2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  
Turnout67.6% Decrease2.svg
  GOV SUNUNU OFFICIAL PHOTO (cropped).jpg
Nominee Chris Sununu Tom Sherman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote352,982256,774
Percentage57.0%41.5%

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
New Hampshire 2022 Governor (Wiki).svg
Sununu:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Sherman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%

Governor before election

Chris Sununu
Republican

Elected Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. As New Hampshire does not have gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth 2-year term in office against Democratic nominee Tom Sherman with 15.5% margin.

Contents

Sununu had 'expressed interest' in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor. [1] Sununu became the first Republican to win a fourth term as governor, and also tying John Lynch's modern record of four terms overall.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Julian Acciard, security specialist, Iraq War veteran, and former candidate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional district in 2022 [2]
  • Jay Lewis, Laconia resident [3]
  • Richard McMenamon II [4]
  • Thad Riley, entrepreneur, former Brentwood school board member and community advocate [5]
  • Karen Testerman, former Franklin city councilor and candidate for governor in 2020 [6]

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Sununu

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Thad
Riley
Chris
Sununu
Karen
Testerman
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire August 25–29, 2022892 (LV)± 3.3%7%72%5%2% [lower-alpha 2] 14%
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 2022820 (RV)± 3.4%5%68%6%2%19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kelly
Ayotte
Scott
Brown
Frank
Edelbut
Chuck
Morse
Undecided
Praecones Analytica August 13–20, 2021792 (LV)± 3.5%46%13%7%6%29%

Results

Results by county:
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Sununu
70-80%
80-90% 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Sununu
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 113,443 78.66%
Republican Karen Testerman14,47310.04%
Republican Thaddeus Riley11,1077.70%
Republican Julian Acciard2,9062.01%
Republican Jay Lewis1,3180.91%
Republican Richard McMenamon II8170.57%
Write-in 1600.11%
Total votes144,224 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Tom Sherman
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Sherman 82,607 97.57%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) (write-in)1,9632.32%
Write-in 950.11%
Total votes84,665 100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominees

  • Karlyn Borysenko, activist and author [18]
  • Kelly Halldorson [18]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [20] Solid RSeptember 23, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RAugust 18, 2022
Politico [22] Solid RNovember 3, 2022
RCP [23] Safe RJune 8, 2022
Fox News [24] Likely RMay 12, 2022
538 [25] Solid RAugust 26, 2022
Elections Daily [26] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Chris Sununu (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
Organizations
Tom Sherman (D)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Sununu (R)
Tom
Sherman (D)
Other
[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 6, 2022November 8, 202256.4%39.4%4.2%Sununu +17.0
FiveThirtyEight September 15, 2021 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202255.4%39.0%5.6%Sununu +16.4
Average55.9%39.2%4.9%Sununu +16.7
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Tom
Sherman (D)
OtherUndecided
Phillips Academy November 5–6, 20221,056 (LV)± 3.0%58%36%6%
University of New Hampshire November 2–6, 20222,077 (LV)± 2.2%55%43%2% [lower-alpha 4] <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 5, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%56%40%2% [lower-alpha 5] 2%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–5, 20221,995 (LV)± 2.0%58%40%2% [lower-alpha 6]
Wick Insights November 2–5, 2022725 (LV)± 3.6%53%43%2% [lower-alpha 7] 2%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022850 (LV)± 3.3%57%36%4% [lower-alpha 8] 4%
58%37%6% [lower-alpha 9]
Saint Anselm College October 28–29, 20221,541 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%2% [lower-alpha 10] 6%
co/efficient (R) October 25–26, 20221,098 (LV)± 3.2%52%34%5% [lower-alpha 11] 8%
UMass Lowell/YouGov October 14–25, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%51%35%12% [lower-alpha 12] 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [upper-alpha 1] October 23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%54%37%4% [lower-alpha 13] 6%
Emerson College October 18–19, 2022727 (LV)± 3.6%52%40%3% [lower-alpha 14] 5%
54%41%4% [lower-alpha 15]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] October 17–19, 2022600 (LV)57%40%4%
Data for Progress (D) October 14–19, 20221,392 (LV)± 3.0%53%40%3% [lower-alpha 16] 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) October 2–6, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%55%41%1%3%
Data for Progress (D) September 23–30, 20221,147 (LV)± 3.0%52%39%4% [lower-alpha 17] 5%
Saint Anselm College September 27–28, 2022901 (RV)± 3.3%50%34%5% [lower-alpha 18] 11%
Suffolk University September 23–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%53%36%4% [lower-alpha 19] 8%
American Research Group September 15–19, 2022555 (RV)± 4.2%53%38%9%
University of New Hampshire September 15–19, 2022870 (LV)± 3.3%55%37%1% [lower-alpha 20] 8%
Emerson College September 14–15, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%52%37%4% [lower-alpha 21] 7%
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 20221,898 (RV)± 2.3%48%29%4%18%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 3] July 5–6, 2022601 (LV)± 4.0%43%33%8% [lower-alpha 22] 16%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%55%29%1%14%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022533 (A)± 4.2%62%24%14%
471 (RV)± 4.5%73%24%3%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 20221,265 (RV)± 2.8%51%24%10%15%
Hypothetical polling
Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 20221,215 (RV)± 2.8%45%45%10%

