The Central England Temperature (CET) record is a meteorological dataset originally published by Professor Gordon Manley in 1953 and subsequently extended and updated in 1974, following many decades of work. The monthly mean surface air temperatures, for the Midlands region of England, are given (in degrees Celsius) from the year 1659 to the present.
This record represents the longest series of monthly temperature observations in existence. It is a valuable dataset for meteorologists and climate scientists. It is monthly from 1659, and a daily version has been produced from 1772. The monthly means from November 1722 onwards are given to a precision of 0.1 °C. The earliest years of the series, from 1659 to October 1722 inclusive, for the most part only have monthly means given to the nearest degree or half a degree, though there is a small 'window' of 0.1 degree precision from 1699 to 1706 inclusive. This reflects the number, accuracy, reliability and geographical spread of the temperature records that were available for the years in question.
Although best efforts have been made by Manley and subsequent researchers to quality control the series, there are data problems in the early years, with some non-instrumental data used. These problems account for the lower precision to which the early monthly means were quoted by Manley. Parker et al. (1992) [1] addressed this by not using data prior to 1772, since their daily series required more accurate data than did the original series of monthly means. Before 1722, instrumental records do not overlap and Manley used a non-instrumental series from Utrecht compiled by Labrijn (1945), to make the monthly central England temperature (CET) series complete.
For a period early in the 21st century there were two versions of the series: the "official" version maintained by the Hadley Centre in Exeter, and a version that was maintained by the late Philip Eden which he argued was more consistent with the series as originally compiled by Manley. [2]
The warmest year on record was recorded in 2022, with an average temperature of 11.15 degrees Celsius. This beat the previous 2014 record by 0.2 degrees and was almost 2 degrees over the 1961-1990 average
During the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, a cool period which coincided with cool winters and generally cool summers, the temperatures fluctuated widely but with little trend. From 1910, temperatures increased until about 1950, when they flattened before a sharp rising trend began in about 1975. The warmest decade on record is the 2010s (2011–2020) with a mean temperature of 10.40 °C (50.72 °F). [5] [lower-alpha 1]
Both the general warming trend [6] and the hottest year on record at the time, 2014, [7] have been attributed to human-caused climate change using observational and climate model-based techniques. This record was subsequently broken in 2022, when a mean CET of 11.15 °C (52.07 °F) was recorded, 1.68 °C (3.02 °F) above the 1961-90 average and breaking the 2014 record by nearly 0.2 °C (0.36 °F).
Taking the 364-year period for the series as a whole:
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 11.1 °C (52.0 °F) | 2022, 2023 [8] [9] |
Spring (March–May) | 10.6 °C (51.1 °F) | 2024 |
Summer (June–August) | 17.7 °C (63.9 °F) | 1976 |
Autumn (September–November) | 12.6 °C (54.7 °F) | 2006 |
Winter (December–February) | 6.8 °C (44.2 °F) | 2015/2016 |
January | 7.5 °C (45.5 °F) | 1916 |
February | 7.9 °C (46.2 °F) | 1779 |
March | 9.2 °C (48.6 °F) | 1957 |
April | 11.8 °C (53.2 °F) | 2011 |
May | 15.1 °C (59.2 °F) | 1833 |
June | 18.2 °C (64.8 °F) | 1846 |
July | 19.8 °C (67.6 °F) | 2006 |
August | 19.1 °C (66.4 °F) | 1995 |
September | 17.0 °C (62.6 °F) | 2023 |
October | 13.3 °C (55.9 °F) | 2001 |
November | 9.9 °C (49.8 °F) | 1994 |
December | 9.6 °C (49.3 °F) | 2015 |
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 6.9 °C (44.4 °F) | 1740 |
Spring (March–May) | 5.6 °C (42.1 °F) | 1837 |
Summer (June–August) | 13.1 °C (55.6 °F) | 1725 |
Autumn (September–November) | 7.5 °C (45.5 °F) | 1676, 1740, 1786 |
Winter (December–February) | −1.2 °C (29.8 °F) | 1683/1684 |
January | −3.1 °C (26.4 °F) | 1795 |
February | −1.9 °C (28.6 °F) | 1947 |
March | 1.0 °C (33.8 °F) | 1674 |
April | 4.7 °C (40.5 °F) | 1701 and 1837 |
May | 8.5 °C (47.3 °F) | 1698 |
June | 11.5 °C (52.7 °F) | 1675 |
July | 13.4 °C (56.1 °F) | 1816 |
August | 12.9 °C (55.2 °F) | 1912 |
September | 10.5 °C (50.9 °F) | 1674, 1675, 1694 and 1807 |
October | 5.3 °C (41.5 °F) | 1740 |
November | 2.3 °C (36.1 °F) | 1782 |
December | −0.8 °C (30.6 °F) | 1890 |
Since 1878, the Central England temperature has recorded daily maximum and minimum temperatures; its daily mean records began in 1772. The tables below show the record average max/min for each season and each calendar month since 1878.
