Domingo Cavallo

Last updated
Domingo Cavallo
Domingo Cavallo (cropped).jpg
Minister of Economy of Argentina
In office
20 March 2001 20 December 2001
President Fernando de la Rúa
Preceded by Ricardo López Murphy
Succeeded by Jorge Capitanich
In office
1 February 1991 6 August 1996
President Carlos Menem
Preceded by Antonio Erman González
Succeeded by Roque Fernández
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Argentina
In office
8 July 1989 31 January 1991
President Carlos Menem
Preceded bySusana Ruiz Cerruti
Succeeded by Guido di Tella
President of the Central Bank of Argentina
In office
2 July 1982 26 August 1982
President Reynaldo Bignone
Preceded by Egidio Iannella
Succeeded by Julio González del Solar
National Deputy
for the City of Buenos Aires
In office
December 10, 1997 December 10, 1999
National Deputy
for the Cordoba Province
In office
December 10, 1987 December 10, 1989
Personal details
Born
Domingo Felipe Cavallo

(1946-07-21) July 21, 1946 (age 74)
San Francisco, Córdoba
Nationality Argentine
Political party Justicialist Party
(1983–1996)
Action for the Republic
(1996-2005)
Is Posible Party (2013)
Independent
(2005-2012)
(2014-present)
Spouse(s)Sonia Abrazián
Alma mater National University of Córdoba
Harvard University
Website Official website

Domingo Felipe "Mingo" Cavallo (born San Francisco, Córdoba, July 21, 1946) is an Argentine economist and politician. He has a track record of public service and is known for implementing the Convertibility plan , which fixed the dollar-peso exchange rate at 1:1 between 1991 and 2001. This brought the Argentine inflation rate down from over 1,300% in 1990 to less than 20% in 1992 and nearly to zero during the rest of the 1990s. [1]

Contents

He is also well known for implementing the corralito , which restrained Argentine citizens from withdrawing money from their bank accounts. This was followed by 2001 riots and the fall of President Fernando de la Rúa. [2]

Cavallo fought powerfully to dismantle irresponsible populism, distorting state interventions, fiscal deficits, and rampant inflation. But ultimately, corporatism and special interests prevailed. [3]

He is Doctor in Economic Sciences from the National University of Córdoba and obtained his PhD in Economics from Harvard University. He received five Honoris Causa doctorates from the Universities of Genoa, Turin, Bologna, Ben-Gurion and Paris Pantheon-Sorbonne. He was professor at the National and Catholic Universities of Córdoba, and at the Universities of New York, Harvard and Yale. [4]

Early years

Cavallo was born in San Francisco, Córdoba Province to Florencia and Felipe Cavallo, Italian Argentine immigrants from the Piedmont Region.

He graduated with honors in Accounting (1967) and Economics (1968) at the National University of Córdoba, where he earned his Doctorate in Economics in 1970. He married the former Sonia Abrazián in 1968, and had three children. He would later enroll at Harvard University, where he earned a second doctorate in Economics in 1977. [5]

He taught at the National University of Córdoba (1969–84), the Catholic University of Córdoba (1970–74), and New York University (1996–97). He wrote a number of books and was publisher of Forbes in 1998–99.

Central Bank

In July 1982, after the Falklands War fiasco brought more moderate leadership to the military dictatorship, Cavallo was appointed president of the Central Bank. He inherited the country's most acute financial and economic crisis since 1930, and a particularly heinous Central Bank regulation painfully remembered as the Central Bank Circular 1050.

Implemented in 1980 at the behest of conservative Minister of Economy, José Alfredo Martínez de Hoz, policy tied adjustable loan installments (nearly all lending in Argentina is on an adjustable interest basis) to the value of the US dollar locally. Exchange rates were controlled at the time and therefore raised little concern. The next February, however, the peso was sharply devalued and continued to plummet for the rest of 1981 and into 1982. Mortgage and business borrowers saw their monthly installments increase over tenfold in just a year and many, including homeowners just months away from paying off their loans, unable to keep up, either lost their entire equity or everything outright. [6]

Cavallo immediately rescinded the hated Circular 1050 and as a result, saved millions of homeowners and small-business owners from financial ruin (as well as millions more, indirectly). What followed, however, remained the subject of great controversy. [7]

