Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015

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Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015
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  John Bel Edwards (cropped).jpg DVitterOfficial.jpg
Nominee John Bel Edwards David Vitter
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote646,924505,940
Percentage56.1%43.9%
Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015.svg
Runoff results by parish
Governor before election

Bobby Jindal
Republican

Elected Governor

John Bel Edwards
Democratic

The Louisiana gubernatorial election of 2015 was held on November 21, 2015 to elect the Governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican Governor Bobby Jindal was not eligible to run for re-election to a third term because of term limits established by the Louisiana Constitution.

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Bobby Jindal American politician; two-term Governor of Louisiana

Piyush "Bobby" Jindal is an American politician who was the 55th Governor of Louisiana between 2008 and 2016, and previously served as a U.S. Congressman and as the vice chairman of the Republican Governors Association.

Term limits in the United States

Term limits in the United States apply to many offices at both the federal and state level, and date back to the American Revolution.

Contents

Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party and voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. As no candidate received a majority of the vote during the primary election on October 24, 2015, a runoff election was held on November 21, 2015 between the top two candidates in the primary. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system).

California State of the United States of America

California is a state in the Pacific Region of the United States. With 39.6 million residents, California is the most populous U.S. state and the third-largest by area. The state capital is Sacramento. The Greater Los Angeles Area and the San Francisco Bay Area are the nation's second and fifth most populous urban regions, with 18.7 million and 9.7 million residents respectively. Los Angeles is California's most populous city, and the country's second most populous, after New York City. California also has the nation's most populous county, Los Angeles County, and its largest county by area, San Bernardino County. The City and County of San Francisco is both the country's second-most densely populated major city after New York City and the fifth-most densely populated county, behind only four of the five New York City boroughs.

Washington (state) State of the United States of America

Washington, officially the State of Washington, is a state in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. Named for George Washington, the first president of the United States, the state was made out of the western part of the Washington Territory, which was ceded by Britain in 1846 in accordance with the Oregon Treaty in the settlement of the Oregon boundary dispute. It was admitted to the Union as the 42nd state in 1889. Olympia is the state capital; the state's largest city is Seattle. Washington is sometimes referred to as Washington State to distinguish it from Washington, D.C., the capital of the United States.

A nonpartisan blanket primary is a primary election in which all candidates for the same elected office, regardless of respective political party, run against each other at once, instead of being segregated by political party. It is also known as a jungle primary, or qualifying primary. In most cases there are two winners who advance to the general election, which must be a normal first-past-the-post election, in this case it is called a top-two primary.

The runoff election featured Democratic Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives John Bel Edwards and Republican Senator David Vitter, as they were the top two vote getters in the primary. Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne and Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle were eliminated in the jungle primary.

Louisiana House of Representatives lower house in the Louisiana State Legislature

The Louisiana House of Representatives is the lower house in the Louisiana State Legislature, the state legislature of the US state of Louisiana. The House is composed of 105 representatives, each of whom represents approximately 42,500 people. Members serve four-year terms with a term limit of three terms. The House is one of the five state legislative lower houses that has a four-year term, as opposed to the near-universal two-year term.

John Bel Edwards 56th Governor of Louisiana

John Bel Edwards is an American politician and lawyer serving as the 56th Governor of Louisiana since 2016. He was previously the Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives for two terms. He left the state legislature to run for governor in 2015. A member of the Democratic Party, he defeated Republican U.S. Senator David Vitter in the second round of the 2015 election. He is a United States Army veteran, having served with the 82nd Airborne Division.

David Vitter U.S. Senator from Louisiana

David Bruce Vitter is an American lobbyist, lawyer and politician who served as United States Senator for Louisiana from 2005 to 2017. He was the first Republican elected to the Senate from his state since the Reconstruction Era. Previously, he served in the United States House of Representatives, representing the suburban Louisiana's 1st congressional district. He served as a member of the Louisiana House of Representatives before entering the U.S. House.

In the runoff, which was held November 21, 2015, Edwards defeated Vitter by a count of 56.1% to 43.9%. [1] Edwards became the first Democrat to win a statewide election in Louisiana since 2008, when Mary Landrieu won her third term in the United States Senate. The election was one of the most expensive in history, with over $50 million spent by candidates and outside groups. [2] Following the 2016 presidential election, this is also the first Louisiana gubernatorial election since 1991 in which the winner's party did not lose the popular vote in the presidential election the following year.

