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Turnout | 61.0% | |||||||||||||||||||
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| ||||||||||||||||||||
Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Jensen: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen, [1] winning a second term. [2]
Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz’s large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area, with Walz winning the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history. [3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012. [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 416,973 | 96.54% | |
Democratic (DFL) | Ole Savior | 14,950 | 3.46% | |
Total votes | 431,923 | 100.0% |
The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention. [38]
A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.
The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022 in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary. [39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.) [40]
At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed. [40]
Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life." [41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition. [24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Jensen | 288,499 | 89.31% | |
Republican | Joyce Lynne Lacey | 21,308 | 6.60% | |
Republican | Bob "Again" Carney Jr. | 13,213 | 4.09% | |
Total votes | 323,020 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Grassroots—LC | Steve Patterson | 1,003 | 59.14% | |
Grassroots—LC | Darrell Paulsen | 693 | 40.86% | |
Total votes | 1,696 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Legal Marijuana Now | James McCaskel | 1,461 | 51.86% | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Chris Wright | 1,356 | 48.14% | |
Total votes | 2,817 | 100.0% |
The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade .
Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance. [56]
Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries. [57] [58]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | DFL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Scott Jensen | Tim Walz | |||||
1 | August 3, 2022 | Minnesota Farmfest | Blois Olson | P | P | |
2 | October 18, 2022 | KTTC/Gray Television | Caitlin Alexander, Jusitn Betti, Stacy Steinhagen, Dan Wolfe | P | P | |
3 | October 23, 2022 | KSTP/Hubbard Broadcasting | Lindsey Brown, Tom Hauser, Laura Lee, Peter Callaghan | P | A | |
4 | October 28, 2022 | Minnesota Public Radio [59] | Mike Mulcahy | P | P | |
3 | November 4, 2022 | Twin Cities PBS - Almanac | Eric Eskola, Cathy Wurzer | P | A |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [60] | Likely D | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections [61] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [62] | Likely D | October 12, 2022 |
Politico [63] | Lean D | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [64] | Tossup | June 10, 2022 |
Fox News [65] | Lean D | May 12, 2022 |
538 [66] | Likely D | October 17, 2022 |
Elections Daily [67] | Likely D | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Tim Walz (DFL) | Scott Jensen (R) | Other [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | Oct. 10 – Oct. 30, 2022 | Nov. 1, 2022 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Walz +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | Sep. 24 – Oct. 30, 2022 | Nov. 4, 2022 | 49.7% | 40.9% | 9.4% | Walz +8.8 |
Average | 48.9% | 42.3% | 8.8% | Walz +6.6 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Scott Jensen (R) | Hugh McTavish (I-A) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] | Oct. 26 – 30, 2022 | 836 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 43% | – | 2% | 4% |
St. Cloud State University | Oct. 10 – 30, 2022 | 235 (A) | ± 8% | 56% | 40% | – | 4% | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Oct. 17 – 19, 2022 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45.8% | 46.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% [lower-alpha 3] | 3.9% |
Embold Research [upper-alpha 2] | Oct. 10 – 14, 2022 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47.0% | 42.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% [lower-alpha 4] | 6.0% |
SurveyUSA | Sep. 30 – Oct. 3, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | – | 4% | 7% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 3] | Sep. 24 – 26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47.6% | 44.2% | 0.4% | 3.0% [lower-alpha 5] | 4.8% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Sep. 14, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47.7% | 45.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% [lower-alpha 6] | 4.9% |
Mason-Dixon | Sep. 12 – 14, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48.0% | 41.0% | – | 0.8% | 10.3% |
SurveyUSA | Aug. 30 – Sep. 4, 2022 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 33% | – | 4% | 12% |
Gravis Marketing (I-A) [upper-alpha 4] | Aug. 17 – 19, 2022 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 36% | 6% | 5% | – |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 3] | Jul. 18 – 19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49.8% | 45.6% | – | – | 4.7% |
Change Research [upper-alpha 2] | Jun. 3 – 8, 2022 | 1,551 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 41.8% | 39.8% | 2.7% | 6.6% [lower-alpha 7] | 9.0% |
SurveyUSA | May 5 – 10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 39% | – | 4% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Jan. 25 – 30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 43% | 40% | – | 4% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Dec. 2 – 6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 48% | 36% | – | 5% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Michelle Benson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | January 25–30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 37% | 8% | 10% |
