Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies

Last updated
Magellan Strategies
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies
Formation2006
TypePublic opinion research firm
Headquarters Broomfield, Colorado
Location
Website magellanstrategies.com

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies, now called Magellan Strategies, is a public opinion research firm based in Broomfield, Colorado. [1] The company was founded in November 2006. Their primary clients include government organizations, school districts, special districts (fire, recreation, library, metro, etc.), and public policy organizations. Their primary survey research projects include resident and community surveys, voter opinion ballot measure surveys, and public policy surveys. [2]

Contents

Magellan Strategies is an associate member of the Colorado Association of School Boards, Colorado Association of School Executives, Colorado Rural Schools Alliance, and the Colorado School Finance Project. It is also a member of the International City/County Management Association, the Colorado City & County Management Association, Colorado Counties, Inc., and the Special District Association of Colorado. [3]

The company formerly worked for Republican candidates and conservative organizations. [4]

Survey weighting methodology

Magellan Strategies utilizes a national database of registered voters and MMS text survey invitations to engage respondents. In addition, they use vote history to determine their survey demographics goals, including gender, age group, party registration, and race. This methodology has proven to be very effective in accurately forecasting support and opposition levels in ballot measure elections. [5]

Public polling and media references

2017 references

2016 election cycle

2015 Colorado legislative session

Magellan Strategies staff testifies in front of Colorado Senate Transportation Committee regarding Colorado voter opinion of a proposed $3.5 billion bond measure to fund transportation need in the state. [27]

2012 election cycle

In mid-November 2011, a Magellan poll conducted for the New Hampshire Journal reported that Newt Gingrich had surged in New Hampshire, which hosts the first Presidential nominating primary. The Magellan Poll reported that Romney had 29% support of surveyed voters while Gingrich was in a virtual statistical tie with 27%. By contrast, a Bloomberg News poll conducted less than a week before the Magellan Poll put Romney's support in New Hampshire at 40% and Gingrich at 11%. A story in The New York Times on December 16 reported "Signs of trouble emerged for Mr. Romney in New Hampshire on Nov. 18, the day a poll in The New Hampshire Journal showed for the first time that Mr. Romney and Mr. Gingrich were essentially tied. [28]

2011 election cycle

The Political editor of the Denver Post acknowledges Magellan Strategies for correctly predicting the outcome of the special election in New York's 9th Congressional District to replace Anthony Weiner. [29]

2010 election cycle

Magellan was criticized for making an inaccurate prediction that Tom Tancredo would win the 2010 Colorado governors election. Tom Tancredo lost to Democrat John Hickenlooper on election day, November 2. Hickenlooper resoundingly beat Tancredo by a margin of 51% to 36%. Editorial page editor Curtis Hubbard of The Denver Post gave Magellan his "Agony of Defeat" award for the worst poll in the gubernatorial race. [30]

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dixville Notch, New Hampshire</span> Unincorporated community in New Hampshire, United States

Dixville Notch is an unincorporated community in Dixville township, Coos County, New Hampshire, United States. The population of the township, all of whom live in Dixville Notch, was 4 as of the 2020 census. The village is known for being the first place to declare its results during the New Hampshire presidential primary. It is located in the northern part of the state, approximately 20 miles (32 km) south of the border with the Canadian province of Quebec. The village is situated at about 1,800 feet (550 m) above sea level at the base of mountains.

Rasmussen Reports is an American polling company founded in 2003. The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections, politics, current events, consumer confidence, business topics, and the United States president's job approval ratings. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. The company generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions to its polling survey data.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2008 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on January 3, 2008. The Iowa Republican caucuses are an unofficial primary, with the delegates to the state convention selected proportionally via a straw poll. The Iowa caucuses mark the traditional formal start of the delegate selection process for the 2008 United States presidential election.

The 2008 presidential campaign of Tom Tancredo, a Congressman from Colorado began on April 2, 2007 with a formal announcement. The campaign garnered grassroots support and endorsements from conservative Republicans concerned about illegal immigration and border security. However, Tancredo remained low in the polls and was criticized for his nativist campaign, which had been described as "single-issued." Tancredo stated that he probably would not win the nomination but hoped his campaign would bring forth more debate on his issue of concern, immigration. On December 20, 2007 Tancredo withdrew from the presidential race, and endorsed Mitt Romney.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States presidential election</span> 57th quadrennial U.S. presidential election

The 2012 United States presidential election was the 57th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. Incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Joe Biden, were elected to a second term. They defeated the Republican ticket of former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney and U.S. Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

