 2022.
10. "Regionali, Eliana Esposito candidata di Siciliani Liberi <<Trasformare la Sicilia in Zona economica speciale>>". meridionews.it (in Italian). 27 June 2022. Retrieved 20 August 2022.
11. "Sicilia: Azione e Iv, Gaetano Armao candidato governatore". Agenzia Nazionale Stampa Associata (in Italian). 13 August 2022. Retrieved 13 August 2022.
12. "Cateno De Luca: "Mi candido a sindaco di Sicilia" Agenzia di stampa Italpress". Italpress (in Italian). 15 February 2022. Retrieved 1 March 2022.