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All 31 seats in the City Council of Seville 16 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 540,851 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 317,843 (58.8%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A municipal election was held in Seville on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th City Council of the municipality. All 31 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish : ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly. [1] [2] In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville. [3]
Voting for local assemblies was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality of Seville and in full enjoyment of their political rights (provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote), as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty. [2] [4] [5]
Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each municipality. [6] Each municipality constituted a multi-member constituency, entitled a number of seats based on the following scale: [7]
| Population | Councillors |
|---|---|
| <100 | 3 |
| 101–250 | 5 |
| 251–1,000 | 7 |
| 1,001–2,000 | 9 |
| 2,001–5,000 | 11 |
| 5,001–10,000 | 13 |
| 10,001–20,000 | 17 |
| 20,001–50,000 | 21 |
| 50,001–100,000 | 25 |
| >100,001 | +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction +1 if total is an even number |
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [8]
The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly. [2] A legal clause required candidates to earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee was to be determined by lot. [9]
The term of city councils in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years (as of 2025, this has been the year before a leap year). The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE). [10] The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the date for election day on Sunday, 26 May 2019.
Local councils could not be dissolved before the expiry of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—agree to call a by-election. [11]
Elections to local councils not bound to the open council system were officially called on 2 April 2019 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 26 May. [12]
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. In the case of Seville, as its population was between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures were required. [13] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition. [14]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
| | Beltrán Pérez | Conservatism Christian democracy | 33.1% | 12 | [15] [16] | ||
| PSOE–A | List | | Juan Espadas | Social democracy | 32.2% | 11 | [17] | ||
| Adelante | List
| | Susana Serrano | Andalusian nationalism Left-wing populism Direct democracy | 16.0% [a] | 5 | [18] [19] | ||
| Cs | List | | Álvaro Pimentel | Liberalism | 9.3% | 3 | [20] | ||
| Vox | List
| | Cristina Peláez | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 0.5% | 0 | [21] | ||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 16 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | IULV | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.8 | 23.1 8 | 39.2 13 | 12.5 4 | [b] | [b] | 8.0 2 | 14.1 4 | 16.1 |
| KeyData/Público [p 1] | 19 May 2019 | ? | 70.5 | 17.8 6 | 32.4 11 | 16.5 6 | [b] | [b] | 10.6 3 | 15.9 5 | 14.6 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 2] | 13–16 May 2019 | 600 | ? | 22.2 7/8 | 38.1 12/13 | 14.1 4/5 | [b] | [b] | 5.8 1/2 | 16.2 5/6 | 15.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 3] | 13–15 May 2019 | 400 | ? | 22.2 7 | 37.1 12/13 | 14.1 4/5 | [b] | [b] | 7.2 2 | 16.8 5 | 14.9 |
| 40dB/El País [p 4] | 3–8 May 2019 | 800 | ? | 22.0 7 | 36.6 12/13 | 14.5 4/5 | [b] | [b] | 7.7 2 | 15.4 5 | 14.6 |
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 76.4 | 17.7 (6) | 32.7 (11) | 16.9 (5) | [b] | [b] | 13.0 (4) | 16.3 (5) | 15.0 |
| CIS [p 5] [p 6] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 497 | ? | 25.2 8/10 | 42.3 13/15 | 10.8 3/4 | [b] | [b] | 2.9 0 | 15.7 5/6 | 17.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 7] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 21.4 7 | 31.2 10 | 14.7 5 | [b] | [b] | 10.6 3 | 17.8 6 | 9.8 |
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [p 8] | 1–5 Apr 2019 | 1,002 | ? | ? 8 | ? 13 | ? 4 | [b] | [b] | ? 2 | ? 4 | ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 9] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 20.0 7 | 30.9 10 | 15.4 5 | [b] | [b] | 11.0 3 | 18.4 6 | 10.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 10] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 19.9 7 | 31.0 10 | 15.5 5 | [b] | [b] | 11.1 3 | 18.4 6 | 11.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 11] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 20.1 6 | 29.5 10 | 14.8 5 | [b] | [b] | 13.2 4 | 19.0 6 | 9.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 12] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 19.7 6 | 29.0 10 | 15.5 5 | [b] | [b] | 13.1 4 | 19.3 6 | 9.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 13] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 18.0 6 | 28.6 10 | 16.6 6 | 13.1 5 | 4.3 0 | 12.9 4 | – | 10.6 |
| Dialoga Consultores [p 14] | 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 | 2,200 | ? | 27.2 9/10 | 34.5 11/12 | 12.2 3/4 | [b] | [b] | 8.8 2/3 | 13.9 4/5 | 7.3 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 15] | 11–17 Dec 2018 | ? | ? | 17.9 6 | 30.6 10/11 | 18.7 6 | [b] | [b] | 9.4 3 | 17.6 5/6 | 11.9 |
