2019 European Parliament election in Croatia

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2019 European Parliament election in Croatia
Flag of Croatia.svg
  2014 26 May 2019 2024  

All 12 Croatian seats in the European Parliament
Turnout29.85% (Increase2.svg 4.61 pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Tonino Picula MEP.jpg Croatian part- Citizens' Corner debate on EU policies for asylum seekers and immigrants (18432278524) (cropped).jpg
Leader Karlo Ressler Tonino Picula Ruža Tomašić
Party HDZ SDP HRASTHKSHSP AS–UHD
Alliance EPP S&D ECR-ECPM
Last election4 seats2 seats0 seats
Seats won441
Seat changeSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 2Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote244,076200,97691,546
Percentage22.73%18.71%8.52%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Mislav Kolakusic.jpg Sincic.jpg Valter Flego.jpg
Leader Mislav Kolakušić Ivan Sinčić Valter Flego
Party Independent Human Shield Amsterdam Coalition
Alliance NI NI ALDE
Last election0 seats2 seats
Seats won111
Seat changeNewIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote84,76560,84755,806
Percentage7.89%5.67%5.20%
SwingNew

Europski izbori u Hrvatskoj 2019.svg
   HDZ    SDP   Sovereignists   Amsterdam Coalition    Živi zid    Most    HNS–LD   NL Marijana Petir    SDSS    NS–R    BM 365   Pametno

European Parliament elections were held in Croatia on 26 May 2019, electing members of the national Croatia constituency to the European Parliament. [1] [2] These were the third such elections in the country since its accession to the European Union in 2013.

Contents

It was the first election to be held nationally since the 2016 parliamentary election, following which the center-right HDZ had formed a coalition government, first with the center-right MOST and later - in June 2017, with the centrist HNS. The European Parliament elections were therefore viewed as a major test for the center-left SDP, which had contested all previous nationwide elections since 2011 as part of a coalition, but chose to stand in this election alone. The elections as such was deemed important to showcase whether the SDP could remain the largest opposition party, having been faced with months of falling opinion poll ratings. Its main contenders for such a position within the political system were the anti-establishment, eurosceptic Živi zid party, and the newly formed center-left Amsterdam Coalition. [3]

The election resulted in the two largest parties in the country, the ruling centre-right HDZ, and the opposition centre-left SDP, winning an equal number of seats - each taking 4. SDP won in all four of the largest Croatian cities: Zagreb, Split, Rijeka and Osijek. [4] The remaining four seats were evenly divided between the right-wing Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the centre-left Amsterdam Coalition, the anti-establishment Živi zid party and the independent list led by jurist Mislav Kolakušić. The strong performance of right-wing and far-right parties, such as the Croatian Sovereignists coalition and Independents for Croatia-HSP coalition, is thought to have greatly contributed to the surprisingly poor result of the HDZ, notably by significantly reducing its support among members of the Croatian diaspora, who had registered a record turnout in this election. Another surprise in the elections was the large number of votes received by Zagreb jurist Mislav Kolakušić and his independent list - which was something not predicted by opinion polls, as well as the failures of MOST to attain a seat and of independent incumbent MEP Marijana Petir to retain her seat (which she had held since 2014).

At the previous election in 2014, Croatia was allocated 11 seats and is set to receive one additional seat following the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU. All seats were up for election and the whole country forms a single constituency, with the 12 members elected by proportional representation using open lists and the D'Hondt method. [5]

Current delegation

Croatian parties in the European Parliament in the ninth legislature (2019-2024)
Group12National party12
EPP Group 4 Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ)4
S&D 4 Social Democratic Party (SDP)4
ALDE 1 Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS-DDI)1
ECR 1 Croatian Conservative Party (HKS)1
NI 1 Mislav Kolakušić (ind.)1
EFDD 1 Živi zid (ŽZ)1

Campaign

A total of 33 valid candidate slates with 396 candidates were submitted for the upcoming European Parliament election. The lists were published by the State Election Commission on 10 April, when the official election campaign began that will last for 45 days. [6]

