Fairfax in the 2013 Australian federal election

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2013 Australian federal election (Fairfax)
Flag of Queensland.svg
  2010 7 September 2013 2016  

Division of Fairfax (Qld) in the House of Representatives
Registered95,411 [1]
Turnout93.41% (Increase2.svg 0.63)
 First partySecond party
 
Ted O'Brien Buderim Men's Shed 2017 (cropped).jpg
Clive Palmer Aug15 crop.jpg
Candidate Ted O'Brien Clive Palmer
Party Liberal National Palmer United
Primary  vote34,95922,409
Percentage41.32%26.49%
SwingDecrease2.svg 8.13Increase2.svg 26.49
TCP 49.97%50.03%
TCP swingDecrease2.svg 7.03Increase2.svg 50.03

 Third partyFourth party
 
Labor Placeholder.png
David Knobel.png
CandidateElaine HughesDavid Knobel
Party Labor Greens
Primary  vote15,4297,046
Percentage18.24%8.33%
SwingDecrease2.svg 9.07Decrease2.svg 9.67

MP before election

Alex Somlyay
Liberal National

Elected MP

Clive Palmer
Palmer United

An election in the Queensland electorate of Fairfax took place on 7 September 2013 as part of the 2013 Australian federal election. [2] [3] Incumbent Liberal National Party (LNP) MP Alex Somlyay did not seek re-election. [4] [5]

Contents

In an upset victory, billionaire Clive Palmer – contesting as the leader of his newly-formed Palmer United Party (PUP) – defeated LNP candidate Ted O'Brien by a margin of 53 votes in the two-candidate-preferred (TCP) count. [6] [7] The result took almost eight weeks to be confirmed, with the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) conducting the longest recount in federal election history. [8] [9]

Background

Alex Somlyay had held Fairfax for the Liberal Party since 1990, when he defeated the National Party following the retirement of incumbent member Evan Adermann. [10] His hold on the seat had only been seriously challenged twice – the first time in 1998, when there was a 13.25% TCP swing against him, and the other in 2007, when there was a 9.4% TCP swing. [11] [12]

Following the 2010 federal election, Somlyay confirmed his plans to retire from parliament in 2013. [13] Although there was an expectation that LNP campaign director James McGrath would contest preselection for Fairfax, he instead sought to run as the candidate for the neighbouring seat of Fisher. [14] After that was unsuccessful, McGrath contested preselection for a position on the LNP's Senate ticket, which he won. [14] In November 2012, businessman Ted O'Brien won the LNP's preselection for Fairfax, defeating former national rugby union team coach John Connolly. [15]

In April 2013, billionaire and former LNP life member Clive Palmer formed the Palmer United Party (PUP) and announced he would contest Fairfax. [16]

Candidates

Candidates are listed in the order they appeared on the ballot. [17] [18]

PartyCandidateBackground
  One Nation Mike HoltCEO of Restore Australia [19]
  Independent Trudy ByrnesBusiness consultant [20]
  Palmer United Clive Palmer Businessman and Palmer United Party founder
  Liberal National Ted O'Brien Liberal candidate for Brisbane in 2007
  Family First Angela MeyerPiano training business owner [21]
  Labor Elaine Hughes Lifeline crisis line supervisor [5]
  Greens David KnobelCommunity worker [22]
  Katter's Australian Ray SawyerDance school operator [5]

Campaign

The Family First Party recommended preferencing Labor above the LNP because of the issue of same-sex marriage, which Labor candidate Elaine Hughes indicated her opposition to. [21]

Prior to the election, The Tally Room predicted that O'Brien "should have no trouble defeating Labor, and despite Clive Palmer's obnoxious claims, there is no evidence that Palmer is a serious threat to the LNP's hold on the seat". [23]

No electorate opinion polling for Fairfax was published, although Roy Morgan Research said it predicted Palmer "could" win the seat. [24] [25] An exit poll released by Ten News at 4pm AEST on election day showed the PUP winning 9.5% of the vote in Queensland. [26] [27]

