Opinion polling for the 2013 Philippine Senate election

Last updated

Opinion polling (locally known as "surveys") for the 2013 Philippine Senate election is carried out by two major polling firms: Social Weather Stations (SWS), and Pulse Asia, with a handful of minor polling firms. A typical poll asks a voter to name twelve persons one would vote for in the senate election. The SWS and Pulse Asia's surveys are usually national in scope, while other polling firms usually restrict their samples within Metro Manila.

Contents

Candidates

There two major coalitions in this election: Team PNoy (known as the LP-Akbayan-NPC-NP-LDP Coalition until January 27, 2013), and the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA). The two coalitions used to share three common candidates, until UNA dropped them. A third coalition, the Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan (Makabayan; Patriotic Coalition of the People) share four candidates from Team PNoy. A further two more parties put up ticket of three candidates each, two parties had a ticket made up of one candidate each, and three candidates are independents that are not a part of any ticket.

These are aside from the parties that put up candidates, and may belong to any coalition. In the tables below, the colors refer to the parties, unless otherwise stated in the seat totals sections.

CandidatesAlliances
AKP BP DPP Maka-
bayan 		SJS Team PNoy UNA None
Samson Alcantara Green check.svg
Sonny Angara Green check.svg
Bam Aquino Green check.svg
Greco Belgica Green check.svg
Nancy Binay Green check.svg
Teodoro Casiño Green check.svg
Alan Peter Cayetano Gold check mark.svg Green check.svg
Tingting Cojuangco Green check.svg
Rizalito David Green check.svg
John Carlos de los Reyes Green check.svg
JV Ejercito Green check.svg
Jack Enrile Green check.svg
Francis Escudero Gold check mark.svg Gold check mark.svg
Baldomero Falcone Green check.svg
Richard J. Gordon Green check.svg
Edward Hagedorn Green check.svg
Gregorio Honasan Green check.svg
Risa Hontiveros Green check.svg
Loren Legarda Gold check mark.svg Gold check mark.svg
Marwil Llasos Green check.svg
Ernesto Maceda Green check.svg
Jamby Madrigal Gold check mark.svg Green check.svg
Mitos Magsaysay Green check.svg
Ramon Magsaysay Jr. Green check.svg
Ramon Montaño Green check.svg
Ricardo Penson Green check.svg
Aquilino Pimentel III Gold check mark.svg Green check.svg
Grace Poe Gold check mark.svg Gold check mark.svg
Christian Señeres Green check.svg
Antonio Trillanes Green check.svg
Eddie Villanueva Green check.svg
Cynthia Villar Gold check mark.svg Green check.svg
Migz Zubiri Green check.svg
Totals (regulars+guests)3131+719+393

Note:

Voting preferences per candidate

Top 12 in the survey
Outside the top 12 but within the margin of error

Key dates:

Until filing of certificates of candidacy

Pollster Pulse Asia [1] Pulse Asia [2] Pulse Asia [3] SWS [4] The Center [5] Pulse Asia [6]
Date(s) administeredNovember 10–23, 2011February 26–March 9, 2012May 20–26, 2012August 24–27, 2012August 24–30, 2012August 31–September 7, 2012
Sample size1,2001,2001,2001,2001,2001,200
Margin of error±3.0%±3.0%±3.0%±3.0%±3.0%±3.0%
Candidates1   Escudero (Ind.), 65.8%   Legarda (NPC), 58.5%   Escudero (Ind.), 65.1%   Escudero (Ind.), 62%   Escudero (Ind.), 66%   Legarda (NPC), 67.3%
2   Legarda (NPC), 58.9%   Escudero (Ind.), 52.7%   Legarda (NPC), 63.6%   Legarda (NPC), 57%   Legarda (NPC), 59.3%   Escudero (Ind.), 61.2%
3   Roxas (LP), 43.0%   Roxas (LP), 41.8%   Cayetano (NP), 50.2%   Cayetano (NP), 49%   Cayetano (NP), 54%   Cayetano (NP), 49.9%
4   Cayetano (NP), 40.3%   Cayetano (NP), 41.6%   Enrile (NPC), 49.1%   Enrile (NPC), 48%

