Chip Fletcher | |
---|---|
Born | Charles H. Fletcher III |
Occupation | Climate scientist |
Scientific career | |
Institutions | University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa |
Charles H. Fletcher III is an American climate scientist and geologist. He studies sea level rise and shoreline change [1] with a particular focus on how climate change will affect communities in the Pacific Islands. [2] In addition to his research, Fletcher advocates for human adaptation to sea level rise.
Fletcher is currently the Interim Dean of the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST) at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, and former Chairperson of the Honolulu Climate Change Commission. His research team, specializing in modeling the components of sea level rise impacts and posting them on a publically available viewer, is named the Climate Resilience Collaborative (CRC).
In 1991, Fletcher joined the Department of Earth Sciences (then called the Department of Geology and Geophysics) at the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST) at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa. He was promoted to professor in 1998, and chaired the department for two terms before 2010, when he became SOEST associate dean for academic affairs. On January 1, 2022, Fletcher was named Interim Dean of SOEST. [3]
In July 2018, Fletcher spoke at a climate change conference on Majuro, the capital of the Marshall Islands. He presented on possible methods for adapting to climate change, describing a possible future scenario in which present-day Majuro is submerged in 3 feet (0.91 m) of water and recommending an approach of dredging and creating an area of land elevated enough to be safe. While noting that this approach would be expensive and environmentally disruptive, he stated that "I would rather destroy some reef than see an entire culture go extinct." [4]
Fletcher’s research primarily examines the effects of climate change on Pacific Islands, with a focus on sea level rise and coastal erosion. His studies on the implications of rising sea levels have informed models predicting future impacts on coastal regions, particularly in Hawaii.
In October 2018, Fletcher and a team of researchers were in the process of studying East Island, one of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands [5] when it was destroyed in a storm surge caused by Hurricane Walaka. Fletcher had predicted that the island would be fully inundated by sea level rise within 10 to 30 years, [6] but expressed disappointment that it was gone so soon, describing the event as "a huge blow" to both his research and the species (including the critically endangered Hawaiian monk seal and threatened green sea turtle) that inhabited the island. [5] While the hurricane may have been coincidental, it was abnormally far north, and Fletcher noted that a strong hurricane on this path "is made more probable under the conditions of climate change [and] global warming". [6] He described East Island as a "proxy" for countries on similar low-lying atolls, including the Marshall Islands, the Maldives, Tuvalu and Kiribati, and stated that the destruction of East Island demonstrated the risk to these nations. [6]
Fletcher attended the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference as part of a University of Hawaiʻi delegation. [7] He later criticized the exclusivity of the conference and the compromise-based nature of the negotiation process, describing it as fundamentally flawed. [1]
With his students, Fletcher has published more than 100 peer-reviewed articles, in addition to 3 textbooks. [3] He tracks beach erosion in Hawaii, and simulates the effect that various sea level rise scenarios would have on the Hawaiian Islands. [8] Data published by Fletcher's team are used in Hawaii for coastal infrastructure planning, including by the City and County of Honolulu, Kauai County and Maui County for setback ordinances. Hawaii Senate Bill 474, the first seller disclosure law related to sea level rise in the United States, was based on data produced by his research team. [3] Act 16 (SLH 2020) mandated significant changes to the Coastal Zone Management law of Hawaii based on his research: The state-wide setback increased based on CRC historic erosion rates; Sea level rise is assessed in all shoreline and special management area (SMA) permits, even for parcels that are not oceanfront; The use of seawalls and revetments on sites with beaches is prohibited unless clearly in the public interest. HB243 requires state agencies to identify facilities exposed to sea level rise and publish plans for adaptation to flooding. Fletcher additionally chairs the Honolulu Climate Change Commission. [1]
Fletcher's recent work is focused on five global issues: climate change, biodiversity loss, pollution, disease, and social inequality. His paper "Earth at risk: An urgent call to end the age of destruction and forge a just and sustainable future" was published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences-NEXUS.
