2012 United States presidential election in Idaho

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2012 United States presidential election in Idaho
Flag of Idaho.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote40
Popular vote420,911212,787
Percentage64.09%32.40%

Idaho Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Prior to the election, 17 news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Romney and Ryan carried Idaho with 64.09% of the popular vote to Obama's and Biden's 32.40%, thus winning the state's four electoral votes. [1] Romney's victory in Idaho made it his fourth strongest state in the 2012 election after Utah, Wyoming and Oklahoma. [2] He improved on McCain's performance in 2008, expanding his margin from 25.3% to 31.69% and flipping Teton County which had previously voted for Obama.

Contents

Caucuses

Democratic

President Obama ran unopposed in the caucuses. The District cast all 31 of its delegate votes at the 2012 Democratic National Convention for Obama. [3]

2012 Idaho Democratic presidential primary [4]
CandidateState convention delegatesPercentageDelegates
Barack Obama 1,400100%27
Unpledged delegates:4
Total:1,400100%31

Republican

2012 Idaho Republican presidential caucuses
Flag of Idaho.svg
  2008 March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06) 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg
Candidate Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Ron Paul
Home state Massachusetts Pennsylvania Texas
Delegate count3200
Popular vote27,5148,1158,086
Percentage61.6%18.2%18.1%

Idaho Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2012.svg
Idaho results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Rick Santorum
  Ron Paul

The Republican caucuses took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. [5] [6] An advisory primary with no binding effect on delegates, scheduled to be held on Tuesday May 15, 2012, was cancelled by the Idaho Republican Party. [7] Five candidates were on the ballot. In order of filing they are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Buddy Roemer. Although Roemer had withdrawn from the Republican race before the Idaho caucus, he still appeared on the ballot. [8]

Idaho has 32 delegates to the Republican national convention, of which 3 are RNC and 29 are AL.[ clarification needed ] The 3 RNC delegates pledged to go with the results of the Boise Straw Poll.[ citation needed ] The delegates will be determined by the caucuses results, based on a two-step approach. First, the delegates are primarily awarded winner-take-all by county after a series of votes in which candidates are successively removed from the ballot. Then, if a candidate receives half or more of the county delegates, he will receive all the 32 delegates; if not, the delegates will be split proportionately according to the number of county delegates. [9] Mitt Romney won 61% of the vote, thanks to a large majority of support (80-90% in most counties) in majority Mormon southeastern Idaho, rendering it a winner-take-all contest. Santorum and Paul split the Panhandle, winning five counties each, but came away empty in the delegate count.

Straw polls

Despite a complete lack of formal polling in the state, [9] there were a total of five straw polls conducted in Idaho, three of which were online. Ron Paul won three of these, [10] [11] [12] while Mitt Romney won two. [13]

January 2–4 online poll

This was the first ever Idaho straw poll. [14] It was conducted entirely online by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won with over 70% of the vote. [10]

FinishCandidatePercentage
1 Ron Paul 73.53%
2 Rick Santorum 8.09%
3 Newt Gingrich 7.35%
4 Mitt Romney 5.15%
5 Barack Obama 3.68%
6 Gary Johnson 1.47%
7 Rick Perry 0.74%
8 Jon Huntsman 0.00%
9 Michele Bachmann 0.00%
Total100%
January 6 Boise poll

This poll used paper ballots and was conducted in Boise. Ron Paul won this poll. Rick Perry's campaign, although still active in the race at this time, did not participate. [11]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
1 Ron Paul 43%173
2 Mitt Romney 34%135
3 Newt Gingrich 12%47
4 Rick Santorum 10%40
5 Jon Huntsman 1%4
Total100%399
February 2–4 online poll

This online straw poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Mitt Romney won the poll by a small margin. [13]

FinishCandidatePercentage
1 Mitt Romney 45.39%
2 Ron Paul 42.70%
3 Rick Santorum 4.49%
4 Newt Gingrich 3.82%
5 Barack Obama 3.15%
6Other0.45%
Total100%
March 1–3 online poll

This poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won by a double-digit margin. [12]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
1 Ron Paul 51.37%525
2 Mitt Romney 35.03%358
3 Gary Johnson 3.91%40
4 Rick Santorum 3.23%33
5 Virgil Goode 2.84%29
6 Buddy Roemer 1.96%20
7 Newt Gingrich 0.98%10
8 Barack Obama 0.49%5
9Other0.2%2
Total100%1022

Results

Results: [15] [16]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotesEstimated National Delegates
1 Mitt Romney 61.6%27,51432
2 Rick Santorum 18.2%8,1150
3 Ron Paul 18.1%8,0860
4 Newt Gingrich 2.1%9400
5 Buddy Roemer 0.0%170
Total100%32
County totals
County Newt Gingrich Ron Paul Mitt Romney Rick Santorum TotalWinner
Ada3071766423318668172Romney
Adams0851320217Romney
Bannock2425416141462038Romney
Bear Lake21530819344Romney
Benewah249026145265Santorum
Bingham2721521721502564Romney
Blaine477923023379Romney
Boise01281630291Romney
Bonner055504871042Paul
Bonneville6548130442353825Romney
Boundary019364101358Paul
Butte102515323211Romney
Camas04038078Paul
Canyon0617205612963969Romney
Caribou72233626391Romney
Cassia2814312791441594Romney
Clark288817115Romney
Clearwater0850151236Santorum
Custer19489824189Romney
Elmore01582810439Romney
Franklin410585629994Romney
Fremont127672638852Romney
Gem0150379143672Romney
Gooding478429986516Romney
Idaho02840191475Paul
Jefferson1121216421141979Romney
Jerome2874331101534Romney
Kootenai049606741170Santorum
Latah78509197188972Paul
Lemhi446021764385Romney
Lewis00254469Santorum
Lincoln141114749221Romney
Madison72602510502827Romney
Minidoka228065392847Romney
Nez Perce01271240251Paul
Oneida33924118301Romney
Owyhee00177263440Santorum
Payette00428302730Romney
Power91328738347Romney
Shoshone006374137Santorum
Teton134429526378Romney
Twin Falls8333212284092052Romney
Valley01231520275Romney
Washington00222269491Santorum

Notes

  • That these totals reflect the final caucus ballots in each county; where only two candidates have votes totaled, this was likely from other candidates being eliminated in previous rounds of voting. Where all candidates have at least one vote, only one ballot was necessary, since the winning candidate had a majority of votes in that county.
  • Vote totals for Buddy Roemer, who had formally withdrawn from the Republican race before the caucus, are not provided.

General election

Candidate ballot access

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Idaho [17]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 420,91164.09%4
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 212,78732.40%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 9,4531.44%0
Write-InsWrite-Ins4,4290.67%0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 4,4020.67%0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 2,4990.38%0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer2,2220.34%0
Peace & Freedom Roseanne Barr Cindy Sheehan 390.01%0
Totals656,742100.00%4