   Pimentel (PDP), 46.6%
   Enrile (NPC), 46.6%

   Ejercito (PMP), 49.9%
5   de Castro (Ind.), 34.8%   Enrile (NPC), 38.2%   Roxas (LP), 47.5%   Honasan (Ind.), 40%   Enrile (NPC), 47.4%
6   Ejercito (PMP), 30.4%   de Castro (Ind.), 34.6%   Honasan (Ind.), 39.5%   Angara (LDP), 40%   Honasan (Ind.), 43%   Trillanes (NP), 41.2%
7   Honasan (Ind.), 29.6%   Trillanes (Ind.), 33.7%   Pimentel (PDP), 38.9%   Trillanes (NP), 40%   K. Aquino (Ind.), 39.8%   Honasan (Ind.), 40.6%
8   Enrile (NPC), 29.5%   Honasan (Ind.), 32.1%   Ejercito (PMP), 36.3%   Ejercito (PMP), 38%   Ejercito (PMP), 37.3%   Pimentel (PDP), 39.2%
9   Pimentel (PDP), 29.4%   Ejercito (PMP), 31.3%   Trillanes (Ind.), 34.8%   Pimentel (PDP), 38%   Villar (NP), 35%   Zubiri (PMP), 37.4%
10   de Lima (Ind.), 29.4%   Pimentel (PDP), 29.0%   Zubiri (PMP), 30.4%   Zubiri (PMP), 34%   Gordon (B-VNP), 30.2%
   Zubiri (PMP), 30.2%		   Angara (LDP), 35.9%
11   Trillanes (Ind.), 28.7%   Failon (Ind.), 26.9%   Gordon (B-VNP), 29.6%
   Villar (NP), 32.7%   Villar (NP), 34%
12   Zubiri (Ind.), 26.9%   de Lima (Ind.), 26.6%   Angara (LDP), 28.9%   Gordon (B-VNP), 28%

   Biazon (LP), 27%
   Angara (LDP), 27%

   Binay (PDP), 27.4%
13   Angara (LDP), 24.3%   Biazon (LP), 22.5%   Binay (PDP), 27.5%   de Lima (Ind.), 27%   Gordon (B-VNP), 26.2%
14   Madrigal (Ind.), 24.0%   Zubiri (Ind.), 22.4%   Villar (NP), 25.1%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 24%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 23%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 25.4%
15   Gordon (B-VNP), 22.1%
   Madrigal (Ind.), 21.8%   Madrigal (Ind.), 23.4%   Biazon (LP), 23%

   de Venecia (PDP), 20.2%
   Santos-Recto (LP), 20.2%
   M. Magsaysay (PDP), 20.2%

   Madrigal (Ind.), 23.2%
None/refused/undecided5.2%3.0%3.0%3%—6.0%

Until the campaign period for the Senate election

PollsterStratPOLLS [7] Pulse Asia [8] SWS [9] The Center [10] SWS/Business World [11] Pulse Asia [12]
Date(s) administeredOctober 8–17, 2012November 23–29, 2012November 29–December 3, 2012January 9–17, 2013January 17–19, 2013January 19–30, 2013
Sample size3001,2001,2001,2001,2001,800
Margin of error<3%, >4%±3.0%±3.0%—±3.0%±2.0%
Candidates1   Legarda (NPC), 64%   Escudero (Ind.), 74.1%   Legarda (NPC), 68%   Legarda (NPC)   Legarda (NPC), 65%   Legarda (NPC), 58.6%
2   Escudero (Ind.), 63%   Legarda (NPC), 69.3%   Escudero (Ind.), 61%   Escudero (Ind.)   Escudero (Ind.), 62%   Escudero (Ind.), 54.3%
3   Cayetano (NP), 58%   Cayetano (NP), 60.1%   Cayetano (NP), 58%   Cayetano (NP)   Cayetano (NP), 60%   Cayetano (NP), 48.9%
4   Pimentel (PDP), 45%   Ejercito (UNA), 57.0%   Villar (NP), 51%   Ejercito (UNA)   Ejercito (UNA), 53%   Binay (UNA), 43.6%
5   Villar (NP), 42%   Enrile (NPC), 53.2%   Ejercito (UNA), 49%   Pimentel (PDP)

   Honasan (UNA), 48%
   Pimentel (PDP), 48%

   Ejercito (UNA), 43.5%
6   Angara (LDP), 40%   Villar (NP), 52.2%

   Pimentel (PDP), 46%
   Enrile (NPC), 46%

   Villar (NP)   Trillanes (NP), 41.1%
7   Ejercito (UNA), 37%   Pimentel (PDP), 50.2%   Honasan (UNA)   Zubiri (UNA), 47%   Pimentel (PDP), 40.7%
8   Gordon (UNA), 35%   Honasan (UNA), 44.9%   Honasan (UNA), 43%   Zubiri (UNA)

   Villar (NP), 46%
   Enrile (NPC), 46%

   Enrile (NPC), 40.4%
9   Zubiri (UNA), 33%   Trillanes (NP), 43.2%

   Binay (UNA), 41%
   Zubiri (UNA), 41%

   Enrile (NPC)   Villar (NP), 39.1%
10

   Enrile (NPC), 29%
   Honasan (UNA), 29%

   Binay (UNA), 41.3%   Binay (UNA)

