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All 31 seats in the City Council of Seville 16 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 545,309 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 324,218 (59.5%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A municipal election was held in Seville on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 10th City Council of the municipality. All 31 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish : ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly. [1] [2] In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville. [3] Elections to local councils in Spain were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years (as of 2025, this has been the year before a leap year). [4]
The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly. [2] A legal clause required candidates to earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee was to be determined by lot. [5]
Voting for local assemblies was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality of Seville and in full enjoyment of their political rights (provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote), as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty. [2] [6] [7]
Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each municipality. [8] Each municipality constituted a multi-member constituency, entitled a number of seats based on the following scale: [9]
| Population | Councillors |
|---|---|
| <100 | 3 |
| 101–250 | 5 |
| 251–1,000 | 7 |
| 1,001–2,000 | 9 |
| 2,001–5,000 | 11 |
| 5,001–10,000 | 13 |
| 10,001–20,000 | 17 |
| 20,001–50,000 | 21 |
| 50,001–100,000 | 25 |
| >100,001 | +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction +1 if total is an even number |
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [10]
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 16 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville (17 until 1 January 2015).
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | IULV | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 59.5 | 33.1 12 | 32.2 11 | 6.0 2 | 1.4 0 | 0.8 0 | 9.0 3 | 9.3 3 | 4.1 0 | 0.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [p 1] [p 2] | 24 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 10/12 | ? 12/14 | 6.7 1/2 | – | – | ? 3/4 | 9.6 3/4 | – | ? |
| GAD3/Antena 3 [p 3] | 11–22 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11/12 | ? 13/14 | ? 0/1 | – | – | ? 3/4 | ? 2 | – | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 4] [p 5] | 13–14 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 34.8 12/13 | 32.6 11/12 | 7.4 2 | – | – | 6.1 2 | 10.4 3 | 4.2 0 | 2.2 |
| Deimos/El Correo de Andalucía [p 6] [p 7] | 11–14 May 2015 | 806 | ? | 30.0 11 | 31.7 11 | 6.9 2 | 1.7 0 | 1.4 0 | 8.1 3 | 12.8 4 | 3.6 0 | 1.7 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER [p 8] [p 9] | 27 Apr–14 May 2015 | 800 | ? | 31.6 10/12 | 32.2 10/12 | 4.3 0/1 | 0.7 0 | 1.3 0 | 15.0 4/6 | 11.4 4 | [a] | 0.6 |
| JM&A/Público [p 10] | 12 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 13 | ? 10 | – | – | – | ? 6 | ? 4 | – | ? |
| JM&A/Público [p 11] [p 12] | 3 May 2015 | ? | ? | 28.1 10 | 30.3 10 | 5.9 2 | 2.0 0 | 0.5 0 | 17.2 6 | 14.2 5 | [a] | 2.2 |
| IMC/ABC [p 13] | 29–30 Apr 2015 | 410 | ? | 33.4 12/13 | 30.2 10/11 | 5.2 0/1 | – | – | 11.0 3/4 | 13.2 4/5 | [a] | 3.2 |
| Commentia/Grupo Joly [p 14] [p 15] | 27–29 Apr 2015 | 401 | ? | 35.5 12 | 31.3 10 | 4.9 0/1 | – | – | 13.1 4/5 | 11.5 4 | [a] | 4.2 |
| CIS [p 16] [p 17] | 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 | 997 | ? | 32.4 11/12 | 28.5 10 | 5.0 1 | – | 1.0 0 | [b] | 12.6 4 | 13.4 4/5 | 3.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 18] [p 19] | 26–27 Mar 2015 | 500 | ? | 31.3 10/11 | 33.2 11/12 | 4.6 0/1 | – | – | 14.6 4/5 | 11.9 4 | [a] | 1.9 |
| 2015 regional election | 22 Mar 2015 | — | 68.3 | 27.1 (9) | 30.8 (11) | 5.4 (1) | 1.0 (0) | 2.1 (0) | 18.0 (6) | 11.5 (4) | – | 3.7 |
| Llorente & Cuenca [11] | 31 Oct 2014 | ? | ? | ? 14/15 | ? 9/10 | ? 3 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 6/8 | – | – | ? |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 47.6 | 27.8 (11) | 30.0 (12) | 9.6 (3) | 1.4 (0) | 8.0 (3) | 9.8 (4) | 2.3 (0) | – | 2.2 |
| Nexo [p 20] [p 21] | 24 Mar–4 Apr 2014 | 402 | 54.2 | 42.9 16/18 | 29.2 11/12 | 9.3 3/4 | – | 5.3 2 | – | – | – | 13.7 |
| 2012 regional election | 25 Mar 2012 | — | 65.1 | 42.8 (16) | 37.4 (14) | 9.4 (3) | 2.5 (0) | 4.6 (0) | – | – | – | 5.1 |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.1 | 44.3 (16) | 36.4 (13) | 6.6 (2) | 1.8 (0) | 6.8 (2) | – | – | – | 7.9 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 62.7 | 49.3 20 | 29.5 11 | 7.1 2 | 4.8 0 | 3.3 0 | – | – | – | 19.8 |
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 106,321 | 33.05 | −16.26 | 12 | −8 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) | 103,461 | 32.16 | +2.71 | 11 | ±0 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 29,888 | 9.29 | New | 3 | +3 | |
| Participate Seville (Participa Sevilla) | 28,969 | 9.01 | New | 3 | +3 | |
| United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) | 19,203 | 5.97 | −1.18 | 2 | ±0 | |
| Let's Win Seville (Ganemos Sevilla) | 13,274 | 4.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Andalusian Party (PA) | 4,544 | 1.41 | −3.37 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Equo (Equo) | 3,332 | 1.04 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 3,290 | 1.02 | +0.60 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 2,711 | 0.84 | −2.41 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 1,495 | 0.46 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats (EB) | 463 | 0.14 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 311 | 0.10 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Party of the Immigrant in Spain (PADIE) | 182 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 168 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Republican Candidacy (CR) | 155 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 139 | 0.04 | −0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Andalusian Nationalist People (PNdeA) | 89 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Andalusian Popular Unity (UPAN) | 61 | 0.02 | −0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 3,633 | 1.13 | −1.65 | |||
| Total | 321,689 | 31 | −2 | |||
| Valid votes | 321,689 | 99.22 | +1.08 | |||
| Invalid votes | 2,529 | 0.78 | −1.08 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 324,218 | 59.46 | −3.27 | |||
| Abstentions | 221,091 | 40.54 | +3.27 | |||
| Registered voters | 545,309 | |||||
| Sources [12] [13] [14] | ||||||