His shoreline advocacy work is grounded in peer-reviewed research in collaboration with his nearly 40 graduate students. Notable works include "Modeling multiple sea level rise stresses reveals up to twice the land at risk compared to strictly passive flooding methods"; "Failure to protect beaches under slowly rising sea level"; "Assessment of groundwater inundation by sea level rise"; "The influence of sea level rise on coastal groundwater and the convergence of impacts on municipal infrastructure"; and "Rethinking reef island stability in relation to anthropogenic sea level rise"
Fletcher is an advocate for various methods of adaptation to sea level rise, which he describes as "an unsolvable problem that needs to be managed so we can decrease the amount of loss and suffering and damage that we experience". [9] He has critiqued seawalls for their contribution to beach erosion, and advocated for an "exit strategy" in which coastal homeowners would be incentivized to move inland rather than attempting to maintain their coastal properties. [10] [11] He has additionally noted that the effect of climate change on the Pacific Islands is drastically larger than their historical contribution to climate change, and stated that the "major industrial nations responsible for global warming have a debt to the Pacific islands to assist with the adaptation that is necessary to survive this challenge". [10]
Fletcher is a Geological Society of America Fellow. [12] In 2010, Fletcher was awarded the Environmental Merit Award in Hawaii by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. The award recognized Fletcher's work with the Center for Island Climate Adaptation and Policy at the University of Hawaiʻi, and the EPA stated that "Dr. Chip Fletcher not only studies island climate adaptation and policy issues, but he also excels at communicating his findings to policy makers and the public". [13] He received the Community Service Award from ThinkTech Hawaii in 2019 for his efforts to communicate the societal impacts of climate change. In 2023, he was presented the 2023 Climate Adaptation Leadership Award for Natural Resources alongside Assistant Professor Haunani Kane for their work in reducing climate-related threats and promoting adaptation strategies.
Fletcher resides in Honolulu, Hawaii, where he continues his work as a scientist, educator, and advocate for climate adaptation. He is also active on social media, where he is seen sharing insights on climate readiness and environmental justice.
A coast – also called the coastline, shoreline, or seashore – is the land next to the sea or the line that forms the boundary between the land and the ocean or a lake. Coasts are influenced by the topography of the surrounding landscape, as well as by water induced erosion, such as waves. The geological composition of rock and soil dictates the type of shore that is created. Earth contains roughly 620,000 km (390,000 mi) of coastline.
Honolulu is the capital and most populous city of the U.S. state of Hawaii, located in the Pacific Ocean. It is the county seat of the consolidated City and County of Honolulu, situated along the southeast coast of the island of Oʻahu, and is the westernmost and southernmost major U.S. city. Honolulu is Hawaii's main gateway to the world. It is also a major hub for business, finance, hospitality, and military defense in both the state and Oceania. The city is characterized by a mix of various Asian, Western, and Pacific cultures, reflected in its diverse demography, cuisine, and traditions.
Coastal erosion is the loss or displacement of land, or the long-term removal of sediment and rocks along the coastline due to the action of waves, currents, tides, wind-driven water, waterborne ice, or other impacts of storms. The landward retreat of the shoreline can be measured and described over a temporal scale of tides, seasons, and other short-term cyclic processes. Coastal erosion may be caused by hydraulic action, abrasion, impact and corrosion by wind and water, and other forces, natural or unnatural.
The Hawaiian Islands are an archipelago of eight major volcanic islands, several atolls, and numerous smaller islets in the North Pacific Ocean, extending some 1,500 miles from the island of Hawaiʻi in the south to northernmost Kure Atoll. Formerly called the Sandwich Islands by Europeans, the present name for the archipelago is derived from the name of its largest island, Hawaiʻi.
Hanauma is a marine embayment formed within a tuff ring and located along the southeast coast of the Island of Oʻahu in the Hawaii Kai neighborhood of East Honolulu, in the Hawaiian Islands.
A tidal marsh is a marsh found along rivers, coasts and estuaries which floods and drains by the tidal movement of the adjacent estuary, sea or ocean. Tidal marshes experience many overlapping persistent cycles, including diurnal and semi-diurnal tides, day-night temperature fluctuations, spring-neap tides, seasonal vegetation growth and decay, upland runoff, decadal climate variations, and centennial to millennial trends in sea level and climate.
Stephen Parker Leatherman, also known as Dr. Beach, is an American geoscientist, coastal ecologist, and author. He was the first director of the International Hurricane Research Center at Florida International University (FIU), from 1997 to 2009. He then became professor and co-director of the Laboratory for Coastal Research at FIU. Leatherman often discuss his research on beach quality evaluations, beach erosion, coastal storm and sea level rise impacts and rip currents.
Orrin Hendren Pilkey Jr. was an American marine geologist who was Professor Emeritus of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, at Duke University, and founder and director emeritus of the Program for the Study of Developed Shorelines (PSDS) based at Western Carolina University.
Between 1901 and 2018, the average sea level rose by 15–25 cm (6–10 in), with an increase of 2.3 mm (0.091 in) per year since the 1970s. This was faster than the sea level had ever risen over at least the past 3,000 years. The rate accelerated to 4.62 mm (0.182 in)/yr for the decade 2013–2022. Climate change due to human activities is the main cause. Between 1993 and 2018, melting ice sheets and glaciers accounted for 44% of sea level rise, with another 42% resulting from thermal expansion of water.