   Trillanes (NP), 45%
   Poe (Ind.), 45%

   Zubiri (UNA), 37.6%
11   Angara (LDP), 40.8%   Trillanes (NP), 40%   Trillanes (NP)   Angara (LDP), 37.1%
12   Madrigal (LP), 28%   Zubiri (UNA), 40.5%   Gordon (UNA), 37%   Poe (Ind.)   Binay (UNA), 43%   Honasan (UNA), 36.8%
13   Trillanes (NP), 27%   Madrigal (LP), 34.4%   Angara (LDP), 35%   Angara (LDP), 39%   Aquino (LP), 31.4%
14   Hagedorn (Ind.), 25%   Gordon (UNA), 29.7%   Madrigal (LP), 30%   Gordon (UNA), 36%   Poe (Ind.), 30.9%
15   Poe (Ind.), 23%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 28.8%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 29%   Aquino (LP), 34%   Gordon (UNA), 30.0%
16   Aquino (LP), 27.9%   Maceda (UNA), 25%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 33%   Madrigal (LP), 26.8%
17   Poe (Ind.), 24.7%   Aquino (LP), 24%   Madrigal (LP), 28%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 23.8%
18   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 21.2%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 21%

   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 25%
   Maceda (UNA), 25%

   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 17.5%
19   Maceda (UNA), 16.7%   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 14%   Maceda (UNA), 15.5%
20   Cojuangco (UNA), 14.2%   Poe (Ind.), 13%   Cojuangco (UNA), 14%   Cojuangco (UNA), 11.8%
21   Hagedorn (Ind.), 8.8%   Hagedorn (Ind.), 11%

   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 13%
   Hagedorn (Ind.), 13%

   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 9.9%
22   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 7.7%

   Cojuangco (UNA), 10%
   Casiño (Makabayan), 10%

   Hagedorn (Ind.), 9.3%
23   Casiño (Makabayan), 5.3%   Villanueva (BP), 12%   Villanueva (BP), 9.2%
24 Alcantara (SJS), 4.0%   David (AKP), 7%   Casiño (Makabayan), 11%   Casiño (Makabayan), 5.7%
25   Montaño (Ind.), 3.3%

Alcantara (SJS), 4.0%
   Montaño (Ind.), 3.3%

   Montaño (Ind.), 6%
   David (AKP), 6%
Alcantara (SJS), 6%

 Alcantara (SJS), 3.8%
26   David (AKP), 2.8%

   David (AKP), 3.6%
   Montaño (Ind.), 3.6%

27   de los Reyes (AKP), 2.7%   de los Reyes (AKP), 5%
28   Falcone (DPP), 1.9%   Belgica (DPP), 4%   de los Reyes (AKP), 5%   de los Reyes (AKP), 2.8%
29   Penson (Ind.), 1.8%

   Penson (Ind.), 3%
   Falcone (DPP), 3%

   Belgica (DPP), 3%
   Penson (Ind.), 3%
   Falcone (DPP), 3%
   Señeres (DPP), 3%

   Señeres (DPP), 1.3%
30   Belgica (DPP), 0.7%   Penson (Ind.), 1.2%
31   Llasos (AKP), 0.7%

   Llasos (AKP), 2%
   Señeres (DPP), 2%

   Belgica (DPP), 0.8%
32   Señeres (DPP), 0.5%

   Falcone (DPP), 0.5%
   Llasos (AKP), 0.5%

33   Llasos (AKP), 2%
None
Refused
Undecided		NA4.2%1%—2%8.6%

Until the campaign period for local elections

Pollster SWS/BW [13] Pulse Asia [14] StratPOLLS [15] SWS/BW [16] Pulse Asia [17]
Date(s) administeredFebruary 15–17, 2013February 24–28, 2013March 8–13, 2013March 15–17, 2013March 16–20, 2013
Sample size1,2001,8001,2001,2001,800
Margin of error±3%±2%±3.5%±3%±2%
Candidates1   Legarda (NPC), 64%   Legarda (NPC), 56.7%   Legarda (NPC), 75.2%   Legarda (NPC), 59%   Legarda (NPC), 55.3%
2   Escudero (Ind.), 62%   Escudero (Ind.), 54.9%   Escudero (Ind.), 63.2%   Cayetano (NP), 57%   Escudero (Ind.), 51.5%
3   Cayetano (NP), 58%   Cayetano (NP), 52.8%   Poe (Ind.), 63.0%

   Ejercito (UNA), 48%
   Escudero (Ind.), 48%

   Cayetano (NP), 48.7%
4   Villar (NP), 53%   Villar (NP), 44.0%   Cayetano (NP), 62.1%   Poe (Ind.), 42.1%
5