Croatian Democratic Union

The slate of the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), the ruling centre-right party of Croatia and member of the European People's Party (EPP), was led by 30-year-old Karlo Ressler, who was nominated by the youth branch of the party. The slate also includes two current MEPs, three members of the Croatian Parliament, and two county prefects. The party platform for the election was called "Croatia for Generations". [7] Croatian Prime Minister and HDZ President Andrej Plenković said that the election is a choice between a political course of Croatia's development and a backward course that would isolate Croatia. [8] The main campaign rally of the HDZ, held in Zagreb, was attended by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Manfred Weber, EPP's candidate for European Commission (EC) President. Both of them urged voters to reject nationalism in the upcoming election. [9]

Social Democratic Party of Croatia

The slate of the main opposition party, the centre-left Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP) of the Party of European Socialists (PES), was led by current MEP Tonino Picula. While presenting the party list, Picula said that Croatia had not taken full advantage of its membership in the EU. The SDP was expecting to win three seats in the upcoming election. [10] The campaign event in Rijeka, where the SDP is in power, was attended by Frans Timmermans, the candidate of the PES for president of the EC, alongside SDP President Davor Bernardić. Bernardić accused the HDZ for "failing to salvage" the Croatian shipyards in Rijeka and Pula, in cooperation with the EC. [11]

Amsterdam Coalition

The list of the Amsterdam Coalition, a coalition of seven parties, including the Croatian Peasant Party (HSS), the Civic Liberal Alliance (GLAS), and the Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS), was headed by Istria County prefect Valter Flego of the IDS. GLAS President Anka Mrak Taritaš presented the list as a rejection of a "Europe of barbed wire fences and the Brexit chaos", and said that the coalition advocates an open and free Europe. HSS President Krešo Beljak said that the vote for the coalition is a vote for a European Croatia. [12]

Živi zid

The populist Živi zid party announced a joint platform with Italy's Five Star Movement, Kukiz'15 from Poland, and Greece's AKKEL. The 1st candidate on the slate of the Živi zid was its secretary-general Tihomir Lukanić. Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the party, presented the platform as a new generation of politicians that will fight against corruption and organised crime. [13]

Bridge of Independent Lists

The slate of the Bridge of Independent Lists (Most) was led by its president, Božo Petrov. If elected, Petrov would have given up his seat in the European Parliament to the next candidate with most preferential votes. [14] Prior to the start of the campaign, the Most party attempted to filibuster a bill that would increase the spending limits for the European election, but the bill was passed by the Croatian Parliament just before the deadline. [15] The party has not joined any of the European political groups and announced the work within the non-affiliated Non-Inscrits. [16]

Independents for Croatia–Croatian Party of Rights

Two right-wing parties, the Independents for Croatia (NHR) and the Croatian Party of Rights (HSP), formed a coalition and emphasized a Europe of "free, sovereign and independent nations" as the main agenda. Their slate included both parties' presidents, Bruna Esih of the NHR and Karlo Starčević of the HSP. [17]

Croatian Sovereignists

The Croatian Sovereignists coalition was formed by four right-wing parties: the Croatian Conservative Party (HKS), the Croatian Growth (Hrast), the Croatian Party of Rights Dr. Ante Starčević (HSP AS), and the United Croatian Patriots (UHD). Its list was led by current MEP Ruža Tomašić of the HKS, who won a mandate in 2013 and in 2014 on the HDZ-led Patriotic Coalition slate. [18]

Independent Democratic Serb Party

SDSS' 2019 European Parliament election jumbo poster in Vukovar. Independent Democratic Serb Party 2019 European Parliament Election.png
SDSS' 2019 European Parliament election jumbo poster in Vukovar.