Though nothing new to the economic history of Argentina, he is often accused of implementing financial policies that may have allowed Argentina's main private enterprises to transfer their debts to the state, transforming their private debt into public obligations. During 1982 and 1983, more than 200 firms (30 economic groups and 106 transnational enterprises) transferred a great part of their 17 billion dollar debt to the federal government, thanks to secured exchange rates on loan installments. This fraud took place both before and after his very brief turn at the Central Bank, but not while he was in charge. In a speech in September 1982 he was forced renounce and express his opposition to the transfer of debt to the state. He inherited this practice from Martínez de Hoz himself (whose chief interest, steelmaker Acindar, had unloaded US$700 million of its debts in this way). Moreover, Cavallo subjected payments covered by these exchange rate guarantees to indexation; this latter stipulation was dropped by his successor, Julio González del Solar. [8] [9]

Beginnings in politics

Cavallo was Argentine Congressman, President of Central Bank and Minister of Economy two times. Domingo Felipe Cavallo.jpg
Cavallo was Argentine Congressman, President of Central Bank and Minister of Economy two times.

His involvement in politics began when he was elected as a student representative to the highest government body of the Economics School (1965–1966). He acted as Undersecretary of Development of the provincial government (1969–1970), director (1971–1972) and Vice Chairman of the Board (1972–1973) of the Provincial Bank and Undersecretary of Interior of the national government.

This controversy notwithstanding, upon Argentina's return to democracy in December 1983, he became a close economic advisor to Peronist politician José Manuel de la Sota and was elected as a Peronist deputy for Córdoba Province in the 1987 mid-term polls.

Drawing from his Fundación Mediterránea think-tank, he prepared an academic team for taking over the management of the economy, and to that end he participated actively in Carlos Menem's bid for the presidency in 1989. President Alfonsín's efforts to control hyperinflation (which reached 200% a month in July 1989) failed, and led to food riots and Alfonsín's resignation.

Minister of Foreign relations

Cavallo with George H. W. Bush and Terence Todman in the Casa Rosada. Terence Todman, George H W Bush and Domingo Cavallo 01.png
Cavallo with George H. W. Bush and Terence Todman in the Casa Rosada.

As Foreign Minister, in 1989 he met with British Foreign Secretary John Major, this being the first such meeting since the end of the Falklands War seven years earlier. [10]

As Menem initially chose to deliver the Economy Ministry to senior executives of the firm Bunge y Born, Cavallo had to wait a few more years to put his economic theories into practice. He served as Menem's foreign minister, and was instrumental in the realignment of Argentina with the Washington Consensus advanced by U.S. President George H.W. Bush. Finally, after several false starts, and two further peaks of hyperinflation, Menem put Cavallo at the helm of the Argentine Economy Ministry in February, 1991.

Minister of Economy at the Menem administration

Cavallo introduces the Convertibility Plan in 1991.

In May 1989, amid the worst economic crisis in the country’s history, Carlos Menem was elected President of Argentina. [11]

Hyperinflation forced him to abandon peronist orthodoxy in favour of a fiscally conservative, market-oriented economic policy. [12]

Domingo Cavallo was appointed in 1991, and deepened the liberalization of the economy. He liberalized trade (by removing export taxes and reducing import duties, removing non-tariff barriers to imports, and removing restrictions on foreign investment). [13]

He reformed the State and recreated a market economy based on a reduction in public spending and the fiscal deficit (through the privatization of state companies; the elimination of price controls, wage controls and currency controls; and the elimination of trade subsidies). [14]

He reformed the tax policy, to simplify taxes and reduce non-social government spending and reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund to achieve the path towards adherence to a Brady Plan a plan about the debt restructuring.

These reforms were a success: the capital flights ended, interest rates were lowered, inflation fell to single digits, and economic activity increased; in that year alone, the gross domestic product grew at a rate of 10,5%. [15] [16]

He was the ideologist behind the Convertibility Plan, which created a currency board that fixed the dollar-peso exchange rate at 1 peso per US dollar; he signed his plan into law on April 1, 1991. Cavallo thus succeeded in defeating inflation, which had averaged over 220% (1975-1988), had leapt to 5000% (1989) and remained at 1300% (1990). [17]

Cavallo began the privatization of YPF. Cavallo y Estenssoro.jpg
Cavallo began the privatization of YPF.

President Menem had already privatized the state telecom concern and national airlines (the once-premier airline in Latin America, Aerolíneas Argentinas , which was later almost run into the ground). The stability Cavallo's plan helped bring about, however, opened prospects for more privatizations than ever. Going on to total over 200 state enterprises, these included: the costly state railroads concern, the state oil monopoly Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales, several public utilities, two government television stations, 10,000 km (6000 mi) of roads, steel and petrochemical firms, grain elevators, hotels, subways and even racetracks. A panoply of provincial and municipal banks were sold to financial giants abroad (sometimes over the opposition of their respective governors and mayors) and, taking a page from the Chile pension system privatization, the mandatory National Pension System was opened to choice through the authorization of private pension schemes. [18]

GDP, long stuck at its 1973 level even with a growing population, grew by about a third from early 1991 to late 1994. Fixed investment, depressed since the 1981–82 crisis, more than doubled during this period.