   Poe (Ind.), 48%
   Pimentel (PDP), 48%

   Ejercito (UNA), 43.8%   Binay (UNA), 59.7%

   Binay (UNA), 47%
   Villar (NP), 47%
   Pimentel (PDP), 47%

   Pimentel (PDP), 41.7%
6   Aquino (LP), 43.2%   Ejercito (UNA), 59.0%   Villar (NP), 40.8%
7   Binay (UNA), 47%   Binay (UNA), 42.5%

   Trillanes (NP), 54.7%
   Enrile (NPC), 54.7%

   Binay (UNA), 39.6%
8   Trillanes (NP), 46%   Poe (Ind.), 42.1%   Trillanes (NP), 44%

   Aquino (LP), 38.6%
   Ejercito (UNA), 38.6%

9

   Ejercito (UNA), 42%
   Aquino (LP), 42%

   Pimentel (PDP), 40.1%   Angara (LDP), 54.0%   Honasan (UNA), 43%
10   Honasan (UNA), 37.9%   Zubiri (UNA), 52.1%   Aquino (LP), 42%   Trillanes (NP), 37.7%
11

   Angara (LDP), 39%
   Zubiri (UNA), 39%

   Enrile (NPC), 36.6%   Aquino (LP), 50.0%   Poe (Ind.), 40%   Honasan (UNA), 36.8%
12   Trillanes (NP), 36.1%   Pimentel (PDP), 49.4%   Angara (LDP), 39%   Angara (LDP), 34.6%
13   Enrile (NPC), 38%   Angara (LDP), 35.1%   Villar (NP), 49.1%

   Enrile (NPC), 37%
   R. Magsaysay (LP), 37%

   Zubiri (UNA), 32.5%
14   Madrigal (LP), 36%   Zubiri (UNA), 33.2%   Honasan (UNA), 48.1%   Enrile (NPC), 32.4%
15   Honasan (UNA), 34%   Gordon (UNA), 32.2%   Gordon (UNA), 38.7%   Zubiri (UNA), 35%   Gordon (UNA), 30.7%
16   R. Magsaysay (LP), 32%   Madrigal (LP), 30.6%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 37.7%

   Madrigal (LP), 33%
   Gordon (UNA), 33%

   R. Magsaysay (LP), 28.2%
17   Gordon (UNA), 31%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 27.0%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 34.7%   Madrigal (LP), 27.3%
18   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 25%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 24.1%   Madrigal (LP), 29.8%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 29%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 24.3%
19   Maceda (UNA), 15%   Maceda (UNA), 16.3%   Maceda (UNA), 23.6%   Maceda (UNA), 18%   Maceda (UNA), 14.1%
20

   Cojuangco (UNA), 13%
   Villanueva (BP), 13%
   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 13%

   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 14.5%   Cojuangco (UNA), 23.4%

   Cojuangco (UNA), 14%
   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 14%

   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 12.7%
21   Cojuangco (UNA), 14.4%   Villanueva (BP), 21.0%

   Cojuangco (UNA), 12.7%
   Hagedorn (Ind.), 12.7%

22   Hagedorn (Ind.), 13.3%   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 20.8%   Villanueva (BP), 13%
23   Hagedorn (Ind.), 10%   Villanueva (BP), 12.7%
   Hagedorn (Ind.), 16.3%   Hagedorn (Ind.), 11%   Villanueva (BP), 10.2%
24   Casiño (Makabayan), 9%   Casiño (Makabayan), 7.7%   de los Reyes (AKP), 12.3%   Casiño (Makabayan), 7%   Casiño (Makabayan), 7.2%
25   David (AKP), 5%   de los Reyes (AKP), 4.2%   Casiño (Makabayan), 8.7%

   Llasos (AKP), 4%
Alcantara (SJS), 4%
   Penson (Ind.), 4%
   Montaño (Ind.), 4%
   Falcone (DPP), 4%

   de los Reyes (AKP), 3.0%
26

   Montaño (Ind.), 4%
   de los Reyes (AKP), 4%

   Montaño (Ind.), 4.0%   Montaño (Ind.), 8.5%   Montaño (Ind.), 2.9%
27 Alcantara (SJS), 3.4%   Belgica (DPP), 6.2% Alcantara (SJS), 2.6%
28

   Penson (Ind.), 3%
Alcantara (SJS), 3%
   Belgica (DPP), 3%

   Belgica (DPP), 3.2%   David (AKP), 5.9%   David (AKP), 2.3%
29   David (AKP), 2.8%   Penson (Ind.), 5.4%

