Opinion polling for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run up to the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to September 30th, 2023.

Contents

Electoral polling

Graphical summary

A LOESS graph displaying the polls for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election. Slovak Elections 2023 Polls.svg
A LOESS graph displaying the polls for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election.

Voting intention estimates

Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.

Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties (lacking in this year's election). 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.

2023

Legend
  •    Exit poll
Polling firmDateSample
size		 OĽaNO and Friends Smer SR ĽSNS PS SASKA KDH MF Alliance Modrí, Most–Híd Democrats SNS Hlas REP Others
OĽaNO ZĽ SMK/MKP MKÖ–MKS Most–Híd Modrí DV Hlas
2023 elections 30 Sep 20232,967,8968.90%22.95%2.21%0.84%17.96%6.32%6.82%0.12%4.39%0.27%2.93%5.63%14.70%4.75%1.21%
Focus [1] 30 Sep 2023—8.0%21.9%––23.5%6.4%5.3%–4.3%–3.0%4.4%12.2%6.0%5.0%
Median [2] 30 Sep 202316,8059.5%19.1%3.3%–20.0%6.4%6.4%–4.2%–3.4%5.4%11.2%6.1%5.0%
28 Sep 2023 Election silence starting two days before election day
Median [3] 25–26 Sep 20231,0046.2%
0		19.8%
40		4.1%
0		–19.3%
39		7.4%
15		7.7%
16		–2.5%
0		2.1%
0		3.8%
0		4.8%
0		11.9%
24		8.0%
16		2.4%
Focus [4] 22–26 Sep 20231,0178.2%
15		18.0%
33		4.1%
0		1.7%
0		16.6%
30		5.8%
10		6.5%
12		0.6%
0		3.5%
0		0.7%
0		4.0%
0		6.4%
11		13.7%
25		7.7%
14		2.5% [lower-alpha 1]
AKO [5] 20–26 Sep 20231,0009.4%
16		17.7%
30		5.1%
8		0.3%
0		18.0%
30		7.3%
12		6.1%
10		0.6%
0		2.8%
0		1.0%
0		4.3%
0		6.0%
10		15.0%
25		5.4%
9		1.0% [lower-alpha 2]
Ipsos [6] 22–25 Sep 20231,0008.2%
14		20.6%
36		4.0%
0		1.6%
0		19.8%
34		7.0%
12		5.9%
10		0.1%
0		3.4%
0		0.6%
0		3.3%
0		5.7%
10		11.9%
21		7.6%
13		0.4%
SANEP [7] 17–25 Sep 20231,6976.0%
0		22.6%
41		5.5%
10		1.4%
0		16.1%
29		5.4%
10		5.1%
9		–3.3%
0		1.3%
0		3.4%
0		6.0%
11		15.3%
27		7.4%
13		0.7%
NMS [8] 21–24 Sep 20231,4119.5%19.4%5.2%1.8%19.7%5.7%5.4%0.3%3.1%1.1%2.3%5.4%10.5%8.5%2.1% [lower-alpha 3]
Polis Slovakia [9] 16–20 Sep 20231,1105.7%
0		24.4%
42		5.3%
9		1.9%
0		15.1%
26		6.4%
11		5.7%
9		0.6%
0		5.4%
9		1.2%
0		2.0%
0		5.8%
10		12.6%
22		6.8%
12		1.1% [lower-alpha 4]
Ipsos [10] 15–19 Sep 20231,0268.2%
15		20.3%
36		4.2%
0		2.6%
0		17.2%
31		6.1%
11		5.3%
9		0.6%
0		4.0%
0		0.9%
0		3.4%
0		5.6%
10		13.1%
23		8.6%
15		0.9%
SANEP [11] 10–15 Sep 20231,7826.0%