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 7.2 °C (45.0 °F) | 2006, 2014, 2023 [10] |
Spring (March–May) | 6.8 °C (44.2 °F) | 2024 |
Summer (June–August) | 12.4 °C (54.3 °F) | 2006 |
Autumn (September–November) | 9.0 °C (48.2 °F) | 2006 |
Winter (December–February) | 3.8 °C (38.8 °F) | 1934/35, 2006/07, 2015/16 |
January | 5.2 °C (41.4 °F) | 1916 |
February | 4.8 °C (40.6 °F) | 2024 |
March | 5.6 °C (42.1 °F) | 1957 |
April | 6.7 °C (44.1 °F) | 2011 |
May | 9.9 °C (49.8 °F) | 2024 |
June | 11.7 °C (53.1 °F) | 2017 |
July | 14.0 °C (57.2 °F) | 2006 |
August | 14.0 °C (57.2 °F) | 1997 |
September | 12.9 °C (55.2 °F) | 2006 |
October | 10.2 °C (50.4 °F) | 2001 |
November | 7.4 °C (45.3 °F) | 1994 |
December | 6.9 °C (44.4 °F) | 2015 |
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 4.3 °C (39.7 °F) | 1879 [10] |
Spring (March–May) | 2.3 °C (36.1 °F) | 1887 [11] |
Summer (June–August) | 9.7 °C (49.5 °F) | 1922 |
Autumn (September–November) | 4.1 °C (39.4 °F) | 1919 |
Winter (December–February) | −3.1 °C (26.4 °F) | 1962/63 |
January | −4.8 °C (23.4 °F) | 1963 |
February | −5.2 °C (22.6 °F) | 1895 |
March | −2.0 °C (28.4 °F) | 1883 |
April | 1.2 °C (34.2 °F) | 2021 |
May | 4.7 °C (40.5 °F) | 1885 |
June | 7.9 °C (46.2 °F) | 1916 |
July | 9.8 °C (49.6 °F) | 1919 |
August | 9.3 °C (48.7 °F) | 1885 |
September | 6.6 °C (43.9 °F) | 1986 |
October | 3.2 °C (37.8 °F) | 1919 |
November | −0.4 °C (31.3 °F) | 1915 |
December | −3.8 °C (25.2 °F) | 2010 |
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 15.3 °C (59.5 °F) | 2022 [12] |
Spring (March–May) | 15.7 °C (60.3 °F) | 1893 [13] |
Summer (June–August) | 23.4 °C (74.1 °F) | 1976 |
Autumn (September–November) | 16.1 °C (61.0 °F) | 2006 |
Winter (December–February) | 9.8 °C (49.6 °F) | 2015/16 |
January | 10.4 °C (50.7 °F) | 1916 |
February | 11.5 °C (52.7 °F) | 2019 |
March | 13.8 °C (56.8 °F) | 1938 |
April | 17.2 °C (63.0 °F) | 2011 |
May | 19.0 °C (66.2 °F) | 1992 |
June | 22.6 °C (72.7 °F) | 2023 |
July | 25.6 °C (78.1 °F) | 2006 |
August | 25.1 °C (77.2 °F) | 1995 |
September | 21.5 °C (70.7 °F) | 2023 |
October | 17.1 °C (62.8 °F) | 1921 |
November | 12.4 °C (54.3 °F) | 2011 |
December | 12.3 °C (54.1 °F) | 2015 |
Period | Record Mean | Year |
---|---|---|
Year | 10.5 °C (50.9 °F) | 1879 [12] |
Spring (March–May) | 10.1 °C (50.2 °F) | 1879 [13] |
Summer (June–August) | 17.0 °C (62.6 °F) | 1879 |
Autumn (September–November) | 11.1 °C (52.0 °F) | 1887, 1896, 1952 |
Winter (December–February) | 2.5 °C (36.5 °F) | 1962/63 |
January | 0.6 °C (33.1 °F) | 1963 |
February | 0.0 °C (32.0 °F) | 1947 |
March | 5.8 °C (42.4 °F) | 1883, 1888, 2013 |
April | 9.3 °C (48.7 °F) | 1879 |
May | 12.8 °C (55.0 °F) | 1902 |
June | 15.5 °C (59.9 °F) | 1909, 1972 |
July | 16.6 °C (61.9 °F) | 1879 |
August | 16.0 °C (60.8 °F) | 1912 |
September | 14.4 °C (57.9 °F) | 1952 |
October | 10.2 °C (50.4 °F) | 1896 |
November | 5.8 °C (42.4 °F) | 1919 |
December | 1.2 °C (34.2 °F) | 1890 |
Daily mean temperatures have been available since 1772, with max and min data available from 1878 onward. [14]
Period [15] | Record Mean | Date |
---|---|---|
January | 12.7 °C (54.9 °F) | 1 January 2022 |
February | 13.7 °C (56.7 °F) | 15 February 2024 |
March | 15.2 °C (59.4 °F) | 30 March 2017 [16] |
April | 19.7 °C (67.5 °F) | 29 April 1775 |
May | 21.2 °C (70.2 °F) | 29 May 1780 |