   Belgica (DPP), 2.0%
   Falcone (DPP), 2.0%    Penson (Ind.), 2.0%

30   Falcone (DPP), 2.5%   Llasos (AKP), 5.1%

   David (AKP), 3%
   Señeres (DPP), 3%
   de los Reyes (AKP), 3%

31

   Señeres (DPP), 2%
   Falcone (DPP), 2%
   Llasos (AKP), 2%

   Penson (Ind.), 2.4% Alcantara (SJS), 4.6%
32   Señeres (DPP), 2.3%   Señeres (DPP), 4.0%   Llasos (AKP), 1.7%
33   Llasos (AKP), 1.6%   Falcone (DPP), 3.6%
   Belgica (DPP), 2%   Señeres (DPP), 1.0%
None
Refused
Undecided		2% undecided
4% invalid markings		5.5% none/refused/don't know
2.6% invalid votes		—2% undecided
5% invalid markings		7.7% none/refused/don't know
5.2% invalid votes

Until election day

Pollster SWS [18] Pulse Asia [19] SWS [20] Pulse Asia [21]
Date(s) administeredApril 13–15, 2013April 20–22, 2013May 2–3, 2013May 10–11, 2013
Sample size1,8001,8002,4001,800
Margin of error±2%±2%±2%±2%
Candidates1   Legarda (NPC), 59%   Legarda (NPC), 51.5%   Legarda (NPC), 57%   Legarda (NPC), 55.8%
2   Cayetano (NP), 52%   Escudero (Ind.), 48.3%   Cayetano (NP), 50%   Escudero (Ind.), 52.7%
3

   Binay (UNA), 49%
   Villar (NP), 49%

   Poe (Ind.), 42.4%

   Binay (UNA), 48%
   Escudero (Ind.), 48%

   Cayetano (NP), 51.1%
4   Cayetano (NP), 40.0%   Poe (Ind.), 49.9%
5   Escudero (Ind.), 47%   Villar (NP), 37.7%   Poe (Ind.), 45%   Binay (UNA), 46.9%
6   Aquino (LP), 44%   Trillanes (NP), 35.8%

   Ejercito (UNA), 44%
   Villar (NP), 44%

   Villar (NP), 46.6%
7

   Pimentel (PDP), 43%
   Ejercito (UNA), 43%

   Aquino (LP), 35.7%   Aquino (LP), 45.9%
8   Ejercito (UNA), 34.7%   Pimentel (PDP), 43%   Angara (LDP), 42.4%
9   Angara (LDP), 42%   Binay (UNA), 34.6%   Aquino (LP), 41%   Ejercito (UNA), 41.7%
10

   Poe (Ind.), 39%
   Trillanes (NP), 39%

   Pimentel (PDP), 32.7%

   Angara (LDP), 38%
   Trillanes (NP), 38%

   Pimentel (PDP), 39.6%
11   Angara (LDP), 31.2%   Trillanes (NP), 37.7%
12

   Enrile (NPC), 37%
   Honasan (UNA), 37%

   Zubiri (UNA), 29.7%   Honasan (UNA), 37%   Honasan (UNA), 36.7%
13   Honasan (UNA), 27.9%   Enrile (NPC), 35%   Enrile (NPC), 35.7%
14

   Zubiri (UNA), 35%
   R. Magsaysay (LP), 35%

   Enrile (NPC), 27.2%

   R. Magsaysay (LP), 33%
   Zubiri (UNA), 33%

   R. Magsaysay (LP), 33.3%
15   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 25.8%   Zubiri (UNA), 32.1%
16   Madrigal (LP), 30%   R. Magsaysay (LP), 25.6%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 29%   Gordon (UNA), 31.8%
17   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 29%   Gordon (UNA), 22.4%   Gordon (UNA), 27%   Hontiveros (Akbayan), 29.9%
18   Gordon (UNA), 27%   Madrigal (LP), 20.4%   Madrigal (LP), 25%   Madrigal (LP), 26.2%
19   Hagedorn (Ind.), 17%   Hagedorn (Ind.), 13.7%   Hagedorn (Ind.), 16%   Hagedorn (Ind.), 19.8%
20   Maceda (UNA), 16%   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 11.0%   Villanueva (BP), 15%   Villanueva (BP), 16.4%
21   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 15%   Villanueva (BP), 10.8%   Maceda (UNA), 14%   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 13.5%
22   Cojuangco (UNA), 14%   Maceda (UNA), 9.1%   M. Magsaysay (UNA), 13%   Maceda (UNA), 11.6%
23   Villanueva (BP), 13%   Cojuangco (UNA), 7.3%   Cojuangco (UNA), 11%   Cojuangco (UNA), 11.3%
24   Casiño (Makabayan), 7%   Casiño (Makabayan), 6.5%   Casiño (Makabayan), 9%   Casiño (Makabayan), 10.3%
25   Montaño (Ind.), 5% Alcantara (SJS), 2.4%   Montaño (Ind.), 5% Alcantara (SJS), 3.4%
26   David (AKP), 4%

   de los Reyes (AKP), 2.1%
   Montaño (Ind.), 2.1%

Alcantara (SJS), 3%
   de los Reyes (AKP), 3%
   David (AKP), 3%

   de los Reyes (AKP), 2.9%
27

   de los Reyes (AKP), 3%
Alcantara (SJS), 3%
   Penson (Ind.), 3%

   Belgica (DPP), 2.8%
28   David (AKP), 1.6%   Montaño (Ind.), 2.4%
29   Belgica (DPP), 1.3%