Consumers also benefited: income poverty fell by about half (to under 20%) and new auto sales (likewise depressed since 1982) jumped fivefold, to about 500,000 units. This boom, however, had its problems early on. Tight federal budgets kept the budget deficits of the provinces from improving and, though many benefited from Cavallo's insistence that large employers translate higher productivity into higher pay, this same productivity boom (as well as the nearly 200,000 layoffs the privatizations caused) helped unemployment jump from about 7% in 1991–92 to over 12%, by 1994.

The 1995 Mexican Crisis shocked consumer and business confidence and ratcheted joblessness to 18% (the highest since the 1930s). Confidence and the economy recovered relatively quickly; but, the consequences of double-digit unemployment soon created a crime wave that to some extent continues to this day. Unemployment and poverty eased only very slowly after the return to growth in early 1996.

Independent

Cavallo, candidate for president in 1999. Boleta electoral 1999 - Accion por la Republica - Cavallo-Figueroa.jpg
Cavallo, candidate for president in 1999.

In mid-1995, Cavallo denounced the existence of presumed "mafias" entrenched within the circles of power. After his first public accusations, relations between Cavallo, President Menem and his colleagues became progressively strained.

In 1996, shortly after Menem's reelection, the flux of money from privatisation ceased, and Cavallo was ousted from the cabinet, due to his volatile personality and fights with other cabinet members, coupled with staggering unemployment and social unrest caused by his economic policies and the Mexican crisis. Following months of speculation, Menem asked for his resignation on July 26, 1996. [19]

Cavallo founded a political party, Action for the Republic , which allowed him to return to Congress since 1997, this time as a National Deputy for the City of Buenos Aires.

Cavallo ran for president in 1999, but was defeated by Fernando de la Rúa. Cavallo came in third place and received 11% of the vote, far behind both de la Rúa and the other main candidate, Peronist Eduardo Duhalde.

He also ran for Mayor of Buenos Aires in 2000, got second place and lost to Aníbal Ibarra.

Minister of Economy with de la Rúa and during the crisis

de la Rua and his Minister, in March 2001. Fernando De La Rua en el Salon Blanco.jpg
de la Rúa and his Minister, in March 2001.

Cavallo was called by President de la Rúa in March 2001 to lead the economy once again, in the face of a weakened coalition government and two years of recession. [20]

He attempted to restore business confidence by renegotiating the external debt with the International Monetary Fund and with bondholders, but the growing country risk and spiraling put options by large investors and foreign holdings led to a bank run and a massive capital flight. In late November 2001, Cavallo introduced a set of measures that blocked the usage of cash, informally known as the corralito ("financial corral"). The anger of those Argentines with the means to invest abroad created a framework for the popular middle-class protest termed the cacerolazo .

Political pressure by the Peronist opposition and other organized economic interests coincided with the December 2001 riots. This critical situation finally forced Cavallo, and then de la Rúa, to resign. [21]

A series of Peronist presidents came and left in the next few days, until Eduardo Duhalde, the opponent of De la Rua and Cavallo in the 1999 presidential election, took power on January 2, 2002. Soon afterwards the government decreed the end of peso-dollar convertibility, devalued the peso and soon afterwards let it float, which led to a swift depreciation (the exchange rate briefly reached 4 pesos per dollar in July 2002) and inflation (about 40% in 2002).

Cavallo's policies are viewed by opponents as major causes of the deindustrialization and the rise of unemployment, poverty and crime endured by Argentina in the late 1990s, as well as the collapse of 2001, the ensuing default of the Argentine public debt.

After the crisis

Susana Malcorra met with former Foreign Relations Ministers, including Cavallo. Susana Malcorra reunida con ex cancilleres 01.jpg
Susana Malcorra met with former Foreign Relations Ministers, including Cavallo.

Between April and June 2002, Cavallo was jailed for alleged participation in illegal weapons sales during the Menem administration. He was exonerated of all charges related to this scandal in 2005. [22]

Cavallo served as the Robert Kennedy Visiting Professor in Latin American Studies in the Department of Economics at Harvard University from the Fall 2003 semester to the Fall 2004. He has also continued to serve as a member of the influential Washington-based financial advisory body, the Group of Thirty. As of January 2012, Cavallo is a Senior Fellow at the Jackson Institute for Global Affairs at Yale University as well as a visiting lecturer at Yale's Economics department.