0		22.2%
43		5.9%
11		1.7%
0		15.7%
30		4.8%
0		5.6%
11		–2.8%
0		1.2%
0		3.1%
0		5.8%
11		15.2%
29		7.5%
15		2.5%
Focus [12] 6–13 Sep 20231,0016.3%
0		18.9%
37		4.9%
0		1.8%
0		16.5%
33		5.1%
10		6.2%
12		0.8%
0		3.6%
0		1.5%
0		3.7%
0		6.4%
13		14.6%
29		8.0%
16		1.7% [lower-alpha 5]
AKO [13] 5–11 Sep 20231,0007.0%
12		19.4%
32		5.3%
9		0.6%
0		18.2%
31		7.4%
12		6.0%
10		0.3%
0		2.9%
0		1.4%
0		3.5%
0		6.0%
10		15.1%
25		5.2%
9		1.7% [lower-alpha 6]
NMS [14] 5–9 Sep 20231,4106.1%22.0%5.8%1.0%18.1%4.2%4.7%0.4%3.2%0.9%3.8%7.3%11.4%8.3%2.8% [lower-alpha 7]
Polis Slovakia [15] 1–6 Sep 20231,0025.4%24.5%5.8%–14.6%6.8%5.4%–––1.2%6.0%12.8%7.6%9.9%
SANEP [16] 27 Aug–2 Sep 20231,6356.5%
0		21.4%
38		5.9%
11		2.0%
0		15.6%
28		6.1%
11		6.0%
11		–2.7%
0		1.2%
0		3.0%
0		5.5%
10		15.0%
26		8.4%
15		0.7%
Median [17] 25–31 Aug 20231,0027.1%
12		17.8%
30		8.2%
13		2.3%
0		17.8%
30		6.7%
11		7.3%
12		–––3.6%
0		5.3%
9		9.4%
16		10.2%
17		4.4%
Median [18] 21–24 Aug 20231,0056.2%
0		20.2%
37		5.8%
10		2.4%
0		17.6%
32		7.3%
13		6.7%
12		–––4.1%
0		5.3%
10		10.0%
18		10.0%
18		4.4%
Polis Slovakia [19] 11–16 Aug 20231,0095.6%
0		23.4%
41		5.3%
9		2.2%
0		14.2%
25		6.5%
11		5.2%
9		1.1%
0		5.3%
9		1.8%
0		2.3%
0		6.1%
11		12.9%
23		6.6%
12		1.5% [lower-alpha 8]
Focus [20] 9–16 Aug 20231,0096.4%
0		20.0%
37		5.1%
10		2.1%
0		15.0%
28		6.1%
11		6.1%
11		0.7%
0		3.4%
0		1.7%
0		3.1%
0		5.3%
10		14.2%
27		8.8%
16		2.0%
Ipsos [21] 10–14 Aug 20231,0037.7%
13		19.7%
34		5.5%
9		2.9%
0		16.9%
29		5.7%
10		6.2%
10		0.7%
0		3.6%
0		1.4%
0		2.9%
0		5.1%
9		13.3%
23		7.9%
13		0.5%
AKO [22] 7–14 Aug 20231,0007.2%
12		19.2%
32		5.7%
9		0.3%
0		17.8%
30		6.6%
11		6.2%
10		0.8%
0		2.5%
0		2.1%
0		2.9%
0		5.9%
10		15.0%
25		6.3%
11		1.4% [lower-alpha 9]
SANEP [23] 6–13 Aug 20231,7266.7%
0		22.0%
40		6.2%
11		1.8%
0		15.8%
28		6.0%
11		5.9%
11		–2.9%
0		1.2%
0		3.1%
0		5.4%
10		13.0%
24		8.1%
15		1.9%
NMS [24] 1–7 Aug 20231,4166.3%23.3%5.6%2.8%17.0%4.5%5.0%0.4%3.0%1.6%2.6%6.0%11.5%7.5%2.6% [lower-alpha 10]
Ipsos [25] 26 Jul–1 Aug 20231,0017.9%20.3%5.6%2.2%16.9%6.7%5.4%0.5%2.2%1.6%2.6%5.2%13.4%8.8%–
SANEP [26] 23–30 Jul 20231,6756.9%
0		20.9%
38		6.4%
12		1.4%
0		15.5%
28		6.1%
11		6.0%
11		–2.7%
0		1.1%
0		3.3%
0		5.2%
9		14.1%
25		8.8%
16		4.0%
AKO [27] 24–28 Jul 20231,0006.7%
0		19.9%
36		6.1%
11		1.2%
0		16.4%
30		6.6%
12		6.0%
11		0.9%
0		2.2%
0		1.5%
0		2.2%
0		5.8%
10		15.2%
28		6.7%
12		2.6% [lower-alpha 11]
Polis Slovakia [28] 22–27 Jul 20231,0346.2%
0		23.1%