SurveyUSA | December 2–6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 35% | 4% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Paul Gazelka (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 5–10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | January 25–30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 37% | 6% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | December 2–6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 34% | 5% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Mike Marti (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | December 2–6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 34% | 3% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Mike Murphy (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 5–10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 35% | 4% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | January 25–30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 44% | 35% | 7% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | December 2–6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 36% | 5% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Kendall Qualls (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 5–10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 34% | 4% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | January 25–30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 43% | 35% | 6% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Neil Shah (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 5–10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 34% | 6% | 16% |
SurveyUSA | January 25–30, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 34% | 7% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | December 2–6, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 48% | 31% | 5% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Rich Stanek (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 5–10, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 37% | 5% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | August 28–31, 2021 | 1,945 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) |
| 1,312,349 | 52.27% | -1.57% | |
Republican | 1,119,941 | 44.61% | +2.18% | ||
Legal Marijuana Now |
| 29,346 | 1.17% | N/A | |
Grassroots—LC |
| 22,599 | 0.90% | -1.75% | |
Independence |
| 18,156 | 0.72% | N/A | |
Socialist Workers |
| 7,241 | 0.29% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,029 | 0.04% | ±0.0% | ||
Total votes | 2,510,661 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 2,525,873 | 61.01% | |||
Registered electors | 4,140,218 | ||||
Democratic (DFL) hold | |||||
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Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections. [94]
District | Walz | Jensen | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 45% | 52% | Brad Finstad |
2nd | 53% | 45% | Angie Craig |
3rd | 59% | 38% | Dean Phillips |
4th | 68% | 29% | Betty McCollum |
5th | 81% | 16% | Ilhan Omar |
6th | 40% | 57% | Tom Emmer |
7th | 31% | 65% | Michelle Fischbach |
8th | 44% | 52% | Pete Stauber |
The Republican Party of Minnesota is the state affiliate of the Republican Party in Minnesota and the oldest active political party in the state. Founded in 1855, the party controls four of Minnesota's eight congressional House seats. The last Republican governor of the state was Tim Pawlenty, who served from 2003 to 2011. The party's headquarters is located in Edina, Minnesota and the current chairman is David Hann. Starting in 2023 and as a result of the 2022 elections, the Republican Party of Minnesota does not have substantial power over the state, holding no statewide executive offices, no U.S. Senate seats, and minorities in the state legislatures.
The 2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Tim Pawlenty was endorsed by the state Republican convention on June 2, 2006, while the state Democratic–Farmer–Labor convention endorsed Mike Hatch on June 10, 2006. The party primaries took place on September 12, 2006, with Hatch defeating DFL challengers Becky Lourey and Ole Savior and incumbent Pawlenty defeating Sue Jeffers. In the November 7 general election, Pawlenty received a plurality of the votes, defeating Hatch by a margin of 1%. As a result, this election was the closest race of the 2006 gubernatorial election cycle.
Matthew Robert Birk is an American former professional football player who was a center for in the National Football League (NFL) for 14 seasons. He spent most of his professional career playing for the Minnesota Vikings. He was the Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota, running alongside Scott Jensen in the 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
The 2006 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election was an election for the United States House of Representatives for the open seat of incumbent Martin Olav Sabo (DFL), who retired after serving the Minneapolis-based district for 28 years.
The 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the 40th Governor of the U.S. state of Minnesota for a four-year term to begin in January 2011. The general election was contested by the major party candidates State Representative Tom Emmer (R–Delano), former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton (DFL), and Independence Party candidate Tom Horner. After a very close race, Dayton was elected governor. Emmer would be elected to the United States House of Representatives four years later.