Mary Landrieu Louisiana politician

Mary Loretta Landrieu is an American politician, entrepreneur, and former U.S. Senator from the state of Louisiana. She is a member of the Democratic Party.

Candidates

Republican Party

Filed

Scott Angelle Louisiana politician

Scott Anthony Angelle is an American politician who is the current director of the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement in Washington, D.C. From 2013 to 2017, he was the District 2 member of the Louisiana Public Service Commission, an elected five-person utility regulatory body.

Louisiana Public Service Commission

Louisiana Public Service Commission (PSC) is an independent regulatory agency which manages public utilities and motor carriers in Louisiana. The commission has five elected members chosen in single-member districts for staggered six-year terms. Thus the commissioners have large constituencies, long terms, and close involvement with issues of intense consumer interest ; consequently membership on PSC has been known to serve as a springboard to even higher public office, as in the cases of Huey Long, Jimmie Davis, John McKeithen, and Kathleen Babineaux Blanco —PSC members who became governors of Louisiana.

Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana lieutenant governor

The Office of Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana is the second highest state office in Louisiana. The current lieutenant governor is Billy Nungesser, a Republican.

Declined

Jefferson Parish, Louisiana Parish in the United States

Jefferson Parish is a parish in the state of Louisiana. As of the 2010 census, the population was 432,552. The parish seat is Gretna.

Michael Gene Strain is the first Republican ever elected to the position of Louisiana Agriculture and Forestry Commissioner.

Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry

The Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry (LDAF) is a state agency of Louisiana, headquartered in Baton Rouge. The Department is responsible for promoting, protecting and advancing agriculture and forestry, and soil and water resources.

Democratic Party

Filed

Declined

Ineligible

Independents

Filed

  • Beryl Billiot, restaurant owner and former Marine [26]
  • Jeremy Odom, minister [27]
  • Eric Paul Orgeron [28]

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Angelle
Organizations
  • Terrebonne Republican Party [34]
  • Republican Party of East Baton Rouge Parish [35]
  • Livingston Parish Republican Party [36]
Publishers
  • Greater Baton Rouge Business Report [37]
  • The Hayride, Louisiana Conservative Political Commentary Site [38]
Public Figures
Politicians
  • Paul Hardy, 48th Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana
  • Fred Mills, Louisiana State Senator
  • Guy Cormier, St. Martin Parish President
Jay Dardenne
Politicians
John Bel Edwards
Organizations
Politicians
Newspapers
David Vitter
Organizations
Politicians

Jungle primary

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Scott
Angelle (R)		Jay
Dardenne (R)		John Bel
Edwards (D)		John
Kennedy (R)		Mitch
Landrieu (D)		David
Vitter (R)		OtherUndecided
MarblePortLLC October 20–21, 20151464± 3%12.7%14.1%40.5%——28.5%—4.3%
MRI October 15–19, 2015600± ?%17%14%36%——19%2%12%
Harper Polling (R) October 16–17, 2015612± 3.9%14%14%36%——26%—9%
KPLC/Raycom Media October 7–13, 2015602± 4%7%8%24%——21%—37%
The Advocate/WWL-TV September 20–23, 2015800± 3.46%15%14%24%——24%—18%
Public Policy Polling September 21–22, 2015616± 4%15%14%28%——27%—17%
Verne Kennedy July 27–31, 2015600± 4%25%12%20%——22%—21%
MarblePort June 17, 20151415± 2.6%11.1%10.4%28.8%——34.1%—15.6%
Verne Kennedy May 27–29, 2015700± 3.5%17%12%29%——29%—13%
SM&O Research May 5, 2015600± 4.0%6%17%25%——38%—16%
MarblePort March 17, 20151,071± 2.99%7%14%31%——34%—14%
Triumph March 5, 20151,655± 2.4%7%15%33%——35%—11%
NSO Research* Jan. 10–13, 2015600± 4%2%10%20%13%—24%—32%
SM&O Research Dec. 9–11, 2014600± ?3.1%18.6%25.7%——36.3%—16.3%
Suffolk Oct. 23–26, 2014500± 4%3%9.8%3.8%—22.6%31.6%—29.2%
Multi-Quest Oct. 22–24, 2014606± 4%2.3%10.9%4%——25.9%3.8% [61] 53.1%
SM&O Research April 28–30, 2014600± ?3.8%10.5%5.5%11.7%28.9%28.9%—10.6%
PSB April 2014601± ?—14%17%8%—18%14% [62] 29%
Magellan Mar. 24–26, 2014600± 4.1%—13.1%4.6%8.5%26.4%27.6%—19.8%
V/C Research Feb. 20–25, 2014600± 4%—11%8%9%33%25%—15%
Kitchens Group** Feb. 10–12, 2014600± 4.2%—9%21%7%—26%—38%
WPAOR^ Nov. 12–14, 2013800± 3.5%—12%2%9%20%25%11% [63] 11
—22%——29%35%—14%
SM&O Research Nov. 6–12, 2013600± 4%2.1%18%7.9%18.9%—30.3%—22.9%
Magellan Oct. 2–4, 20122,862± 1.9%—6.5%—7.2%29.4%31.1%9.1% [64] 16.7%