44		4.5%
0		3.1%
0		13.6%
26		5.2%
10		5.5%
10		1.6%
0		5.4%
10		2.5%
0		3.0%
0		5.4%
10		12.5%
24		8.4%
16		–
Focus [29] 21–26 Jul 20231,0246.2%
0		18.1%
35		5.6%
11		2.3%
0		14.3%
27		5.2%
10		5.6%
11		1.2%
0		4.0%1.8%3.8%
0		5.1%
9		16.0%
31		8.7%
16		– [lower-alpha 12]
Median [30] 21–26 Jul 20231,0105.3%21.5%7.4%–17.1%6.5%6.2%–2.4%–3.4%4.2%12.1%9.7%4.2%
Ipsos [31] 17–21 Jul 20231,0057.1%19.4%6.4%2.6%15.9%5.0%5.9%0.8%3.5%1,8%2.1%5.0%14.9%8.6%1.1%
Median [32] 19–21 Jul 20231,0085.5%
0		20.1%
38		6.1%
12		2.3%
0		19.1%
36		6.1%
12		6.5%
12		––2.5%
0		4.2%
0		4.1%
0		11.1%
21		10.0%
19		2.4%
0
AKO [33] 10–17 Jul 20231,0007.2%
12		18.1%
31		6.2%
10		1.7%
0		15.4%
26		7.6%
13		5.9%
10		1.4%
0		1.7%
0		1.3%
0		2.2%
0		5.1%
9		16.5%
28		6.8%
11		–
SANEP [34] 9–16 Jul 20231,5428.5%
15		18.9%
32		6.4%
11		–13.8%
24		6.7%
11		6.0%
10		––––5.1%
7		15.5%
26		8.0%
14		–
NMS [35] 4–9 Jul 20231,4136.9%20.6%5.3%2.9%15.6%4.7%5.7%0.4%3.4%1.3%2.8%4.6%11.4%10.4%– [lower-alpha 13]
2 Jul 2023 OĽaNO, For the People and Christian Union form an electoral coalition
SANEP [36] 21–28 Jun 20231,6716.7%
13		–18.6%
34		6.8%
13		–13.4%
22		6.4%
13		6.2%
12		–––––16.5%
27		8.2%
16		–
Focus [37] 21–28 Jun 20231,0126.0%
10		0.7%
0		19.0%
33		6.1%
11		2.1%
0		13.5%
24		5.0%
9		6.0%
10		1.4%
0		3.9%
0		1.6%
0		3.6%
0		5.5%
9		16.3%
28		9.0%
16		–
Median [38] 15 May–20 Jun 20231,0367.1%
13		1.5%
0		18.0%
34		7.0%
13		3.0%
0		11.6%
22		6.6%
13		6.5%
12		–––4.7%
0		4.6%
0		14.1%
27		8.2%
16		7.1%
Ipsos [39] 12–16 Jun 20231,0016.4%
11		–18.9%
34		7.2%
13		–15.5%
28		7.2%
13		5.6%
10		–3.1%
0		–4.0%
0		4.3%
0		14.8%
26		8.3%
15		–
AKO [40] 6–9 June 20231,0007.1%
13		0.6%
0		19.0%
34		6.2%
11		1.0%
0		14.4%
25		7.8%
14		6.5%
11		2.1%
0		1.3%
0		1.3%
0		2.8%
0		4.7%
0		17.2%
30		7.0%
12		 [lower-alpha 14]
NMS [41] 2–8 Jun 20231,4466.3%1.8%19.6%6.8%3.1%15.2%4.7%6.0%0.8%3.4%1.1%1.8%3.9%14.1%9.4% [lower-alpha 15]
Focus [42] 24–31 May 20231,0125.3%
10		1.1%
0		18.0%
34		6.6%
12		2.5%
0		12.5%
23		5.3%
10		5.5%
10		1.1%
0		4.0%
0		1.5%
0		1.0%
0		3.2%
0		4.7%
0		17.4%
33		9.7%
18		0.6%
Ipsos [43] 16–19 May 20231,0047.0%2.2%16.9%7.5%1.8%13.3%6.1%5.2%0.7%3.8%1.5%3.4%3.8%15.6%9.0%2.1%
NMS [44] 3–17 May 20231,2337.3%1.0%21.3%5.9%1.7%14.2%6.2%5.5%0.7%2.6%0.9%2.7%3.1%14.0%8.7% [lower-alpha 16]
16 May 2023Part of Most–Híd leaves Alliance
AKO [45] 4–10 May 20231,0007.4%
13		1.9%
0		18.0%
32		5.6%
10		0.7%
0		14.3%
26		8.3%
15		6.6%
12		3.1%
0		1.1%
0		1.1%
0		3.4%
0		4.4%
0		16.5%
30		6.9%
12