Michelle Louise Helene Fischbach is an American attorney and politician who is the U.S. representative from Minnesota's 7th congressional district. The district, which is very rural, is Minnesota's largest congressional district and includes most of the western area of the state. A Republican, Fischbach served as the 49th lieutenant governor of Minnesota from 2018 until 2019. As of 2024, she is the most recent Republican to have held statewide office in Minnesota.
Paul E. Gazelka is an American politician and small business owner from Minnesota. A Republican, Gazelka was a member of the Minnesota Senate and was previously a member of the Minnesota House of Representatives. In the state senate, Gazelka served as majority leader from 2017 to 2021.
The 2014 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Minnesota concurrently with the election to Minnesota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014. All of Minnesota's executive officers were up for election as well as all the seats in the Minnesota House of Representatives, several state judicial seats, a United States Senate seat, all of Minnesota's eight seats in the United States House of Representatives, and several seats for local offices. A primary election was held on August 12, 2014, to nominate major political party candidates for partisan offices and candidates for nonpartisan offices.
The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was congressman Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republicans nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson. The Independence Party of Minnesota didn't field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election the polls showed Walz ahead and the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with an open gubernatorial election, a U.S. Senate election, a special U.S. Senate election, State House elections, and other elections.
Scott M. Jensen is an American physician and politician. A member of the Republican Party, he was a member of the Minnesota Senate from 2017 to 2021. He was the Republican nominee for governor of Minnesota in the 2022 election.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 6, 2018. All of Minnesota's executive officers were up for election as well as all the seats in the Minnesota House of Representatives, several judicial seats, two United States Senate seats, Minnesota's eight seats in the United States House of Representatives, and several seats for local offices. Special elections were also held for a Minnesota Senate seat and Minnesota's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat. A primary election to nominate Republican and Democratic–Farmer–Labor (DFL) candidates and several judicial and local primary elections were held on August 14, 2018.
The 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States senator from Minnesota to replace incumbent Democratic senator Al Franken until the regular expiration of the term on January 3, 2021. Facing multiple accusations of sexual misconduct, Franken announced on December 7, 2017, that he would resign effective January 2, 2018. Governor Mark Dayton appointed Franken's successor, Tina Smith, on December 13, 2017, and she ran in the special election. This election coincided with a regularly scheduled U.S. Senate election for the Class 1 Senate seat, U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections.
The 2020 Minnesota Senate election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 3, 2020, to elect members to the Senate of the 92nd Minnesota Legislature. A primary election was held in several districts on August 11, 2020. The election coincided with the election of the other house of the Legislature, the House of Representatives, and other elections.
The 2022 Minnesota Senate election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 8, 2022, to elect members of the Senate of the 93rd Minnesota Legislature. A primary election was held in several districts on August 9, 2022. The election coincided with the election of the other house of the Legislature, the Minnesota House of Representatives, and all other statewide elections.
The 2022 Minnesota Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the attorney general of the U.S. state of Minnesota. Incumbent DFLer Keith Ellison narrowly won reelection to a second term against Republican challenger Jim Schultz.
The 2022 Minnesota Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Secretary of State of Minnesota. Incumbent DFLer Steve Simon won re-election to a third term.
The 2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election was a special election held on August 9, 2022. The seat became vacant when incumbent Republican representative Jim Hagedorn died on February 17, 2022, from kidney cancer.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 8, 2022. All of Minnesota's executive officers were up for election as well as all the seats in the Minnesota Senate and the Minnesota House of Representatives, several judicial seats, Minnesota's eight seats in the United States House of Representatives, and several seats for local offices. Primary elections to nominate major party candidates and several judicial and local primary elections were held on August 9, 2022.
All had pledged to honor the party's endorsement and forego the right to run in the Aug. 9 GOP primary, assuming there was no deadlock.
Thank you to everyone who has supported our campaign. While I have enjoyed campaigning across our beautiful state and getting to know so many of the delegates, I feel it is best at this time to suspend my campaign for Governor.
Last week, Jensen invited Thompson to the front of the room during a campaign stop, where he remained for the duration of the event, eliciting criticism from some conservatives. Jensen stands by this decision and has fired shots back at Gazelka for criticizing him.
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