Results

Louisiana gubernatorial election Jungle Primary, 2015
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Bel Edwards 444,51739.89%
Republican David Vitter 256,30023.00%
Republican Scott Angelle 214,98219.29%
Republican Jay Dardenne 166,65614.96%
Democratic Cary Deaton11,7631.06%
Democratic S.L. Simpson7,4200.67%
Independent Beryl Billiot5,6940.51%
Independent Jeremy Odom4,7560.43%
Independent Eric Orgeron2,2480.20%
Majority188,21716.89%
Total votes1,114,336100.00%

Runoff

Campaign

Sign for John Bel Edwards Sign supporting John Bel Edwards.jpg
Sign for John Bel Edwards

On November 5, 2015, Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne, who finished fourth in the primary election, endorsed Democrat Edwards in the upcoming general election against his intraparty rival, Senator David Vitter. Dardenne made the announcement at "Free Speech Alley" in front of the LSU Student Union building in Baton Rouge. [65] After the primary, polls showed Edwards with a commanding lead over Vitter. Verne Kennedy of Market Research Insight placed Edwards ahead, 54 to 38 percent or 51 to 40 percent, depending on the level of turnout among African-American voters, either 25 or 20 percent, accordingly. [66]

Dardenne's backing of Edwards drew fire from state Republican chairman Roger Villere and Reince Priebus, the chairman of the Republican National Committee, who termed the endorsement a betrayal: "You cannot claim to be a conservative fighter for Louisiana principles and publicly endorse an Obama liberal like Mr. Edwards," the two chairmen wrote. Vitter, who had sought Dardenne's endorsement, said he remains "very excited about our campaign and the tens of thousands of conservative Louisiana voters who have jumped on board in the past week, including so many that voted for Jay. We wish Jay and his family the best." [67]

Third-place contender Scott Angelle never spoke about any role that he would play in the general election, prior to the election. [67]

A debate between Edwards and Vitter was held on November 10 by Louisiana Public Broadcasting and the Council for a Better Louisiana. [68]

Early voting was possible from November 7 until November 14. Despite having one fewer day due to Veterans Day, turnout was significantly higher compared to the primary election early voting, especially among black voters and in urban parishes. [69]

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		David
Vitter (R)		John Bel
Edwards (D)		Undecided
JMC Analytics November 19, 2015614± 3.9%43%47%10%
RRH Elections November 12–16, 2015359± 5%42%48%10%
JMC Analytics November 14–16, 2015635± 3.9%35%51%13%
JMC Analytics November 14–16, 2015635± 4%38%54%8%
Market Research Insight November 11–14, 2015600± 4%38%53%9%
Hayride/MarblePort November 11, 2015978± 3.1%42%48%10%
Market Research Insight November 11, 2015600± 4%38%52%10%
UNO Survey Research Center November 2–8, 2015600± 4%34%56%10%
Triumph Campaigns November 5, 20151,818± 3%41%49%10%
WVLA/JMC Analytics October 28–31, 2015600± 4%32%52%16%
Market Research Insight October 27–28, 2015600± 4.1%38%54%8%
Anzalone Liszt Grove October 26–28, 2015700± 3.7%40%52%7%
KPLC/Raycom Media October 7–13, 2015602± 4%33%52%?%
The Advocate/WWL-TV September 20–23, 2015800± 3.46%41%45%?%
Public Policy Polling September 21–22, 2015616± 4%38%50%12%
Public Policy Polling September 25–28, 20141,141± 2.9%50%32%18%
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014664± 3.8%52%30%17%
The Kitchen Group* February 10–12, 2014600± 4.2%38%32%31%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014635± 3.9%51%30%19%

*Internal poll for the John Bel Edwards campaign

Edwards' win was the first statewide win for Democrats in Louisiana since Mary Landrieu won a third term to the senate in 2008. He performed surprisingly well as a Democratic candidate in Louisiana, given that the Cook PVI for the state was R+12 at the time of the election and most Republican candidates won in landslides in prior statewide elections.[ citation needed ] He performed especially well in Caddo Parish home of Shreveport, East Baton Rouge Parish home of Baton Rouge, and in the reliably Democratic Orleans Parish home of New Orleans. Turnout was slightly higher in the November run-off than in the October jungle primary.