| 2018 regional election | 2 Dec 2018 | — | 63.1 | 18.8 (6) | 25.2 (9) | 18.8 (6) | [b] | [b] | 12.4 (4) | 18.9 (6) | 6.3 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 16] [p 17] | 12–18 Jun 2018 | 606 | ? | 18.3 6 | 40.4 14 | 20.6 7 | [c] | [c] | – | 11.7 4 | 19.8 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 18] | 1–7 Feb 2018 | 600 | ? | 21.6 7/8 | 35.5 12/13 | 22.2 7/8 | 9.4 3 | 5.2 0/1 | – | – | 13.3 |
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [p 19] [p 20] | 9–15 Jun 2017 | 705 | ? | 28.0 9 | 33.5 11 | 14.3 5 | 12.0 4 | 6.3 2 | – | – | 5.5 |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 71.1 | 34.0 (11) | 28.0 (9) | 13.7 (4) | [c] | [c] | 0.3 (0) | 20.9 (7) | 6.0 |
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.0 | 30.3 (10) | 27.4 (9) | 13.9 (5) | 20.4 (7) | 4.8 (0) | 0.4 (0) | – | 2.9 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 59.5 | 33.1 12 | 32.2 11 | 9.3 3 | 9.0 3 | 6.0 2 | 0.5 0 | – | 0.9 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | IULV | | | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 13.5 | 22.9 | 7.3 | [b] | [b] | 4.6 | 8.2 | — | 41.2 | 9.4 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 2] | 13–16 May 2019 | 600 | 18.2 | 28.8 | – | [b] | [b] | – | 10.2 | – | – | 10.6 |
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 13.4 | 24.8 | 12.8 | [b] | [b] | 9.8 | 12.3 | — | 23.6 | 11.4 |
| CIS [p 5] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 497 | 12.7 | 23.7 | 6.2 | [b] | [b] | 1.6 | 8.7 | 36.0 | 9.3 | 11.0 |
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [p 8] | 1–5 Apr 2019 | 1,002 | 16.7 | 30.2 | 6.4 | [b] | [b] | 3.7 | 5.3 | – | – | 13.5 |
| Dialoga Consultores [p 14] | 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 | 2,200 | 13.1 | 25.0 | 7.1 | [b] | [b] | 5.5 | 10.7 | 23.3 | 7.7 | 11.9 |
| 2018 regional election | 2 Dec 2018 | — | 11.6 | 15.7 | 11.7 | [b] | [b] | 7.7 | 11.7 | — | 36.9 | 4.0 |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 24.0 | 19.8 | 9.7 | [c] | [c] | 0.2 | 14.7 | — | 28.9 | 4.2 |
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 22.2 | 20.2 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 | – | — | 26.0 | 2.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 19.5 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.3 | – | — | 40.5 | 0.5 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | Other/ None | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 2] | 13–16 May 2019 | 600 | 11.2 | 52.7 | 36.1 | 41.5 | |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become mayor of Seville.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoido PP | Díaz PP | Pérez PP | Espadas PSOE–A | Millán Cs | Rojas IULV | Serrano Adelante | Honorato Adelante | Moreno Adelante | ||||||
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [p 8] | 1–5 Apr 2019 | 1,002 | – | – | 19.0 | 48.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 32.8 | – | 29.2 |
| Dialoga Consultores [p 14] | 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 | 2,200 | – | – | 12.0 | 22.4 | – | 2.5 | 5.3 | – | – | 57.9 | – | 10.4 |
| Dataestudios/ABC [p 21] | 11–17 Dec 2018 | ? | – | – | 15.7 | 23.0 | 17.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.8 |
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [p 19] | 9–15 Jun 2017 | 705 | 19.8 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 25.9 | 10.9 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 18.2 | 6.1 | |
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) | 123,933 | 39.24 | +7.08 | 13 | +2 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 73,101 | 23.15 | −9.90 | 8 | −4 | |
| Forward Seville: We Can–United Left–Andalusian Spring (Adelante)1 | 44,546 | 14.10 | −1.92 | 4 | −1 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 39,331 | 12.45 | +3.16 | 4 | +1 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 25,122 | 7.95 | +7.49 | 2 | +2 | |
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 3,521 | 1.11 | +0.09 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Andalusia by Herself (AxSí)2 | 1,083 | 0.34 | −1.07 | 0 | ±0 | |
| More With You (CNTG+) | 820 | 0.26 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Act (PACT) | 736 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 486 | 0.15 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Feminist Initiative (IFem) | 392 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Advancing For You (Avanzamos) | 206 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 118 | 0.04 | −0.06 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Party of the Immigrant in Spain (PADIE) | 103 | 0.03 | −0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Renaissance and Union of Europe Party (PRUNE) | 47 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 2,281 | 0.72 | −0.41 | |||
| Total | 315,826 | 31 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 315,826 | 99.37 | +0.15 | |||
| Invalid votes | 2,017 | 0.63 | −0.15 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 317,843 | 58.77 | −0.69 | |||
| Abstentions | 223,008 | 41.23 | +0.69 | |||
| Registered voters | 540,851 | |||||
| Sources [22] [23] [24] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
| Investiture | |||||||
| Ballot → | 15 June 2019 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 16 out of 31 | ||||||
| 13 / 31 | ||||||
8 / 31 | |||||||
4 / 31 | |||||||
4 / 31 | |||||||
| 2 / 31 | ||||||
| Blank ballots | 0 / 31 | ||||||
| Absentees | 0 / 31 | ||||||
| Sources [25] | |||||||
| Investiture | |||||||
| Ballot → | 3 January 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 16 out of 31 | ||||||
| 13 / 31 | ||||||
8 / 31 | |||||||
4 / 31 | |||||||
3 / 31 | |||||||
| 2 / 31 | ||||||
Blank ballots
| 1 / 31 | ||||||
| Absentees | 0 / 31 | ||||||
| Sources [26] | |||||||