2006 California gubernatorial election

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2006 California gubernatorial election
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←  2003 (recall) November 7, 2006 2010  →
Turnout32.77% Decrease2.svg28.43pp
  A. Schwarzenegger (3x4a).jpg Phil Angelides FCIC (3x4a).jpg
Nominee Arnold Schwarzenegger Phil Angelides
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote4,850,1573,376,732
Percentage55.88%38.91%
2006 California gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Schwarzenegger:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Angelides:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election

Arnold Schwarzenegger
Republican

Elected Governor

Arnold Schwarzenegger
Republican

The 2006 California gubernatorial election occurred on November 7, 2006. The primary elections took place on June 6, 2006. The incumbent Republican Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, won re-election for his first and only full term. His main opponent was California State Treasurer Phil Angelides, the California Democratic Party nominee. Peter Camejo was the California Green Party nominee, Janice Jordan was the Peace and Freedom Party nominee, Art Olivier was the California Libertarian Party nominee, and Edward C. Noonan was the California American Independent Party nominee.

Contents

Under the state constitution, the Governor serves a four-year term, with a maximum or minimum term limit of two four-year terms for life, regardless of whether or not they are consecutive or nonconsecutive. Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected in a 2003 recall election and served out the remainder of predecessor Gray Davis's term ending in 2007; Schwarzenegger was therefore eligible to serve until 2011. [1] As of 2024, this along with the concurrent Insurance Commissioner election was the last time Republicans won a statewide election in California and marked the last time a Republican was officially elected California Governor as well as the last election in which a California governor and lieutenant governor of opposite political parties were elected.

Exit polls showed Schwarzenegger won White people (63%–32%) and Asian-Americans (62%–37%), while Angelides won African-Americans (70%–27%) and Latinos (56%–39%).[ citation needed ]

Primary elections (June 6, 2006)

Bar graph of statewide results [2]

Results by county [3]

The period for candidate nominations closed on March 24, 2006.

Democratic

Candidates

The two front-runners for the Democratic nomination were Angelides and California State Controller Steve Westly. A pre-election poll had Westly leading Angelides by six percentage points. [4] The Field Poll conducted on April 17, 2006, showed that both Democratic candidates had low recognition factors amongst the state's electorate, with only 45% having any opinion on Angelides and 40% for Westly. Of registered Democrats surveyed, 59% said they didn't know enough about Angelides to have any opinion about him, with 58% saying the same for Westly. [5] The Los Angeles Times reported that the race for the Democratic nomination was a virtual tie, with Angelides leading Westly by three percentage points (37%–34%), within the 3% margin of error. Unusually, 28% of Democratic voters were undecided, and both candidates tried to earn the undecided vote.

Angelides reported a recent increase in support for his campaign and gained union support as well as support from the "core" liberal constituency. The California Democratic Party endorsed him prior to the primary, despite most polls showing that Westly would fare much better against Schwarzenegger in the general election. [6] However, many registered Democrats believed that Westly had a greater chance of winning against incumbent governor Schwarzenegger and felt that he had a slightly "more positive" image. [7] In the end, Angelides won 47.9% of the vote to Westly's 43.4%. The turnout for the primary, was a record low 33.6%, [8] far below the 38% predicted by the Secretary of State, [9] with the turnout of valid ballots cast on election day at 28%. [10]

Polling

SourceDateWestlyAngelides
Survey USA June 5, 200636%44%
Survey USA June 2, 200637%41%
Field Poll June 2, 200635%34%
LA Times Poll May 27, 200634%37%
Survey USA May 25, 200632%44%
Public Policy Institute of California May 25, 200632%35%
Survey USA May 8, 200631%41%
LA Times Poll April 29, 200633%20%
Public Policy Institute of California April 27, 200626%20%
Field Poll April 17, 200637%26%
Public Policy Institute of California March 30, 200623%22%
Field Poll November 3, 200526%37%
Field Poll September 7, 200522%32%
Field Poll June 29, 200528%37%
Field Poll February 25, 200511%15%

Results

Democratic primary results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Angelides 40-50% 50-60% Westly 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 2006 California gubernatorial Democratic primary results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county
  Angelides
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Westly
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
California gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2006
CandidateVotes %
Phil Angelides 1,202,85148.00
Steve Westly 1,081,94043.18
Barbara Becnel 66,5502.66
Joe Brouillette42,0751.68
Michael Strimling35,1211.40
Frank A. Macaluso, Jr.30,8671.23
Vibert Greene25,4751.02
Jerald Robert Gerst21,0390.84
Total votes2,505,918 100.00

Republican

Candidates

Republican Schwarzenegger faced token opposition and won overwhelmingly in the primary held on June 6, 2006.