The Independent Democratic Serb Party (SDSS), the largest party of the Serbs of Croatia, ran independently for the first time in the European election. [19] Although there were speculations that the SDSS might leave the ruling coalition, its leader Milorad Pupovac confirmed that the SDSS will remain a part it, following a meeting with Prime Minister Plenković. [20] Campaign was marked by SDSS jumbo posters with inscription "Do you know how it is to be a Serb in Croatia?" in which a word Serb was written in Serbian Cyrillic. [21] Second on the list, just behind party leader Milorad Pupovac, was Dejan Jović, university professor and former consultant to Ivo Josipović. [22] As it was expected by campaign leaders jumbo posters were target of widespread nationalist vandalism and destruction which underlined the issue of ethnic intolerance and discrimination. [22]

Other electoral lists

The Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats (HNS–LD), the junior partner in the governing coalition, also ran independently, with Međimurje County Prefect Matija Posavec leading the list. [23]

Current MEP Marijana Petir, who was elected in 2014 on the HDZ-led coalition slate, ran as an independent candidate, with a campaign focused on agrarian issues. [24]

Opinion polls

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and other parties in the poll since the parliamentary elections 2003.

Polling average
Main parties
  HDZ
  SDP
Other parties
  ŽZ
  A
  MOST
  BM365
  HNS
  NHR-HSP
  START
  HS
  NLMK
  NLMP
  Pametno
Events
  Elections

Vote share

DatePolling firmSample
size
TO HDZ SDP ŽZ A Most BM 365 HNS NHR
HSP
Start HS NLMK NLMP PametnoOthersLead
25 May 2014 Election results 25.24%41.429.90.528.211.5
23 Nov 2018 2x1 komunikacije Archived 12 September 2020 at the Wayback Machine ----25.518.57.813.17.8--1.27.6--1.0------7.0
27 Dec 2018 2x1 komunikacije 1046--28.422.812.010.66.6--1.66.6--1.0------5.6
18 Jan 2019 IPSOS 1000--20.110.610.812.57.55.10.28.99.4--------7.6
1 Feb 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 12 February 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----26.422.010.514.06.8--1.48.6--2.2------4.4
27 Feb 2019 IPSOS 991--29.615.79.47.24.95.0----4.0--------16.013.9
28 Feb 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 16 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----26.320.09.914.18.7--1.57.5--1.7------6.3
6 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 1300--27.616.79.68.26.54.02.54.24.02.9------10.9
21 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 1400--27.016.49.38.46.43.62.34.34.12.8------1.610.6
23 Mar 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 23 March 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----26.620.810.514.48.8--2.66.2--1.5------5.8
26 Mar 2019 IPSOS 983--29.518.99.45.66.14.0----4.1--------16.610.6
7 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 1300--26.916.58.38.26.0----4.54.04.0------10.4
21 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 1400--25.115.77.77.66.22.42.44.13.23.94.64.6--2.49.4
27 Apr 2019 IPSOS 841--26.917.48.77.16.03.1--2.83.92.72.82.7--7.09.5
29 Apr 2019 Oraclum Archived 5 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 1200--36.120.59.76.07.42.21.22.93.42.43.2---2.315.6
30 Apr 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 30 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----24.021.09.87.96.81.01.05.02.02.73.22.5--1.23.0
8 May 2019 Promocija plus 1300--26.016.27.97.05.63.3--3.4--3.14.34.4----9.8
20 May 2019 Promocija plus Archived 1 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine 1400--24.516.47.46.96.72.33.13.62.24.44.74.82.04.48.1
23 May 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 25 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 1041--24.021.211.05.97.02.61.75.33.14.84.84.0--2.8
24 May 2019 Oraclum Archived 24 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----34.621.111.15.77.32.81.22.43.12.23.3--1.213.5
24 May 2019 IPSOS 985--28.220.17.46.26.13.0--4.63.04.25.1----8.1

