Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency

Karol Nawrocki in 2025.

Karol Nawrocki was elected to the office of President of Poland in the 2025 presidential election, ^[1] and inaugurated on 6 August 2025. ^[2] Throughout Nawrocki's presidency, several polling agencies conducted opinion polls researching support for issues regarding Nawrocki's presidency.

Approval polls

Approval rating

Graphical summary of approval polls

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Approve	Disapprove	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
8–13 Oct 2025	OGB	1,000	46.3	30.8		22.9	15.5
2–13 Oct 2025	CBOS	901	51	26		23	25
11–22 Sep 2025	CBOS	969	54	26		20	28
19–20 Sep 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	51.6	38.0		10.4	13.6
13–15 Sep 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	57.5	32.9		9.6	24.6
2–9 Sep 2025	OGB	1,000	47.5	33.2		19.3	14.3
2–3 Sep 2025	SW Research / Onet	830	42.9	32.2		24.9	10.7
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	45.2	44.8		10.0	0.4
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025	CBOS	917	44	30		26	14
6–13 Aug 2025	OGB	1,000	41.7	32.7		25.6	9.0

Will Nawrocki be a good president?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Good	Decent	Bad	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025	CBOS	917	53		33	14	20
29–30 Jul 2025	SW Research / Rz	800	33.8	27.0	29.6	9.6	4.2

Will Nawrocki be a better president than Andrzej Duda?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Yes	No	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025	CBOS	917	49	27		22
13–16 Aug 2025	IBRiS / WP.pl	1,000	47.1	25.2	26.7	21.9

Other approval-related polls

A Pollster poll for Super Express conducted on 9–11 August 2025 found that 41% of Poles approved of Nawrocki's first decisions as President while 30% disapproved. ^[3]

An IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 showed the 4th largest amount of respondents — 10.5% — ranked Nawrocki as the most effective politician, with him falling behind Donald Tusk (PO) — 28.1%, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) — 23.5% and Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) — 11.3%. ^[4]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 2–3 September 2025 asked to assign a school grade for Nawrocki's performance after a month of his Presidency. From 1 (worst) to 6 (best), 21.9% of respondents gave Nawrocki a 1, 2 — 13.3% , 3 — 9.3%, 4 — 16.4%, 5 — 15.5%, 6 — 13.1%, with 10.5% undecided. ^[5]

Trust rating

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Trust	Distrust	Indifferent	Don't know/Neutral	Net trust	Place
24–25 Oct 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	47.0	38.6	12.9	1.5	8.4	1st
2–12 Oct 2025	CBOS	901	57	26	11	6	31	1st
11–22 Sep 2025	CBOS	969	58	25	12	5	33	1st
19–20 Sep 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	48.8	40.6	10.6	0.0	8.2	1st
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025	CBOS	917	52	31	12	5	21	1st
20–21 Aug 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	41.3	48.0	10.3	0.4	–6.7	2nd
25–27 Jul 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	46.8	46.2	6.6	0.4	0.6	1st
3–13 Jul 2025	CBOS	970	48	36	9	6	12	2nd
23–24 Jun 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	41.9	46.3	11.4	0.4	–4.4	2nd
5–15 Jun 2025	CBOS	971	46	36	12	6	10	3rd

Legislative proposals

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Law proposed by	Question	Yes or Approve	No or Disapprove	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Lead
9–10 Sep 2025	SW Research / Onet	828	President	Do you support the efforts of president Karol Nawrocki in attaining World War II reparations from Germany?	54.0	26.8		19.2	27.2
Sep 2025	SW Research / Wprost		President	(Should Poland seek World War II reparations from Germany?) [a]	55.2	25.4		19.4	29.4
Aug 2025	SW Research / Wprost		Ruling coalition	How do you rate the presidential veto regarding the wind turbine bill?	38.6	38.2		23.2	0.4
26–27 Aug 2025	SW Research / Onet	814	Ruling coalition	Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the law about aiding the citizens of Ukraine?	59.8	25.4		14.7	34.4
	SW Research / Onet		Ruling coalition	Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the wind turbine law, despite it including a provision regarding freezing energy prices?	36.4	39.1		24.6	–2.7
13–14 Aug 2025	IBRiS / Rz	1,067	Ruling coalition	Should the president sign the law liberalizing the rules of investing in wind turbines, which simultaneously extends the price freeze period on energy for households until the end of the year?	55.8	33.9		10.3	21.9
	IBRiS / Rz		President	Do you agree with the proposition of president Karol Nawrocki, that a parent with two children, whose annual income does not cross 140,000 PLN, should not pay income tax?	47.5	47.9		4.6	–0.4

