Great Salt Lake effect

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The Great Salt Lake effect is a small but detectable influence on the local climate and weather around the Great Salt Lake in Utah, United States. In particular, snowstorms are a common occurrence over the region and have major socio-economic impacts due to their significant precipitation amounts. The Great Salt Lake almost never freezes and can warm rapidly, which allows lake enhanced precipitation to occur from September through May. [1] Lake-enhanced snowstorms are often attributed to creating what is locally known as "The Greatest Snow on Earth".

Contents

Lake enhancement

Radar image of enhanced precipitation by the lake and convergence. Great Salt Lake effect radar image.png
Radar image of enhanced precipitation by the lake and convergence.

Lake-effect snow around the Great Salt Lake is generated in a similar fashion to elsewhere in the world. However, the Great Salt Lake primarily provides a lifting mechanism and acts as an atmospheric destabilizer, which encourages convection. This is in contrast to the Great Lakes, where the lakes contribute significant amounts of moisture and latent heat.

Great Salt Lake enhanced precipitation occurs when a strong, cold, northwesterly wind blows across a relatively warm lake. This is common after a cold front passage, where the winds are predominantly northwesterly and the air is much colder than the lake. [1] When the land-lake breeze blows towards the lake, there is a convergence zone that acts to channel the cold air over the center of the lake and further enhance precipitation. The salinity of the Great Salt Lake prevents freezing but reduces the saturation vapor pressure and latent heat flux into the overlying air. As a result, minimal amounts of moisture and latent heat are added to the air moving over the lake. The high relief of the Wasatch mountains further capitalizes on lake enhancement and can receive multiple feet of snow from lake-effect alone. [1] [2]

Climatology

The number of events varies considerably from year to year, according to the synoptic set-up. The average is 4 to 5 well-defined events annually and the same number of marginal events. Slightly more than half of the well-defined events persist for 13 to 24 hours. [3] In a 2000 study, researchers found that the larger number of cases were between October and February, with outlier cases in September and April or May. However a review of many more cases in 2012 found that the peaks of activity was really in the fall (mid-October to mid-December) and spring (early April) and that there was a minimum between those maximum. [4] That same study found on average 13 events per year, well or not so well defined combined. [4]

Most well-defined events leave accumulations of 8 inches (20 cm) or more, and in some cases more than 40 inches (100 cm), along a well-defined corridor. [3]

Forecasting lake-effect snow

Forecasting skill has drastically improved in recent years due to a better observational network including the NEXRAD weather radar system. An accurate forecast involves identifying the crucial requirements for lake-effect precipitation. The basic requirements are a conditionally unstable environment, significant moisture and a lifting mechanism. Many different variables go into these requirements, which results in a minute-by-minute event. [5] Through extensive analyses and field experiments the understanding of lake-effect snowstorms has improved drastically in recent years. Many general rules of thumb have been developed in order to predict the occurrence, location and severity of lake-effect snow. [3]

Rules of thumb

A set of rules has been developed by local forecasters to predict the development of lake enhanced snow: [6] [7]

See also

Related Research Articles

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Lake-effect snow is produced during cooler atmospheric conditions when a cold air mass moves across long expanses of warmer lake water. The lower layer of air, heated by the lake water, picks up water vapor from the lake and rises through colder air. The vapor then freezes and is deposited on the leeward (downwind) shores.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Thunderstorm</span> Type of weather with lightning and thunder

A thunderstorm, also known as an electrical storm or a lightning storm, is a storm characterized by the presence of lightning and its acoustic effect on the Earth's atmosphere, known as thunder. Relatively weak thunderstorms are sometimes called thundershowers. Thunderstorms occur in a type of cloud known as a cumulonimbus. They are usually accompanied by strong winds and often produce heavy rain and sometimes snow, sleet, or hail, but some thunderstorms produce little precipitation or no precipitation at all. Thunderstorms may line up in a series or become a rainband, known as a squall line. Strong or severe thunderstorms include some of the most dangerous weather phenomena, including large hail, strong winds, and tornadoes. Some of the most persistent severe thunderstorms, known as supercells, rotate as do cyclones. While most thunderstorms move with the mean wind flow through the layer of the troposphere that they occupy, vertical wind shear sometimes causes a deviation in their course at a right angle to the wind shear direction.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Precipitation</span> Product of the condensation of atmospheric water vapor that falls under gravity

In meteorology, precipitation is any product of the condensation of atmospheric water vapor that falls from clouds due to gravitational pull. The main forms of precipitation include drizzle, rain, sleet, snow, ice pellets, graupel and hail. Precipitation occurs when a portion of the atmosphere becomes saturated with water vapor, so that the water condenses and "precipitates" or falls. Thus, fog and mist are not precipitation but colloids, because the water vapor does not condense sufficiently to precipitate. Two processes, possibly acting together, can lead to air becoming saturated: cooling the air or adding water vapor to the air. Precipitation forms as smaller droplets coalesce via collision with other rain drops or ice crystals within a cloud. Short, intense periods of rain in scattered locations are called showers.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Derecho</span> Widespread, long-lived, straight-line wind storm