Polis Slovakia [46] 29 Apr–6 May 20231,0116.6%
12		1.0%
0		24.2%
40		6.9%
12		2.4%
0		11.7%
20		6.5%
11		5.8%
10		0.6%
0		3.0%
0		–2.1%
0		4.9%
0		17.0%
30		7.2%
13		 [lower-alpha 17]
Median [47] 1 Apr–6 May 20231,9437.9%
15		1.8%
0		16.3%
30		9.2%
17		2.5%
0		11.6%
21		8.2%
15		6.8%
13		–2.5%
0		–4.0%
0		3.5%
0		–13.9%
26		7.0%
11		–
28 Apr 2023 Good Choice decided to run with Hlas
Focus [48] 19 Apr–26 Apr 20231,0135.6%
10		1.0%
0		17.7%
33		6.1%
11		2.7%
0		13.1%
25		5.2%
10		6.0%
11		1.7%
0		4.3%
0		–3.6%
0		4.0%
0		1.1%
0		17.0%
32		9.8%
18		–
Ipsos [49] 10 Apr–14 Apr 20231,0007.0%1.8%16.8%6.4%2.3%14.1%6.4%4.8%–2.4%–3.6%4.2%–16.2%8.8%–
AKO [50] 4 Apr–11 Apr 20231,0005.8%
10		1.8%
0		17.9%
33		7.1%
13		1.4%
0		14.1%
26		8.3%
15		6.4%
12		2.1%
0		2.1%
0		–4.1%
0		4.3%
0		0.5%
0		16.3%
29		6.6%
12		–
NMS [51] 28 Mar–2 Apr 20231,0185.2%2.0%22.4%5.7%1.9%12.8%5.1%6.3%1.3%3.0%0.8%3.0%2.4%–14.2%9.9% [lower-alpha 18]
Focus [52] 14–22 Mar 20231,0184.3%
0		1.2%
0		17.6%
33		7.7%
14		2.7%
0		12.1%
23		5.1%
10		5.8%
11		1.5%
0		4.7%
0		–5.0%
9		3.4%
0		1.4%
0		17.1%
32		9.6%
18
AKO [53] 12 Mar 20231,0005.0%1.6%17.6%6.8%1.2%15.1%8.1%6.7%2.2%1.9%–4.9%4.2%1.0%16.1%6.8%–
Ipsos [54] Mar 20231,0174.8%2.9%16.2%8.5%2.2%11.1%6.4%5.7%–3.8%–4.8%3.0%–16.0%8.6%–
7 Mar 2023 Modrá koalícia refounded as Democrats
Median [55] 1 Feb–5 Mar 20231,0768.5%2.2%19.5%7.4%3.1%11.4%9.2%6.3%–2.6%–4.2%–14.5%6.1%–
AKO [56] 7–13 Feb 20231,0007.3%
13		2.3%
0		16.3%
29		7.1%
13		1.5%
0		13.7%
24		7.9%
14		6.9%
12		2.8%
0		2.1%
0		1.3%
0		4.0%
0		–18.9%
33		6.6%
12		0.7% [lower-alpha 19]
Focus [57] 1–8 Feb 20231,0176.4%
12		1.0%
0		14.6%
27		7.7%
14		2.9%
0		11.0%
20		5.3%
10		6.9%
13		1.9%
0		4.5%
0		2.0%
0		3.6%
0		1.4%
0		20.8%
38		8.5%
16		1.5% [lower-alpha 20]
Median [58] 9 Jan–5 Feb 20231,0298.7%2.0%17.9%10.9%2.4%9.6%7.8%6.4%–4.0%1.8%2.0%1.8%15.6%4.5%–
Polis Slovakia [59] 28 Jan–1 Feb 20231,0027.2%
13		3.1%
0		21.0%
39		6.5%
12		2.3%
0		9.5%
17		5.2%
10		5.0%
10		0.6%
0		4.7%
0		1.0%
0		3.8%
0		3.5%
0		19.4%
36		7.1%
13		 [lower-alpha 21]
27 Jan 2023 SPOLU refounded as Modrá koalícia
21 Jan 2023 2023 Slovakian constitutional referendum
Ipsos [60] 18–20 Jan 20231,0108.1%2.0%13.6%8.0%3.2%12.6%6.9%6.5%–3.2%––2.9%–18.2%8.1%–
AKO [61] 10–16 Jan 20231,0008.7%
15		2.9%
0		15.9%
28		6.8%
12		1.9%
0		13.2%
24		9.1%
16		6.2%
11		1.9%
0		2.1%
0		–0.1%
0		4.1%
0		0.6%
0		17.6%
31		7.3%
13		1.6% [lower-alpha 22]
Median [62] 19–23 Dec 20221,0066.3%2.0%16.7%6.0%2.0%14.1%6.5%6.1%–2.7%––––19.1%9.6%–

