In the human brain,the anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) is the frontal part of the cingulate cortex that resembles a "collar" surrounding the frontal part of the corpus callosum. It consists of Brodmann areas 24,32,and 33.
Sir Simon Philip Baron-Cohen is a British clinical psychologist and professor of developmental psychopathology at the University of Cambridge. He is the director of the university's Autism Research Centre and a Fellow of Trinity College.
Richard Samuel Morris is an American political author and commentator who previously worked as a pollster,political campaign consultant,and general political consultant.
Electoral-Vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum. In the periods leading up to U.S. federal elections,the site's primary content is poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections,the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
Larry Joseph Sabato is an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia,where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics,which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball,an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections.
RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator. The site was formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan. The site features selected political news stories and op-eds from various news publications in addition to commentary from its own contributors. The site is especially prominent during election season for its aggregation of polling data.
Rasmussen Reports is an American polling company founded in 2003. The company engages in political commentary and the collection,publication,and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking,at national and state levels,of elections,politics,current events,consumer confidence,business topics,and the United States president's job approval ratings. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. The company generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions to its polling survey data.
The Bradley effect is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other. The theory proposes that some white voters who intend to vote for the white candidate would nonetheless tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for the non-white candidate. It was named after Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley,an African-American who lost the 1982 California gubernatorial election to California attorney general George Deukmejian,a white person,despite Bradley being ahead in voter polls going into the elections.
538,originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight,is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis,politics,economics,and sports blogging in the United States. The website,which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college,was founded on March 7,2008,as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. In August 2010,the blog became a licensed feature of The New York Times online and was renamed FiveThirtyEight:Nate Silver's Political Calculus.
The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian mathematical geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981,adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction. The system is a thirteen-point checklist that assesses the situation of the country and political system ahead of a presidential election. When five or fewer items on the checklist are false,the incumbent party nominee is predicted to win the election. Some of the items on the checklist involve qualitative judgment,and therefore the reliability of this system relies heavily on the knowledge and analytical skill of whoever attempts to apply it. Using the system,Lichtman correctly predicted the outcomes of nine presidential elections from 1984 to 2020,with the sole exception of the 2000 election.
Earl Keith Miller is a cognitive neuroscientist whose research focuses on neural mechanisms of cognitive,or executive,control. Earl K. Miller is the Picower Professor of Neuroscience with the Picower Institute for Learning and Memory and the Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences at Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He is the Chief Scientist and co-founder of SplitSage.
The Redskins Rule is a spurious relationship in which the results of National Football League (NFL) games correlated strongly with the results of subsequent United States presidential elections. Briefly stated,there was a strong correlation between the outcome of the last home game for the Washington Redskins prior to the U.S. presidential election and the outcome of the election:when Washington won,the party of the incumbent president retained the presidency;when Washington lost,the opposition party won. This coincidence was noted by many sports and political commentators,used as a bellwether to predict the results of elections,and held true in every election from 1940 through 2000.
The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election,held on Tuesday,November 8,2016. The Republican ticket,businessman Donald Trump and Indiana governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former secretary of state and First Lady of the United States Hillary Clinton and the junior senator from Virginia Tim Kaine,in what was considered one of the biggest political upsets in American history.
Public Policy Polling (PPP) is an American polling firm affiliated with the Democratic Party. Founded in 2001 by businessman Dean Debnam,the firm is based in Raleigh,North Carolina. Debnam currently serves as president and CEO of PPP,while Tom Jensen serves as the firm's director.
A poll aggregator is an entity that tracks and aggregates,often but not exclusively by averaging,individual polls conducted by different organizations in order to gauge public sentiment on key civic issues such as the approval rating of a major political figure,or legislative body;or to measure likely public support for an individual candidate or political party in an upcoming election.
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. However,it missed some close elections:1948,1976 and 2004,the popular vote in 2000,and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. The month section in the tables represents the month in which the opinion poll was conducted. D represents the Democratic Party,and R represents the Republican Party. Third parties,such as the Dixiecrats and the Reform Party,were included in some polls.
This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy,please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes,the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary,see United States presidential primary –Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes,see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.
The 2016 United States presidential election was held on November 8,2016,as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee,businessman Donald Trump,and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee,former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate,Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here,by state,are from January 1 to August 31,2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
Robert C. Cahaly is an American pollster and founder of the Trafalgar Group. He was previously a political consultant for Republican Party candidates.
