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Turnout | 77.12% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Date | October 27, 2018 |
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Convention | Halifax Exhibition Centre |
Resigning leader | Jamie Baillie |
Won by | Tim Houston |
Ballots | 1 |
Candidates | 5 |
Entrance Fee | $25,000 [1] |
The 2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election took place on October 27, 2018, due to Jamie Baillie's announcement that he was stepping down as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia on November 1, 2017. [2] Baillie was to remain in the position until a new leader was elected, [2] however on January 24, 2018, he announced his resignation with immediate effect due to "allegations of inappropriate behaviour". [3]
Unlike the system of delegated conventions previously used, this election was conducted on a One Member One Vote basis, weighted so that each electoral district being allocated 100 points, which were distributed proportionally according to each candidate's level of support. [4]
Candidate of Record in Chester-St. Margaret's (2017)
Mayor of the Cape Breton Regional Municipality (2012-2020), Attorney General of Nova Scotia (2007-2009), Minister of Justice (2007-2009), Speaker of the House of Assembly (2006-2007), Minister of Energy (2003-2006), Minister of Economic Development (2003), MLA for Cape Breton North (2001-2011)
MLA for Pictou East (2013–Present)
MLA for Kings North (2013–Present)
MLA for Cumberland North (2017–Present)
No. | Date | Time | Place | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant N Non-invitee A Absent invitee O Out of race (exploring or withdrawn) | Tim Houston | Cecil Clarke | John Lohr | Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin | Julie Chaisson | |||
Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election debates | ||||||||
1 | May 24, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | NSCC Middleton Campus, Middleton | P | P | P | P | P |
2 | June 21, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | Alderney Landing Theatre, Dartmouth | P | P | P | P | P |
3 | July 12, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | Centre Communautaire de Par-en-bas, Tusket | P | P | P | P | P |
4 | August 9, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | Joan Harriss Cruise Pavilion, Sydney | P | P | P | P | P |
5 | September 11, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | Best Western Plus, Bridgwater | P | P | P | P | P |
6 | October 10, 2018 | 7 p.m. AST | Best Western Glengarry, Truro | P | P | P | P | P |
Tim Houston | Cecil Clarke | John Lohr | Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin | Julie Chaisson | Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Constituency | Votes | Points | Votes | Points | Votes | Points | Votes | Points | Votes | Points | Votes | |
Annapolis | 48 | 42.86 | 13 | 11.61 | 43 | 38.39 | 6 | 5.36 | 2 | 1.79 | 112 | |
Antigonish | 178 | 70.36 | 59 | 23.32 | 13 | 5.14 | 2 | 0.79 | 1 | 0.40 | 253 | |
Argyle-Barrington | 55 | 57.89 | 26 | 27.37 | 9 | 9.47 | 1 | 1.05 | 4 | 4.21 | 95 | |
Bedford | 86 | 42.36 | 68 | 33.50 | 25 | 12.32 | 19 | 9.36 | 5 | 2.46 | 203 | |
Cape Breton-Richmond | 43 | 27.74 | 103 | 66.45 | 5 | 3.23 | 3 | 1.94 | 1 | 0.65 | 155 | |
Cape Breton Centre | 21 | 16.03 | 105 | 80.15 | 4 | 3.05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.76 | 131 | |
Chester-St. Margaret's | 77 | 44.51 | 56 | 32.37 | 8 | 4.62 | 5 | 2.89 | 27 | 15.61 | 173 | |
Clare-Digby | 60 | 57.69 | 10 | 9.62 | 28 | 26.92 | 6 | 5.77 | 0 | 0 | 104 | |
Clayton Park West | 73 | 53.68 | 22 | 16.18 | 10 | 7.35 | 31 | 22.79 | 0 | 0 | 136 | |
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley | 94 | 58.75 | 33 | 20.63 | 19 | 11.88 | 10 | 6.25 | 4 | 2.50 | 160 | |
Colchester North | 45 | 29.61 | 73 | 48.03 | 9 | 5.92 | 22 | 14.47 | 3 | 1.97 | 152 | |
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage | 114 | 69.94 | 22 | 13.50 | 11 | 6.75 | 15 | 9.20 | 1 | 0.61 | 163 | |
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley | 67 | 59.82 | 23 | 20.54 | 14 | 12.50 | 7 | 6.25 | 1 | 0.89 | 112 | |
Cumberland North | 18 | 8.49 | 11 | 5.19 | 3 | 1.42 | 179 | 84.43 | 1 | 0.47 | 212 | |
Cumberland South | 131 | 54.36 | 23 | 9.54 | 11 | 4.56 | 75 | 31.12 | 1 | 0.41 | 241 | |
Dartmouth East | 100 | 68.03 | 24 | 16.33 | 11 | 7.48 | 10 | 6.80 | 2 | 1.36 | 147 | |