2022

Polling firmDateSample size OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS SPOLU SaS ZĽ KDH MF ALI SNS DV HLAS-SD REP Others
M-H SMK-MKP Ö-S
Focus [63] 16–20 Dec 20221,1807.4%
14		16.6%
30		8.2%
15		3.1%
0		12.8%
23		1.0%
0		5.6%
10		2.2%
0		5.9%
11		1.1%
0		4.4%
0		3.4%
0		1.1%
0		19.0%
35		6.9%
12		1.3%
15 Dec 2022Heger Cabinet loses vote of no-confidence
Ako [64] 6–12 Dec 20221,0008.0%
14		16.1%
28		7.7%
13		1.7%
0		11.8%
21		0.2%
0		9.9%
17		1.7%
0		5.5%
10		1.3%
0		3.1%
0		4.0%
0		0.9%
0		20.2%
35		6.6%
12		1.4% [lower-alpha 23]
Focus [65] 30 Nov–7 Dec 20221,0077.0%
12		15.8%
27		7.3%
13		3.0%
0		10.3%
18		0.7%
0		7.7%
13		2.7%
0		6.0%
10		1.6%
0		5.1%
9		3.7%
0		1.1%
0		19.9%
34		7.9%
14		0.2% [lower-alpha 24]
Polis Slovakia [66] 25–30 Nov 20221,0586.1%20.0%5.5%2.1%8.8%–7.0%3.1%5.0%–4.8%3.6%2.9%20.1%7.2%3.8% [lower-alpha 25]
Ipsos [67] 22–28 Nov 20221,0238.0%15.6%7.0%2.9%10.4%–7.8%3.4%7.4%–3.8%2.6%–19.7%6.0%5.4%
AKO [68] 8–11 Nov 20221,0007.5%16.0%6.9%1.9%11.5%0.4%10.8%1.9%6.1%1.8%2.6%4.2%1.5%19.5%6.3%1.1%
Median [69] 25 Oct–8 Nov 20221,0113.9%14.2%5.8%3.9%9.8%–6.5%2.4%5.8%––––18.6%11.8%17.3%
Ipsos [70] 18–21 Oct 20221,0187.9%14.8%7.5%2.6%10.9%1.0%8.5%2.8%6.5%1.0%2.9%3.0%1.1%20.2%6.8%2.5%
Focus 21–27 Sep 20221,0097.2%
13		15.3%
28		7.0%
13		2.9%
0		9.6%
18		0.7%
0		8.2%
15		2.4%
0		6.2%
11		1.7%
0		4.6%
0		3.9%
0		1.5%
0		20.3%
38		7.8%
14
Ipsos [71] 14–20 Sep 20221,0187.8%15.5%7.5%2.7%11.6%–9.3%1.7%6.5%–2.1%2.8%–18.3%7.0%7.2%
AKO 8 Sep–14 Sep 202210007.9%
14		15.0%
27		7.6%
13		2.3%
0		10.0%
18		–12.9%
23		2.3%
0		6.2%
11		–2.7%
0		4.2%
0		1.0%
0		19.3%
35		5.2%
9		4.4%
Polis
Slovakia 		28 Aug–4 Sep 20221,0036.1%
11		19.1%
34		6.9%
12		3.4%
0		7.1%
13		0.2%
0		15.6%
28		–5.1%
9		–4.5%
0		3.4%
0		2.2%
0		17.0%
31		7.1%
13		2.3% [lower-alpha 26]
AKO [72] 15–18 Aug 20221,0008.4%14.9%6.6%2.1%9.9%–13.1%2.1%6.9%–2.5%4.1%1.2%19.2%5.3%3.7%
Ipsos [73] 29 Jul–8 Aug 20221,0387.8%15.5%6.4%2.9%11.4%–12.2%3.0%6.3%–2.1%2.3%–17.2%7.3%5.6%
AKO 7–14 Jul 20221,0009.2%
16		14.6%
25		6.0%
10		1.5%
0		9.8%
17		–14.7%
26		2.2%
0		7.2%
12		1.8%
0		1.1%
0		4.1%
0		1.5%
0		20.0%
35		5.4%
9		8.3%
6 Jul 2022 SaS terminates its coalition agreement with the other government parties.
Focus 20–27 Jun 20221,0057.1%
13		14.4%
26		7.6%
14		3.3%
0		9.1%
17		1.0%
0		9.6%
18		2.1%
0		6.7%
12		1.8%
0		4.1%
0		4.0%
0		1.2%
0		20.5%
38		6.8%
12		8.7% [lower-alpha 27]
AKO 7–10 Jun 20221,0008.5%
15		14.8%
26		5.7%
10		1.8%
0		9.9%
17		–14.3%
25		2.2%
0		7.3%
13		1.9%
0		1.9%
0		4.2%
0		–20.2%
35		5.2%
9		8.2%
Focus 25–31 May 20221,0088.1%
15		14.9%
27		5.6%
10		2.8%
0		9.1%
17		1.1%
0		11.1%
20		3.1%
0		6.5%
12		1.1%
0		3.7%
0		3.7%
0		1.4%
0		20.3%
37		6.8%
12		8.0%
AKO 10–16 May 20221,00010.7%
18		13.5%
24		6.1%
10		1.1%
0		9.7%
17		–14.3%
25		2.1%
0		7.7%
13		2.0%
0		2.4%
0		4.0%
0		1.5%
0		18.2%
32		6.2%
11		8.0% [lower-alpha 28]
Polis
Slovakia 		18–23 Apr 20221,0037.8%
13		17.9%
31		7.2%
12		3.1%
0		5.7%
10		0.5%
0		13.2%
23		1.0%
0		5.3%
9		–6.1%
11		3.1%
0		2.8%
0		17.9%
31		6.0%
10		8.8% [lower-alpha 29]
AKO 5–11 Apr 20221,0008.9%
16		14.5%
26		6.6%
12		3.0%
0		8.7%
15		0.6%
0		14.0%
25		2.0%
0		6.5%
11		2.1%
0		2.6%
0		3.9%
0		0.9%
0		18.9%
34		6.2%
11		8.1% [lower-alpha 30]
Focus 30 Mar–6 Apr 20221,0078.1%
15		15.1%
28		7.5%
14		4.5%
0		7.3%
14		0.6%
0		10.3%
19		2.5%
0		6.3%
12		1.6%
0		4.4%
0		3.6%
0		1.9%
0		19.0%6.9%
13		8.1%
Median 1–3 Mar 20221,00010.7%14.1%6.7%2.3%11.0%1.6%13.2%2.8%6.8%–2.9%1.1%2.0%14.1%7.0%8.4%
Focus 22 Feb–1 Mar 20221,0037.8%
14		15.6%
29		6.3%
12		3.8%
0		8.1%
15		–12.0%
22		2.7%
0		6.0%
11		–4.6%
0		3.8%
0		1.1%
0		18.5%
34		7.0%
13		7.6%
AKO 8–14 Feb 20221,0008.0%
14		14.5%
26		6.9%
12		2.5%
0		8.7%
16		1.2%
0		14.2%
22		2.3%
0		7.2%
13		0.3%
0		4.1%
0		3.8%
0		1.2%
0		17.5%
31		6.9%
12		7.2% [lower-alpha 31]
Median 27 Jan–1 Feb 20221,0069.5%15.6%5.7%4.1%10.6%0.9%13.5%2.5%5.0%–3.4%3.3%–13.5%5.6%11.0%
Focus 19–26 Jan 20221,0178.0%
14		16.3%
30		6.1%
11		4.3%
0		8.3%
15		0.7%
0		11.1%
21		3.0%
0		5.8%
11		–4.4%
0		3.9%
0		17.8%
33		7.8%
14		7.1%

