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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican Party | 4 | 859,418 | 52.42% | 3 | 2 | 75.00% | |
Democratic Party | 4 | 762,271 | 46.5% | 1 | 2 | 25.00% | |
Libertarian Party | 1 | 15,361 | 0.94% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 2,413 | 0.15% | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Total | 9 | 1,639,463 | 100.0% | 4 | 100.00% |
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 212,088 | 51.25% | 201,347 | 48.65% | 434 | 0.10% | 413,869 | 100% | Republican gain |
District 2 | 196,964 | 49.912% | 196,958 | 49.910% | 703 | 0.178% | 394,625 | 100% | Republican gain |
District 3 | 212,997 | 47.55% | 219,205 | 48.94% | 15,745 | 3.51% | 447,947 | 100% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 237,369 | 61.97% | 144,761 | 37.80% | 892 | 0.23% | 383,022 | 100% | Republican hold |
Total | 859,418 | 52.42% | 762,271 | 46.50% | 17,774 | 1.08% | 1,639,463 | 100% |
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County results Hinson: 50–60% 60–70% Finkenauer: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018. [1]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | 72,474 | 99.3 | |
Write-in | 482 | 0.7 | ||
Total votes | 72,956 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ashley Hinson | 38,552 | 77.8 | |
Republican | Thomas Hansen | 10,845 | 21.9 | |
Write-in | 152 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 49,549 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [19] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [22] | Tossup | September 8, 2020 |
Daily Kos [23] | Lean D | October 15, 2020 |
RCP [24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen [25] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist [26] | Likely D | October 2, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Abby Finkenauer (D) | Ashley Hinson (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 352 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 52% | 44% | 4% [lower-alpha 2] |
352 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 54% | 44% | – | |||
352 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 56% | 42% | – | |||
Basswood Research (R) [upper-alpha 1] | September 26–28, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% [lower-alpha 5] |
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 391 (RV) | ± 5% | 51% | 41% | 9% [lower-alpha 6] |
391 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 52% | 41% | 8% [lower-alpha 7] | |||
391 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 40% | 8% [lower-alpha 7] | |||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2] | March 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – |
Harper Polling (R) [upper-alpha 3] | January 11–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% [lower-alpha 8] | 40% | 15% |
40% [lower-alpha 9] | 48% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 10] | ± 7.1% | 36% | 51% | 9% [lower-alpha 11] | 5% [lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 13] | ± 7.8% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 14] | <= ± 7.7% | 48% | 42% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2] | March 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 44% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 15] | – | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Harper Polling (R) [upper-alpha 3] | January 11–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% [lower-alpha 8] | 44% | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ashley Hinson | 212,088 | 51.2 | |
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | 201,347 | 48.7 | |
Write-in | 434 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 413,869 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
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County results Miller-Meeks: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018. [1] On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election. [28]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rita Hart | 67,039 | 99.6 | |
Write-in | 271 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 67,310 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 23,052 | 47.6 | |
Republican | Bobby Schilling | 17,582 | 36.3 | |
Republican | Steven Everly | 2,806 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Rick Phillips | 2,444 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Tim Borchardt | 2,370 | 4.9 | |
Write-in | 161 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 48,415 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [19] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [22] | Tossup | September 8, 2020 |
Daily Kos [23] | Lean D | September 25, 2020 |
RCP [24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen [25] | Likely D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist [26] | Likely D | October 2, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Rita Hart (D) | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 355 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 43% | 8% [lower-alpha 16] |
355 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 51% | 42% | – | |||
355 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | 41% | – | |||
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 44% | 9% [lower-alpha 6] |
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 44% | 48% | 8% [lower-alpha 7] | |||
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 45% | 48% | 7% [lower-alpha 17] | |||
Harper Polling (R) [upper-alpha 4] | July 26–28, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 41% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.9% | 40% | 41% | 11% [lower-alpha 18] | 8% [lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 19] | ± 8.7% | 50% | 46% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 20] | <= ± 7.7% | 53% | 35% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 21] | – | 41% | 49% | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 196,964 | 49.912 | ||
Democratic | Rita Hart | 196,958 | 49.910 | ||
Write-in | 703 | 0.178 | |||
Total votes | 394,625 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes. [68] On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act. [69] On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021 with the rest of the incoming new Congress members. [70] Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. [71] Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021. [72]
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County results Axne: 50–60% Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 76,681 | 99.2 | |
Write-in | 623 | 0.8 | ||
Total votes | 77,304 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Young | 39,103 | 69.5 | |
Republican | Bill Schafer | 16,904 | 30.1 | |
Write-in | 227 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 56,234 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [19] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [22] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [23] | Lean D | October 15, 2020 |