Voters of the Republican Party elected state delegations to the 2012 Republican National Convention in presidential primaries. The national convention then selected its nominee to run for President of the United States in the 2012 presidential election. There were 2,286 delegates chosen, and a candidate needed to accumulate 1,144 delegate votes at the convention to win the nomination. The caucuses allocated delegates to the respective state delegations to the national convention, but the actual election of the delegates were, many times, at a later date. Delegates were elected in different ways that vary from state to state. They could be elected at local conventions, selected from slates submitted by the candidates, selected at committee meetings, or elected directly at the caucuses and primaries.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election</span> 58th quadrennial U.S. presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. The Republican ticket, businessman Donald Trump and Indiana governor Mike Pence, defeated the Democratic ticket of former secretary of state and First Lady of the United States Hillary Clinton and the junior senator from Virginia, Tim Kaine, in what was considered one of the biggest political upsets in American history. It was the fifth and most recent presidential election in which the winning candidate lost the popular vote. It was also the sixth and most recent presidential election in U.S. history in which both major party candidates were registered in the same home state; the others have been in 1860, 1904, 1920, 1940, and 1944.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2012 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, U.S. Representative Paul Ryan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between February 1 and June 7, 2016. These elections selected the 2,472 delegates that were sent to the Republican National Convention. Businessman and reality television personality Donald Trump won the Republican nomination for president of the United States.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the January 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Colorado was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Colorado has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Utah</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Utah was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election which was also held in the other 49 states and in the District of Columbia. Voters were asked to pick 6 electors to be pledged for a candidate in the Electoral College. The two main tickets of the election were the Republican one, consisting of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence, and the Democratic one, consisting of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and his running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden from Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris from California. Colorado had nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Maine</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maine is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maine voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

References

  1. "Survey reveals 60% of community members oppose the Proposed Dolores Canyons National Monument". mesacounty.us. 30 April 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  2. Erica Meltzer, "Colorado poll finds voters skeptical of college, more supportive of career education". chalkbeat.org. 5 December 2023. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  3. Joe Muller, "Poll: Support for Colorado property tax initiative falls when voters learn details". thecentersquare.com. 18 July 2023. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  4. "Magellan Goes in Circles". boldnebraska.org. 24 December 2010. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  5. Jason Blevins, "Coronavirus-wary Colorado skiers are willing to sit out this season, poll shows". coloradosun.com. 2 December 2020. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  6. "Eagle County may spend up to $3 million on workforce housing projects | VailDaily.com". www.vaildaily.com. Retrieved 2017-01-24.
  7. "How Colorado resisted the siren of Donald Trump". The Colorado Independent. 2017-01-21. Retrieved 2017-01-24.
  8. "What's the political state of Colorado after the election?". FOX31 Denver. 2016-11-10. Retrieved 2016-11-10.
  9. "A predicted soul-searching by Colorado Republicans post-Trump now belongs to Democrats". Colorado Springs Gazette. Retrieved 2016-11-10.
  10. "Coloradans vote to "Raise the Bar" beyond their reach". The Colorado Independent. 2016-11-09. Retrieved 2016-11-10.
  11. "In Colorado, a Battle for the Millennial Vote".
  12. "As Ballots Continue To Roll In, Colorado Enters The Election Home Stretch". Colorado Public Radio. Retrieved 2016-11-01.
  13. Times, Los Angeles. "Millions of people have voted, and Democrats are showing strong signs in key states". Los Angeles Times . Retrieved 2016-10-27.
  14. "Post-ObamaCare Preview in Colorado". The Wall Street Journal. 2016-10-21. ISSN   0099-9660 . Retrieved 2016-10-25.
  15. Davey, Monica; Shear, Michael D. (2016-10-23). "Obama Assists 150 State Candidates, Targeting G.O.P.'s Grip on Legislatures". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 2016-10-24.
  16. "Summit County voter registration down, but Democrats coming out on top | SummitDaily.com". www.summitdaily.com. Retrieved 2016-10-24.
  17. TEGNA. "Coffman and Carroll debate on 9NEWS". KUSA. Retrieved 2016-10-24.
  18. "Purple State Memo: Darryl Glenn questions climate change, sticks to the right in final days – The Denver Post" . Retrieved 2016-10-20.
  19. "Colorado GOP in turmoil following Donald Trump's comments on women – The Denver Post" . Retrieved 2016-10-11.
  20. "Recent Video". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  21. "New poll: Colorado voters favor minimum wage hike and presidential primary – The Denver Post" . Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  22. Hernandez, Lance (2016-02-02). "Colorado's Caucuses won't draw attention that Iowa's do" . Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  23. "Donald Trump's path to victory". Politico . Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  24. "Third Parties See Increased Interest From Colorado Voters Seeking Options" . Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  25. Benson, Guy. "BOOM: New Polls Show Hillary Losing in Ohio, Nevada..and Colorado?". Townhall. Retrieved 2016-10-06.
  26. Koen, Andy. "Pence appeals to Evangelicals, Cruz supporters at Colorado Springs town hall" . Retrieved 2016-10-06.
  27. "Colorado road funding bill gets first approval — but hits troubling opposition - Denver Business Journal". Denver Business Journal. Retrieved 2016-10-04.
  28. In a Tactical Shift, Romney Trains Sights on Gingrich
  29. "Magellan gets its groove back". The Spot. Retrieved 2016-10-05.
  30. Hubbard, Curtis. "Podium time for the pollsters". The Denver Post. Retrieved 19 November 2011.