2020–2021

Polling firmDateSample size OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS-SPOLU SaS ZĽ KDH ALI SNS DV HLAS-SD REP Others
PS SPOLU MKÖ-MKS M-H
MF SMK-MKP Ö-S
AKO 10–17 Jan 20221,0009.3%
17		13.8%
25		6.5%
12		2.9%
0		8.5%
15		0.8%
0		14.2%
25		2.2%
0		6.0%
11		0.5%
0		4.0%
0		3.6%
0		2.0%
0		18.0%
33		6.2%
11		8.4% [lower-alpha 32]
AKO 7–12 Dec 20211,0009.0%
16		13.7%
25		6.5%
12		3.4%
0		8.6%
15		–13.9%
25		2.4%
0		6.0%
11		–3.7%
0		3.6%
0		2.2%
0		19.0%
35		5.9%
11		7.9%
Focus 16–23 Nov 20211,0057.9%
15		15.0%
28		6.1%
11		4.8%
0		7.7%
14		1.0%
0		11.5%
22		2.1%
0		6.1%
11		–4.4%
0		3.6%
0		2.1%
0		19.2%
36		6.8%
13		8.4%
AKO 8–16 Nov 20211,0009.7%
18		13.0%
24		6.8%
13		3.5%
0		8.7%
16		0.9%
0		13.6%
25		2.2%
0		5.4%
10		1.0%
0		4.2%
0		3.6%
0		2.3%
0		18.5%
34		5.6%
10		8.8%
Focus 20–27 Oct 20211,0098.4%
15		15.5%
27		6.3%
11		3.8%
0		6.9%
12		1.1%
0		12.2%
21		2.8%
0		6.1%
11		–5.2%
9		3.3%
0		2.2%
0		19.3%
34		5.5%
10		8.0%
Actly 17–20 Oct 20211,0066.8%
12		17.7%
32		9.4%
17		2.4%
0		5.9%
11		1.0%
0		10.5%
19		2.8%
0		5.9%
11		–3.9%
0		3.1%
0		2.0%
0		21.0%5.1%
9		8.6% [lower-alpha 33]
AKO 4–7 Oct 20211,0009.2%
17		13.8%
25		7.4%
13		2.3%
0		8.6%
16		1.2%
0		14.5%
26		2.1%
0		5.9%
11		0.5%
0		4.5%
0		3.6%
0		1.8%
0		18.2%
33		5.0%
9		8.5% [lower-alpha 34]
AKO 6–13 Sep 20211,0009.9%
18		13.9%
25		6.8%
12		2.7%
0		8.7%
15		0.8%
0		14.5%
26		1.7%
0		6.6%
12		1.1%
0		3.8%
0		3.5%
0		0.9%
0		18.8%
33		5.2%
9		7.4% [lower-alpha 35]
Focus 1–7 Sep 20211,0028.2%
14		14.4%
25		6.7%
12		4.6%
0		7.0%
12		–11.7%
21		2.2%
0		6.1%
11		–5.5%
10		––18.5%
33		6.8%
12		8.3%
Median 31 Aug–6 Sep 20211,01810.0%12.7%7.2%3.3%8.6%–12.3%3.9%4.8%–4.8%––16.3%5.4%10.7%
AKO 10–15 Aug 20211,0009.8%
19		11.3%
22		6.6%
13		3.9%
0		8.9%
17		1.2%
0		14.7%
29		3.0%
0		6.3%
12		0.5%
0		3.3%
0		3.5%
0		1.5%
0		19.5%
38		4.5%
0		8.2% [lower-alpha 36]
AKO 6–12 Jul 20211,0008.8%10.9%7.8%3.5%8.4%1.9%13.8%3.1%6.2%0.7%4.3%3.4%1.9%20.8%3.8%
7 Jul 2021The Constitutional Court judges the opposition's snap election referendum unconstitutional
AKO 7–11 Jun 20211,0009.0%10.6%7.8%3.0%8.3%1.6%13.9%3.6%5.3%1.4%5.2%3.1%2.5%21.0%2.8%
Focus 2–9 Jun 20211,0118.2%12.0%7.6%4.8%6.3%1.5%12.8%3.4%5.8%0.5%5.7%3.2%1.3%21.6%4.6%
Focus 11–19 May 20211,0088.8%11.8%7.2%4.9%6.1%1.3%12.3%3.5%5.7%0.9%4.8%3.4%1.4%22.4%4.5%
AKO 13–17 May 20211,0009.9%9.6%7.4%2.1%8.5%1.6%13.8%4.0%5.0%0.6%5.31.6%3.0%22.5%3.5%
AKO [74] 12–17 Apr 20211,00010.0%9.2%7.4%2.9%8.3%0.9%13.8%4.3%4.5%0.5%4.2%3.3%3.1%23.9%3.1%
