Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency

Last updated
Karol Nawrocki (2025) (cropped).jpg
Karol Nawrocki in 2025.

Karol Nawrocki was elected to the office of President of Poland in the 2025 presidential election, [1] and inaugurated on 6 August 2025. [2] Throughout Nawrocki's presidency, several polling agencies conducted opinion polls researching support for issues regarding Nawrocki's presidency.

Contents

Approval polls

Approval rating

Graphical summary of approval polls Approval ratings of Karol Nawrocki (moving average).svg
Graphical summary of approval polls
Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeApproveDisapproveNeitherDon't know/NeutralNet approval
15–17 Nov 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,00349391210
6–17 Nov 2025 CBOS 99250331717
14–16 Nov 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,00057.535.47.122.1
13–14 Nov 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,05050341616
7–8 Nov 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,06755.830.813.425.0
22–24 Oct 2025 Opinia24 / Polityka 1,00153262127
8–13 Oct 2025 OGB 1,00046.330.822.915.5
2–13 Oct 2025 CBOS 90151262325
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 96954262028
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10051.638.010.413.6
13–15 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,00057.532.99.624.6
2–9 Sep 2025 OGB 1,00047.533.219.314.3
2–3 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 83042.932.224.910.7
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,00045.244.810.00.4
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 91744302614
6–13 Aug 2025 OGB 1,00041.732.725.69.0

Will Nawrocki be a good president?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeGoodDecentBadDon't know/NeutralNet approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 91753331420
29–30 Jul 2025 SW Research / Rz 80033.827.029.69.64.2

Will Nawrocki be a better president than Andrzej Duda?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeYesNoDon't know/NeutralNet approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917492722
13–16 Aug 2025 IBRiS / WP.pl 1,00047.125.226.721.9

A Pollster poll for Super Express conducted on 9–11 August 2025 found that 41% of Poles approved of Nawrocki's first decisions as President while 30% disapproved. [3]

An IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 showed the 4th largest amount of respondents — 10.5% — ranked Nawrocki as the most effective politician, with him falling behind Donald Tusk (PO) — 28.1%, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) — 23.5% and Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) — 11.3%. [4]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 2–3 September 2025 asked to assign a school grade for Nawrocki's performance after a month of his Presidency. From 1 (worst) to 6 (best), 21.9% of respondents gave Nawrocki a 1, 2 — 13.3% , 3 — 9.3%, 4 — 16.4%, 5 — 15.5%, 6 — 13.1%, with 10.5% undecided. [5]

An Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 17–20 October 2025 placed Nawrocki as the first most liked politician with 28% of respondents ranking him as their favorite, ahead of Rafał Trzaskowski (14%) and Donald Tusk (12%) and 8 others. [6]

Trust rating

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeTrustDistrustIndifferentDon't know/NeutralNet trustPlace
21–22 Nov 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10051.841.96.30.09.91st
6–17 Nov 2025 CBOS 9925431104231st
24–25 Oct 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10047.038.612.91.58.41st
2–12 Oct 2025 CBOS 9015726116311st
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 9695825125331st
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10048.840.610.60.08.21st
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 9175231125211st
20–21 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10041.348.010.30.4–6.72nd
25–27 Jul 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10046.846.26.60.40.61st
3–13 Jul 2025 CBOS 970483696122nd
23–24 Jun 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,10041.946.311.40.4–4.42nd
5–15 Jun 2025 CBOS 9714636126103rd

