2007 Lisbon local by-election

2007 Lisbon local by-election
All 17 Councillors in the Lisbon City Council ; 9 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Turnout	36.7% 16.0 pp
Mayor before election; Marina Ferreira ; PSD	Elected Mayor ; António Costa ; PS

Last updated July 27, 2024

The 2007 Lisbon local by-election was held on 15 July 2007 to elect a new mayor and members of the Lisbon City Council, in order to complete the term started in 2005 following the collapse of Mayor Carmona Rodrigues' local government.

In the first, and still only, mayoral by-election in Lisbon's history, António Costa, by then Minister of Internal Administration under Prime Minister José Sócrates, was elected with almost 30 percent of the votes, electing six councillors, and would complete the term started in 2005 and to be finished by 2009.^[1]

The election resulted in a very fragmented local council, with former mayor Carmona Rodrigues Independent movement, Lisbon with Carmona, polling second with around 17 percent of the votes and electing 3 councillors. The Social Democratic Party (PSD) suffered a massive defeat, polling third with less than 16 percent of the votes, a loss of 27 percentage points compared with 2005, and electing only 3 councilors, a loss of five.^[2]

Another independent led by Helena Roseta, called Citizens for Lisbon, that congregated center-left to leftwing movements, gathered more than 10 percent of the votes and elected two councillors. The Unitary Democratic Coalition presented Ruben de Carvalho as their mayoral candidate and won 9 percent of the votes and retained the two seats from 2005. The Left Bloc presented José Sá Fernandes as candidate for Mayor, which was reelected as councillor. The CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) was wiped out from Lisbon City Council.

Turnout was the lowest ever, with just 36.7 percent of voters casting a ballot, a drop of 16 percentage points compared with 2005.

Background

In the 2005 election, the Social Democratic Party led by Carmona Rodrigues, won a landslide victory with 42 percent of the votes and 8 councillors, defeating the Socialist Party candidate, Manuel Maria Carrilho, by a wide margin, which only gain 26.6 percent of the votes and 5 councillors. CDU won 2 councillors, while BE and CDS–PP gained just one.^[3]

By 2007, a crisis in the management of the city erupted because of urban development plans regarding a company called Bragaparques. These plans were highly controversial and led to an investigation by the Public Prosecution Office.^[4] Then PSD leader, Luís Marques Mendes withdrew his support from Carmona and asked PSD councillors to resign, which led to the fall of Carmona's local government and the calling of a by-election.^[5]^[6]

Electoral system

Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.^[7]

Parties and candidates

Party/Coalition			Political position	Candidate^[8]	2005 result
Party/Coalition			Political position	Candidate^[8]	Votes (%)	Seats
	PPD/PSD	Social Democratic Party Partido Social Democrata	Centre-right	Fernando Negrão	42.4%	8 / 17
	PS	Socialist Party Partido Socialista	Centre-left	António Costa	26.6%	5 / 17
	CDU	Unitary Democratic Coalition Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV	Left-wing to far-left	Ruben de Carvalho	11.4%	2 / 17
	BE	Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda	Left-wing to far-left	José Sá Fernandes	7.9%	1 / 17
	CDS–PP	CDS – People's Party CDS – Partido Popular	Right-wing	Telmo Correia	5.9%	1 / 17
	PCTP	Portuguese Workers' Communist Party Partido Comunista dos Trabalhadores Portugueses	Far-left	António Garcia Pereira	1.0%	0 / 17
	PNR	National Renovator Party Partido Nacional Renovador	Far-right	José Pinto Coelho	0.3%	0 / 17
	PND	New Democracy Party Partido Nova Democracia	Right-wing	Manuel Monteiro	—	—
	PPM	People's Monarchist Party Partido Popular Democrático	Right-wing	Gonçalo da Câmara Pereira	—	—
	MPT	Earth Party Partido da Terra	Centre-right	Pedro Quartin Graça	—	—
	LCC	Lisbon with Carmona Lisboa com Carmona	Centre-right	Carmona Rodrigues	—	—
	CPL	Citizens for Lisbon Cidadãos por Lisboa	Centre-left	Helena Roseta	—	—

Opinion polling

Polling

Exit poll

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD	PS	CDU	BE	CDS	LCC	CPL	O	Lead
Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size								O	Lead

2007 local by-election	15 Jul 2007	—	15.8 3	29.5 6	9.4 2	6.8 1	3.7 0	16.6 3	10.2 2	8.0 0	12.9