Welfare for Ukrainian refugees

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Question	Only Ukrainians working in Poland	All Ukrainians	No Ukrainians	Neither/ Other option	Don't know/Neutral
11–22 Sep 2025	CBOS	969	Do you believe that currently, [Ukrainians] should have access to [free 800+ and healthcare?]	58		8	25 [b]
Sep 2025	SW Research / Wprost		Should 800+ only be given to only Ukrainians which work in Poland?	56.4	18.0	19.6		6.0
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,000	Should Ukrainians living in Poland receive 800+ for children?	54	11	29		6
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	[should] Payouts of benefits for foreigners such as 800+ in Poland, including Ukrainians, be dedicated to only those that are employed[?]	69.9			21.8	8.3

Other legislative proposal-related polls

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 26–27 August 2025 found that if an energy price freeze period extension failed to pass before its expiration, 31.8% would blame Nawrocki for energy price rises, 31.6% would blame Tusk's government and 26.8% would blame both. ^[6]

Foreign policy

Who should be responsible for contacts with the Trump administration?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	President Karol Nawrocki	MFA Radosław Sikorski	PM Donald Tusk	Don't know/Neutral	Lead
29–30 Aug 2025	IBRiS / Rz	1,069	49.8	—	32.2	18.0	17.6
20–21 Aug 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	37.9	39.6	9.8	12.7	1.7

Whose actions in foreign affairs bring Poland more benefits?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	President Karol Nawrocki	Government	Both	Neither	Don't know/Neutral
9–10 Sep 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,067	31.4	27.9	16.1	11.3	13.2

Other foreign policy-related polls

According to a SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 19–20 August 2025, 24.9% of respondents believed Nawrocki and his chancellery to be responsible for the lack of a Polish delegation at the August 2025 European-White House crisis meeting, 23.7% found Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his government responsible, 25.5% found both sides responsible, 11.2% found noone responsible and 14.7% had no opinion. ^[7]

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 10–13 October 2025 showed that 27.4% of Poles believed Nawrocki will have good relations with the president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while 56.3% believed they will not. ^[8]

Constitutional reform

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Issue	For	Against	Don't know/Neutral
1–3 Sep 2025	Opinia24	1,003	Empowering presidency	30	52 [c]	18
29–30 Aug 2025	IBRiS / Rz	1,069	Empowering presidency	39.5	50.5	10

Polls regarding the First Lady

First Lady approval polling

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
17–20 Oct 2025	Ariadna / WP.pl	1,088	47	16	37	31
11–12 Oct 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,002	46	16	38	30

First Lady comparisons

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Question wording	Marta Nawrocka	Agata Kornhauser-Duda	Anna Komorowska	Maria Kaczyńska	Jolanta Kwaśniewska	Danuta Wałęsa	Don't know/Neutral
17–20 Oct 2025	Ariadna / WP.pl	1,088	Do you believe that Marta Nawrocka is a better First Lady than Agata Kornhauser-Duda?	37	12	—	—	—	—	51
13–16 Aug 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	Who do you rate as the best First Lady of the Third Polish Republic?	5.3	8.1	0.0	17.5	57.8	0.6	10.7

Other First Lady-related polls

An IBRiS poll for Radio Zet conducted on 24–25 October 2025 found that 52.8% of Poles believed that the First Lady should receive a monthly wage, while while 33.9% believed otherwise. ^[9]

Other polls

Will Nawrocki be an independent president?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Yes	No	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Lead
9–10 Sep 2025	IBRiS / Onet	1,067	38.0	52.6		9.4	14.6
13–16 Aug 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	38.8	57.6		3.6	18.8
9–11 Aug 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,006	34	54		12	20
4–6 Aug 2025	Opinia24 / RMF FM	1,003	28	44	14	14	16