Focus [75] 31 Mar–7 Apr 20211,0019.2%10.9%7.4%4.3%6.2%0.8%11.2%4.8%5.7%0.5%5.0%3.4%1.8%22.3%4.7%
1 Apr 2021Appointment of the Heger's Cabinet following the agreement of the original government partners
3–28 Mar 2021 Government crisis following government SaS and ZĽ's call for the resignation of the Prime Minister Igor Matovič
AKO [76] 8–12 Mar 20211,00013.1%8.7%5.9%4.3%8.0%0.3%14.3%4.3%5.2%0.2%1.1%0.2%0.8%3.0%2.8%24.9%—
Focus [77] 17–24 Feb 20211.01810.4%9.2%5.2%6.6%6.7%0.6%12.9%5.2%4.9%0.4%3.5%1.3%2.1%2.8%1.9%23.0%—
AKO [78] 8–11 Feb 20211,00013.8%8.5%5.1%3.8%7.2%0.7%15.1%5.4%4.9%0.7%2.0%0.8%0.8%2.3%1.6%25.0%—
Focus [79] 12–19 Jan 20211,00510.1%9.1%5.1%9.7%5.2%1.0%13.3%4.2%4.4%–3.3%0.6%2.0%2.8%2.1%24.3%—
AKO [80] 17–19 Dec 20201,00014.2%9.0%5.7%5.7%6.5%0.5%16.2%4.7%4.7%0.5%1.3%1.3%0.9%1.6%1.4%22.8%—
Focus [81] 8–14 Dec 20201,00011%9.8%5.4%8.2%6.0%0.4%15.8%4.4%4.9%–3.3%0.8%2.0%2.7%2.1%20.1%—
Focus [82] 18–25 Nov 20201,00414.0%9.5%6.1%9.6%5.9%1.0%12.1%4.1%5.1%–3.3%0.5%2.1%2.2%2.8%19.1%—
Focus [83] 7–15 Oct 20201,01415.1%10.5%7.3%9.8%5.4%0.3%10.7%4.8%5.2%–3.2%0.4%2.4%2.1%2.1%18.7%—
AKO [84] 1–9 Oct 20201,00015.3%8.3%8.8%8.5%6.2%1.8%13.4%4.2%3.0%0.3%2.4%0.2%1.9%2.4%2.8%18.8%—
Focus [85] 26 Aug–2 Sep 20201,02218.4%
35		10.9%
21		9.1%
17		8.5%
16		5.9%
11		0.6%
0		9.9%
19		3.9%
0		4.5%
0		–3.1%
0		0.7%
0		1.7%
0		3.0%
0		1.9%
0		16.2%
31		—
AKO [86] 7–17 Jul 20201,00023.5%
44		10.7%
20		6.4%
12		7.9%
15		5.2%
10		2.2%
0		9.4%
18		4.0%
0		3.0%
0		–2.5%
0		–1.0%
0		1.4%
0		2.6%
0		16.7%
31		—
Focus [87] 17–24 Jun 20201,00921.2%
41		19.0%
37		12.8%
25		9.6%
18		6.2%
12		0.8%
0		9.2%
17		3.6%
0		4.6%
0		0.3%
0		3.7%
0		0.5%
0		1.5%
0		2.1%
0		2.4%
0		——
Focus [88] 14–21 May 20201,01122.9%
43		21.6%
41		11.2%
21		9.7%
18		6.5%
12		0.2%
0		8.0%
15		4.3%
0		4.8%
0		–4.2%
0		–1.5%
0		1.4%
0		2.0%
0		——
Focus [89] 15–19 Apr 20201,01624.4%
45		21.8%
40		11.5%
21		9.2%
17		7.6%
14		6.8%
13		3.2%
0		4.5%
0		–2.8%
0		–1.8%
0		1.6%
0		1.1%
0		——
AKO [90] 14–17 Apr 20201,00029.9%
56		18.3%
34		10.0%
18		6.4%
12		6.9%
12		0.9%
0		9.7%
18		3.0%
0		3.7%
0		4.4%
0		0.6%
0		2.2%
0		2.2%
0		——
21 Mar 2020 Matovič's Cabinet appointed, following an agreement between OĽaNO, SR, SaS and ZĽ
Focus [89] 18–21 Mar 20201,02323.3%21.6%11.5%7.3%5.9%5.8%5.2%4.1%3.5%1.3%3.4%2.4%——
2020 elections 29 February 202025.0%
53		18.3%
38		8.2%
17		8.0%
17		7.0%
0		6.2%
13		5.8%
12		4.7%
0		3.9%
0		2.1%
0		3.2%
0		3.1%
0		——
Others
OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS SPOLU SaS ZĽ KDH MF SMK-MKP Ö-S M-H SNS DV
HLAS-SD 		REP
MKÖ-MKS
PS-SPOLU ALI