UCP–CESOP	15 Jul 2007	?	12.0– 15.0 2/3	29.0– 34.0 6	9.0– 11.0 2	7.0– 9.0 1	2.0– 4.0 0	15.0– 19.0 3/4	10.0– 12.0 2	–	14.0– 15.0
Aximage	11–12 Jul 2007	780	16.3	34.2	10.2	4.8	2.5	16.9	9.5	5.6	17.3
Intercampus	6–11 Jul 2007	959	15.1	37.1	13.6	7.4	2.4	16.0	4.5	3.9	21.1
Marktest	10 Jul 2007	610	12.3	32.0	7.0	5.8	2.1	15.8	12.1	12.9	16.2
Eurosondagem	8–10 Jul 2007	1,559	18.4	32.5	7.7	5.5	4.0	15.9	12.1	3.9	14.1
CESOP–UCP	7–10 Jul 2007	2,023	15	33	9	8	4	12	11	8	18
Marktest	3–4 Jul 2007	605	13.3	34.1	7.7	6.5	1.5	15.5	14.3	7.1	18.6
Intercampus	29 Jun–4 Jul 2007	800	17.5	34.7	12.2	6.0	3.2	14.9	6.5	5.0	17.2
Aximage	18–20 Jun 2007	550	14.1	39.8	10.2	4.8	1.8	15.0	11.0	3.3	24.8
Intercampus	8–13 Jun 2007	804	19.5	31.1	9.1	9.6	2.5	13.7	9.1	5.4	11.6
Data Crítica	28–29 May 2007	600	18.6	37.4	4.7	4.4	1.4	16.0	17.0	0.5	18.8
Eurosondagem	21–23 May 2007	1,525	14.8	32.1	6.3	5.0	3.8	16.9	15.9	5.2	15.2
Marktest	16–17 May 2007	600	12.1	32.0	7.8	6.4	1.1	19.9	17.2	3.6	12.1

2005 local election	10 Oct 2005	—	42.4 8	26.6 5	11.4 2	7.9 1	5.9 1	—	—	5.8 0	15.8

Results

Municipal Council

Summary of the 15 July 2007 Lisbon City Council by-election results
Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Councillors
1 2 6 2 3 3
Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Total	±
	Socialist	56,732	29.49	2.9	6	1
	Lisbon with Carmona	31,990	16.63	—	3	—
	Social Democratic	30,401	15.80	26.6	3	5
	Citizens for Lisbon	19,754	10.27	—	2	—
	Unitary Democratic Coalition	18,163	9.44	2.0	2	0
	Left Bloc	13,132	6.83	1.1	1	0
	People's	7,148	3.72	2.2	0	1
	Portuguese Workers' Communist	3,021	1.57	0.6	0	0
	National Renovator	1,599	0.83	0.5	0	0
	New Democracy	1,182	0.61	—	0	—
	Earth	1,019	0.53	—	0	—
	People's Monarchist	730	0.30	—	0	—
Total valid		184,871	96.11	0.5	17	0
Blank ballots		4,622	2.40	0.5
Invalid ballots		2,861	1.49	0.2
Total		192,354	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		524,140	36.70	16.0
Source: Lisbon 2007 election results

Related Research Articles

The Socialist Party is a social-democratic political party in Portugal. It was founded on 19 April 1973 in the German city of Bad Münstereifel by militants who were at the time with the Portuguese Socialist Action. The PS is a member of the Socialist International, Progressive Alliance and Party of European Socialists, and has nine members in the European Parliament within the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats group during the 9th European Parliament. It was the governing party of Portugal between November 2015 and April 2024, subsequently winning the 2019 and 2022 legislative elections.

The Social Democratic Party is a liberal-conservative political party in Portugal that is currently the country's ruling party. Commonly known by its colloquial initials PSD, on ballot papers its initials appear as its official form PPD/PSD, with the first three letters coming from the party's original name, the Democratic People's Party. A party of the centre-right, the PSD is one of the two major parties in Portuguese politics, its rival being the Socialist Party (PS) on the centre-left.

Pedro Miguel de Santana Lopes is a Portuguese lawyer and politician, who is the current Mayor of Figueira da Foz. He most notably served as prime minister of Portugal from 2004 to 2005.

The 2002 Portuguese legislative election took place on 17 March. The election renewed all 230 members of the Assembly of the Republic.

The 2009 Portuguese legislative election was held on 27 September, to renew all 230 members of the Assembly of the Republic. The Socialist Party, led by incumbent Prime Minister José Sócrates, won the largest number of seats, but didn't repeat the overall majority they gained in 2005.