Who is the true leader of the Law and Justice camp now?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	President Karol Nawrocki	Jarosław Kaczyński	Neither	Don't know/Neutral
9–10 Sep 2025	SW Research / Onet	828	22.6	50.8	12.7	13.9

Who is winning the political battle between the President and Prime Minister?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	President Karol Nawrocki	PM Donald Tusk	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Lead
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,000	42	22	20	16	20

How do you rate the relations of the President and Prime Minister?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Good	Bad	Don't know/Neutral	Lead
11–12 Oct 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,002	20	80		–60

Other ungrouped polls

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 found that 37.5% of Poles believed Nawrocki would fulfill his electoral campaign promises, while 50.7% believed otherwise. ^[10]

A Opinia24 poll for RMF FM conducted on 1–3 September 2025 found that 23% of Poles believed Tusk should stand down in the conflict between the president and government, 21% believed Nawrocki should stand down, and 38% believed both should compromise. ^[11]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 14–15 October 2025 found that 51.6% of Poles believed that Nawrocki could help relations between Law and Justice and Confederation, and 22.4% believed he could not. ^[12]

An IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 10–11 October 2025 found 33.2% of Poles (14.7% strongly, 18.5% rather) believed there should be a "presidential" political party under the patronage of Nawrocki, and 45.0% believed otherwise. ^[13]

See also

• Opinion polling on the Lech Wałęsa presidency
• Opinion polling on the Andrzej Duda presidency
• 2025 Polish presidential election

Notes

1. Question wording unknown
2. Only refugees
3. 36 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency

References

1. Rogalski, Michał; Bałuka, Mateusz (1 June 2025). "Wybory prezydenckie 2025: Karol Nawrocki wygrywa II turę. Tak wyglądała wyborcza noc z danymi". Onet . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
2. Tomasik, Michał; Żelazińska, Aleksandra (6 August 2025). "Karol Nawrocki zaprzysiężony, przejął zwierzchnictwo nad armią. Tusk: Kaczyński się nie cieszył". Polityka . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
3. Brzozowski, Adam (22 August 2025). "Polacy ocenili pierwsze decyzje prezydenta Nawrockiego. Wynik jest jednoznaczny". Super Express . Retrieved 2025-08-26.
4. Czmiel, Mateusz (2 September 2025). "To on jest liderem. Polacy wskazali najskuteczniejszego polityka". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-09-02.
5. Bartkiewicz, Artur (6 September 2025). "Sondaż: Jaką ocenę wystawiają Polacy Karolowi Nawrockiemu po miesiącu prezydentury?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-09-06.
6. Bartkiewicz, Artur (30 August 2025). "Sondaż: Prezydent Karol Nawrocki czy rząd Donalda Tuska? Kto będzie odpowiedzialny, jeśli ceny prądu wzrosną?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-08-30.
7. Bartkiewicz, Artur (22 August 2025). "Sondaż: Polska nieobecna w Białym Domu. Kto, zdaniem Polaków, za to odpowiada?". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-08-27.
8. Staszko, Katarzyna (27 October 2025). "Polacy o przyszłości relacji Nawrocki-Zełenski. Nowy sondaż". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-10-27.
9. "Pensja dla pierwszej damy? Mamy najnowszy sondaż". Radio Zet. 30 October 2025. Retrieved 2025-11-02.
10. Zubel, Maciej (7 September 2025). "Nawrocki spełni obietnice? Polacy ocenili w sondażu WP". Wirtualna Polska . Retrieved 2025-09-07.
11. Pajączek, Katarzyna (8 September 2025). "Polacy podzieleni w sporze Nawrocki kontra Tusk. Kto powinien ustąpić? Sondaż RMF FM". RMF FM . Retrieved 2025-09-08.
12. Bartkiewicz, Artur (18 October 2025). "Sondaż: Czy Karol Nawrocki zbliży do siebie PiS i Konfederację? Opinia Polaków". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-10-18.
13. Ferfecki, Wiktor (20 October 2025). "Powstanie partia Karola Nawrockiego? Chcą tego wyborcy opozycji". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-10-20.