2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election

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Texas's 6th congressional district special election
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←  2020 May 1, 2021 (first round) [1]
July 27, 2021 (runoff)		 2022  →
Texas's 6th congressional district
Turnout16.05% (first round)
7.93% (runoff) [2]
  U.S. Representative, Jake Ellzey (cropped).jpg Ron and Susan Wright 2 (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Candidate Jake Ellzey Susan WrightJana Sanchez
Party Republican Republican Democratic
First round10,865
13.85%		15,077
19.21%		10,518
13.40%
Runoff 20,837
53.27%		18,279
46.73%		Eliminated
  Brian E. Harrison.jpg
Candidate Brian Harrison Shawn Lassiter John Anthony Castro
Party Republican Democratic Republican
First round8,485
10.81%		6,973
8.89%		4,321
5.51%
Runoff EliminatedEliminatedEliminated
 
CandidateTammy Allison Holloway
Party Democratic
First round4,240
5.40%
Runoff Eliminated
2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election runoff results map by county.svg
Ellzey:     20–30%     50–60%
Wright:      10–20%     20–30%     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Ron Wright
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jake Ellzey
Republican

The 2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election was held on May 1, 2021. The seat became vacant after incumbent Republican Ron Wright died on February 7 of COVID-19.

Contents

Ron Wright's widow, Susan Wright from Arlington, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump, [3] and Jake Ellzey (who lost the Republican primary for this seat to Ron Wright in 2018) of Waxahachie, who served as a member of the Texas House of Representatives starting on January 12, advanced to the runoff. [4] Ellzey finished ahead of Democrat Jana Lynne Sanchez of Fort Worth for the second place by just 354 votes. [5] [6] Sanchez conceded defeat to Ellzey the day after the election. [7] The district was a Republican hold due to two Republicans advancing to the runoff.

The special election was expected to be competitive, due to the district trending Democratic in recent years and its suburban nature. [8] A nonpartisan blanket primary took place, in which all candidates were listed on the same ballot. Since no candidate had received over 50 percent of the vote, the race proceeded to a runoff between the top two candidates in the first round, [9] resulting in two Republicans advancing to the runoff. [7] The runoff took place on July 27. [10] Ellzey won the runoff election, earning 53.3% to Wright's 46.7%. [11]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Phil Gray, property manager [15]

Independent

Declared

  • Adrian Mizher, banker [15]

Endorsements

Lydia Bean (D)
Organizations
Jake Ellzey (R)
Federal Officials
Sery Kim (R)
Federal Officials
Individuals
Shawn Lassiter (D)
Organizations
Dan Rodimer (R)
Federal Officials
Jana Sanchez (D)
Organizations
Michael Wood (R)
Federal Officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Susan Wright (R)
Executive Branch Officials
Federal Officials
State Legislators
Other Individuals
Organizations

Primary

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error
(D) Tammy Allison
(R) Michael Ballantine
(D) Lydia Bean
(R) John Castro
(D) Daryl Eddings
(R) Mike Egan
(R) Jake Ellzey
(L) Phil Gray
(R) Brian Harrison
(D) Matt Hinterlong
(R) Sery Kim
(D) Shawn Lassiter
(I) Adrian Mizher
(D) Patrick Moses
(R) Travis Rodermund
(R) Dan Rodimer
(D) Manuel Salazar
(D) Jana Sanchez
(R) Jennifer Sharon
(D) Brian Stephenson
(D) Chris Suprun
(R) Michael Wood
(R) Susan Wright
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [upper-alpha 1] April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%––9%–––13%–10%––10%2%––––16%––––22%2%14%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 11–16, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%–––8%–6%––4%–2%–1%–9%––––18%–45%
Victoria Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] March 9–12, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%––5%–––8%–––1%3%3%2%–––17%––––21%3%39%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [56] Lean RMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections [57] Lean RApril 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [58] Likely RApril 15, 2021

Results

Susan Wright came in first in the primary with 15,077 (19.2%) votes to Ellzey's 10,865 (13.8%) and Sanchez's 10,518 (13.4%). On Sunday, May 2, 2021, Sanchez conceded the race to Ellzey. Since no candidate received a majority, the top two candidates, Wright and Ellzey, proceeded to a runoff.

