Clark Warburton

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Clark Warburton (27 January 1896, near Buffalo, New York – 18 September 1979, Fairfax, Virginia) was an American economist. He was described as the "first monetarist of the post-World War II period," [1] the most uncompromising upholder of a strictly monetary theory of business fluctuations, [2] and reviver of classic monetary-disequilibrium theory and the quantity theory of money. [3]

Buffalo, New York City in Western New York

Buffalo is the second largest city in the U.S. state of New York and the largest city in Western New York. As of July 2016, the population was 256,902. The city is the county seat of Erie County and a major gateway for commerce and travel across the Canada–United States border, forming part of the bi-national Buffalo Niagara Region.

Fairfax, Virginia Independent city in Virginia, United States

Fairfax, colloquially known as Fairfax Courthouse, Downtown Fairfax, or Fairfax City, and officially named the City of Fairfax, is an independent city in the Commonwealth of Virginia in the United States. As of the 2010 census the population was 22,565, which had risen to an estimated 24,013 as of 2015.

Monetary disequilibrium theory is a product of the Monetarist school and is mainly represented in the works of Leland Yeager and Austrian macroeconomics. The basic concept of monetary equilibrium (disequilibrium) was, however, defined in terms of an individual's demand for cash balance by Mises (1912) in his Theory of Money and Credit.

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Life and works

Warburton received bachelor's and master's degrees from Cornell University after military service overseas during World War I. From the 1920s to the early 1930s, he held teaching positions in India and the United States. He received a Ph.D. degree at Columbia University in 1932. There his interest had shifted from history to economics while attending lectures of Wesley C. Mitchell. His dissertation was published as The Economic Results of Prohibition. From 1932 to 1934, he worked at the Brookings Institution. In 1934 he joined the newly formed Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. He subsequently became chief economist there, retiring from that position in 1965. He continued to publish research on substantive and historical monetary economics thereafter. [4]

Cornell University private university in Ithaca (New York, US)

Cornell University is a private and statutory Ivy League research university in Ithaca, New York. Founded in 1865 by Ezra Cornell and Andrew Dickson White, the university was intended to teach and make contributions in all fields of knowledge—from the classics to the sciences, and from the theoretical to the applied. These ideals, unconventional for the time, are captured in Cornell's founding principle, a popular 1868 Ezra Cornell quotation: "I would found an institution where any person can find instruction in any study."

Columbia University private Ivy League research university in New York City

Columbia University is a private Ivy League research university in Upper Manhattan, New York City. Established in 1754, Columbia is the oldest institution of higher education in New York and the fifth-oldest institution of higher learning in the United States. It is one of nine colonial colleges founded prior to the Declaration of Independence, seven of which belong to the Ivy League. It has been ranked by numerous major education publications as among the top ten universities in the world.

Wesley Clair Mitchell American statistician

Wesley Clair Mitchell was an American economist known for his empirical work on business cycles and for guiding the National Bureau of Economic Research in its first decades.

In the period from 1945, Warburton was a critic of Keynesian theory when the latter was "crowding out interest in money." [4] He made his case in a series of papers, most of them empirically oriented. He compiled and constructed quarterly data for the U.S. in the 1918–47 period, which showed that deviations in the money supply and bank reserves from trend preceded in the same direction business-cycle turning points of successively final output sold, output, prices, and the velocity of money. [5] He extended such results to 1965 some 20 years later. [6]

Money supply total amount of monetary assets available in an economy at a specific time

In economics, the money supply is the total value of monetary assets available in an economy at a specific time. There are several ways to define "money", but standard measures usually include currency in circulation and demand deposits.

The business cycle, also known as the economic cycle or trade cycle, is the downward and upward movement of gross domestic product (GDP) around its long-term growth trend. The length of a business cycle is the period of time containing a single boom and contraction in sequence. These fluctuations typically involve shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid economic growth, and periods of relative stagnation or decline.