Legislative proposals and other initiatives

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizePoll subjectQuestionYes or
Approve
No or
Disapprove
NeitherDon't know/NeutralLead
3–5 Nov 2025 CBOS / DGP 1,000Coalition proposal(Do you support same-sex civil unions?) [a] 62.1 [b] 35.12.727.0
28–29 Oct 2025 IPSOS / TVP Info 1,000Coalition proposalShould Karol Nawrocki sign the law about close person status, prepared by The Left and the Polish People's Party?47252822
9–10 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 828Presidential initiativeDo you support the efforts of president Karol Nawrocki in attaining World War II reparations from Germany?54.026.819.227.2
Sep 2025 SW Research / Wprost Presidential initiative(Should Poland seek World War II reparations from Germany?) [a] 55.225.419.429.4
Aug 2025 SW Research / Wprost Presidential vetoHow do you rate the presidential veto regarding the wind turbine bill?38.638.223.20.4
26–27 Aug 2025 SW Research / Onet 814Presidential vetoDo you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the law about aiding the citizens of Ukraine?59.825.414.734.4
SW Research / Onet Presidential vetoDo you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the wind turbine law, despite it including a provision regarding freezing energy prices?36.439.124.6–2.7
13–14 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,067Coalition proposalShould the president sign the law liberalizing the rules of investing in wind turbines, which simultaneously extends the price freeze period on energy for households until the end of the year?55.833.910.321.9
IBRiS / Rz Presidential proposalDo you agree with the proposition of president Karol Nawrocki, that a parent with two children, whose annual income does not cross 140,000 PLN, should not pay income tax?47.547.94.6–0.4

Welfare for Ukrainian refugees

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeQuestionOnly Ukrainians
working in Poland
All
Ukrainians
No
Ukrainians
Neither/
Other option
Don't know/Neutral
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969Do you believe that currently, [Ukrainians] should have access to [free 800+ and healthcare?]58825 [c]
Sep 2025 SW Research / Wprost Should 800+ only be given to only Ukrainians which work in Poland?56.418.019.66.0
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,000Should Ukrainians living in Poland receive 800+ for children?5411296
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000[should] Payouts of benefits for foreigners such as 800+ in Poland, including Ukrainians, be dedicated to only those that are employed[?]69.921.88.3

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 26–27 August 2025 found that if an energy price freeze period extension failed to pass before its expiration, 31.8% would blame Nawrocki for energy price rises, 31.6% would blame Tusk's government and 26.8% would blame both. [7]

Judicial affairs

A SW Research poll for Onet conducted on 4–5 November 2025 found that 45.9% of respondents belived that the president should have the right to pardon, and 35.9% believed otherwise. [8]

An Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–14 November 2025 found that 39% of Poles believed that the president has a deciding role in the process of judicial nominations, whereas 36% believed otherwise. [9]

In November 2025, Nawrocki rejected the nomination of 46 judges. In a SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita (12–13 Nov), 30.9% respondents also agreed with Nawrocki's decision, and 39.4% disagreed. [10] In an Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska (13–14 Nov), 37% agreed and 35% disagreed. [9] In a United Surveys poll also for Wirtualna Polska (14–16 Nov), 38.0% agreed while 42.5% disagreed. [11]

An United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 14–16 November 2025 found that 84.6% of Poles believed that Nawrocki prime Minister Donald Tusk should seek a agreement in the matter of judicial reforms as soon as possible, whereas 5.6% believed otherwise. [12]

Foreign policy

Who should be responsible for contacts with the Trump administration?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizePresident Karol Nawrocki MFA Radosław Sikorski PM Donald Tusk Don't know/NeutralLead
29–30 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,06949.832.218.017.6
20–21 Aug 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,00037.939.69.812.71.7

Whose actions in foreign affairs bring Poland more benefits?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizePresident Karol Nawrocki Government BothNeitherDon't know/Neutral
9–10 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,06731.427.916.111.313.2

According to a SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 19–20 August 2025, 24.9% of respondents believed Nawrocki and his chancellery to be responsible for the lack of a Polish delegation at the August 2025 European-White House crisis meeting, 23.7% found Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his government responsible, 25.5% found both sides responsible, 11.2% found noone responsible and 14.7% had no opinion. [13]

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 10–13 October 2025 showed that 27.4% of Poles believed Nawrocki will have good relations with the president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while 56.3% believed they will not. [14] Another United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 14–16 November 2025 showed that 51.6% of Poles wanted Zelenskyy to have his first visit with Nawrocki in Poland, whereas 8.8% wanted their first meeting to take place in Ukraine. 16.2% had no preference and 11.1% believed no visit between the two to be necessary. [15]

Constitutional reform

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeIssueForAgainstDon't know/Neutral
22–24 Oct 2025 Opinia24 / Polityka 1,001Empowering presidency3155 [d] 14
1–3 Sep 2025 Opinia24 1,003Empowering presidency3052 [e] 18
29–30 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,069Empowering presidency39.550.510