   Penson (Ind.), 2%
   Falcone (DPP), 2%
   Llasos (AKP), 2%
   Belgica (DPP), 2%

   David (AKP), 2.2%
30

   Falcone (DPP), 2%
   Señeres (DPP), 2%
   Llasos (AKP), 2%
   Belgica (DPP), 2%

   Falcone (DPP), 1.1%
   Penson (Ind.), 1.1%

   Falcone (DPP), 1.9%
31   Llasos (AKP), 1.7%
32   Llasos (AKP), 1.0%   Penson (Ind.), 1.6%
33   Señeres (DPP), 0.7%   Señeres (DPP), 1%   Señeres (DPP), 1.6%
None
Refused
Undecided		2% undecided
4% invalid markings		6.1% none/refused/don't know
4.1% invalid votes		3% undecided
3% invalid markings		2.8% none/refused/don't know
5.0% invalid votes

Rankings

Top 12 in the survey
Outside the top 12 but within the margin of error
CandidateStrat-POLLS [7] Pulse Asia [8] SWS [9] The Center [10] SWS [11] Pulse Asia [12] SWS [13] Pulse Asia [14] Strat-POLLS [15] SWS [16] Pulse Asia [17] SWS [18] Pulse Asia [19] SWS [20] Pulse Asia [21]
10/8−1711/23−2911/29−12/31/9−171/17−191/19−302/15−172/24−283/8−133/15−173/16−204/13−154/13−155/2−35/10−11
Samson Alcantara —23–2725–26—25–2724–2828–3025–323125–2925–3227–2925–2926–2825−30
Sonny Angara 68–1213—136–1211–1210–159128–1598–1410–115–10
Bam Aquino —14–1717—1513–159–104–911104–1264–1094–9
Greco Belgica —28–3228—29–3229–3328–3025–32273325–3330–3325–3330–3225–33
Nancy Binay —8–129–1010124–974–955–74–113–45–113–43–8
Teodoro Casiño —22–2522–23—2424–2524242524242423–242422–24
Alan Peter Cayetano 33–4333331–3422–323–722–6
Tingting Cojuangco —19–2022–23—2020–2320–2219–232020–2119–232222–242321–24
Rizalito David —24–2924—25–2725–282525–332830–3225–322625–3326–2825–33
John Carlos de los Reyes —24–2927—2825–2826–2725–292430–3225–3227–2925–3226–2825–33
JV Ejercito 73–65444–99–104–963–44–127–85–116–77–11
Jack Enrile 10–114–76–798–94–12139–157–813–1411–167–811–161310–16
Francis Escudero 21–22221–221–323–41–351–23–41–2
Baldomero Falcone —2825–31—29–3229–3331–3326–333325–2925–3330–3326–3329–3225–33
Richard J. Gordon 813–1712—1413-161711–161516–1712–171814–181713–17
Edward Hagedorn 1421–2221—21–2220–232319–23232319–231919–211919–20
Gregorio Honasan 10–117–12875–66–12158–131496–1412–1311–161210–14
Risa Hontiveros —17–1818—18–1918–191817–18161816–181712–171614–18
Loren Legarda 11–21111–211–3111–211–211–2
Marwil Llasos —28–3231—3329–3331–3329–333025–2925–3330–3326–3329–3226–33
Ernesto Maceda —19–2016—18–1918–191919–22191919–222020–232121–24
Jamby Madrigal 1213–1414—1714–171414–171816–1715–181617–181817–18
Mitos Magsaysay —21–2319—21–2216–1720–2219–232220–2119–232119–222220–23
Ramon Magsaysay Jr. —14–1715—1616–171616–181713–1413–1814–1512–1714–1511–17
Ramon Montaño —23–2925–26—25–2725–2826–2725–312625–2925–322525–322525–33
Ricardo Penson —25–3129—29–3229–3328–3026–332925–2925–3327–2926–3329–3226–33
Aquilino Pimentel III 45–86–755–64–125–64–12125–74–107–86–1288–13
Grace Poe 1514–18201210–1113–165–64–103114–1010–113–452–7
Christian Señeres —30–3231–32—29–3229–3331–3327–333230–3229–3330–3328–333326–33
Antonio Trillanes 138–12111110–114–1289–157–884–1210–114–1010–119–14
Eddie Villanueva ————2320–2320–2220–23212220–232319–222019–21
Cynthia Villar 54–7468–94–1244–9135–74–113–44–96–73–8
Migz Zubiri 98–129–10876–1211–1211–16101511–1614–1510–1614–1513–17

