2019 European Parliament election in Hungary

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2019 European Parliament election in Hungary
Flag of Hungary.svg
  2014 26 May 2019 2024  

All 21 Hungarian seats to the European Parliament
Turnout43.48% (Increase2.svg 14.51%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Trocsanyi Laszlo (cropped).jpg Vice-president, Ms. Dobrev is chairing the plenary at Monday evening (48745205207) (cropped).jpg Cseh Katalin es Csipkes Jozsef (cropped).jpg
Leader László Trócsányi Klára Dobrev Katalin Cseh
Party Fidesz–KDNP DK Momentum
Alliance EPP (suspended) S&D ALDE
Last election51.48%, 12 seats9.75%, 2 seatsNew party
Seats won1342
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Increase2.svg 2new party
Popular vote1,824,220557,081344,512
Percentage52.56%16.05%9.93%
SwingIncrease2.svg 1.08Increase2.svg 6.30New party

 Fourth partyFifth party
  Toth Bertalan.jpg Marton Gyongyosi Sejm 2016.JPG
Leader Bertalan Tóth Márton Gyöngyösi
Party MSZPP Jobbik
Alliance S&D, Greens/EFA NI
Last election18.15%, 3 seats [lower-alpha 1] 14.67%, 3 seats
Seats won11
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote229,551220,184
Percentage6.61%6.34%
SwingDecrease2.svg 11.54Decrease2.svg 8.33

An election of Members of the European Parliament from Hungary to the European Parliament was held on 26 May 2019, [1] electing the 21 members of the Hungary delegation to the European Parliament as part of the European elections held across the European Union. [2]

Contents

Electoral system

Date of the vote

European Parliament Elections are held every five years in the European Union. The vote had to take place from 23 to 26 May 2019, but the member states could set the exact date. [3] Since Hungarian law states elections can only take place on a Sunday, [4] the only possible date was 26 May 2019. Accordingly, President János Áder announced on 4 March 2019 that the vote would be held on 26 May. [1]

Background

Fidesz

During early 2019, the Hungarian government launched a poster campaign targeting European commission president Jean-Claude Juncker and Hungarian-American philanthropist George Soros. The government campaign accuses Juncker and Soros of wanting “to weaken member states’ rights to protect their own borders” and claims “they want …migrants’ visas”. [5] Due to the poster campaign, some members of the European People's Party (EPP), which the Hungarian governing party Fidesz is a member of, started moves to remove it from the group.” [6] Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, called those who were calling for his removal from the EPP "Useful idiots".” [7] [8] In response to the political ad campaign, Manfred Weber, Spitzenkandidat of the EPP demanded Orbán apologize for and renounce the criticism levied against the EU by him and his party or face Fidesz's suspension from the EPP. [9]

On 20 March 2019, the European People's Party voted to suspend the membership of Fidesz citing its anti-immigration stance, and personal attacks on Jean-Claude Juncker and George Soros. Prime Minister and Fidesz leader Viktor Orbán had threatened to pull out of the EPP if it was suspended. [10]

Parties contesting

According to election law, Hungary consists of a single election district and all parties that collect 20,000 valid signatures from eligible citizens are put on the ballot. By the deadline (23 April 2019, 16:00), eleven parties or party alliances had submitted signature lists. Of those, two parties were refused registration, lacking a sufficient number of valid signatures : the United Hungarian National People's Party (EMNP) and the Tea Party Hungary (TPM). [11] Nine qualified lists were approved by the National Election Committee (NVB) to be put on the ballot, of which two of them are shared lists. All parties represented in the Országgyűlés participated in the election, in addition to four extra-parliamentary parties. The parties appeared on the ballot papers in the following randomly drawn order:

Hungarian parties contesting the 2019 European Parliament election
Abbr.PartyLead candidateLast election EP affiliation
MSZP–P Hungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary Bertalan Tóth 10.9%+7.25% [lower-alpha 2] 2+1 seats S&D+Greens/EFA
MKKP Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party Zsuzsanna Döme did not contest
Jobbik Movement for a Better Hungary Márton Gyöngyösi 14.67%3 seats NI
Fidesz–KDNP Fidesz – Hungarian Civic AllianceChristian Democratic People's Party László Trócsányi 51.48%11+1 seats EPP (Suspended)
Momentum Momentum Movement Katalin Cseh did not contest ALDE
DK Democratic Coalition Klára Dobrev 9.75%2 seats S&D
Our Homeland Our Homeland Movement László Toroczkai did not contest
Workers' Party Hungarian Workers' Party Gyula Thürmer did not contest
LMP Politics Can Be Different Gábor Vágó 5.04%1 seat Greens/EFA