Dartmouth North | 47 | 59.49 | 10 | 12.66 | 12 | 15.19 | 5 | 6.33 | 5 | 6.33 | 79 | |
Dartmouth South | 66 | 64.08 | 14 | 13.59 | 11 | 10.68 | 9 | 8.74 | 3 | 2.91 | 103 | |
Eastern Shore | 61 | 66.30 | 18 | 19.57 | 8 | 8.70 | 4 | 4.35 | 1 | 1.09 | 92 | |
Fairview-Clayton Park | 62 | 62.63 | 10 | 10.10 | 14 | 14.14 | 11 | 11.11 | 2 | 2.02 | 99 | |
Glace Bay | 139 | 53.67 | 119 | 45.95 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | |
Guysborough–Eastern Shore–Tracadie | 73 | 58.40 | 40 | 32.00 | 10 | 8.00 | 2 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 | 125 | |
Halifax Armdale | 48 | 53.33 | 16 | 17.78 | 9 | 10.00 | 15 | 16.67 | 2 | 2.22 | 90 | |
Halifax Atlantic | 37 | 47.44 | 18 | 23.08 | 10 | 12.82 | 4 | 5.13 | 9 | 11.54 | 78 | |
Halifax Chebucto | 58 | 37.91 | 61 | 39.87 | 7 | 4.58 | 20 | 13.07 | 7 | 4.58 | 153 | |
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island | 66 | 45.21 | 40 | 27.40 | 8 | 5.48 | 26 | 17.81 | 6 | 4.11 | 146 | |
Halifax Needham | 58 | 50.00 | 36 | 31.03 | 10 | 8.62 | 11 | 9.48 | 1 | 0.86 | 116 | |
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville | 47 | 46.08 | 22 | 21.57 | 20 | 19.61 | 5 | 4.90 | 8 | 7.84 | 102 | |
Hants East | 30 | 46.88 | 11 | 17.19 | 17 | 26.56 | 3 | 4.69 | 3 | 4.69 | 64 | |
Hants West | 45 | 51.72 | 13 | 14.94 | 24 | 27.59 | 3 | 3.45 | 2 | 2.30 | 87 | |
Inverness | 53 | 48.18 | 47 | 42.73 | 9 | 8.18 | 1 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 | 110 | |
Kings North | 16 | 6.04 | 8 | 3.02 | 237 | 89.43 | 4 | 1.51 | 0 | 0 | 265 | |
Kings South | 40 | 21.51 | 14 | 7.53 | 126 | 67.74 | 4 | 2.15 | 2 | 1.08 | 186 | |
Kings West | 79 | 47.31 | 23 | 13.77 | 60 | 35.93 | 5 | 2.99 | 0 | 0 | 167 | |
Lunenburg | 37 | 34.58 | 45 | 42.06 | 17 | 15.89 | 4 | 3.74 | 4 | 3.74 | 107 | |
Lunenburg West | 31 | 31.00 | 53 | 53.00 | 11 | 11.00 | 5 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 100 | |
Northside-Westmount | 62 | 15.20 | 339 | 83.09 | 4 | 0.98 | 2 | 0.49 | 1 | 0.25 | 408 | |
Pictou Centre | 390 | 73.72 | 85 | 16.07 | 51 | 9.64 | 3 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 529 | |
Pictou East | 801 | 87.93 | 60 | 6.59 | 47 | 5.16 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 911 | |
Pictou West | 231 | 73.57 | 41 | 13.06 | 39 | 12.42 | 2 | 0.64 | 1 | 0.32 | 314 | |
Preston-Dartmouth | 27 | 71.05 | 3 | 7.89 | 6 | 15.79 | 1 | 2.63 | 1 | 2.63 | 38 | |
Queens-Shelburne | 118 | 71.95 | 25 | 15.24 | 5 | 3.05 | 12 | 7.32 | 4 | 2.44 | 164 | |
Sackville-Beaver Bank | 83 | 62.88 | 13 | 9.85 | 22 | 16.67 | 5 | 3.79 | 9 | 6.82 | 132 | |
Sackville-Cobequid | 65 | 53.28 | 8 | 6.56 | 13 | 10.66 | 4 | 3.28 | 32 | 26.23 | 122 | |
Sydney-Whitney Pier | 31 | 18.90 | 124 | 75.61 | 8 | 4.88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.61 | 164 | |
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg | 49 | 16.07 | 245 | 80.33 | 7 | 2.30 | 3 | 0.98 | 1 | 0.33 | 305 | |
Timberlea-Prospect | 67 | 65.69 | 12 | 11.76 | 11 | 10.78 | 12 | 11.76 | 0 | 0 | 102 | |
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River | 170 | 70.25 | 35 | 14.46 | 16 | 6.61 | 21 | 8.68 | 0 | 0 | 242 | |
Victoria-The Lakes | 34 | 18.28 | 146 | 78.49 | 5 | 2.69 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 186 | |
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank | 101 | 57.39 | 31 | 17.61 | 15 | 8.52 | 14 | 7.95 | 15 | 8.52 | 176 | |
Yarmouth | 36 | 46.75 | 20 | 25.97 | 16 | 20.78 | 3 | 3.90 | 2 | 2.60 | 77 | |
Total | 4,568 | 2,496.75 | 2,476 | 1,385.71 | 1,109 | 692.45 | 618 | 384.96 | 176 | 140.13 | 8,947 |
Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Julie Chaisson | Cecil Clarke | Tim Houston | John Lohr | Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin | None of the above | Don't know/no answer |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corporate Research Associates | September 1, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 10% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 32% |
Corporate Research Associates | May 23, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 13% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 34% |
Corporate Research Associates | February 1, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 26% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 40% |
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