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Ada 97,55453.53%77,13742.33%7,5554.14%20,41711.20%182,246
Adams 1,41368.56%57728.00%713.44%83640.56%2,061
Bannock 21,01059.14%13,21437.20%1,2993.66%7,79621.94%35,523
Bear Lake 2,48988.20%30210.70%311.10%2,18777.50%2,822
Benewah 2,59666.82%1,16429.96%1253.22%1,43236.86%3,885
Bingham 13,44076.03%3,82221.62%4162.35%9,61854.41%17,678
Blaine 3,93938.64%5,99258.78%2632.58%-2,053-20.14%10,194
Boise 2,28466.28%1,05330.56%1093.16%1,23135.72%3,446
Bonner 11,36760.45%6,50034.57%9364.98%4,86725.88%18,803
Bonneville 32,27674.68%9,90322.91%1,0382.41%22,37351.77%43,217
Boundary 3,13869.06%1,22526.96%1813.98%1,91342.10%4,544
Butte 1,00177.84%25820.06%272.10%74357.78%1,286
Camas 40269.55%15927.51%172.94%24342.04%578
Canyon 44,36966.47%19,86629.76%2,5123.77%24,50336.71%66,747
Caribou 2,60885.45%38612.65%581.90%2,22272.80%3,052
Cassia 7,15484.84%1,09813.02%1802.14%6,05671.82%8,432
Clark 23571.65%6620.12%278.23%16951.53%328
Clearwater 2,54168.75%1,03227.92%1233.33%1,50940.83%3,696
Custer 1,74474.06%53022.51%813.43%1,21451.55%2,355
Elmore 5,22765.31%2,51331.40%2633.29%2,71433.91%8,003
Franklin 5,19592.77%3255.80%801.43%4,87086.97%5,600
Fremont 4,90784.57%81013.96%851.47%4,09770.61%5,802
Gem 5,31170.90%1,95726.12%2232.98%3,35444.78%7,491
Gooding 3,69672.22%1,28725.15%1352.63%2,40947.07%5,118
Idaho 5,92175.52%1,70821.79%2112.69%4,21353.73%7,840
Jefferson 9,89586.94%1,30311.45%1831.61%8,59275.49%11,381
Jerome 4,80471.52%1,69925.29%2143.19%3,10546.23%6,717
Kootenai 39,38165.09%18,85131.16%2,2733.75%20,53033.93%60,505
Latah 7,58944.32%8,30648.51%1,2297.17%-717-4.19%17,124
Lemhi 3,02973.70%96023.36%1212.94%2,06950.34%4,110
Lewis 1,17372.63%39624.52%462.85%77748.11%1,615
Lincoln 1,14168.61%46928.20%533.19%67240.41%1,663
Madison 13,44593.29%8325.77%1350.94%12,61387.52%14,412
Minidoka 5,44278.04%1,39019.93%1412.03%4,05258.11%6,973
Nez Perce 9,96758.65%6,45137.96%5753.39%3,51620.69%16,993
Oneida 1,83887.98%21710.39%341.63%1,62177.59%2,089
Owyhee 2,79475.03%83322.37%972.60%1,96152.66%3,724
Payette 6,00470.68%2,27126.73%2202.59%3,73343.95%8,495
Power 1,87064.39%98233.82%521.79%88830.57%2,904
Shoshone 2,69952.43%2,27744.23%1723.34%4228.20%5,148
Teton 2,45854.34%1,92642.58%1393.08%53211.76%4,523
Twin Falls 19,77369.70%7,54126.58%1,0553.72%12,23243.12%28,369
Valley 2,66454.16%2,09542.59%1603.25%56911.57%4,919
Washington 3,12872.22%1,10425.49%992.29%2,02446.73%4,331
Totals420,91164.09%212,78732.40%23,0443.51%208,12431.69%656,742
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic Idaho County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Romney won both congressional districts. [18]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
1st 32.19%64.91% Raúl Labrador
2nd 33.07%64.14% Mike Simpson

See also

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References

  1. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Idaho" . Retrieved January 4, 2013.
  2. "2012 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  3. "Idaho Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  4. "District of Columbia Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  5. "Idaho Republican Delegation 2012".
  6. "Election and voting information" (PDF).
  7. "Idaho Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  8. "Declared 2012 Republican Presidential Candidates". May 27, 2018.
  9. 1 2 Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  10. 1 2 "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2012.
  11. 1 2 http://www.kivitv.com/news/local/136861888.html [ permanent dead link ]
  12. 1 2 "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved March 4, 2012.
  13. 1 2 "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  14. Bodnar, Marissa. "Idaho GOP Gears Up For 2012 Straw Poll, Caucus". Local News 8. NPG of Idaho, Inc. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  15. "Caucus Results | Idaho GOPIdaho GOP". Archived from the original on July 20, 2012. Retrieved July 19, 2012.
  16. "Idaho County Map". CNN.
  17. "2012 Presidential General Election Results - Idaho". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  18. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.