Cavallo returned to Córdoba Province in 2013 to run for Chamber of Deputies under the Es Posible ticket, led by center-right Peronist Alberto Rodríguez Saá. [23] Winning only 1.28% of the provincial vote, Cavallo failed to reach the required 1.5% threshold in the August 2013 open primaries, and was disqualified from the running for the general election in what the local press described as "an emphatic defeat." [24]

Criminal sentence

On December 1, 2015, Cavallo, ex president Carlos Saul Menem, and ex justice minister Raúl Granillo Ocampo, were found guilty of embezzlement by the court Tribunal Oral Federal 4. [25] [26]

Cavallo was sentenced to 3.5 years in prison and banned for life from working on public service. [27]

Honour

Foreign honour

Related Research Articles

Carlos Menem Argentine politician who was President of Argentina from 1989 to 1999

Carlos Saúl Menem is an Argentine politician who was President of Argentina from 8 July 1989 to 10 December 1999. He has been a Senator for La Rioja Province since 10 December 2005. Ideologically, he identified as a Peronist and economically liberal, serving as President of the Justicialist Party from 1990 to 2001, with his political approach called Menemism.

The economic history of Argentina is one of the most studied, owing to the "Argentine paradox", its unique condition as a country that had achieved advanced development in the early 20th century but experienced a reversal, which inspired an enormous wealth of literature and diverse analysis on the causes of this decline. Since independence from Spain in 1816, the country has defaulted on its debt nine times and inflation has often been in the double digits, even as high as 5000%, resulting in several large currency devaluations.

Politics of Argentina Political system in Argentina

The politics of Argentina take place in the framework of what the Constitution defines as a federal presidential representative democratic republic, where the President of Argentina is both Head of State and Head of Government. Legislative power is vested in the two chambers of the Argentine National Congress. The Judiciary is independent of the Executive and the Legislature. Elections take place regularly on a multi-party system.

Eduardo Duhalde Argentine politician

Eduardo Alberto Duhalde is an Argentine politician who was President of Argentina.

Fernando de la Rúa Former President of Argentina

Fernando de la Rúa was an Argentine politician and a member of the Radical Civic Union (UCR) political party who served as President of Argentina from 10 December 1999 to 21 December 2001. De la Rúa was born in Córdoba; he entered politics after graduating with a degree in law. He was elected senator in 1973 and unsuccessfully ran for the office of Vice President as Ricardo Balbín's running mate the same year. He was re-elected senator in 1983 and 1993, and as deputy in 1991. He unsuccessfully opposed the pact of Olivos between President Carlos Menem and party leader Raúl Alfonsín, which enabled the 1994 amendment of the Argentine Constitution and the re-election of Menem in 1995.

Raúl Alfonsín former President of Argentina (1983-89)

Raúl Ricardo Alfonsín Foulkes was an Argentine lawyer and statesman who served as the President of Argentina from 10 December 1983 to 8 July 1989. Alfonsín was the first democratically elected president after more than seven years of military dictatorship and is considered the "father of modern democracy in Argentina". Ideologically, he identified as a Radical and social democrat, serving as Leader of the Radical Civic Union from 1983 to 1991, 1993 to 1995, 1999 to 2001, with his political approach called Alfonsinism.

The 1998–2002 Argentine Great Depression was an economic depression in Argentina, which began in the third quarter of 1998 and lasted until the second quarter of 2002. It followed the 1974–1990 Great Depression after a brief period of rapid economic growth.

December 2001 riots in Argentina Period of civil unrest in Argentina

The December 2001 crisis, sometimes known as the Argentinazo, was a period of civil unrest and rioting in Argentina, which took place during December 2001, with the most violent incidents taking place on 19 and 20 December in the capital, Buenos Aires, Rosario and other large cities around the country. It was preceded by a popular revolt against the Argentine government, rallying behind the motto "All of them must go!", which caused the resignation of then-president Fernando de la Rúa, giving way to a period of political instability during which five government officials performed the duties of the Argentinian presidency. This period of instability occurred during the larger period of crisis known as the Argentine great depression, an economic, political, and social crisis that lasted from 1998 until 2002.

The Argentine Currency Board pegged the Argentine peso to the U.S. dollar between 1991 and 2002 in an attempt to eliminate hyperinflation and stimulate economic growth. While it initially met with considerable success, the board's actions ultimately failed. In contrast to what most people think, this peg actually did not exist, except only in the first years of the plan. From then on, the government never needed to use the foreign exchange reserves of the country in the maintenance of the peg, except when the recession and the massive bank withdrawals started in 2000.

Central Bank of Argentina The central bank of Argentina

The Central Bank of the Argentine Republic is the central bank of Argentina, being an autarchic entity.

