Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010

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Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010
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  BobbySchilling.jpg Phil Hare, official 110th CPD photo portrait.jpg
Candidate Bobby Schilling Phil Hare
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote104,583 85,454
Percentage52.58 42.96

IL17 109.gif

Representative before election

Phil Hare
Democratic

Elected Representative

Bobby Schilling
Republican

Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to determine who would represent Illinois's 17th District in the 112th United States Congress. The seat contested was located in western and parts of central Illinois. Democratic incumbent Phil Hare had held the seat since 2006 and was running for re-election. The Republican nominee was Bobby Schilling. The Green Party nominee was Roger K. Davis. [1]

Illinois State of the United States of America

Illinois is a state in the Midwestern and Great Lakes region of the United States. It has the fifth largest gross domestic product (GDP), the sixth largest population, and the 25th largest land area of all U.S. states. Illinois is often noted as a microcosm of the entire United States. With Chicago in northeastern Illinois, small industrial cities and immense agricultural productivity in the north and center of the state, and natural resources such as coal, timber, and petroleum in the south, Illinois has a diverse economic base, and is a major transportation hub. Chicagoland, Chicago's metropolitan area, encompasses over 65% of the state's population. The Port of Chicago connects the state to international ports via two main routes: from the Great Lakes, via the Saint Lawrence Seaway, to the Atlantic Ocean and from the Great Lakes to the Mississippi River, via the Illinois Waterway to the Illinois River. The Mississippi River, the Ohio River, and the Wabash River form parts of the boundaries of Illinois. For decades, Chicago's O'Hare International Airport has been ranked as one of the world's busiest airports. Illinois has long had a reputation as a bellwether both in social and cultural terms and, through the 1980s, in politics.

Illinoiss 17th congressional district

The 17th Congressional District of Illinois is represented by Democrat Cheri Bustos. It includes most of the northwestern portion of the state, with most of its population living on the Illinois side of the Quad Cities, as well as parts of Peoria and Rockford.

112th United States Congress legislative term

The One Hundred Twelfth United States Congress was a meeting of the legislative branch of the United States federal government, from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. It convened in Washington, D.C. on January 3, 2011, and ended on January 3, 2013, 17 days before the end of the presidential term to which Barack Obama was elected in 2008. Senators elected to regular terms in 2006 completed those terms in this Congress. This Congress included the last House of Representatives elected from congressional districts that were apportioned based on the 2000 census.

Contents

Schilling won the election in an upset with almost 53% of the vote. [2] (p49)

Race

Background

Hare was elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote and was unopposed in United States elections, 2008. Schilling is a restaurateur and owns Saint Giuseppe's Heavenly Pizza in East Moline, Illinois, which he started in 1997. Both were unopposed in their respective primaries. [3]

A restaurateur is a person who opens and runs restaurants professionally. Although over time the term has come to describe any person who owns a restaurant, traditionally it refers to a highly skilled professional who is proficient in all aspects of the restaurant business.

Once thought to be safe by political analysts, Hare's seat was in trouble in the summer of 2010 as Schilling made his challenge. [4] The New York Times's final rating was "Tossup", [5] as was that of CQ Politics. [6] RealClearPolitics's final rating was "Leans Democrat". [7] FiveThirtyEight gave Schilling a 63% chance of winning. [5] Politico rated it #5 on its list of "hottest House races in the country". [8]

<i>The New York Times</i> Daily broadsheet newspaper based in New York City

The New York Times is an American newspaper based in New York City with worldwide influence and readership. Founded in 1851, the paper has won 125 Pulitzer Prizes, more than any other newspaper. The Times is ranked 17th in the world by circulation and 2nd in the U.S.

RealClearPolitics (RCP) is a Chicago-based political news and polling data aggregator formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan. The site features selected political news stories and op-eds from various news publications in addition to commentary from its own contributors. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity" in its commentary section.

FiveThirtyEight, sometimes rendered as 538, is a website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics and sports blogging. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008 as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. In August 2010, the blog became a licensed feature of The New York Times online. It was renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus. In July 2013, ESPN announced that it would become the owner of the FiveThirtyEight brand and site and Silver was appointed as editor-in-chief. The ESPN-owned FiveThirtyEight began publication on March 17, 2014. The site was acquired by ABC News on April 17, 2018. In the ESPN/ABC News era, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics and popular culture.