The U.S. state of Hawaiʻi, which covers the Hawaiian Islands, is tropical but it experiences many different climates, depending on altitude and surroundings. The island of Hawaiʻi for example hosts four climate groups on a surface as small as 4,028 square miles (10,430 km2) according to the Köppen climate types: tropical, arid, temperate and polar. When counting also the Köppen sub-categories – notably including the very rare cold-summer mediterranean climate – the island of Hawaiʻi hosts 10 climate zones. The islands receive most rainfall from the trade winds on their north and east flanks as a result of orographic precipitation. Coastal areas are drier, especially the south and west side or leeward sides.
Pål Wessel pronounced as, and also known as Paul Wessel, was a professor of the Department of Geology and Geophysics at the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST) at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa. He taught as a visiting professor at Sydney University in Australia and University of Oslo in Norway. Wessel was a Fellow of the Geological Society of America.
The North Shore of the Oʻahu is a coastal area between Kaʻena Point and Kahuku. Its largest village is Haleʻiwa.
Coastal flooding occurs when dry and low-lying land is submerged (flooded) by seawater. The range of a coastal flooding is a result of the elevation of floodwater that penetrates the inland which is controlled by the topography of the coastal land exposed to flooding. The seawater can flood the land via several different paths: direct flooding, overtopping or breaching of a barrier. Coastal flooding is largely a natural event. Due to the effects of climate change and an increase in the population living in coastal areas, the damage caused by coastal flood events has intensified and more people are being affected.
The effects of climate change on small island countries are affecting people in coastal areas through sea level rise, increasing heavy rain events, tropical cyclones and storm surges. These effects of climate change threaten the existence of many island countries, their peoples and cultures. They also alter ecosystems and natural environments in those countries. Small island developing states (SIDS) are a heterogenous group of countries but many of them are particularly at risk to climate change. Those countries have been quite vocal in calling attention to the challenges they face from climate change. For example, the Maldives and nations of the Caribbean and Pacific Islands are already experiencing considerable impacts of climate change. It is critical for them to implement climate change adaptation measures fast.
Climate change in Delaware encompasses the effects of climate change, attributed to man-made increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, in the U.S. state of Delaware.
Climate change in Virginia encompasses the effects of climate change, attributed to man-made increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, in the U.S. state of Virginia.
Climate changein the Caribbean poses major risks to the islands in the Caribbean. The main environmental changes expected to affect the Caribbean are a rise in sea level, stronger hurricanes, longer dry seasons and shorter wet seasons. As a result, climate change is expected to lead to changes in the economy, environment and population of the Caribbean. Temperature rise of 2°C above preindustrial levels can increase the likelihood of extreme hurricane rainfall by four to five times in the Bahamas and three times in Cuba and the Dominican Republic. A rise in sea level could impact coastal communities of the Caribbean if they are less than 3 metres (10 ft) above the sea. In Latin America and the Caribbean, it is expected that 29–32 million people may be affected by the sea level rise because they live below this threshold. The Bahamas is expected to be the most affected because at least 80% of the total land is below 10 meters elevation.
The Bruun rule is a formula for estimating the magnitude of the retreat of the shoreline of a sandy shore in response to changes in sea level. Originally published in 1962 by Per Bruun, the Bruun rule was the first to give a relationship between sea level rise and shoreline recession. The rule is a simple, two dimensional mass conversion, and remains in common use to estimate shoreline recession in response to sea level rise, despite criticism and modification, and the availability of more complex alternate models.
The Honolulu Volcanics are a group of volcanoes which form a volcanic field on the island of Oʻahu, Hawaiʻi, more specifically in that island's southeastern sector and in the city of Honolulu from Pearl Harbor to the Mokapu Peninsula. It is part of the rejuvenated stage of Hawaiian volcanic activity, which occurred after the main stage of volcanic activity that on Oʻahu built the Koʻolau volcano. These volcanoes formed through dominantly explosive eruptions and gave rise to cinder cones, lava flows, tuff cones and volcanic islands. Among these are well known landmarks such as Diamond Head and Punchbowl Crater.
Climate change in New Jersey is of concern due to its effects on the ecosystem, economy, infrastructure, and people of the U.S. state of New Jersey. According to climatology research by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, New Jersey has been the fastest-warming state by average air temperature over a 100-year period beginning in the early 20th century, related to global warming.