A derecho is a widespread, long-lived, straight-line wind storm that is associated with a fast-moving group of severe thunderstorms known as a mesoscale convective system.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Thundersnow</span> Thunderstorm during which there is snowfall

Thundersnow, also known as a winter thunderstorm or a thundersnowstorm, is a kind of thunderstorm with snow falling as the primary precipitation instead of rain. It is considered a rare phenomenon. It typically falls in regions of strong upward motion within the cold sector of an extratropical cyclone. Thermodynamically, it is not different from any other type of thunderstorm, but the top of the cumulonimbus cloud is usually quite low. In addition to snow, graupel or hail may fall as well. The heavy snowfall tends to muffle the sound of the thunder so that it sounds more like a low rumble than the loud, sharp bang that is heard during regular thunderstorms.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Alberta clipper</span> Low pressure area weather system common to North America

An Alberta clipper, also known as an Alberta low, Alberta cyclone, Alberta lee cyclone, Canadian clipper, or simply clipper, is a fast-moving low-pressure system that originates in or near the Canadian province of Alberta just east of the Rocky Mountains and tracks east-southeastward across southern Canada and the northern United States to the North Atlantic Ocean.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Funnel cloud</span> Funnel-shaped cloud extending from a cloud base but doesnt touch the ground

A funnel cloud is a funnel-shaped cloud of condensed water droplets, associated with a rotating column of wind and extending from the base of a cloud but not reaching the ground or a water surface. A funnel cloud is usually visible as a cone-shaped or needle like protuberance from the main cloud base. Funnel clouds form most frequently in association with supercell thunderstorms, and are often, but not always, a visual precursor to tornadoes. Funnel clouds are visual phenomena, these are not the vortex of wind itself.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mesoscale convective system</span> Complex of thunderstorms organized on a larger scale

A mesoscale convective system (MCS) is a complex of thunderstorms that becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms but smaller than extratropical cyclones, and normally persists for several hours or more. A mesoscale convective system's overall cloud and precipitation pattern may be round or linear in shape, and include weather systems such as tropical cyclones, squall lines, lake-effect snow events, polar lows, and mesoscale convective complexes (MCCs), and generally forms near weather fronts. The type that forms during the warm season over land has been noted across North and South America, Europe, and Asia, with a maximum in activity noted during the late afternoon and evening hours.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Snow squall</span> Sudden heavy snowfall accompanied with strong winds

A snow squall, or snowsquall, is a sudden moderately heavy snowfall with blowing snow and strong, gusty surface winds. It is often referred to as a whiteout and is similar to a blizzard but is localized in time or in location and snow accumulations may or may not be significant.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Extratropical cyclone</span> Type of cyclone

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">United States rainfall climatology</span> Characteristics of weather in U.S.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Cold-air damming</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Atmospheric convection</span> Atmospheric phenomenon

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Upper tropospheric cyclonic vortex</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Glossary of meteorology</span> List of definitions of terms and concepts commonly used in meteorology

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References

  1. 1 2 3 Jackson, Mark. "Forecasting the 31 October 2004 Lake-Effect Snowstorm of the Great Salt Lake" (PDF). WFO Salt Lake City, UT. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  2. Alcott, Trevor; Steenburgh, Jim (July 2013). "Orographic Influences on a Great Salt Lake–Effect Snowstorm". Mon. Wea. Rev. AMS. 141 (7): 2432–2450. Bibcode:2013MWRv..141.2432A. doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00328.1 . ISSN   0027-0644.
  3. 1 2 3 Steenburgh, W. J.; Halvorson, S. F.; Onton, D. J. (2000). "Climatology of lake-effect snowstorms of the Great Salt Lake". Mon. Wea. Rev. 128 (3): 709–727. Bibcode:2000MWRv..128..709S. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2000)128<0709:COLESO>2.0.CO;2 .
  4. 1 2 Alcott, Trevor I.; Steenburgh, W. J.; Laird, Neil F. (2012). "Great Salt Lake–Effect Precipitation: Observed Frequency, Characteristics, and Associated Environmental Factors". Weather and Forecasting . 27 (4): 954–971. Bibcode:2012WtFor..27..954A. doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00016.1 .
  5. "What is lake effect snow? It's impacting Utah, but what does that mean and how does it happen?". 2021.
  6. Carpenter, D. M. (1993). "The lake-effect of the Great Salt Lake: Overview and forecast problems". Weather and Forecasting . 8 (2): 181–193. Bibcode:1993WtFor...8..181C. doi: 10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0181:TLEOTG>2.0.CO;2 .
  7. Steenburgh, W. J (1999). "Lake Effect of the Great Salt Lake: Scientific Overview and Forecast Diagnostics". Archived from the original on April 25, 2007. Retrieved February 20, 2019.