June | 22.9 °C (73.2 °F) | 3 June 1947 |
July | 28.1 °C (82.6 °F) | 19 July 2022 |
August | 25.2 °C (77.4 °F) | 12 August 2020 |
September | 23.3 °C (73.9 °F) | 7 September 2023 |
October | 20.1 °C (68.2 °F) | 1 October 1985 |
November | 15.5 °C (59.9 °F) | 5 November 1938 |
December | 13.1 °C (55.6 °F) | 19 December 2015 |
Period [17] | Record | Date |
---|---|---|
January | 10.9 °C (51.6 °F) | 1 January 2022 |
February | 11.1 °C (52.0 °F) | 15 February 2024 |
March | 11.1 °C (52.0 °F) | 30 March 1998 |
April | 12.4 °C (54.3 °F) | 24 April 2007 |
May | 14.5 °C (58.1 °F) | 30 May 1944 |
June | 17.3 °C (63.1 °F) | 22 June 1941 |
July | 19.5 °C (67.1 °F) | 20 July 2016 |
August | 18.8 °C (65.8 °F) | 11 August 1997 |
September | 18.4 °C (65.1 °F) | 5 September 1949 |
October | 15.3 °C (59.5 °F) | 3 October 2011 |
November | 13.5 °C (56.3 °F) | 22 November 1947 |
December | 11.7 °C (53.1 °F) | 31 December 2021 |
Period [18] | Record Maximum | Date |
---|---|---|
January | 14.5 °C (58.1 °F) | 1 January 2022 |
February | 18.6 °C (65.5 °F) | 26 February 2019 |
March | 22.2 °C (72.0 °F) | 29 March 1965 |
April | 25.0 °C (77.0 °F) | 16 April 2003 |
May | 28.9 °C (84.0 °F) | 29 May 1944 |
June | 30.4 °C (86.7 °F) | 29 June 2019 |
July | 37.3 °C (99.1 °F) | 19 July 2022 |
August | 33.4 °C (92.1 °F) | 3 August 1990 |
September | 31.2 °C (88.2 °F) | 1 September 1906 |
October | 27.0 °C (80.6 °F) | 1 October 2011 |
November | 18.7 °C (65.7 °F) | 4 November 1946 |
December | 14.5 °C (58.1 °F) | 23 December 1977 |
Period | Record Mean | Date |
---|---|---|
January | −11.9 °C (10.6 °F) | 20 January 1838 |
February | −8.8 °C (16.2 °F) | 9 February 1816 |
March | −6.5 °C (20.3 °F) | 13 March 1845 |
April | −0.5 °C (31.1 °F) | 3 April 1799 |
May | 2.9 °C (37.2 °F) | 8 May 1861 |
June | 7.3 °C (45.1 °F) | 9 June 1816 |
July | 8.7 °C (47.7 °F) | 20 July 1836 |
August | 8.8 °C (47.8 °F) | 26 August 1864 |
September | 4.9 °C (40.8 °F) | 28 September 1824 |
October | 0.3 °C (32.5 °F) | 29 October 1895 |
November | −4.6 °C (23.7 °F) | 24 November 1904 |
December | −10.8 °C (12.6 °F) | 25 December 1796 |
Period | Record Minimum | Date |
---|---|---|
January | −13.4 °C (7.9 °F) | 21 January 1940 |
February | −13.6 °C (7.5 °F) | 24 February 1947 |
March | −9.4 °C (15.1 °F) | 5 March 1909, 7 March 1947 |
April | −4.9 °C (23.2 °F) | 2 April 1917 |
May | −1.5 °C (29.3 °F) | 4 May 1941 |
June | 1.3 °C (34.3 °F) | 5 June 1991 |
July | 4.7 °C (40.5 °F) | 4 July 1965 |
August | 4.0 °C (39.2 °F) | 31 August 1921 |
September | 0.3 °C (32.5 °F) | 29 September 1919 |
October | −3.9 °C (25.0 °F) | 27 October 1931 |
November | −8.8 °C (16.2 °F) | 24 November 1904 |
December | −15.9 °C (3.4 °F) | 13 December 1981 |
Period | Record | Date |
---|---|---|
January | −5.7 °C (21.7 °F) | 12 January 1987 |
February | −4.5 °C (23.9 °F) | 6 February 1895 |
March | −1.1 °C (30.0 °F) | 1 March 2018 |
April | 2.3 °C (36.1 °F) | 5 April 1911 |
May | 6.0 °C (42.8 °F) | 3 May 1892 |
June | 10.1 °C (50.2 °F) | 8 June 1897 |
July | 12.5 °C (54.5 °F) | 5 July 1920 |
August | 12.0 °C (53.6 °F) | 16 August 1888 |
September | 8.3 °C (46.9 °F) | 29 September 1918 |
October | 3.1 °C (37.6 °F) | 31 October 1934 |
November | −1.0 °C (30.2 °F) | 28 November 2010 |
December | −4.0 °C (24.8 °F) | 29 December 1908 |
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