2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Flag of New Mexico.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election30
Seats won21
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 1Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote495,781407,786
Percentage54.86%45.12%
SwingDecrease2.svg 3.39%Increase2.svg 6.92%

2020 U.S. House elections in New Mexico.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

As a result of Herrell and Leger Fernandez's wins, the election resulted in all three members of New Mexico's house delegation being women of color, the second US state (after Hawaii) to do so. [1] New Mexico is also the first state to have a majority of its house representatives be Native Americans. [lower-alpha 1] However, a few months later, Deb Haaland was appointed Secretary of the Interior, resulting in a special election held on June 1, 2021. As a result of Haaland's resignation and the special election, New Mexico ceased to have an all-women of color and majority Native American House delegation.

Overview

Popular vote
Democratic
54.86%
Republican
45.12%
Other
0.01%
House seats
Democratic
66.67%
Republican
33.33%

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district: [3]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 186,95358.19%134,33741.81%00.00%321,290100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 122,54645.40%142,28352.71%1170.04%264,946100.0%Republican gain
District 3 186,28258.68%131,16641.32%00.00%317,448100.0%Democratic hold
Total495,78154.86%407,78645.12%1170.01%903,684100.0%

District 1

2020 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
Flag of New Mexico.svg
  2018
  Deb Haaland, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Deb Haaland Michelle Garcia Holmes
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote186,953134,337
Percentage58.2%41.8%

NM-1 Counties.svg
County results
Holmes:     50-60%     60–70%
Haaland:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Deb Haaland
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Deb Haaland
Democratic

The 1st district is centered around Albuquerque, taking in most of Bernalillo County, Torrance County, and parts of Sandoval County, Santa Fe County and Valencia County. The incumbent was Democrat Deb Haaland, who was elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2018. [4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Deb Haaland (incumbent) 83,032 100.0
Total votes83,032 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Brett Kokinadis, founder of New Mexico Democrats for Democracy [8]
  • Jared Vanderdussen, attorney [9]

Results

Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes 23,783 48.1
Republican Jared Vanderdussen19,84740.2
Republican Brett Kokinadis5,79811.7
Total votes49,428 100.0

General election

Debate

2020 New Mexico's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Deb Haaland Michelle Garica Holmes
1Oct. 11, 2020 KOAT-TV
The Albuquerque Journal
Doug Fernandez
Shelby Cashman
Kent Walz
YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [11] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [13] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [14] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [15] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [16] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Deb
Haaland (D)
Michelle Garcia
Holmes (R)
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020430 (LV)±  4.7%58%37%6%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020404 (LV)±  4.9%58%31%11%

Results

New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2020 [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Deb Haaland (incumbent) 186,953 58.2
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes134,33741.8
Total votes321,290 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2020 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of New Mexico.svg
  2018
2022  
  Yvette Herrell official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg Xochitl Torres Small, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Candidate Yvette Herrell Xochitl Torres Small
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote142,283122,546
Percentage53.7%46.3%

NM-2 Counties.svg
County results
Herrell:     50-60%     60–70%     70–80%
Torres Small:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Xochitl Torres Small
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Yvette Herrell
Republican

The 2nd district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Roswell, and the southern part of Albuquerque. The incumbent was Democrat Xochitl Torres Small, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018. [4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) 48,095 100.0
Total votes48,095 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Claire
Chase
Gavin
Clarkson
Yvette
Herrell
Chris
Mathys
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 1] December 2–3, 2019450 (LV)± 4.7%13%43%12%
The Strategy Group Company (R) [upper-alpha 1] January 23–27, 2019537 (LV)4%7%50%2%37%

Results

Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Yvette Herrell 26,968 44.7
Republican Claire Chase19,01731.5
Republican Chris Mathys14,37823.8
Total votes60,363 100.0

General election

Debates

2020 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Xochitl Torres Small Yvette Herrell
2Sep. 27, 2020 KOAT-TV
The Albuquerque Journal
Doug Fernandez
Shelly Ribando
Kent Walz
YouTube PP
2Oct. 9, 2020 KOB (TV) Tessa Mentus
Chris Ramirez
YouTube PP
3Oct. 11, 2020 KNME-TV Gene Grant YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] TossupJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [11] TossupOctober 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [13] TossupApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [14] TossupJune 3, 2020
RCP [15] TossupJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [16] Lean DJune 7, 2020

