Venezuela and the International Monetary Fund

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The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela was a founding member of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 1946. [1]

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Venezuela's economy

Venezuela's economy is highly dependent on oil production and exportation. [2] Venezuela is a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Its economy is prone to disruption given that price of oil fluctuates rapidly. In 2014, oil prices dropped. Since then Venezuela has had to adapt to a significant decrease in state revenue. The economy has contracted each quarter since then. This caused Venezuela's Central Bank's monetary reserves to decline as well. [3] A severe shortage of goods followed, with necessities such as medical supplies in short supply. Since 2007, Venezuela has not had official financial relations with either the IMF or the World Bank after it paid off its debt five years ahead of schedule under President Hugo Chávez. [4] The IMF and World Bank have stated their readiness to offer assistance if called upon. [5] [6]

Venezuela has nationalized many industries, specifically in oil production, banking, telecommunications, metallurgy and mining. The high price of oil in recent decades allowed the government to embark on ambitious public programs, paid for by oil revenues when prices were high. Due to such measures and through redistributive policies the poverty rate was cut from 50 percent in 1998 to 30 percent in 2013, based on state figures. Inequality, as measured by the Gini Index, was reduced. [7]

Statistics

The per capita income of Venezuela was $7,808 as of 2015. [8] According to IMF data, since 2013 the economy has shrunk by 30%. Predictions in 2017 stated inflation was expected to reach 720% in 2017, and the economy was forecasted to contract by an additional 7.4%. [9] The official exchange rate is severely overvalued, such that the black market value of the Bolivar is significantly less than the government rate of 10 bolivars to $1 USD. This has affected the ability of the economy to remain viable. [10] As of 2016, Venezuela, in spite of having symbolically walked away, still has an IMF quota allocation of 3,722,700 SDR. [11]

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Venezuela, officially the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, is a country located on the northern coast of South America. It is known for its large proven oil reserves. Before oil was discovered, Venezuelan production was primarily agriculture, such as coffee and cocoa. After the first commercial drilling for oil in 1917, oil production increased drastically due to the oil boom of the 1920s and was later furthered by World War II, as Venezuela supplied oil to the United States. From 1958 to 1989, democratic leaders attempted to use the large oil revenues to invest in other industry through various policies such as import substitution and other programs designed to diversify the Venezuelan economy away from a highly specialised export range. These attempts, for the most part, were unsuccessful as Venezuelan government revenues continued to be highly volatile due to the fluctuating price of oil, which was reflected especially throughout the 1980s due to the oil price crash. After struggling with fiscal debts due to a variety of trade protection measures and other policies, the President of 1989, President Andrés Pérez, worked with the International Monetary Fund in an attempt to rectify some of the issues plaguing the Venezuelan government. Perez was eventually unsuccessful due to political instability due to proposed austerity measures, and Hugo Chávez was later elected in 1998, after a defeat of both major political parties. The Chávez government begun enacting various socialist programs, such as free education and healthcare. These programs would continue up until Chávez's death in 2013. President Nicolás Maduro, Chávez's successor, was elected on 14 April 2013 and pledged to continue Chávez's work. However, due to hyperinflation, shortages of food and medicine and political instability, about 3 million Venezuelans have fled the country since 2015.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hyperinflation in Venezuela</span> Increasing inflation rates in Venezuela since 2017

Hyperinflation in Venezuela is the currency instability in Venezuela that began in 2016 during the country's ongoing socioeconomic and political crisis. Venezuela began experiencing continuous and uninterrupted inflation in 1983, with double-digit annual inflation rates. Inflation rates became the highest in the world by 2014 under Nicolás Maduro, and continued to increase in the following years, with inflation exceeding 1,000,000% by 2018. In comparison to previous hyperinflationary episodes, the ongoing hyperinflation crisis is more severe than those of Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Nicaragua, and Peru in the 1980s and 1990s, and that of Zimbabwe in the late-2000s.

Viernes Rojo in Venezuela refers to Friday, 17 August 2018, when President Nicolás Maduro announced a series of economic reforms known as "Program of Recovery, Growth and Economic Prosperity", in response to increasing hyperinflation. This event is also known as Paquetazo Rojo or Madurazo by some media outlets. These reforms include the introduction of the a new currency with five fewer zeros, increase the minimum wage based on the Petro and increase VAT to 16%. According to President Maduro, these reforms have the goal of recovering the population's salary in two years through the Economic Recovery of Growth and Prosperity program, to eliminate the fiscal deficit and to eliminate the use of paper money.

References

  1. "List of Members' Date of Entry". www.imf.org. Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  2. "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov. Archived from the original on June 13, 2007. Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  3. World Bank Data
  4. "Chávez pulling Venezuela out of World Bank and IMF (Published 2007)". The New York Times . Archived from the original on 2020-11-12.
  5. "World Bank ready to help Venezuela if asked: Latam chief". Reuters. 19 April 2017. Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  6. Tran, Mark; agencies (2007-05-01). "Venezuela quits IMF and World Bank". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 2017-11-16.
  7. "Venezuela Overview". World Bank. Retrieved 2017-11-16.
  8. "OPEC : Venezuela". www.opec.org. Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  9. Romei, Valentina (9 May 2017). "Hidden numbers reveal scale of Venezuela's economic crisis" . Financial Times . Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  10. "How Chávez and Maduro have impoverished Venezuela". The Economist. Retrieved 24 June 2017.
  11. "Quota of Venezuela". www.imf.org. Retrieved 24 June 2017.