Seat projections

DatePolling firmSample
size
Abs. HDZ SDP ŽZ A Most BM 365 HNS NHR
HSP
Start HS NLMK NLMP OthersLead
23 Nov 2018 2x1 komunikacije Archived 12 September 2020 at the Wayback Machine ----4312100100001
27 Dec 2018 2x1 komunikacije ----4321100100001
18 Jan 2019 IPSOS ----3222100110001
1 Feb 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 12 February 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----4312100100001
27 Feb 2019 IPSOS ----6311010000003
28 Feb 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 16 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----4312100100001
6 Mar 2019 Promocija plus ----5321100000002
21 Mar 2019 Promocija plus ----5321100000002
23 Mar 2019 2x1 komunikacije ----4312100100001
26 Mar 2019 IPSOS ----6311100000003
7 Apr 2019 Promocija plus ----5311100100002
21 Apr 2019 Promocija plus ----5311100000002
27 Apr 2019 IPSOS ----5311100000002
29 Apr 2019 Oraclum Archived 5 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----6311100000003
30 Apr 2019 2x1 komunikacije Archived 30 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----4411100100000
8 May 2019 Promocija plus ----5311100000002
20 May 2019 Promocija plus Archived 1 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine ----5311100000002
23 May 2019 2X1 komunikacije ----4421100000000
24 May 2019 IPSOS ----5311100000102
24 May 2019 Oraclum Archived 24 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine ----6311100000003

Exit polls

DatePolling firm HDZ SDP NL Mislav KolakušićCroatian Sovereignists Živi zid Amsterdam Coalition
26 May 2019 Ipsos puls 531111

Results

Parties with most votes by county:
Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP)
Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ)
Croatian People's Party - Liberal Democrats (HNS)
Amsterdam Coalition 2019 European Parliament election in Croatia - parties with most votes by county.svg
Parties with most votes by county:
Results by municipality, shaded according to winning party's percentage of the vote.

.mw-parser-output .col-begin{border-collapse:collapse;padding:0;color:inherit;width:100%;border:0;margin:0}.mw-parser-output .col-begin-small{font-size:90%}.mw-parser-output .col-break{vertical-align:top;text-align:left}.mw-parser-output .col-break-2{width:50%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-3{width:33.3%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-4{width:25%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-5{width:20%}@media(max-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .col-begin,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody>tr,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody>tr>td{display:block!important;width:100%!important}.mw-parser-output .col-break{padding-left:0!important}}
HDZ--60-70%

HDZ--50-60%

HDZ--40-50%

HDZ--<40%

SDP--50-60%

SDP--40-50%

SDP--<40%
AK--60-70%

AK--50-60%

AK--40-50%

AK--<40%

HNS--40-50%

HNS--<40%
SDSS-->80%

SDSS--70-80%

SDSS--60-70%

SDSS--50-60%

SDSS--40-50%

SDSS--<40%

Others Europski izbori u Hrvatskoj 2019 v2.svg
Results by municipality, shaded according to winning party's percentage of the vote.

The ruling HDZ won 22.72% of the vote and 4 seats in the European Parliament. The SDP, the main opposition party, also won 4 seats in the parliament, with 18.71% of the popular vote. The SDP will gain the fourth seat after the United Kingdom leaves the EU. The Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the independent list of Mislav Kolakušić, the Živi Zid party, and the Amsterdam Coalition won one seat each. [25] The voter turnout was 29.9%, up from 25.2% in the 2014 election. [18]

Prime Minister Plenković admitted that he expected more votes. The elected MEP's of the HDZ list are Karlo Ressler, Dubravka Šuica, Tomislav Sokol and Željana Zovko. SDP President Davor Bernardić was satisfied with the results, which exceeded his expectations. The elected MEP's of the SDP are Biljana Borzan, Tonino Picula, Predrag Fred Matić and Romana Jerković. Jerković will take her seat after Brexit. Ruža Tomašić of the Croatian Sovereignists won the highest number of preferential votes and retained her seat in the parliament. The biggest surprise of the election was Kolakušić's independent list, which won 7.89% of the vote. Kolakušić announced a presidential campaign the day after the election. [25]

Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the Živi zid party, won most preferential votes on his party list and a place in the parliament ahead of the slate leader, Tihomir Lukanić. The Amsterdam Coalition's main candidate, Valter Flego, won a seat in the parliament. [25]