José Alfredo Martínez de Hoz Argentine economist, lawyer and teacher

José Alfredo Martínez de Hoz was an Argentine lawyer, businessman and economist. He was Minister of Economy under Jorge Rafael Videla's administration between 1976 and 1981, and shaped economic policy at the National Reorganization Process.

Roque Fernández Argentine economist

Roque Benjamín Fernández is an Argentine economist, former president of the Central Bank, and Minister of Economy and the only member of the Chicago Boys ever to have been the chief economic policy maker in Argentina.

1995 Argentine general election

The Argentine general election of 1995 was held on 14 May. Voters chose both the President and their legislators and with a turnout of 82.1%.

1999 Argentine general election Presidential and parliamentary elections in Argentina

Argentina held presidential and parliamentary elections on 24 October 1999.

1989 Argentine general election

The Argentine general election of 1989 was held on 14 May 1989. Voters chose both the President and their legislators and with a turnout of 85.3%, Carlos Menem won the presidency, and the Justicialist Party won the control of both houses of Congress. This is the last presidential election the president was elected by the electoral college.

Argentina held national parliamentary elections on 26 October 1997. This election was the second time of the peronist Justicialist Party defeated since 1985, while Justicialist Party maintained control of the Congress.

The Argentine legislative elections of 1991 were held between August and December, though most polls took place on 8 September. Voters chose their legislators and governors and, with a turnout of 79.9%, it produced the following results:

Javier González Fraga Argentine banker

Javier González Fraga is an Argentine economist and businessman. He served as President of the Central Bank of Argentina from 1989 to 1991, and was nominated as running-mate by Ricardo Alfonsín for his 2011 campaign for the Presidency.

Carlos Menem was president of Argentina from 1989 to 1999.

Presidency of Fernando de la Rúa

Fernando de la Rúa was the president of Argentina from 1999 to 2001.

References

  1. Graciela Kaminsky; Amine Mati; Nada Choueiri (November 2009). "Thirty Years of Currency Crises in Argentina External Shocks or Domestic Fragility?" (PDF). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  2. "Argentina's collapse - A decline without parallel". The Economist. 28 February 2002.
  3. "Argentina's Economic Reforms of the 1990s in Contemporary and Historical Perspective". Foreign Affairs .
  4. "Domingo Cavallo: biography". Encyclopædia Britannica .
  5. Noticias. 12 September 1991.
  6. "El recuerdo de la Circular 1050". Clarín. April 14, 2002.
  7. "Ordenan investigar si Cavallo debe devolver 17.000 millones de dólares". La Nación. September 16, 2011.
  8. Cavallo, Domingo. Economía en Tiempos de Crisis. p. 25.
  9. Argentina: From Insolvency to Growth. World Bank, 1993.
  10. John Major (1999). John Major: The Autobiography. Harper Collins. p. 123.
  11. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Carlos-Menem
  12. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Carlos-Menem
  13. https://www.jstor.org/stable/166512
  14. http://www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/decentralization/March2003Seminar/poleconofreformsinArg.pdf
  15. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2000/03/pou.htm
  16. https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/5fbf2f91-6cdf-4e70-8ff2-620ba901fc4c/argentina-s-economic-crisis---06-13-03.pdf
  17. "INDEC: consumer prices". Archived from the original on |archive-url= requires |archive-date= (help). Retrieved 2009-06-12.
  18. https://www.amazon.com/-/es/Domingo-Cavallo/dp/1857438043
  19. Clarín. 27 July 1996 (in Spanish)
  20. La Nación. 20 March 2001 (in Spanish)
  21. La Nación. 20 December 2001 (in Spanish)
  22. "Alivio para Menem y Cavallo en causa por contrabando de armas". La Crónica de Hoy. April 13, 2005.
  23. "Unos regresaron con gloria; otros fracasaron". La Nación.
  24. "Cavallo no llega a octubre en una elección cordobesa dominada por Schiaretti". La Prensa.
  25. "Condenaron a Menem y Cavallo por el pago de sobresueldos".
  26. "Condenan a prisión a Menem y a Cavallo por pagar sobresueldos, pero seguirán libres".
  27. "Argentina: Carlos Menem, Domingo Cavallo Imprisoned for Theft". telesurtv.net. La nueva Televisión del Sur C.A. Retrieved January 7, 2017.
  28. "Semakan Penerima Darjah Kebesaran, Bintang dan Pingat".
Preceded by
Antonio Erman González
Minister of Economy
1991–1996
Succeeded by
Roque Fernández
Preceded by
Ricardo López Murphy
Minister of Economy
2001
Succeeded by
Jorge Capitanich