Though both were unopposed in their respective primaries, primary elections were still held as voters went to the polls to vote in other races. Out of 64,141 total votes cast in each party for the February 2nd Illinois primary, Hare took 32,496 votes (50.66%) to Schilling's 31,645 (49.34%). [1] [9] "After the results of yesterday’s election, one thing is clear: voters are ready for a clean break from the failed ideas of the past," Schilling said after the primary. "Voter turnout shows that my Democrat opponent and I nearly had identical votes." Because of the close results, National Review said the race is "worth keeping an eye on." [10]

<i>National Review</i> American conservative editorial magazine

National Review (NR) is an American semi-monthly editorial magazine focusing on news and commentary pieces on political, social, and cultural affairs. The magazine was founded by the author William F. Buckley Jr. in 1955. It is currently edited by Rich Lowry.

General election campaign

National organizations were heavily involved in the race, with the National Republican Congressional Committee injecting $350,000 into the race and the conservative American Future Fund buying $500,000 worth of ads in the district, both on behalf of Schilling. [11] The Republican National Committee funded the opening of a "Victory Center" similar to that used for the campaign of Sen. Scott Brown in 2010. [12] On Hare's side, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $90,000 worth of airtime and SEIU bought $317,000 for similar commercials alleging Schilling wants to send jobs overseas, which the Schilling campaign denies. [11] [13]

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) is the Republican Hill committee which works to elect Republicans to the United States House of Representatives.

Republican National Committee top institution of the U.S. Republican Party

The Republican National Committee (RNC) is a U.S. political committee that provides national leadership for the Republican Party of the United States. It is responsible for developing and promoting the Republican political platform, as well as coordinating fundraising and election strategy. It is also responsible for organizing and running the Republican National Convention. Similar committees exist in every U.S. state and most U.S. counties, although in some states party organization is structured by congressional district, allied campaign organizations being governed by a national committee. Ronna Romney McDaniel is the current committee chairwoman.

United States Senate Upper house of the United States Congress

The United States Senate is the upper chamber of the United States Congress, which along with the United States House of Representatives—the lower chamber—comprises the legislature of the United States. The Senate chamber is located in the north wing of the Capitol, in Washington, D.C.

Schilling's campaign outraised Hare's by $51,000 in Q3 2010 and had more cash on hand than Hare as of September 30. [14] [15] [16]

All three candidates participated in one televised debate on October 26, which covered topics ranging from social security, taxes, and job creation to abortion and stem cell research. [17]

Endorsements

Schilling received the endorsements of the Illinois Federation for the Right to Life PAC, [18] the Republican National Coalition for Life PAC, [19] the Quincy Tea Party, [20] Congressman Aaron Schock, [21] Congressman John Shimkus, Sgt. John F. Baker, Jr., recipient of the Medal of Honor, [22] Rep. Michele Bachmann, [23] CatholicVote PAC, [24] former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney, [25] John Deere PAC, [26] the Chicago Tribune , [27] and the United States Chamber of Commerce. [28]

Hare was endorsed by the Sierra Club [29] and Veterans of Foreign Wars. [27]

Fundraising

Figures are final as of December 31, 2010.

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Phil Hare (D) $1,364,578 $1,759,078 $1,837 $11,487
Bobby Schilling (R) $1,127,490 $1,117,731 $9,759 $54,039
Roger K. Davis (G) $0 $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Phil Hare (D) Bobby Schilling (R) Roger K. Davis (G) Undecided
The Hill [30] October 12–14, 2010 38%45% - 14%
NRCC internal poll via Washington Post [31] Unavailable 41%44% Unavailable Unavailable
Public Opinion Strategies [32] September 26–27, 201038% 37% -- --
Tarrance Group via National Journal [33] September 23–25, 2010 43%44% -- --
We Ask America [34] September 8, 2010 38%41% -- 17%
Magellan Strategies via NRO [35] July 12, 2010 32%45% -- 23%
Public Opinion Strategies via NRO [36] Unavailable33% 31% 7% 30%
We Ask America [37] February 18, 201039% 32% 4% 26%