2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election [59]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Susan Wright 15,077 19.21
Republican Jake Ellzey 10,865 13.85
Democratic Jana Sanchez10,51813.40
Republican Brian Harrison 8,48510.81
Democratic Shawn Lassiter6,9738.89
Republican John Anthony Castro4,3215.51
Democratic Tammy Allison Holloway4,2405.40
Democratic Lydia Bean 2,9233.72
Republican Michael Wood2,5093.20
Republican Michael Ballantine2,2252.84
Republican Dan Rodimer 2,0882.66
Democratic Daryl J. Eddings Sr.1,6542.11
Republican Mike Egan1,5441.97
Democratic Patrick Moses1,1891.52
Democratic Manuel R. Salazar III1,1201.43
Republican Sery Kim8891.13
Republican Travis Rodermund4600.59
Independent Adrian Mizher3510.45
Democratic Brian K. Stephenson2710.35
Libertarian Phil Gray2650.34
Democratic Matthew Hinterlong2520.32
Republican Jennifer Garcia Sharon1500.19
Democratic Chris Suprun1020.13
Total votes78,471 100.00

Runoff

A runoff was held on July 27 between Susan Wright and Jake Ellzey. In the campaign prior to the runoff, Wright relied heavily on Trump's endorsement in order to further her candidacy, but was considered to have run a poor campaign. [60] The Club for Growth spent heavily in the runoff, buying US $1.2 million in advertisements that supported Wright and attacked Ellzey. [60] The heavily negative tone taken by the Club for Growth ads towards Ellzey frustrated many Republican officials, some of whom backed Ellzey in protest. [60] Ellzey's campaign also engaged in strategies that were suspected as being designed to appeal to Democrats, with him declaring himself a "champion of public education" in text messages to Democratic-leaning potential voters, as well as noting that Wright was endorsed by former president Donald Trump. [60] Defending Main Street, a Super PAC that was supporting Ellzey, targeted Democrats with advertisements, but Ellzey himself denied that he was specifically targeting Democrats, instead claiming that his statements were designed to be bipartisan. [60]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [61] Solid RJuly 9, 2021
Inside Elections [62] Solid RJune 18, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [63] Safe RJuly 21, 2021

Endorsements

Jake Ellzey (R)
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Representatives
Newspapers
Susan Wright (R)
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Other Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Susan
Wright (R)		Jake
Ellzey (R)		Undecided
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 4] July 19–21, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%44%34%12%
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 4] June 1–3, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%49%34%11%
Hypothetical polling
Susan Wright vs. Jana Sanchez
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Susan
Wright (R)		Jana
Sanchez (D)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [upper-alpha 1] April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%53%43%5%

Results

2021 Texas' 6th congressional district special election runoff [74]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jake Ellzey 20,837 53.27
Republican Susan Wright 18,27946.73
Total votes39,116 100.00
Republican hold

By county

County [2] Jake Ellzey
Republican 		Susan Wright
Republican 		MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Ellis 6,78456.68%5,18543.32%1,59913.36%11,969
Navarro 1,39843.87%1,78956.13%-391-12.27%3,187
Tarrant 12,65552.82%11,30547.18%1,3505.63%23,960
Totals20,83753.27%18,27946.73%2,5586.54%39,116

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Way to Lead, Way To Win, and Boot Texas Republicans
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Lydia Bean's campaign
  3. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Jana Sanchez's campaign
  4. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Wright's campaign

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References

  1. ↑ "Governor Abbott Sets Special Election Date For 6th Congressional District". Governor of Texas . February 23, 2021. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  2. 1 2 "Texas Election Night Results". results.texas-election.com. July 27, 2021.
  3. 1 2 3 Din, Benjamin (April 26, 2021). "Trump backs Susan Wright to replace her late husband in Texas' 6th District". Politico.
  4. ↑ "Texas Special Election Results: Sixth Congressional District". The New York Times. The New York Times. May 1, 2021. Retrieved May 1, 2021.
  5. ↑ "Recount laws in Texas". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  6. ↑ Ethan Cohen, Adam Levy and Clare Foran (May 2, 2021). "Susan Wright advances to runoff in Texas' 6th District special election with tight race for second spot". CNN. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  7. 1 2 Mutnick, Ally (May 2, 2021). "Dems get locked out of Texas special election". POLITICO. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  8. ↑ Zanona, Melanie (February 8, 2021). "GOP Rep. Ron Wright dies after Covid diagnosis". Politico . Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  9. 1 2 3 4 Dearman, Eleanor (February 8, 2021). "A special election will be held to fill Arlington Rep. Ron Wright's congressional seat". Fort Worth Star-Telegram . Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  10. ↑ Dearman, Eleanor (May 12, 2021). "July date is set for Texas congressional runoff for Ron Wright's U.S. House seat". Fort Worth Star-Telegram . Retrieved May 12, 2021.
  11. ↑ "Texas Special Runoff Election Results: Sixth Congressional District". The New York Times. July 27, 2021. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  12. ↑ "Crowded Field of Candidates Finalized for Texas' 6th Congressional District Special Election". The Texan. March 3, 2021.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Dearman, Eleanor (February 11, 2021). "'Refrain from speculating' on Ron Wright's congressional seat, Tarrant sheriff says". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Archived from the original on February 15, 2021. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  14. 1 2 3 4 Dearman, Eleanor (February 16, 2021). "She gained ground in Texas' 6th district in 2018. She's running for Congress again". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved February 16, 2021.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Svitek, Patrick (March 4, 2021). "23 candidates join the race to replace late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright". The Texas Tribune.
  16. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1502073". Federal Election Commission . Archived from the original on February 26, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  17. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (April 20, 2021). "State Rep. Jake Ellzey faces mounting opposition from his right in special election to replace Ron Wright in Congress". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  18. ↑ Cancryn, Adam (February 12, 2021). "Top Trump health aide mulls run for Congress". Politico. Retrieved February 13, 2021.
  19. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1502220". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved February 27, 2021.
  20. ↑ Lippman, Daniel (February 25, 2021). "Former Trump SBA official Sery Kim to launch Texas special election run". POLITICO. Retrieved February 27, 2021.
  21. ↑ "23's a Crowd: Candidates File to Replace U.S. Rep. Ron Wright". Texas Scorecard. March 4, 2021.
  22. 1 2 3 "Candidates beginning to emerge in race to replace U.S. Rep. Ron Wright of Arlington". Dallas News. February 24, 2021. Retrieved March 1, 2021.
  23. ↑ Zilbermints, Regina (March 1, 2021). "Anti-Trump Republican will seek Texas seat". The Hill.
  24. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (February 22, 2021). "Susan Wright, GOP activist and wife of late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, moving toward campaign to replace him". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  25. ↑ "Susan Wright, Widow of Congressman Ron Wright, Announces Run for Late Husband's Seat". The Texan. February 24, 2021.
  26. ↑ State Republican Executive Committee, The Republican Party of Texas , TexasGOP.org, Austin, Texas.
  27. ↑ Peterson, Kristina (July 27, 2021). "Texas Special Election Tests Trump's Influence in GOP". The Wall Street Journal . New York, New York . Retrieved July 27, 2021.
  28. ↑ Fearnow, Benjamin (February 22, 2021). "Katrina Pierson mulls House run, urges GOP to remove state lawmakers who certified Biden win". Newsweek . Retrieved February 24, 2021.
  29. ↑ Zilbermints, Regina (February 28, 2021). "Ex-Trump aide Pierson planning run for Congress". The Hill.
  30. ↑ Axelrod, Tal (March 2, 2021). "Ex-Trump aide Pierson won't run for Dallas-area House seat". The Hill. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  31. ↑ Patrick Svitek [@PatrickSvitek] (February 26, 2021). ".@MannyRamirez_TX , president of @FWPOA , says he won't run for #TX06:" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 Svitek, Patrick (February 25, 2021). "Race to replace late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright already crowded — with more candidates likely". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 26, 2021.
  33. ↑ "Form 1 for Shawn Lassiter for Congress". Federal Election Commission . Archived from the original on February 19, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  34. ↑ Suprun, Christopher (December 5, 2016). "Opinion - Why I Will Not Cast My Electoral Vote for Donald Trump". The New York Times.
  35. ↑ "Democrats view Texas congressional special election with a mix of optimism and caution after disappointing 2020". The Texas Tribune . March 23, 2021. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  36. 1 2 McFadden, Alyce (April 28, 2021). "Texas special election will test Trump's GOP legacy". OpenSecrets . Archived from the original on April 29, 2021. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  37. 1 2 "GOP candidate in Texas House race endorsed by fellow Korean American reps". The Hill. March 10, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  38. 1 2 Kelly, Caroline; Cole, Devan (April 2, 2021). "Republican congresswomen revoke endorsements of Texas GOP candidate after 'hurtful and untrue' comments about Chinese immigrants". CNN.
  39. ↑ "SERY KIM RECEIVES ENDORSEMENTS FROM TWO DISTINGUISHED LEADERS" (PDF). SeryforTexas. March 14, 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 7, 2021. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  40. ↑ "Sery Kim Backed by Trump Appointed Former ICE Director". Texas Politics. March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  41. ↑ @PatrickSvitek (April 6, 2021). "New: @314action endorses Dem @ShawnLassiterTX, a former science teacher, in the #TX06 special election" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  42. ↑ Paul Gosar [@RepGosar] (March 26, 2021). "Let's put an end to all the BULL coming out of DC and get BIG DAN to Washington! @DanRodimer" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  43. ↑ "Hispanic Caucus joins race to flip GOP district in Texas special election". The Texas Signal. April 7, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  44. ↑ Adam Kinzinger [@AdamKinzinger] (March 12, 2021). "If you're looking for someone who is running on a platform of #restoreourgop and a focus on optimism, service, and professional debates worthy of our American calling, take a gander at @michaelwoodtx" (Tweet). Retrieved March 12, 2021– via Twitter.
  45. ↑ Alexandra Hutzler (April 5, 2021). "Anti-Trump Republican Michael Wood Endorsed for House Seat by Texas' Biggest Newspaper". Newsweek .
  46. ↑ The Republican Accountability Project [@accountablegop] (April 15, 2021). "RAP endorses @michaelwoodtx for Texas' 6th Congressional District. https://t.co/z7tHoMrMYw" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  47. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Daniel Friend (March 3, 2021). "Crowded Field of Candidates Finalized for Texas' 6th Congressional District Special Election". The Texan.
  48. 1 2 Susan Wright [@SusanWrightTX6] (March 18, 2021). "I am absolutely honored to be endorsed by a courageous conservative leader like Congressman Andy Biggs" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  49. 1 2 Patrick Svitek (February 22, 2021). "Susan Wright, GOP activist and wife of late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, moving toward campaign to replace him". The Texas Tribune.
  50. 1 2 3 4 "Granger, Price Endorse Wright and Other News for March 8". TXElects. March 8, 2021.
  51. 1 2 Troy Nehls [@SheriffTNehls] (March 16, 2021). "Proud to support Susan Wright for Congress" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  52. 1 2 Brooks, Emily (March 7, 2021). "COVID made them widows. Now, two women seek husbands' House seats". Washington Examiner. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
  53. 1 2 Elise Stefanik [@EliseStefanik] (March 26, 2021). "This will be a critical race, which is why @SusanWrightTX6, a proven warrior for our conservative values, has my full endorsement in #TX06. E-PAC has pledged to raise over $30,000 for Susan's campaign. Help us hit our goal by donating below!" (Tweet). Retrieved March 27, 2021– via Twitter.
  54. 1 2 "Opinion: Texas Republicans must reject Sery Kim for her anti-Chinese rant". The Washington Post . April 6, 2021.
  55. 1 2 "Endorsement: Susan Wright For Congress (TX-6)". NYYRC.com. March 10, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  56. ↑ Dave Wasserman (March 19, 2021). "Race to Replace Wright in TX-06 Heats Up" . Retrieved December 7, 2021.
  57. ↑ "2022 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. April 23, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  58. ↑ Kondik, Kyle (April 15, 2021). "The Mini-Midterms: Five Takeaways from Six Decades of House Special Elections". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 15, 2021.
  59. ↑ "2021 Special Election Congressional District 6". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2021.
  60. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Svitek, Patrick (July 29, 2021). "How Republican Jake Ellzey's bipartisan appeal, positive campaign helped him upset Trump's pick for Congress". Texas Tribune. Retrieved July 31, 2021.
  61. ↑ Dave Wasserman (July 9, 2021). "TX-06 Runoff: Can a Fighter Pilot Overcome a Trump Endorsement?" . Retrieved December 7, 2021.
  62. ↑ "2022 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. June 18, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  63. ↑ Kondik, Kyle (July 21, 2021). "Notes on the State of Politics: July 21, 2021" . Retrieved August 1, 2021.
  64. ↑ "Joe Barton backs Jake Ellzey over Susan Wright in Congressional District 6 runoff for his old seat". Dallas Morning News . July 19, 2021. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
  65. ↑ "Our recommendation for US House District 6 runoff". Dallas Morning News . July 18, 2021. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
  66. ↑ "It's Republican vs. Republican in this runoff for Congress. Here's our recommendation" . Fort Worth Star-Telegram . July 20, 2021. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
  67. ↑ Dearman, Eleanor (June 14, 2021). "Senator Ted Cruz endorses Susan Wright for North Texas congressional seat". Fort Worth Star-Telegram . Retrieved July 18, 2021.
  68. ↑ "CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC ENDORSES SUSAN WRIGHT (TX-06)". clubforgrowth.org. April 28, 2021. Retrieved July 18, 2021.
  69. ↑ "Susan Wright (TX – 06)". Archived from the original on April 17, 2021. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  70. ↑ "TXGOP Condemns Slanderous Voicemail About Congressional Candidate Susan Wright". Republican Party of Texas. April 30, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
  71. ↑ "PRO-LIFE WOMEN UPDATE: Susan Wright Advances in TX-06 Special Election". sba-list.org. May 1, 2021. Retrieved July 18, 2021.
  72. ↑ Texas Federation of College Republicans [@txfcr] (March 2, 2021). "The TXFCR Board is excited to announce that TXFCR wholeheartedly endorses @SusanWrightTX6 in her bid for Congress. We believe Susan will be a great congresswoman and will continue the great work of her husband. https://t.co/jOJiVemYuL" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  73. ↑ "Susan Wright TX-06". Archived from the original on April 17, 2021. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  74. ↑ "Texas Election Results" . Retrieved July 27, 2021.
Official websites of candidates
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