Results

2013 Australian federal election: Fairfax [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal National Ted O'Brien 34,95941.32−8.13
Palmer United Clive Palmer 22,40926.49+26.49
Labor Elaine Hughes15,42918.24−9.07
Greens David Knobel7,0468.33−9.67
Katter's Australian Ray Sawyer1,6231.92+1.92
Family First Angela Meyer1,4161.67−3.57
Independent Trudy Byrnes1,0161.20+1.20
One Nation Mike Holt7090.84+0.84
Total formal votes84,60794.88−0.09
Informal votes4,5695.12+0.09
Turnout 89,17693.41+0.63
Notional two-party-preferred count
Liberal National Ted O'Brien 52,18461.68+4.73
Labor Elaine Hughes32,42338.32−4.73
Two-candidate-preferred result
Palmer United Clive Palmer 42,33050.03+50.03
Liberal National Ted O'Brien 42,27749.97−7.03
Palmer United gain from Liberal National  

Aftermath

Election night

The indicative two-candidate-preferred count provided by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) on election night was between the LNP and Labor. [29] By 8:10pm AEST, ABC election analyst Antony Green said the count would instead be between the LNP and the PUP. [30] Palmer said he expected his party to win Fairfax and Fisher. [30]

Initial count

After the AEC realigned the TCP count, Palmer emerged with a narrow lead over O'Brien. [24] It was also revealed that a sorting error during election night meant 760 votes were recorded as being from the Buderim polling booth, instead of Coolum Beach, leading to Palmer seeking an injunction to stop counting. [24] [31] His application was rejected by the Federal Court of Australia on 17 September 2013. [32] [33] Palmer also stated that despite leading during the count, he would "be highly surprised if I won". [34]

On 21 September 2013, the AEC declared Palmer had won Fairfax by a margin of 36 votes. [35] After an automatic recount, which still resulted in a margin under 100 votes, a full recount was triggered. [36] [37]

Full recount

The full recount began on 3 October 2013. [24] Around 20,000 votes were recounted after five days, but more than half of those were challenged by scrutineers. [38] During the count, Palmer increased his lead to as high as 67 votes. [24] According to the AEC spokesperson, the "vast majority" of challenges had come from PUP representatives. [39] By the end of the recounting, 50,099 of the 89,176 ballots were challenged, with 38,644 of those referred to the AEC for a decision. [40] [41]

On 31 October 2013, the AEC declared Palmer had won the seat by a margin of 53 votes following the recount. [42] [43]