Leadership polling

Confidence rating

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size
Matovič
OĽaNO		Fico
SMER–SSD		Kollár
SR		Kotleba
ĽSNS		Bihariová
PS		Sulík
SaS		Remišová
ZĽ		Majerský
KDH		Forró
ALI		Pellegrini
HLAS–SD		Uhrík
REP
22 Feb–1 Mar 2022Focus1,00311%26%24%14%16%27%17%19%8%39%21%

Notes

  1. ↑ KSS 0.6%, SDKÚ-DS 0.4%, SRDCE 0.4%, Karma 0.3%, PRINCÍP 0.3%, Pirates 0.2%, My Slovensko 0.2%, Spravodlivosť 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%
  2. ↑ KSS 0.3%, My Slovensko 0.3%, Spravodlivosť 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%
  3. ↑ KSS 0.4%, SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.4%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.3%, Pirates 0.3%, Karma 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%, MySlovensko 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, SDKÚ–DS 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%
  4. ↑ KSS 1.1%
  5. ↑ Pirates 0.5%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, KSS 0.3%, Karma 0.2%, My Slovensko 0.2%, SRDCE 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.0%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%, Spravodlivosť 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%
  6. ↑ KSS 0.3%, Spravodlivosť 0.3%, My Slovensko 0.3%, SRDCE 0.3%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, Pirates 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%, Karma 0.0%
  7. ↑ SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.7%, KSS 0.4%, MySlovensko 0.3%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.2%, Vlastenecký blok 0.2%, Karma 0.2%, Pirates 0.2%, SDKÚ–DS 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, SRDCE 0.1%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%
  8. ↑ KSS 0.7%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.5%, Pirates 0.3%
  9. ↑ Spravodlivosť 0.4%, SDKÚ-DS 0.4%, KSS 0.4%
  10. ↑ SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.6%, KSS 0.5%, MySlovensko 0.3%, SDKÚ–DS 0.2%, Karma 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, PRINCÍP 0.2%, SRDCE 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.1%, Pirates 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%
  11. ↑ SRDCE 0.9%, Spravodlivosť 0.4%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.4%, Pirates 0.3%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.1%, KSS 0.1%, My Slovensko 0.1%, Princíp 0.0%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Karma 0.0%
  12. ↑ Pirates 1.2%
  13. ↑ SDKÚ–DS 0.7%, SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.4%, Karma 0.4%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.3%, Pirates 0.2%, MySlovensko 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%
  14. ↑ Christian Union 0.3%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, National Coalition / Independent Candidates 0.2%, Práca slovenského národa 0.2%
  15. ↑ Jablko 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Socialisti.sk 0.2%
  16. ↑ NK/NEKA 1.5%, Jablko 0.9%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.5%, Socialisti.sk 0.4%, Life – National Party 0.2%
  17. ↑ Socialisti.sk 0.1%
  18. ↑ NK/NEKA 1.9%
  19. ↑ National Coalition 0.5%
  20. ↑ Slovak PATRIOT 0.6%, National Coalition 0.4%, Christian Union 0.2%, Domov – národná strana 0.2%, Jablko 0.1%
  21. ↑ Life – National Party 1.3%, National Coalition 0.6%, Socialisti.sk 0.4%, Homeland 0.2%
  22. ↑ National Coalition 0.6%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.4%, Socialisti.sk 0.3%, Democratic Party (Slovakia, 2006)  [ sk ] 0.1%, Life – National Party 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.1%
  23. ↑ National Coalition 0.8%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.2%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.2%
  24. ↑ Communist Party of Slovakia 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.1%
  25. ↑ Life – National Party 2.8%, National Coalition 0.5%, Socialisti.sk 0.5%
  26. ↑ Life – National Party 2.2%
  27. ↑ Umiernení 1.2%
  28. ↑ Umiernení 1.5%
  29. ↑ Homeland 1.9%, Life – National Party 0.5%
  30. ↑ Green Party 0.2%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.2%, Civic Conservative Party 0.2%
  31. ↑ Umiernených 1.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.3%, Demokratická strana 0.2%, Life – National Party 0.2%
  32. ↑ Umiernených 2.0%, Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Naša vlasť 0.3%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Národná koalícia 0.2%
  33. ↑ Life – National Party 1.0%, Christian Union 1.0%
  34. ↑ Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.5%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.2%
  35. ↑ Life – National Party 0.5%, Demokratická strana 0.2%, MÁME TOHO DOSŤ 0.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.1%, Green Party 0.1%
  36. ↑ Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Green Party 0.2%, STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.1%

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References

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