2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election

Last updated

Progressive Conservative leadership election
Flag of Nova Scotia.svg
  2010 October 27, 2018
Turnout77.12%
  TimHouston.png
CC
JohnLohr.png
Candidate Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr
Home riding Pictou East None Kings North
First ballot2,496.75
48.95%
1,385.71
27.17%
692.45
13.58%
Second ballotWinnerWithdrewWithdrew

 
ESM
JC
Candidate Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie Chaisson
Home riding Cumberland North None
First ballot384.96
7.55%
140.13
2.75%
Second ballotWithdrewDropped
2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election
DateOctober 27, 2018
ConventionHalifax Exhibition Centre
Resigning leader Jamie Baillie
Won by Tim Houston
Ballots1
Candidates5
Entrance Fee$25,000 [1]

The 2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election took place on October 27, 2018, due to Jamie Baillie's announcement that he was stepping down as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia on November 1, 2017. [2] Baillie was to remain in the position until a new leader was elected, [2] however on January 24, 2018, he announced his resignation with immediate effect due to "allegations of inappropriate behaviour". [3]

Contents

Unlike the system of delegated conventions previously used, this election was conducted on a One Member One Vote basis, weighted so that each electoral district being allocated 100 points, which were distributed proportionally according to each candidate's level of support. [4]

Timeline

Candidates

Julie Chaisson

Background

Candidate of Record in Chester-St. Margaret's (2017)

Date campaign launched: February 8, 2018 [5] [6]
Campaign website: www.juliechaisson.ca

Cecil Clarke

Background

Mayor of the Cape Breton Regional Municipality (2012-2020), Attorney General of Nova Scotia (2007-2009), Minister of Justice (2007-2009), Speaker of the House of Assembly (2006-2007), Minister of Energy (2003-2006), Minister of Economic Development (2003), MLA for Cape Breton North (2001-2011)

Date campaign launched: February 3, 2018 [7]
Campaign website: www.cecilclarke.ca
Supporters

Tim Houston

Tim Houston TimHouston.png
Tim Houston
Background

MLA for Pictou East (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: November 19, 2017 [8] [9]
Campaign website: www.timhouston.ca
Supporters

John Lohr

John Lohr JohnLohr.png
John Lohr
Background

MLA for Kings North (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: January 8, 2018 [10] [11]
Campaign website: www.johnlohr.ca
Supporters

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin

Background

MLA for Cumberland North (2017–Present)

Date campaign launched: February 6, 2018 [12]
Campaign website: www.elizabethforleader.ca
Supporters

Declined

Debates

Debates among candidates for the 2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia leadership election
No.DateTimePlaceParticipants
 P  Participant
 N  Non-invitee  A  Absent invitee  O  Out of race (exploring or withdrawn)
Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie Chaisson
Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election debates
1May 24, 20187 p.m. ASTNSCC Middleton Campus, Middleton PPPPP
2June 21, 20187 p.m. ASTAlderney Landing Theatre, Dartmouth PPPPP
3July 12, 20187 p.m. ASTCentre Communautaire de Par-en-bas, Tusket PPPPP
4August 9, 20187 p.m. ASTJoan Harriss Cruise Pavilion, Sydney PPPPP
5September 11, 20187 p.m. ASTBest Western Plus, Bridgwater PPPPP
6October 10, 20187 p.m. ASTBest Western Glengarry, Truro PPPPP

Results

Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie ChaissonTotal
ConstituencyVotesPointsVotesPointsVotesPointsVotesPointsVotesPointsVotes
Annapolis 4842.861311.614338.3965.3621.79112
Antigonish 17870.365923.32135.1420.7910.40253
Argyle-Barrington 5557.892627.3799.4711.0544.2195
Bedford 8642.366833.502512.32199.3652.46203
Cape Breton-Richmond 4327.7410366.4553.2331.9410.65155
Cape Breton Centre 2116.0310580.1543.050010.76131
Chester-St. Margaret's 7744.515632.3784.6252.892715.61173
Clare-Digby 6057.69109.622826.9265.7700104
Clayton Park West 7353.682216.18107.353122.7900136
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 9458.753320.631911.88106.2542.50160
Colchester North 4529.617348.0395.922214.4731.97152
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage 11469.942213.50116.75159.2010.61163
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley 6759.822320.541412.5076.2510.89112
Cumberland North 188.49115.1931.4217984.4310.47212
Cumberland South 13154.36239.54114.567531.1210.41241
Dartmouth East 10068.032416.33117.48106.8021.36147
Dartmouth North 4759.491012.661215.1956.3356.3379
Dartmouth South 6664.081413.591110.6898.7432.91103
Eastern Shore 6166.301819.5788.7044.3511.0992
Fairview-Clayton Park 6262.631010.101414.141111.1122.0299
Glace Bay 13953.6711945.9510.390000259
Guysborough–Eastern Shore–Tracadie 7358.404032.00108.0021.6000125
Halifax Armdale 4853.331617.78910.001516.6722.2290
Halifax Atlantic 3747.441823.081012.8245.13911.5478
Halifax Chebucto 5837.916139.8774.582013.0774.58153
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island 6645.214027.4085.482617.8164.11146
Halifax Needham 5850.003631.03108.62119.4810.86116
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville 4746.082221.572019.6154.9087.84102
Hants East 3046.881117.191726.5634.6934.6964
Hants West 4551.721314.942427.5933.4522.3087
Inverness 5348.184742.7398.1810.9100110
Kings North 166.0483.0223789.4341.5100265
Kings South 4021.51147.5312667.7442.1521.08186
Kings West 7947.312313.776035.9352.9900167
Lunenburg 3734.584542.061715.8943.7443.74107
Lunenburg West 3131.005353.001111.0055.0000100
Northside-Westmount 6215.2033983.0940.9820.4910.25408
Pictou Centre 39073.728516.07519.6430.5700529
Pictou East 80187.93606.59475.1630.3300911
Pictou West 23173.574113.063912.4220.6410.32314
Preston-Dartmouth 2771.0537.89615.7912.6312.6338
Queens-Shelburne 11871.952515.2453.05127.3242.44164
Sackville-Beaver Bank 8362.88139.852216.6753.7996.82132
Sackville-Cobequid 6553.2886.561310.6643.283226.23122
Sydney-Whitney Pier 3118.9012475.6184.880010.61164
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg 4916.0724580.3372.3030.9810.33305
Timberlea-Prospect 6765.691211.761110.781211.7600102
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 17070.253514.46166.61218.6800242
Victoria-The Lakes 3418.2814678.4952.6910.5400186
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank 10157.393117.61158.52147.95158.52176
Yarmouth 3646.752025.971620.7833.9022.6077
Total4,5682,496.752,4761,385.711,109692.45618384.96176140.138,947

Opinion polls

Polling firm/LinkLast date
of polling
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Julie
Chaisson
Cecil
Clarke
Tim
Houston
John
Lohr
Elizabeth
Smith-McCrossin
None of the aboveDon't know/no answer
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2018400± 4.9%10%19%9%4%6%18%32%
Corporate Research Associates May 23, 2018400± 4.9%13%23%11%4%4%10%34%
Corporate Research Associates February 1, 2018400± 4.9%26%10%5%11%8%40%

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