General election results

Illinois's 17th district general election, November 2, 2010 [2] (p49)
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bobby Schilling104,58352.58
Democratic Phil Hare 85,454 42.96
Green Roger K. Davis 8,861 4.46
Total votes198,898100

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References

  1. 1 2 Eric Timmons (2010-02-03). "Hare and Schilling ready for battle - News - The Register-Mail - Galesburg, IL". Galesburg.com. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  2. 1 2 "General Election of November 2, 2010" (PDF). Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved February 1, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Many state seats unopposed in primary - News - Journal Star - Peoria, IL". Pjstar.com. 2010-01-19. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  4. ↑ "Cook Political Report Upgrades IL-17 to Toss Up - Illinois Review". Illinoisreview.typepad.com. 2010-09-16. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  5. 1 2 Brown, Theresa (2010-12-10). "Illinois 17th District Race Profile - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  6. ↑ "Race Detail Display Page : Roll Call". Cqpolitics.com. 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-19.[ permanent dead link ]
  7. ↑ "Election 2010 - Illinois 17th District - Schilling vs. Hare". RealClearPolitics.com. 2010-03-18. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  8. ↑ "12 hottest House races to watch - Mike Allen and Alexander Burns and Alexander Trowbridge". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  9. ↑ "Schilling Competitive with Hare in Primary Turn-Out". Archive.constantcontact.com. 2010-02-04. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  10. ↑ [ dead link ]
  11. 1 2 "GOP hungrily eyes Hare's seat". Thehill.com. 2012-12-23. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  12. ↑ "Bobby Schilling". Archived from the original on October 8, 2010. Retrieved October 11, 2010.
  13. ↑ Tibbetts, Ed. "On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts". Campaigntrail.qctimes.com. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  14. ↑ Archived October 18, 2010, at the Wayback Machine .
  15. ↑ "Constant Contact : Web Page Expired". Campaign.r20.constantcontact.com. 2014-06-02. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  16. 1 2 [ dead link ]
  17. ↑ "Hare, Schilling clash in television debate". Qctimes.com. 2010-10-26. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  18. ↑ "Illinois Federation for Right to Life Political Action Committee : 2010 Illinois Primary Election Page—Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved May 16, 2015.
  19. ↑ "2010 Election Candidates responses to the RNC/Life Questionnaire". Rnclife.org. 2010-11-05. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  20. ↑ Archived January 10, 2010, at the Wayback Machine .
  21. ↑ https://web.archive.org/web/20110402231012/http://news.mywebpal.com/news_tool_v2.cfm?show=localnews. Archived from the original on April 2, 2011. Retrieved September 21, 2010.Missing or empty |title= (help)
  22. ↑ [ dead link ]
  23. ↑ "YouTube". YouTube.com. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  24. ↑ White, John. "CatholicVote.org". CatholicVote.org. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  25. ↑ "Mitt Romney Endorses Bobby Schilling for Congress". Aledotimesrecord.com. 2010-09-24. Archived from the original on 2012-03-07. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  26. ↑ "Deere PAC chooses sides in tight congressional race". Archived from the original on October 8, 2010. Retrieved October 6, 2010.
  27. 1 2 Tibbetts, Ed. "On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts". Campaigntrail.qctimes.com. Archived from the original on 2010-10-10. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  28. ↑ "Page 2: Vote 2010 Elections: The Rookies From Pizza Parlor to the Halls of Congress". Abcnews.go.com. 2010-10-13. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
  29. ↑ "SIERRA CLUB ENDORSES PHIL HARE FOR CONGRESS". Archived from the original on August 26, 2010. Retrieved September 21, 2010.
  30. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 24, 2010. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
  31. ↑ "The Fix - Democratic outside group launches Washington, West Virginia ads" . Retrieved 2015-05-22.
  32. ↑ "Scot Reader on Twitter" . Retrieved 2015-05-22.
  33. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 3, 2010. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  34. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on September 14, 2010. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  35. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 23, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  36. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 20, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  37. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on July 29, 2010. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
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