Results

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 352,813 56.98% -8.14%
Democratic Tom Sherman 256,76641.47%+8.11%
Libertarian Kelly Halldorson5,0710.82%N/A
Libertarian Karlyn Borysenko2,7720.45%N/A
Write-in 1,7130.28%+0.19%
Total votes619,135 100.0%
Turnout 626,84567.63%
Registered electors 925,401
Republican hold

By county

2022 gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire (by county) [32]
CountyTom Sherman
Democratic
Chris Sununu
Republican
Other votesTotal
votes
# %# %# %#
Belknap 9,42931.1%20,49967.5%4251.4%30,353
Carroll 10,30637.9%16,55460.9%3421.3%27,202
Cheshire 16,89049.8%16,50348.7%5161.5%33,909
Coös 4,19432.8%8,25164.4%3602.8%12,805
Grafton 21,48350.4%20,42748.0%6761.6%42,586
Hillsborough 69,67340.5%99,60858.0%2,5851.5%171,866
Merrimack 30,83543.6%38,66954.7%1,2481.8%70,752
Rockingham 59,75938.8%92,04359.8%2,2161.4%154,018
Strafford 26,49546.9%29,10051.5%9291.6%56,524
Sullivan 7,70240.3%11,15958.4%2591.4%19,120

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Acciard and "Other" with 1%
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  5. "Someone else" with 2%
  6. Halldorson (L) with 2%
  7. "Someone else" with 2%
  8. Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  10. Borysenko (L) with 1%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  11. Borysenko (L) with 4%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  12. Halldorson (L) with 5%; Borysenko (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  13. "Someone else" with 4%
  14. "Someone else" with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  15. "Someone else" with 3%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  16. Halldorson (L) with 3%
  17. Halldorson (L) with 4%
  18. "Someone else" with 5%
  19. Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%
  20. Borysenko (L) with 1%
  21. "Someone else" with 4%
  22. Borysenko (L) with 8%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  2. This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.
  3. Poll sponsored by Sherman's campaign

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References

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  2. "Acciard Leaves NH-01 Race to Challenge Sununu in Primary". NH Journal. May 5, 2022. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
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  5. Bailey, Kathleen D. (November 3, 2021). "Ex-Brentwood School Board member runs for NH governor, criticizes Sununu, vaccine mandates". The Portsmouth Herald . Gannett. Archived from the original on November 6, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  6. DiStaso, John (July 29, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Karen Testerman, running again for governor, says, 'I'm not a protest candidate'". WMUR-TV . Archived from the original on July 29, 2021. Retrieved July 30, 2021.
  7. DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "BREAKING: Sources close to former Sen @KellyAyotte tell @WMUR9 she "will NOT be a candidate for any office in 2022…." Ayotte "thankful" @ChrisSununu ChrisSununu "will continue his service to our state." #nhsen #NHgov #NHPolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 via Twitter.
  8. DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "Now: @SenScottBrown has essentially taken himself out of the running for the #nhsen seat, says he wants to focus on his wife, @gailhuffbrown in her bid for #nh01 - His comments to @WMUR9 below #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 via Twitter.
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  12. Steinhauser, Paul (October 29, 2021). "On the trail: Who would replace Sununu in governor's office?". Concord Monitor . Archived from the original on November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  13. DiStaso, John (November 11, 2021). "Former Gov. John Lynch says he's 'not even considering' running for governor again". WMUR-TV . Archived from the original on November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  14. Sexton, Adam (April 14, 2021). "Progressive activists try to recruit author Picoult into run for governor". WMUR-TV . Concord, N.H. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021. Picoult announced on Wednesday evening via Twitter that she would not be running for governor.
  15. "Franklin Pierce University Names Andru Volinsky as its First Civic Scholar-In-Residence".
  16. 1 2 Sexton, Adam (August 2, 2022). "New Hampshire's largest teachers union endorses Democrat Sherman for governor". WMUR9. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  17. Staff Report (August 24, 2022). "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  18. 1 2 "Nh sos".[ permanent dead link ]
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  21. "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
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  28. "Chris Sununu's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  29. 1 2 3 4 "Congressional Delegation Endorses Tom Sherman for Governor". October 18, 2022.
  30. "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  31. "2022 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State.
  32. "2022 General Election Results".
Official campaign websites