See also

References

  1. "Total enrolled to vote in the 2013 Federal Election by Division, Age Groups and Gender for all States/Territories" (PDF). Australian Electoral Commission. 12 August 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  2. Raue, Ben (16 September 2013). "Seat in focus: Fairfax". The Tally Room. Archived from the original on 9 October 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  3. "Clive Palmer expected to be dumped by voters at next election, poll reveals". The Guardian. 25 January 2016. Archived from the original on 28 June 2023. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  4. Green, Antony (1 February 2013). "House Members Retiring at the 2013 Election". ABC News. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  5. 1 2 3 "Fairfax - Federal Election 2013". ABC News. 7 September 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  6. "Australian billionaire Clive Palmer in narrow seat win". BBC News. 31 October 2013. Archived from the original on 28 July 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  7. "Fairfax Poll Declared; Palmer Praises Democracy". AustralianPolitics.com. 1 November 2013. Archived from the original on 19 May 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  8. "Time to embrace electronic voting". Sydney Morning Herald. 2 November 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  9. Roberts, Greg (9 April 2016). "The member for Palmer: Clive avoids voters and voting". The Australian. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  10. Hoffman, Bill (19 July 2017). "Greens senator's fate grossly unfair, says LNP stalwart". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  11. "Alex Somlyay (Lib – Fairfax) – Valedictory Speech". AustralianPolitics.com. 24 June 2013. Archived from the original on 19 March 2015. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  12. Prasser, Scott (9 September 2013). "How the Palmer United Party came out barking". The Conversation. Archived from the original on 1 March 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  13. Johnson, Chris (25 September 2010). "Lib speaks for himself, defies gag by Abbott". The Canberra Times. Archived from the original on 27 September 2010. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  14. 1 2 Bowe, William (4 September 2013). "Seats of the day: Fairfax, Hinkler and Flynn". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 30 April 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  15. "O'Brien wins LNP preselection for Fairfax". Brisbane Times. 18 November 2012. Archived from the original on 30 November 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  16. Griffiths, Emma; Atherton, Ben (26 April 2013). "I want to be PM, says Palmer". ABC News. Archived from the original on 12 October 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  17. "2013 Federal Election guide to the seat of Fairfax". The Courier Mail. 31 July 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  18. Bruinsma, Richard (4 September 2013). "Fairfax candidates questioned on region's future". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  19. Stephens, Kim (24 July 2013). "Woman charged over anti-Islam stickers linked to One Nation candidate". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 22 December 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  20. Bruinsma, Richard (19 June 2013). "Trudy to tackle Clive and Co for Fairfax". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  21. 1 2 Furler, Mark (27 August 2013). "Clive Palmer warns of gay marriage by stealth at forum". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  22. "David Knobel". Australian Greens. Archived from the original on 22 August 2013. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  23. Raue, Ben. "Fairfax – Australia 2013". The Tally Room. Archived from the original on 24 September 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 "2013 Federal Election Late Counting - House Of Reps". Dr Kevin Bonham. 31 October 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  25. Goot, Murray (2015). "How the Pollsters Called the Horse Race: Changing polling technologies, cost pressures, and the concentration on the two-party-preferred". Abbott's Gambit: The 2013 Australian Federal Election. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  26. 10 News Queensland [@10NewsQLD] (7 September 2013). "RT @_AdamTodd: Morgan-Ten News exit poll has the Palmer United Party polling 9.5% in Queensland" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025 via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  27. Davidson, Helen (7 September 2013). "Australian election 2013 - polling day as it happened". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 7 May 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  28. "QLD DIVISION - FAIRFAX". Australian Electoral Commission. 7 September 2013. Archived from the original on 1 September 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  29. "The 2013 Federal Election" (PDF). Parliament of Australia. 15 April 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 12 July 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  30. 1 2 "Queensland votes in the Federal Election 2013". news.com.au. 7 September 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  31. Bowe, William (13 September 2013). "Photo finishes: Fairfax". Crikey. Archived from the original on 9 November 2013. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  32. Schneider, Joe (16 September 2013). "Palmer Seeks to Block Election Count After Vote Mix-Up". Bloomberg. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  33. "Court rejects Clive Palmer application to suspend vote counting in Fairfax". The Guardian. 17 September 2013. Archived from the original on 3 January 2024. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  34. Lehmann, John; Scott, Steven (10 September 2013). "Clive Palmer says he won't win Fairfax because 'Australian electoral system is corrupt'". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  35. AEC [@AusElectoralCom] (21 September 2013). "Fairfax result: PUP candidate Mr Clive Palmer by 36 votes after final ballots counted in Fairfax today" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025 via Twitter.
  36. "Clive Palmer wins Sunshine Coast seat of Fairfax by 36 votes, triggering recount". ABC News. 21 September 2013. Archived from the original on 12 March 2023. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  37. "Palmer wins Fairfax but says AEC is a disgrace". SBS News. 21 September 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  38. Skinner, Jo (8 October 2013). "Challenged federal election ballot papers slow Fairfax count". ABC News. Archived from the original on 6 May 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  39. Fraser, Andrew (16 October 2013). "Costly recount puts Clive's tilt in limbo". The Australian. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  40. "Fairfax recount to drag on for extra week". SBS News. 18 October 2013. Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  41. "Media advisory – Fairfax recount". Australian Electoral Commission. 29 October 2013. Archived from the original on 7 June 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
  42. AEC [@AusElectoralCom] (31 October 2013). "The Fairfax recount has concluded with Mr Clive Palmer elected by a margin of 53 votes" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 8 December 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025 via Twitter.
  43. "Clive Palmer wins Sunshine Coast seat of Fairfax, says 'goodbye' Campbell Newman". ABC News. 31 October 2013. Archived from the original on 6 May 2025. Retrieved 8 December 2025.