Polls regarding the First Lady

First Lady approval polling

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeApproveDisapproveDon't know/NeutralNet approval
13–14 Nov 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,05054153139
17–20 Oct 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,08847163731
11–12 Oct 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,00246163830

First Lady comparisons

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeQuestion Marta Nawrocka Agata Kornhauser-Duda Anna Komorowska Maria Kaczyńska Jolanta Kwaśniewska Danuta Wałęsa Don't know/Neutral
13–14 Nov 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,050Who best served as the best First Lady of the Poland?188312554
17–20 Oct 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,088Do you believe that Marta Nawrocka is a better First Lady than Agata Kornhauser-Duda?371251
13–16 Aug 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000Who do you rate as the best First Lady of the Third Polish Republic?5.38.10.017.557.80.610.7

An IBRiS poll for Radio Zet conducted on 24–25 October 2025 found that 52.8% of Poles believed that the First Lady should receive a monthly wage, while 33.9% believed otherwise. [16]

Other polls

Will Nawrocki be an independent president?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeYesNoNeitherDon't know/NeutralLead
9–10 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,06738.052.69.414.6
13–16 Aug 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,00038.857.63.618.8
9–11 Aug 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,00634541220
4–6 Aug 2025 Opinia24 / RMF FM 1,0032844141416

Political leadership comparison

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeQuestionPresident Karol Nawrocki Jarosław Kaczyński NeitherDon't know/NeutralLead
15–17 Nov 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,003Do you believe that Karol Nawrocki has a chance to become the main leader of the Polish right?584216
22–24 Oct 2025 Opinia24 / Polityka 1,001Do you believe that Karol Nawrocki will replace Jarosław Kaczyński as the leader of the entire Polish right?21502929
9–10 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 828Who do you believe is the true leader of the Law and Justice camp today?22.650.812.713.928.2

Matchups between Nawrocki and Tusk

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeQuestionPresident Karol Nawrocki PM Donald Tusk NeitherDon't know/NeutralLead
24–26 Oct 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000Who is a better politician — Karol Nawrocki or Donald Tusk?44.949.45.74.5
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,000Who is winning the political battle between the president and prime minister?4222201620

How do you rate the relations of the President and Prime Minister?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizePositivelyNegativelyDon't know/NeutralLead
13–14 Nov 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,050195625–37
11–12 Oct 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,0022080–60

Should the Prime Minister consult legislation with Nawrocki?

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeYesNoDon't know/NeutralLead
15–17 Nov 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,00360301030
22–24 Oct 2025 Opinia24 / Polityka 1,00158251733

Other ungrouped polls

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 found that 37.5% of Poles believed Nawrocki would fulfill his electoral campaign promises, while 50.7% believed otherwise. [17]

A Opinia24 poll for RMF FM conducted on 1–3 September 2025 found that 23% of Poles believed Tusk should stand down in the conflict between the president and government, 21% believed Nawrocki should stand down, and 38% believed both should compromise. [18]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 14–15 October 2025 found that 51.6% of Poles believed that Nawrocki could help relations between Law and Justice and Confederation, and 22.4% believed he could not. [19]

An IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 10–11 October 2025 found 33.2% of Poles (14.7% strongly, 18.5% rather) believed there should be a "presidential" political party under the patronage of Nawrocki, and 45.0% believed otherwise. [20]

An Opinia24 poll for Polityka conducted on 24–26 October 2025 found that 7% believed Nawrocki will end the political conflict in Poland, 14% believed he will lighten the conflict, 31% believed there will be no changes and 25% believed he will intensify the conflict. [21]

A SW Research poll for Onet conducted on 12–13 November 2025 found that 48.8% of Poles rated Nawrocki's appearance at the 2025 Independence March positively, while 30.7% rated it negatively. [22]

Election matchups

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
Ind. (PiS)
Trzaskowski
KO
Don't knowAbstainLead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 15–17 Nov 20251,00350.0649.940.12
Opinia24 / Polityka 22–24 Oct 20251,0014030111910

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Question wording unknown
  2. 31.5 — with lesser rights than married couples, 30.6 — with the same rights as married couples
  3. Only refugees
  4. 39 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency
  5. 36 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency

References

  1. Rogalski, Michał; Bałuka, Mateusz (1 June 2025). "Wybory prezydenckie 2025: Karol Nawrocki wygrywa II turę. Tak wyglądała wyborcza noc z danymi". Onet . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  2. Tomasik, Michał; Żelazińska, Aleksandra (6 August 2025). "Karol Nawrocki zaprzysiężony, przejął zwierzchnictwo nad armią. Tusk: Kaczyński się nie cieszył". Polityka . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  3. Brzozowski, Adam (22 August 2025). "Polacy ocenili pierwsze decyzje prezydenta Nawrockiego. Wynik jest jednoznaczny". Super Express . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  4. Czmiel, Mateusz (2 September 2025). "To on jest liderem. Polacy wskazali najskuteczniejszego polityka". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-09-02.
  5. Bartkiewicz, Artur (6 September 2025). "Sondaż: Jaką ocenę wystawiają Polacy Karolowi Nawrockiemu po miesiącu prezydentury?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-09-06.
  6. Siedzik, Dawid (10 November 2025). "Lider i długo nikt. Polacy dostali pytanie o ulubionego polityka". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-11-10.
  7. Bartkiewicz, Artur (30 August 2025). "Sondaż: Prezydent Karol Nawrocki czy rząd Donalda Tuska? Kto będzie odpowiedzialny, jeśli ceny prądu wzrosną?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-08-30.
  8. "Ułaskawienie na horyzoncie? Polacy w sondażu ocenili "królewski przywilej" Karola Nawrockiego". Onet. 7 November 2025. Retrieved 2025-11-16.
  9. 1 2 Kocemba, Jarosław (14 November 2025). "Jaki wpływ powinien mieć Nawrocki na wymiar sprawiedliwości? Badanie". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-11-16.
  10. Bartkiewicz, Artur (16 November 2025). "Sondaż: Prezydent odmawia nominacji sędziów i oficerów wywiadu. Jak oceniają to Polacy?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-11-16.
  11. Baran, Violetta (23 November 2025). "Prezydent i sędziowskie nominacje. Oto co sądzą na ten temat Polacy". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-11-24.
  12. Kocemba, Jarosław (21 November 2025). "W tej sprawie Polacy są zgodni. Chcą porozumienia w sądownictwie". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-11-21.
  13. Bartkiewicz, Artur (22 August 2025). "Sondaż: Polska nieobecna w Białym Domu. Kto, zdaniem Polaków, za to odpowiada?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-08-27.
  14. Staszko, Katarzyna (27 October 2025). "Polacy o przyszłości relacji Nawrocki-Zełenski. Nowy sondaż". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-10-27.
  15. Wieczorek, Aleksandra (23 November 2025). "Nawrocki czy Zełenski? Kto jako pierwszy powinien złożyć wizytę?". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-11-25.
  16. "Pensja dla pierwszej damy? Mamy najnowszy sondaż". Radio Zet. 30 October 2025. Retrieved 2025-11-02.
  17. Zubel, Maciej (7 September 2025). "Nawrocki spełni obietnice? Polacy ocenili w sondażu WP". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-09-07.
  18. Pajączek, Katarzyna (8 September 2025). "Polacy podzieleni w sporze Nawrocki kontra Tusk. Kto powinien ustąpić? Sondaż RMF FM". RMF FM . Retrieved 2025-09-08.
  19. Bartkiewicz, Artur (18 October 2025). "Sondaż: Czy Karol Nawrocki zbliży do siebie PiS i Konfederację? Opinia Polaków". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-10-18.
  20. Ferfecki, Wiktor (20 October 2025). "Powstanie partia Karola Nawrockiego? Chcą tego wyborcy opozycji". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-10-20.
  21. Janicki, Mariusz (10 November 2025). "Sondaż "Polityki". Nawrocki po 100 dniach: jak go oceniamy? Nie ma rozczarowania, wszystko przed nim". Polityka . Retrieved 2025-11-10.
  22. "Karol Nawrocki szedł w Marszu Niepodległości. Polacy ocenili jego decyzję [SONDAŻ]". Onet. 13 November 2025. Retrieved 2025-11-14.