Velocity of money Rate of money changing hands

The term "velocity of money" refers to how fast money passes from one holder to the next. It can refer to the income velocity of money, which is the frequency at which the average same unit of currency is used to purchase newly domestically-produced goods and services within a given time period. In other words, it is the number of times one unit of money is spent to buy goods and services per unit of time. Alternatively and less frequently, it can refer to the transactions velocity of money, which is the frequency with which the average unit of currency is used in any kind of transaction in which it changes possession—not only the purchase of newly produced goods, but also the purchase of financial assets and other items."

In examining longer periods of time (decades) for 1799–1939 and annual data from 1909 to 1947, he found that velocity adjusted for trend and production capacity was relatively stable in peace time, despite extreme monetary volatility and that changes in the quantity of money were the "overwhelmingly dominant factor" responsible for changes in the price level, consistent with the quantity theory of money. [7]

In monetary economics, the quantity theory of money (QTM) states that the general price level of goods and services is directly proportional to the amount of money in circulation, or money supply.

These findings supported Warburton's contentions that:

Great Depression 20th-century worldwide economic depression

The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that took place mostly during the 1930s, beginning in the United States. The timing of the Great Depression varied across nations; in most countries it started in 1929 and lasted until the late-1930s. It was the longest, deepest, and most widespread depression of the 20th century. In the 21st century, the Great Depression is commonly used as an example of how intensely the world's economy can decline.

Monetary policy subclass of the economic policy

Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country, typically the central bank or currency board, controls either the cost of very short-term borrowing or the money supply, often targeting an inflation rate or interest rate to ensure price stability and general trust in the currency.

In 1966, a collection of 19 of his papers was published. [10]

Notes

  1. Thomas F. Cargill, 1981. "A Tribute to Clark Warburton, 1896–1979: Note," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 13(1), p. 89.
  2. Thomas F. Cargill, 1979. "Clark Warburton and the Development of Monetarism since the Great Depression," History of Political Economy, 11(3),p. 425
  3. Michael D. Bordo and Anna J. Schwartz, 1979. "Clark Warburton: Pioneer Monetarist," Journal of Monetary Economics, 5(1), pp. 43–65. Reprinted in Schwartz, 1987, Money in Historical Perspective, ch. 9, pp. 24749, full article, 234–54 and pp. 426–27.
  4. 1 2 L. Yeager, 1987. "Warburton, Clark," The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics , v. 4, p. 874.
  5. • Clark Warburton, 1946. "The Misplaced Emphasis in Contemporary Business-Fluctuation Theory," Journal of Business, 19(4) pp. 199–220.
       • _____, 1948b. "Bank Reserves and Business Fluctuations," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 43(244), pp. 547–58.
       • _____, 1950d. "The Theory of Turning Points in Business Fluctuations," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 64(4), pp. 525–49.
  6. Clark Warburton, 1967. "Cyclical Fluctuations in the Stock of Money and in Effective Demand, 1919–1965," Southern Journal of Business, 2, pp. 140–45.
  7. • Clark Warburton, 1945c. "The Volume of Money and the Price Level between the World Wars," Journal of Political Economy, 53(2), pp. 150–63.
       • _____, 1949a. "The Secular Trend in Monetary Velocity," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 63(1), pp. 68–91.
  8. Clark Warburton, 1945a. "Monetary Theory, Full Production, and the Great Depression," Eonometrica, 13(2), pp. 114–28.
  9. • Clark Warburton, 1962. "Monetary Disturbances and Business Fluctuations in Two Centuries of American History," in L. Yeager, ed., In Search of a Monetary Constitution, pp. 91–92. Harvard University Press.
       • Michael D. Bordo and Anna J. Schwartz, 1979. "Clark Warburton: Pioneer Monetarist," Journal of Monetary Economics, 5(1), pp. 43–65. Reprinted in Schwartz, 1987, Money in Historical Perspective, ch. 9, pp. 234–54 and pp. 426–27.
  10. Clark Warburton, 1966. Depression, Inflation, and Monetary Policy; Selected Papers, 1945–1953 Johns Hopkins Press.

Selected publications

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