RCP [24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen [25] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist [26] | Lean D | October 2, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Cindy Axne (D) | David Young (R) | Bryan Holder (L) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 426 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 43% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 22] |
426 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 53% | 42% | – | – | |||
426 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 55% | 41% | – | – | |||
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 507 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 8% [lower-alpha 16] |
507 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 50% | 42% | – | 8% [lower-alpha 23] | |||
507 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 41% | – | 7% [lower-alpha 24] | |||
The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2] | July 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 44% | 6% | 7% [lower-alpha 25] |
The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2] | March 10–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 26] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.6% | 45% | 39% | 8% [lower-alpha 27] | 9% [lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 28] | ± 7.7% | 48% | 42% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 29] | <= ± 7.7% | 52% | 36% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 30] | – | 42% | 43% | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 219,205 | 48.9 | |
Republican | David Young | 212,997 | 47.6 | |
Libertarian | Bryan Jack Holder | 15,361 | 3.4 | |
Write-in | 384 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 447,947 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Feenstra: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Scholten: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Steve King | Randy Feenstra | Steve Reeder | Jeremy Taylor | Other | Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 5] | May 16–18, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 41% | 1% | 4% | 3% [upper-alpha 6] | – |
41% [lower-alpha 31] | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
American Viewpoint [upper-alpha 7] | May 7–8, 2020 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 39% | 36% | – | – | 9% [lower-alpha 32] | 10% |
American Viewpoint [upper-alpha 7] | April 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 34% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 33] | 15% |
American Viewpoint [upper-alpha 7] | January 27–29, 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 10] | – | 53% | 22% | – | – | – | – [lower-alpha 10] |
G1 Survey Research | October 1–3, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 59% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 17% |
64% [lower-alpha 35] | 24% | – | – | – | 12% [lower-alpha 36] | ||||
64% [lower-alpha 35] | – | – | 19% | – | 17% [lower-alpha 37] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | 37,329 | 45.5 | |
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 29,366 | 35.9 | |
Republican | Jeremy Taylor | 6,418 | 7.8 | |
Republican | Bret Richards | 6,140 | 7.5 | |
Republican | Steve Reeder | 2,528 | 3.1 | |
Write-in | 176 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 81,957 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 46,370 | 99.6 | |
Write-in | 166 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 46,536 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [19] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [20] | Safe R | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Politico [101] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [23] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
RCP [24] | Lean R | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen [25] | Likely R | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist [26] | Likely R | October 2, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Randy Feenstra (R) | J.D. Scholten (D) | Other/ Undecided |
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Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 414 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 42% | 10% [lower-alpha 38] |
414 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 48% | 43% | – | |||
414 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 47% | 44% | – | |||
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 8] | October 13–15, 2020 | 603 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 45% | – |
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 7] | October 6–8, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 54% | 31% | 11% [lower-alpha 39] |
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 54% | 34% | 12% [lower-alpha 40] |
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] | 55% | 34% | 10% [lower-alpha 41] | |||
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] | 56% | 33% | 10% [lower-alpha 41] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Steve King (R) | J.D. Scholten (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight (D) [upper-alpha 9] | January 16–17, 2019 | 472 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 44% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Steve King (R) | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
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20/20 Insight (D) [upper-alpha 9] | January 16–17, 2019 | 472 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
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Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.9% | 50% | 33% | 10% [lower-alpha 42] | 8% [lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 43] | ± 7.5% | 49% | 44% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 44] | <= ± 7.7% | 57% | 35% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 45] | – | 51% | 40% | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | 237,369 | 62.0 | |
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 144,761 | 37.8 | |
Write-in | 892 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 383,022 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
David Wayne Loebsack is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district from 2007 to 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, he also is an emeritus professor of political science at Cornell College, where he had taught since 1982. On April 12, 2019, Loebsack announced he would not seek reelection.
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State Senator Zach Wahls has said he would not run for Congress if Hart does.
Rita Hart (IA-02)
There's also talk of Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK construction, eyeing a run.
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