Endorsements

Xochitl Torres Small (D)
Federal officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Yvette Herrell (R)
Executive Officials
Federal officials
Organizations
Individuals
Claire Chase (R)
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Xochitl
Torres Small (D)
Yvette
Herrell (R)
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020403 (LV)±  4.9%46%48%5%
Strategies 360 (D) [upper-alpha 2] October 16–20, 2020406 (LV)±  4.9%47%46%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 3] September 26–29, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%47%48%5%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020418 (LV)±  4.8%47%45%9%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 3] July 7–9, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%46%46%8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 4] December 18–19, 2019400 (LV)±  4.9%46%48%
The Strategy Group Company (R) [upper-alpha 1] January 23–27, 20191,070 (LV)38%51%11%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Strategies 360/Xochitl Torres Small [upper-alpha 2] October 16–20, 2020406 (LV)±  4.9%45%50%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 3] September 26–29, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%45%49%

Results

New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Yvette Herrell 142,283 53.7
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent)122,54646.3
Independent Steve Jones (write-in)1170.0
Total votes264,946 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 3

2020 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of New Mexico.svg
  2018
2022  
  Teresa Leger Fernandez 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Teresa Leger Fernandez Alexis Martinez Johnson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote186,282131,166
Percentage58.7%41.3%

2020 NM-3 Counties.svg
County results
Martinez Johnson:     50-60%     60–70%     70–80%
Leger Fernandez:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Ben Ray Luján
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Teresa Leger Fernandez
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses all of northern New Mexico, including the city of Santa Fe, and includes most of the Navajo Nation and Puebloans within New Mexico. The incumbent was Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2018, [4] and announced on April 1, 2019 that he would seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in 2020. [44] Luján won the primary, and ultimately the general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Valerie Plame
Organizations
Marco Serna
State and local politicians

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Teresa
Fernandez
Valerie
Plame
Joseph
Sanchez
Marco
Serna
OtherUndecided
Clarity Campaign Labs [upper-alpha 5] May 20–21, 2020661 (LV)± 3.76%33%24%7%9%9% [lower-alpha 3]
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research [lower-alpha 4] February 11–16, 2020500 (LV)11%21%7%

Pre-primary convention results

Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the pre-primary convention on March 7, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 2 primary. [76]

CandidateDelegates
Vote%
John Blair194.5%
Teresa Leger Fernandez17841.9%
Laura Montoya8720.5%
Valerie Plame225.2%
Joseph Sanchez5212.2%
Marco Serna5713.4%
Kyle Tisdel102.4%
Total425100.0%

Results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez 44,480 42.8
Democratic Valerie Plame 25,77524.8
Democratic Joseph L. Sanchez 12,29211.8
Democratic Marco Serna8,2928.0
Democratic Laura M. Montoya6,3806.1
Democratic John Blair4,5334.4
Democratic Kyle Tisdel2,1762.1
Total votes103,928 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Alexis Johnson, environmental engineer and rancher [77]
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified
  • Audra Lee Brown, businesswoman [51]
  • Anastacia Golden Morper, real estate agent [80] [81]
Withdrawn
  • Brett Kokinadis, founder of New Mexico Democrats for Democracy [8]
Declined

Results

Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Alexis Johnson 16,512 36.7
Republican Harry Montoya15,91935.4
Republican Karen Bedonie12,47727.8
Republican Angela Gale Morales (Write-in)300.1
Total votes44,938 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Green primary

Candidates

Declined

General election

Debate

2020 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Teresa Leger Fernandez Alexis Johnson
1Oct. 7, 2020 KOAT-TV
The Albuquerque Journal
Doug Fernandez
Shelly Ribando
Kent Walz
YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [11] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [13] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [14] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [15] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [16] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Teresa Leger
Fernandez (D)
Alexis
Johnson (R)
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020347 (LV)±  5.3%58%35%6%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020301 (LV)±  5.6%50%35%15%

Results

New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez 186,282 58.7
Republican Alexis Johnson131,16641.3
Total votes317,448 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. Two of the three representatives elected from New Mexico are of Native American ancestry, Yvette Herrell is Cherokee, and Deb Haaland is a member of the Laguna Pueblo. [2]
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. John Blair 4%, Laura Montoya 3%, Kyle Tiesel 2%
  4. Poll was sponsored by Plame's campaign
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Yvette Herrell campaign
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Small's campaign
  3. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the NRCC.
  4. Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates for Congress.
  5. This poll's sponsor had endorsed Teresa Legar Fernandez prior to the sampling period

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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates