2022 United States Senate election in Indiana

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
Flag of Indiana.svg
  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  
  Sen. Todd Young official photo (cropped).jpg TommyMcDermont.jpg
Nominee Todd Young Thomas McDermott Jr.
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,090,165704,411
Percentage58.62%37.87%

2022 United States Senate election in Indiana results map by county.svg
IN-2022-sen-districts.svg
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
McDermott:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Todd Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Todd Young
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Senator Todd Young won to a second term. [1]

Contents

Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term. [2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the election since 1986 for Indiana’s Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neither Dan Coats nor Evan Bayh were on the ballot.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Results

Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 372,738 100.0%
Total votes372,738 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot. [10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash. [11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation [12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott. [13]

As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission [14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history. [14]

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 173,466 100.0%
Total votes173,466 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • James Sceniak, activist and behavior therapist [19]

Eliminated at convention

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

  • Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University [20]
  • Thomas Baer
  • Phillip Beachy
  • David G. Storer
  • Danny Niederberger
  • Antonio Xavier Alvarez

Withdrew/Disqualified

  • Ellen Kizik, retail worker [21]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [23] Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico [25] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [26] Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News [27] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [28] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [29] Solid RJuly 6, 2022
The Economist [30] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Thomas McDermott Jr. (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Labor Unions
Organizations
Haneefah Khaaliq (I) (write-in)
Organizations
  • Freethought Equality Fund [48]
  • Indiana Civil Rights Agency

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Todd
Young (R)
Thomas
McDermott Jr. (D)
James
Sceniak (L)
OtherUndecided
Civiqs November 4–7, 2022707 (LV)± 4.7%49%38%9% [lower-alpha 2] 4%
ARW Strategies September 25–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%39%37%6%17%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] August 20–24, 20222,111 (LV)± 2.6%45%42%13%

Results

State Senate results IN SEN 2022 SS.svg
State Senate results
State House results IN SEN 2022 SH.svg
State House results
2022 United States Senate election in Indiana [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 1,090,165 58.62% +6.51%
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 704,41137.87%-4.54%
Libertarian James Sceniak63,8143.43%-2.04%
Write-in 1,4610.08%+0.07%
Total votes1,859,851 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Young won 7 of 9 congressional districts. [50]

DistrictYoungMcDermottRepresentative
1st 46.1%52% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 65%32.4% Rudy Yakym
3rd 66.7%30.4% Jim Banks
4th 63.6%31.4% Jim Baird
5th 58.5%37.2% Victoria Spartz
6th 63.9%30.5% Greg Pence
7th 29%67.5% André Carson
8th 67.5%30% Larry Bucshon
9th 63.7%33.2% Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress)
Erin Houchin (118th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 9%
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by McDermott's campaign

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