Graph

2013 Philippine Senate election polling by candidate.png

The result of each candidate's opinion poll (survey) result is denoted by a plot point, or a "period" (per.). The lines denote moving averages (mov. avg.) of the last three polls (each poll given equal weight) for each candidate; as pollsters may use different methodologies, it is invalid to plot each period from all pollsters as if it is a single series. Hence, a moving average is used to link all polls from all pollsters into one series. Some candidates may not appear on some polls, and these do not include candidates who are not on the final list but were included in other polls. The twelfth ranking candidate in each poll is denoted by a line, for easy reference.

Seats won

The first figure denotes the number of candidates from the party or coalition that made it to the top 12 in each survey; the figures inside the parenthesis are other candidates that made it within the margin of error. The figure of the party or coalition (except independents) the most seats is highlighted; those that outright win a majority of seats contested (7, if 12 seats will be contested) is italicized, while the party or coalition that outright wins a majority of seats in the Senate (13) is boldfaced.

Some of the totals might not add up as most slates have shared candidates.

Before the filing of certificates of candidacy

PollsterDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		 B-VNP LDP LP NP NPC PDP
Laban 		PMP Ind.
2010 election May 10, 201038.1 millionNA00321021
Pulse Asia [1] Nov 10–23, 20111,200±3.0%00 (1)112116 (1)
Pulse Asia [2] Feb 26–Mar 6, 20121,200±3.0%001 (1)12115 (2)
April 4, 2012The Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino and the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan announced that they will form the United Nationalist Alliance. [22]
Pulse Asia [3] May 20–26, 20121,200±3.0%1111 (1)21 (1)23 (1)
July 5, 2012The Liberal Party announced they will form a united ticket with the Nacionalista Party and the Nationalist People's Coalition. [23]
SWS [4] Aug 24–27, 20121,200±3.0%110 (2)32121 (1)
The Center [5] Aug 24–30, 20121,200±3.0%11122114
Pulse Asia [6] Aug 31–Sept 7, 20121,200±3.0%0 (1)10 (1)32222 (1)
October 1, 2012President Aquino presents the united ticket of the LP-Akbayan-NP-NPC-LDP coalition. [24]
October 4, 2012The United Nationalist Alliance completes its slate with the announcement of Nancy Binay as its 12th candidate. [25]

After the filing of certificates of candidacy

PollsterDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		PartiesAlliances
Ak-
bayan 		LDP LP NP NPC PDP
Laban 		UNA Ind. Others Maka-
bayan 		Team PNoy SC UNA Others
October 5, 2012Deadline of submitting candidacies.
StratPOLLS [7] Oct 8–17, 2012300<3%, >4%0112 (1)2141 (1)045 (1)250 (1)
Pulse Asia [8] Nov 23–29. 20121,200±3%01032141045250
SWS [9] Nov 29–Dec 3, 20121,200±3%00 (1)032151044 (1)260
January 7, 2013United Nationalist Alliance releases its first TV advertisement. [26]
January 9, 2013On the Senate funds controversy, Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile admits to giving "cash gifts" to all but four senators that are known critics of his. [27]
The Center [10] Jan 9–17, 20131,200—00032142054350
SWS/BW [11] Jan 17–19, 20131,200±3%00032142054350
January 21−23, 2013On the Senate funds controversy, Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile was retained as senate president in a virtual vote of confidence. [28] Two days later, he and Minority Floor Leader Alan Peter Cayetano engaged in a word war that turned personal. [29]
Pulse Asia [12] Jan 19–30, 20131,800±2%01032141045250
January 28, 2013United ticket of the Liberal Party, Nacionalista Party and the NPC is rebranded as "Team PNoy", and releases its first TV advertisement. [30]
February 12, 2013Start of campaign period for the Senate election.
SWS [13] Feb 15–17, 20131,200±3%011 (1)31 (1)132056 (1)33 (1)0
February 21, 2013United Nationalist Alliance drops Francis Escudero, Loren Legarda and Grace Poe as guest candidates. [31]
Pulse Asia [14] Feb 24–28, 20131,800±2%00 (1)13213 (2)2058 (1)4 (2)0
March 1, 2013 A standoff between the Malaysian authorities and armed men claiming to be from the Sultanate of Sulu erupted into a military crisis that lasted for the rest of the month. [32]
StratPOLLS [15] Mar 8–13, 20131,200±3.5%0112 (1)213 (1)204 (1)8 (1)4 (1)0
SWS [16] Mar 15–17, 20131,200±3%011 (1)31 (1)132059 (1)3 (1)0
March 20, 2013The parents of actress Heart Evangelista held a press conference to announce their disapproval of their daughter's relationship with Senator Francis Escudero. [33]
Pulse Asia [17] Mar 16–20, 20131,800±2%01131 (1)13 (2)20593 (3)0
March 30, 2013Start of campaign period for local positions. As this was a Good Friday, campaigning in earnest was not allowed to start until March 31.
SWS [18] Apr 13–15, 20131,800±2%011 (1)3213 (1)2059 (1)4 (1)0
Pulse Asia [19] April 20–22, 20131,800±2%0 (1)11 (1)31 (1)13 (1)2059 (2)3 (2)0
SWS [20] May 2–3, 20132,400±2%011 (1)31 (1)13 (1)2069 (1)3 (2)0
Pulse Asia [21] May 10–11, 20131,800±2%011 (1)31 (1)132059 (1)3 (1)0