Louisiana gubernatorial election runoff, 2015
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Bel Edwards 646,92456.1%
Republican David Vitter 505,94043.9%
Turnout 1,152,86440.2
Democratic gain from Republican

See also

Related Research Articles

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John Kennedy (Louisiana politician) United States Senator from Louisiana

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2004 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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2011 Louisiana gubernatorial election

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2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana

The 2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. As no candidate won a majority of the vote, a runoff was held on December 6, 2014.

2015 United States gubernatorial elections

United States gubernatorial elections were held in three states in 2015 as part of the 2015 United States elections. In Kentucky and Mississippi the elections were held on Tuesday, November 3, and in Louisiana, as no candidate received a majority of votes at the primary election on Saturday, October 24, 2015, a runoff election was held on Saturday, November 21. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2011. Democrats won the open seat of term-limited Republican Bobby Jindal in Louisiana, while Republicans reelected incumbent Phil Bryant in Mississippi and picked up the seat of term-limited Democrat Steve Beshear in Kentucky.

2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana

The 2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2015 Louisiana lieutenant gubernatorial election

The Louisiana lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on October 24, 2015, to elect the Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana, with a runoff election held on November 21, 2015. Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne did not for re-election to a second full term in office. He instead ran for Governor. Billy Nungesser won the election defeating Kip Holden, despite a Democratic victory in the gubernatorial election, in which John Bel Edwards defeated David Vitter by a similar margin.

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the six U.S. Representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election

The 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election will be held to elect the Governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards is running for re-election to a second term.