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork date Fidesz-
KDNP
MSZP-P DK Jobbik Momentum LMP MKKP Our Homeland Lead
2019 election 26 May 201952.626.6216.096.379.832.172.613.3036.81
Nézőpont 25 May 20195510119732241
Politico 24 May 201955.088.5110.689.536.023.343.001.5344.40
Publicus 16-22 May 201952131113641139
Medián Archived 2019-05-23 at the Wayback Machine 15-18 May 20195210.51011.55.543340.5
Századvég 10-18 May 201954.87.511.89.76.53.203.243
MR Center Archived 2019-05-26 at the Wayback Machine 15 May 201942.19.58.39.86.21.83.58.332.3
Nézőpont May 201954101010653244
Závecz Research 4-14 May 201953121112452241
Idea Institute 2-6 May 20195012913352037
Nézőpont 1-26 April 20195710810542247
Závecz Research 15-25 April 20195713116542144
MR Center Archived 2019-05-10 at the Wayback Machine 16-26 April 201950.309.2310.2010.356.253.704.701.4049.95
Századvég 10-21 April 20195410914440240
Závecz Research April 20195312912442244
Medián Mar-Apr 20195312811572041
Idea Institute 29 Mar-1 Apr 20194812914643234
Publicus 13-20 March 20195215616632036
Závecz Research March 20195013914541236
Nézőpont 1-28 March 20195611612454244
Idea Institute 28 Feb-3 Mar 20194712917434230
Nézőpont 31 Jan-22 Feb 20195411613454341
Nézőpont 31 Jan-22 Feb 20195411613454341
European Parliament 5-15 February 201953.012.38.313.33.74.71.72.039.7
Závecz Research 3-10 February 20194912914442235
European Parliament Archived 2019-05-27 at the Wayback Machine 6 February 201949.313.37.215.55.04.53.71.233.8
2014 election 25 May 201451.4810.909.7514.675.0436.81

Results

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
FideszKDNP 1,824,22052.5613+1
Democratic Coalition 557,08116.054+2
Momentum Movement 344,5129.932New
Hungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary 229,5516.611–2
Jobbik 220,1846.341–2
Our Homeland Movement 114,1563.290New
Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party 90,9122.620New
Politics Can Be Different 75,4982.180–1
Hungarian Workers' Party 14,4520.420New
Total3,470,566100.00210
Valid votes3,470,56699.49
Invalid/blank votes17,7750.51
Total votes3,488,341100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,008,35343.56
Source: Valasztas.hu

By county and in the diaspora

County results in % [12] Fidesz-
KDNP
DK Momentum MSZP-P Jobbik Our Homeland MKKP LMP Workers' Party Total Votes CastTurnout
Baranya 50.1318.439.446.636.063.132.892.840.46125,67341.35%
Bács-Kiskun 58.8113.437.275.087.053.672.192.100.39166,01339.80%
Békés 52.7016.746.806.178.654.092.142.010.46109,77538.65%
Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén 51.6515.775.797.1511.694.021.821.520.59202,26838.31%
Budapest (capital)41.1719.7917.359.043.182.323.832.980.34689,52652.51%
Csongrád 49.3213.899.4711.535.384.952.992.070.42145,39343.90%
Fejér 53.8316.019.155.317.033.692.581.980.43148,56343.38%
Győr-Moson-Sopron 59.1713.748.444.905.793.262.282.070.35166,60246.36%
Hajdú-Bihar 57.3714.167.965.547.143.172.211.950.47156,69136.55%
Heves 52.6316.127.145.8310.263.951.881.740.46100,09341.38%
Jász-Nagykun-Szolnok 53.4414.956.006.539.605.281.931.580.70113,54237.42%
Komárom-Esztergom 50.0819.658.565.597.343.502.612.220.43101,79041.40%
Nógrád 56.9015.655.117.276.764.471.571.400.8661,93639.38%
Pest 51.3815.5511.705.645.293.343.232.540.34449,27044.20%
Somogy 55.3017.226.445.388.902.871.791.670.43102,98140.70%
Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg 60.6613.455.326.278.252.921.451.250.42170,75438.05%
Tolna 59.0214.406.635.986.113.532.011.880.4373,03640.17%
Vas 61.0313.037.425.636.432.402.011.760.29100,16948.80%
Veszprém 54.7515.208.225.967.533.502.392.060.38129,67845.32%
Zala 58.1315.636.914.846.813.581.861.890.34100,56544.72%
Foreign representations41.309.6029.046.372.292.075.224.000.1117,749
Diaspora 95.970.600.960.450.320.630.580.360.1257,777
Total52.5616.059.936.616.343.292.622.180.42

European groups

European groupSeats 2014Seats 2019Change
European People's Party EPP
12 / 21
13 / 21
Increase2.svg 1
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats S&D
4 / 21
5 / 21
Increase2.svg 1
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe ALDE0
2 / 21
Increase2.svg 2
Non-Inscrits NI
3 / 21
1 / 21
Decrease2.svg 2
The Greens–European Free Alliance Greens-EFA
2 / 21
0Decrease2.svg 2
2121

List of seat winners

Analysis

These elections marked the change of balance in Hungarian politics. Although Fidesz-KNDP remained largest and dominant party, but MSZP and Jobbik were replaced by Democratic Coalition and Momentum Movement as leading opposition parties. LMP was wiped off from political sphere. The results of the European elections in Hungary were also viewed with interest for their potential implications in the upcoming local elections in 2019. András Bódis of Válasz Online noted possibility that in some municipalities joint opposition candidates can defeat Fidesz-KNDP candidates. [13]

Notes

  1. Joint result of MSZP and EgyüttPM in the last EU election
  2. Common list with the now-defunct Together in the 2014 election
  3. Bertalan Tóth was elected but did not take his seat.

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