PartyVotes%Seats
Croatian Democratic Union 244,07622.734
Social Democratic Party 200,97618.714
HRASTHKSHSP AS–UHD91,5468.521
Independent Candidate – Mislav Kolakušić 84,7657.891
Human Shield 60,8475.671
HSSGLASIDSHSUPGSDEMOKRATILABURISTI 55,8295.201
Bridge of Independent Lists 50,2574.680
Independent Candidate – Marijana Petir 47,3584.410
NHRHSP 46,9704.370
Independent Democratic Serb Party 28,5972.660
Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats 27,9582.600
Party of Anti-corruption, Development and Transparency 21,7442.020
Bandić Milan 365 – Labour and Solidarity Party 21,1751.970
We can!NLORaH 19,3131.800
Pametno–UK15,0741.400
People's Party – Reformists 9,9710.930
Green List 5,9720.560
Croatian Social Liberal Party 5,8760.550
Croatian Democratic Party5,6100.520
Authentic Croatian Party of Rights 4,3910.410
Let's Unblock Croatia3,9810.370
Party of People's and Civic Action3,6830.340
Croatian Demochristian Party 3,6510.340
RFSRP 2,6220.240
Movement for a Modern Croatia2,5810.240
Democratic Alliance of Serbs2,0360.190
Croatian Defence People's Party1,5880.150
My Beloved Croatia1,1680.110
Zagorje Party for Zagreb 1,1280.110
Free Croatia1,0210.100
Croatian Community Party9440.090
Croatian Party of Order7330.070
Freedom Party of Croatia5130.050
Total1,073,954100.0012
Valid votes1,073,95497.32
Invalid/blank votes29,5972.68
Total votes1,103,551100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,696,90729.85
Source: State Election Committee

Elected lists and candidates

Members of the
European Parliament

for Croatia
Observers (2012)
7th term (2013)
8th term (2014)
9th term (2019)
Women
6: HRAST - HKS - HSP AS - UHD9: HDZ12: HSS - GLAS - IDS - HSU -PGS - D - HL-SR15: NLMK28: SDP33: ŽZ
* Ruža Tomašić
(HKS)
* Karlo Ressler
(HDZ)
* Dubravka Šuica
(HDZ)
* Tomislav Sokol
(HDZ)
* Željana Zovko
(HDZ)
* Valter Flego
(IDS)
* Mislav Kolakušić
(Independent)
* Biljana Borzan
(SDP)
* Tonino Picula
(SDP)
* Predrag Fred Matić
(SDP)
* Romana Jerković
(SDP)
* Ivan Vilibor Sinčić
(ŽZ)

List of elected MEPs

MEPPartyNumber of preference votesShare of preference votes on candidate's listTerm length
Croatian part- Citizens' Corner debate on EU policies for asylum seekers and immigrants (18432278524) (cropped).jpg
Ruža Tomašić HKS 69,98976.45%1 July 2013 
Mislav Kolakusic.jpg
Mislav Kolakušić Ind.68,88381.26%2 July 2019 
Biljana Borzan - Croatian part- Citizens' Corner debate on gender equality in EU labour markets (31691251574).jpg
Biljana Borzan SDP 64,73632.21%1 July 2013 
Karlo Ressler HDZ 52,85921.65%2 July 2019 
Tonino Picula MEP.jpg
Tonino Picula SDP 50,92125.33%1 July 2013 
Dubravka Suica, 2008.jpg
Dubravka Šuica HDZ 31,79113.02%1 July 2013 
Valter Flego.jpg
Valter Flego IDS 21,22838.03%2 July 2019 
Sincic.jpg
Ivan Vilibor Sinčić ŽZ 18,31430.09%2 July 2019 
Predrag Matić SDP 13,3716.65%2 July 2019 
Željana Zovko HDZ 9,8614.04%21 November 2016 
Tomislav Sokol HDZ 4,5731.87%2 July 2019 
Romana Jerković SDP 1,3680.68%2 July 2019 

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Croatian parliamentary election</span>

Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on 17 April 2024 to elect the members of the 11th Sabor. Prior to the elections, the government consisted of a coalition of the Croatian Democratic Union and Independent Democratic Serb Party, with parliamentary support of five national minority MPs, two MPs from the Croatian Social Liberal Party and Croatian Demochristian Party, and one independent MP, Silvano Hrelja.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Croatia in December 2024, with a second round in January 2025 if no candidate receives a majority. Incumbent president Zoran Milanović is eligible for a second term. His first term began on 19 February 2020 and will end on 18 February 2025.

References

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