Local elections were held in Portugal on 29 September 2013. The elections consisted of three types of elections in the 308 Portuguese municipalities, namely the elections for the Municipal Chambers, whose winners are automatically elected mayors, similar to first-past-the-post (FPTP), the elections for the Municipal Assemblies, as well as the elections for the lower-level Parish Assemblies, whose winners are elected parish presidents. The latter were held separately in the more than 3,000 parishes around the country. The number of parishes had been reduced by over 1000 due to a local government reform undertaken by the Government led by Pedro Passos Coelho.

The 2019 Portuguese legislative election was held on 6 October 2019. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were contested.

Local elections were held in Portugal on 1 October 2017. The elections consisted of three separate elections in the 308 Portuguese municipalities, the election for the Municipal Chambers, whose winner is automatically elected mayor, similar to first-past-the-post (FPTP), another election for the Municipal Assembly, as well an election for the lower-level Parish Assembly, whose winner is elected parish president. This last election was held in the more than 3,000 parishes around the country. In the 2017 election, 13.3 percent of incumbent mayors, 41 to be precise, were barred from running for another term.

Regional elections were held on 22 September 2019 to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira in Portugal. All 47 members of the Assembly were up for election.

The 2020 Azorean regional election was held on 25 October 2020, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores. All 57 members of the assembly were up for election.

Early legislative elections were held on 30 January 2022 in Portugal to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 15th Legislature of the Third Portuguese Republic. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were up for election.

Local elections in Portugal were held on 26 September 2021. The election consisted of three separate elections in the 308 Portuguese municipalities: the election for the Municipal Chamber, whose winner is automatically elected mayor, similar to first-past-the-post (FPTP); another election for the Municipal Assembly ; and an election for the Parish Assembly, whose winner is elected parish president. This last one was held separately in the more than 3,000 parishes around the country. In the 2021 election, 12.3 percent of incumbent mayors, 38 to be precise, were barred from running for another term: 23 from the PS, 11 from the PSD, 3 from CDU and one from the CDS–PP.

Regional elections were held in Madeira on 24 September 2023, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election replaced all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal in January 2026. The elections will elect the successor to President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, who is barred from running for a third term.

The 2022 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 28 May 2022. If no candidate achieved more than 50% of the votes in the first round, a second round would be held between the two most voted candidates in the first round on 4 June 2022, however, as only two candidates were on the ballot, Luís Montenegro and Jorge Moreira da Silva, a second round was not necessary.

The 2021 Lisbon local election was held on 26 September 2021 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

The 2007 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 28 September 2007. This was a snap leadership election called by then party leader Luís Marques Mendes, elected in April 2005. Marques Mendes triggered the snap leadership ballot after the PSD bad result in the July 2007 Lisbon mayoral by-election, in which the PSD candidate, Fernando Negrão, polled 3rd place with just 16% of the votes. Marques Mendes decided to run for reelection and faced Luís Filipe Menezes in the leadership ballot. On election day, Menezes defeated Marques Mendes by a 54% to 43% margin and was elected as the new leader of the PSD.

The 2017 Lisbon local election was held on 1 October 2017 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

The 2013 Lisbon local election was held on 29 September 2013 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

The 2009 Lisbon local election was held on 11 October 2009 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

References

↑ "António Costa vence eleições para Lisboa". www.rtp.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-07-15. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "Marques Mendes assume derrota do PSD em Lisboa". www.rtp.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-07-16. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "Carmona Rodrigues "dedica" vitória em Lisboa a Santana Lopes e Marques Mendes". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2005-10-10. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "Ex-vereadora da Câmara de Lisboa ouvida no âmbito do processo Bragaparques". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-04-19. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "Carmona Rodrigues afronta Marques Mendes e recusa ir-se embora". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-05-04. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "Eleições para Câmara de Lisboa deverão ser a 15 de Julho". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-05-19. Retrieved 2024-03-02.
↑ "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
↑ "Autárquicas 2007 Lisboa - Candidatos". www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

External links

2007 local by-election results

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.

[1] "António Costa vence eleições para Lisboa". www.rtp.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-07-15. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[2] "Marques Mendes assume derrota do PSD em Lisboa". www.rtp.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-07-16. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[3] "Carmona Rodrigues "dedica" vitória em Lisboa a Santana Lopes e Marques Mendes". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2005-10-10. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[4] "Ex-vereadora da Câmara de Lisboa ouvida no âmbito do processo Bragaparques". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-04-19. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[5] "Carmona Rodrigues afronta Marques Mendes e recusa ir-se embora". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-05-04. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[6] "Eleições para Câmara de Lisboa deverão ser a 15 de Julho". www.publico.pt (in European Portuguese). 2007-05-19. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[7] "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[8] "Autárquicas 2007 Lisboa - Candidatos". www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt. Retrieved 2024-03-02.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]