Results

California gubernatorial Republican primary, 2006
CandidateVotes %
Arnold Schwarzenegger 1,724,28189.99
Robert C. Newman II68,6603.58
Bill Chambers65,4873.42
Jeffrey R. Burns57,6523.01
Total votes1,916,080 100.00

Third parties

California gubernatorial primary, 2006 (Others)
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Peter Camejo 33,545 100.00
American Independent Edward C. Noonan 29,094 100.00
Libertarian Art Olivier 16,445 100.00
Peace and Freedom Janice Jordan 3,849 100.00

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Schwarzenegger's decision to call the 2005 special election, as well as his propositions dealing with teachers' and nurses' unions and other political missteps, brought his approval rating down to 39% by April 2006, [11] though he ended up solidly defeating his opponents. During his first two years, he came under fire from some conservatives for supporting several taxes on Californians, [12] and from some liberals for refusing to sign a bill allowing gay marriage, and his support for several controversial propositions in 2005. Later, Schwarzenegger's popularity with voters rebounded and he won reelection by a wide margin.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [15] Safe RNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics [16] Likely RNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateArnold
Schwarzenegger (R)		Phil
Angelides (D)		Peter
Camejo (G)		Art
Olivier (L)
Field Poll November 1, 200649%33%
Zogby/WSJ October 17, 200647%40%
Zogby/WSJ September 28, 200643%34%8%4%
Field Poll September 27, 200644%34%
Rasmussen September 12, 200647%39%
Zogby/WSJ September 11, 200640%35%6%4%
Rasmussen August 31, 200648%42%
Public Policy Institute of California August 30, 200645%32%
Survey USA August 28, 200652%38%
Zogby/WSJ August 28, 200645%40%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-08-03 at the Wayback Machine August 1, 200647%41%
Public Policy Institute of California July 26, 200643%30%
Field Poll July 25, 200645%37%
Zogby/WSJ July 24, 200642%44%
Rasmussen July 13, 200644%46%
Survey & Policy Institute July 6, 200644%37%
Zogby/WSJ June 21, 200645%45%
Field Poll June 2, 200646%39%
LA Times Poll May 28, 200645%46%
Public Policy Institute of California May 25, 200638%38%
Rasmussen May 23, 200645%45%
LA Times Poll April 29, 200643%43%
Rasmussen April 17, 200649%36%
Field Poll April 14, 200644%40%
Public Policy Institute of California March 30, 200641%29%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-04-27 at the Wayback Machine March 23, 200644%45%
Field Poll March 2, 200639%39%
Rasmussen February 13, 200640%41%
Rasmussen January 25, 200639%41%
Rasmussen Archived 2005-12-19 at the Wayback Machine December 16, 200540%44%
Field Poll November 3, 200541%47%
Field Poll August 29, 200540%43%
Field Poll June 13, 200542%46%
Field Poll February 25, 200552%35%
Hypothetical polling
Schwarzenegger v Westly
SourceDateSchwarzenegger (R)Westly (D)
Field Poll June 2, 200644%42%
LA Times Poll May 28, 200640%50%
Public Policy Institute of California May 25, 200636%36%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-05-24 at the Wayback Machine May 23, 200644%46%
LA Times Poll April 29, 200639%48%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-04-21 at the Wayback Machine April 17, 200648%40%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine April 14, 200643%43%
Public Policy Institute of California March 30, 200639%31%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-04-27 at the Wayback Machine March 23, 200644%45%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine March 2, 200637%41%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-02-23 at the Wayback Machine February 13, 200639%34%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine February 2, 200652%33%
Rasmussen January 25, 200639%40%
Rasmussen Archived 2005-12-19 at the Wayback Machine December 16, 200539%46%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine November 3, 200540%46%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine August 29, 200539%42%
Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine June 13, 200540%44%

Results

California gubernatorial election, 2006 [17] [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger (incumbent) 4,850,157 55.88
Democratic Phil Angelides 3,376,73238.91
Green Peter Camejo 205,9952.37
Libertarian Art Olivier 114,3291.32
Peace and Freedom Janice Jordan 69,9340.81
American Independent Edward Noonan 61,9010.71
Republican Robert Newman (write-in)2190.00
Independent James Harris (write-in)460.00
Independent Donald Etkes (write-in)430.00
Independent Elisha Shapiro (write-in)430.00
Independent Vibert Greene (write-in)180.00
Independent Dealphria Tarver (write-in)60.00
Invalid or blank votes219,6432.47
Total votes8,679,423 100.00
Turnout  32.77
Republican hold

Results by county

Results showed Schwarzenegger won 52 counties while Angelides won 6 (Schwarzenegger won an absolute majority in 48 counties and a plurality in 4 counties while Angelides won an absolute majority in 2 counties and a plurality in 4 counties). Schwarzenegger won large majorities in California's rural counties, the populous Southern California counties of San Diego, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura, as well as populous Sacramento, Fresno, and Kern counties in the Central Valley. The results were closely contested in Los Angeles County and in Bay Area suburban counties. Angelides won substantially only in Alameda and San Francisco counties. [17]

County Schwarzenegger Votes Angelides Votes Camejo VotesOthersVotes
Glenn 76.50%5,77518.82%1,4211.46%1103.22%243
Modoc 75.20%2,82919.22%7231.25%474.33%163
Tehama 74.66%13,44220.36%3,6661.21%2173.78%680
Placer 74.38%91,97221.61%26,7232.02%2,5011.99%2,456
Shasta 73.92%43,43621.16%12,4341.38%8083.55%2,085
Colusa 73.76%3,66522.22%1,1041.89%942.13%106
El Dorado 73.37%49,77121.43%14,5352.82%1,9112.39%1,620
Sutter 72.73%17,39322.95%5,4871.49%3572.83%676
Yuba 72.62%10,12221.33%2,9732.47%3443.58%499
Amador 72.09%10,75522.48%3,3542.61%3902.82%420
Kern 72.06%108,25323.64%35,5121.17%1,7523.13%4,705
Madera 71.12%21,41624.82%7,4731.17%3532.89%871
Tulare 70.72%48,60725.57%17,5711.17%8012.55%1,751
Sierra 70.60%1,13122.03%3533.87%623.50%56
Calaveras 70.44%12,69123.69%4,2682.72%4903.15%567
Tuolumne 70.18%14,83624.15%5,1052.69%5692.98%631
Orange 69.70%507,41325.46%185,3881.32%9,6463.51%25,584
Plumas 69.53%6,16024.76%2,1942.62%2323.09%274
Kings 68.47%15,68327.70%6,3440.96%2192.87%658
Mariposa 66.82%5,07426.14%1,9852.69%2044.35%330
Lassen 66.03%5,66527.42%2,3531.84%1584.71%404
Fresno 66.08%116,53430.39%53,6051.32%2,3242.21%3,900
Nevada 66.03%28,57027.35%11,8334.58%1,9822.04%883
Butte 65.82%45,59126.96%18,6724.20%2,9123.02%2,093
Siskiyou 65.64%10,91627.75%4,6152.30%3834.31%717
Riverside 65.49%251,96230.10%115,8031.12%4,3143.29%12,665
San Diego 65.49%509,05930.22%234,9381.76%13,6532.53%19,655
Stanislaus 64.91%67,42730.79%31,9811.53%1,5892.77%2,875
Trinity 64.61%3,81927.31%1,6144.11%2433.98%235
Inyo 64.39%4,18029.14%1,8922.03%1324.44%288
San Luis Obispo 63.56%61,84231.42%30,5682.38%2,3192.63%2,563
Merced 62.52%26,23133.43%14,0271.29%5432.76%1,158
Mono 61.83%2,31531.41%1,1762.67%1004.09%153
San Bernardino 61.63%212,20033.22%114,3881.27%4,3873.87%13,326
Ventura 61.03%134,86234.30%75,7901.51%3,3293.16%6,984
Sacramento 60.45%218,88934.16%123,6853.08%11,1702.31%8,351
San Joaquin 60.32%83,95235.83%49,8681.46%2,0262.39%3,322
Santa Barbara 60.01%73,67734.92%42,8802.56%3,1492.50%3,075
San Benito 57.08%8,20837.55%5,4002.33%3353.03%436
Lake 56.26%10,93036.19%7,0313.17%6154.39%853
Del Norte 54.85%3,63938.15%2,5312.00%1334.99%331
Napa 54.57%23,18738.84%16,5043.67%1,5592.91%1,238
Alpine 54.23%29540.07%2182.57%143.13%17
Yolo 53.39%29,07339.91%21,7334.78%2,6021.93%1,050
Monterey 53.33%46,88240.69%35,7693.01%2,6462.97%2,609
Solano 53.15%55,13041.94%43,5012.12%2,1942.80%2,901
Contra Costa 52.42%158,56542.50%128,5782.82%8,5292.26%6,841
Santa Clara 52.16%225,13242.87%185,0372.53%10,9322.45%10,554
Humboldt 48.22%23,28241.56%20,0706.71%3,2413.51%1,693
San Mateo 47.12%96,47847.42%97,0923.33%6,8222.14%4,372
Sonoma 47.03%81,60844.60%77,3924.98%8,6473.38%5,867
Imperial 46.73%10,36345.21%10,0243.18%7064.88%1,081
Los Angeles 46.06%907,91949.07%967,1491.88%37,0292.99%58,979
Marin 45.81%48,43947.70%50,4414.47%4,7242.02%2,139
Mendocino 45.41%14,00244.72%13,7906.06%1,8693.80%1,173
Santa Cruz 41.99%37,86648.36%43,6196.83%6,1562.83%2,548
Alameda 36.59%148,32256.54%229,2174.50%18,2362.37%9,603
San Francisco 29.75%72,72262.72%153,3355.39%13,1862.14%5,225

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

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  16. ↑ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  17. 1 2 "Governor" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 16, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008.
  18. ↑ "Registration and Participation" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 18, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008.

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