References

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  2. ↑ "$50M spent on Louisiana governor race, campaign records show". thenewsstar.com. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  3. 1 2 Alford, Jeremy (May 6, 2013). "Saved by the Bel?". Gambit . Retrieved May 13, 2013.
  4. ↑ Avery, Cole (October 2, 2014). "Scott Angelle to run for governor in 2015". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved October 2, 2014.
  5. ↑ Adelson, Jeff (March 20, 2013). "Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne 'intends' to run for governor in 2015". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved May 13, 2013.
  6. ↑ "David Vitter Announces Run for Governor". Roll Call. January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
  7. ↑ O'Donoghue, Julia (April 9, 2015). "State Treasurer John Kennedy will seek reelection, not run for governor or attorney general". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  8. 1 2 "Jefferson Parish Sheriff Newell Normand not running for governor, says poll in article is months old". NOLA.com. June 9, 2014. Retrieved July 15, 2014.
  9. ↑ "Ag commissioner Mike Strain says he won't run for Louisiana governor". Shreveport Times. July 1, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2013.
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  11. ↑ Avery, Cole (December 10, 2014). "Angola warden Burl Cain mulling run for governor". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved December 11, 2014.
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  16. ↑ "Landrieu run again? 'Oh Lord, no'". Politico. December 10, 2014. Retrieved December 10, 2014.
  17. ↑ James Carville (July 8, 2014). "James Carville: Four good reasons to watch Louisiana race this season". The Hill. Retrieved January 3, 2015.
  18. ↑ Ballard, Mark (April 27, 2015). "Mitch Landrieu says commitment to New Orleans will keep him out of governor's race". The Advocate . Retrieved April 27, 2015.
  19. ↑ "John Georges is 'monitoring' the Louisiana governor's race, The News-Star reports". Nola.com . August 5, 2015. Retrieved August 5, 2015.
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  26. ↑ "Common Sense, Beryl Billiot Governor * 2015 Home".
  27. ↑ "Natchitoches minister makes run for governor". KNOE.com. March 4, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
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  31. ↑ "Retired Louisiana Lt. General Russell Honore" may run for governor". KTAL-TV . February 19, 2014. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
  32. ↑ Stewart, Robert (February 2, 2015). "Former Katrina pointman Honoré still mulling run for governor". Greater Baton Rouge Business Report. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
  33. ↑ Litten, Kevin (July 1, 2015). "Russel Honore is not running for governor of Louisiana". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved July 1, 2015.
  34. ↑ "Terrebonne GOP endorses Angelle for Governor". Daily Comet.
  35. ↑ "Vitter Angelle Endorsed By Republican Party of East Baton Rouge Parish". My ArkLaMiss.
  36. ↑ "Livingston Parish Republican committee endorses only 1 of 5 incumbents running for council". The Advocate.
  37. ↑ "Publisher Endorses Oct 24 Election". Business Report.
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  39. ↑ "Former Miss USA Ali Landry Makes Her Choice For Louisiana Governor". I Agree To See.
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  41. ↑ "Democratic State Central Committee Announces Endorsements for Governor and Secretary of State Candidates". Louisiana Democrats. March 30, 2015. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  42. ↑ Sentell, Will (March 11, 2015). "Teachers' union backs John Bel Edwards for governor". The Advocate . Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  43. ↑ Moreau, Andre (October 30, 2015). "Endorsements roll in for Vitter, Edwards during gubernatorial runoff". WAFB . Retrieved November 1, 2015.
  44. ↑ "Troopers endorse Edwards for governor". thenewsstar.com. November 13, 2015.
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  46. ↑ Hilburn, Greg (September 9, 2015). "Monroe mayor endorses Edwards for governor". The Times . Retrieved November 2, 2015.
  47. ↑ Litten, Kevin (November 5, 2015). "Republican Jay Dardenne endorses Democrat John Bel Edwards for Louisiana governor". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved November 5, 2015.
  48. ↑ "Endorsement: John Bel Edwards for Louisiana governor". Gambit.
  49. ↑ "Vitter Picks Up Endorsement from Gun Rights Group". myarklamiss.com. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  50. ↑ "Vitter lands LABI nod as expected". thenewsstar.com. November 12, 2015.
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  52. ↑ "Boustany endorsing Vitter for La. governor". The Advertiser. Retrieved April 1, 2015.
  53. 1 2 "Boustany, Durel endorse Vitter in his run for governor". KATC.com. Retrieved April 2, 2015.
  54. ↑ "George H.W. Bush backs David Vitter in governor's race". The Daily Advertiser . The Associated Press. Archived from the original on April 9, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2016.
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  56. ↑ Boone, Timothy (February 18, 2015). "US Sen Bill Cassidy endorses David Vitter for governor". The Advocate . Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  57. ↑ O'Donoghue, Julia (January 8, 2015). "Chris Christie sends fundraising letter for David Vitter". The Times-Picayune . Retrieved February 10, 2015.
  58. ↑ "Fleming endorses Vitter for Governor". KTBS-TV . Archived from the original on March 21, 2015. Retrieved March 21, 2015.
  59. ↑ "Vitter picks up backing from treasurer in governor's race". WBRZ. Retrieved May 5, 2015.
  60. ↑ Camia, Catalina (February 10, 2015). "Rand Paul endorses David Vitter for Louisiana governor". USA Today . Retrieved February 10, 2015.
  61. ↑ Foster Campbell (D)
  62. ↑ Newell Normand (R) 10%, Mike Strain (R) 4%
  63. ↑ Rodney Alexander (R) 4%, Foster Campbell (D) 2%, John Georges (D) 2%, Jim Bernhard (D) 1%, Gerald Long (R) 1%, Newell Normand (R) 1%
  64. ↑ John Georges (D) 6%, Mike Strain (R) 3.1%
  65. ↑ Greg Hilburn (November 5, 2015). "Republican Dardenne endorses Democrat Edwards". The Shreveport Times .
  66. ↑ "Three polls show John Bel Edwards leading David Vitter in stunning turn of events surrounding governor's race". The Baton Rouge Advocate. November 3, 2015. Retrieved November 5, 2015.
  67. 1 2 Greg Hilburn (November 5, 2015). "Dardenne endorses Edwards, called traitor by GOP". The Shreveport Times. Retrieved November 6, 2015.
  68. ↑ "Vitter, Edwards face-off in first televised gubernatorial runoff debate". WWLTV. November 11, 2015.
  69. ↑ "Decision 2015: Runoff Early Voting "Post Game Report"". JMC Enterprises of Louisiana/JMC Analytics and Polling. November 15, 2015.
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