Composition of the Senate

The first figure denotes the number of candidates from the party or coalition that made it to the top 12 in each survey; the figures inside the parenthesis are other candidates that made it within the margin of error. The figure of the party or coalition (except independents) that has the most seats is highlighted; those that outright wins a majority of seats in the Senate (13) is boldfaced.

These are polls administered after October 5, 2010, the deadline for the filing of certificates of candidacies.

Overview

123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Before
election		Senate blocMinority blocMajority blocMin
Party‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡^
Coalition Team PNoy (guest) UNA Unaffiliated
After
election		Senate bloc
Party‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡^ 
Coalition Team PNoy Seats up UNA Unaffiliated

Key:

Polls

PollsterDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		PartiesAlliances
Ak-
bayan 		LDP LP NP NPC PDP
Laban 		UNA Ind. Others Maka-
bayan 		Team PNoy UNA Others
Current 01452232441436
October 5, 2012Deadline of submitting candidacies.
StratPOLLS [7] Oct 8–17, 2012300<3%, >4%0144 (1)3261 (1)3413 (1)94
Pulse Asia [8] Nov 23–29. 20121,200±3%01353261341394
SWS [9] Nov 29–Dec 3, 20121,200±3%00 (1)3532713412 (1)104
January 7, 2013United Nationalist Alliance releases its first TV advertisement. [26]
The Center [10] Jan 9–17, 20131,200NA003532623513104
SWS [11] Jan 17–19, 20131,200±3%003532623513104
Pulse Asia [12] Jan 19–30, 20121,800±2%01353261341394
January 28, 2013United ticket of the Liberal Party, Nacionalista Party and the NPC is rebranded as "Team PNoy", and releases its first TV advertisement. [30]
February 12, 2013Start of campaign period for the Senate election.
SWS [13] Feb 15–17, 20131,200±3%014522523515 (1)8 (1)4
February 21, 2013United Nationalist Alliance drops Francis Escudero, Loren Legarda and Grace Poe as guest candidates. [31]
Pulse Asia [14] Feb 24–28, 20131,800±2%00 (1)45325 (2)23514 (1)6 (2)4
StratPOLLS [15] Mar 8–13, 20131,200±3.5%0144 (1)325 (1)234 (1)14 (1)6 (1)4
SWS [16] Mar 15–17, 20131,200±3%014522523515 (1)5 (1)4
Pulse Asia [17] Mar 16–20, 20131,800±2%01452 (1)25 (2)235155 (3)4
March 30, 2013Start of campaign period for local positions. As this was a Good Friday, campaigning in earnest was not allowed to start until March 31.
SWS [18] Apr 13–15, 20131,800±2%014532523515 (1)6 (1)4
Pulse Asia [19] Apr 20–22, 20131,800±2%0 (1)14 (1)52 (1)25 (1)23515 (2)5 (2)4
SWS [20] May 2–3, 20132,400±2%014 (1)52 (1)25 (1)23515 (1)5 (2)4
Pulse Asia [21] May 10–11, 20131,800±2%014 (1)52 (1)2523515 (1)5 (1)4

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  29. ↑ "Enrile, Cayetano in an ugly word war". Rappler . 2013-01-21. Retrieved 2013-02-13.
  30. 1 2 Esguerra, Christian V. (2013-01-27). "Estrada, UNA slam LP restrictions on 'common bets' Legarda, Escudero, Poe". Philippine Daily Inquirer .
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  33. ↑ "Leave our daughter, Heart's parents tell Chiz". ABS-CBNnews.com. 2013-03-20. Retrieved 2013-04-03.
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