2003 Seville municipal election

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2003 Seville municipal election
Flag of Sevilla, Spain.svg
  1999 25 May 2003 2007  

All 33 seats in the City Council of Seville
17 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered581,939 Decrease2.svg 0.7%
Turnout340,726 (58.6%)
Increase2.svg 2.1 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Alfredo Sanchez Monteseirin 2010 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Alfredo Sánchez Monteseirín Jaime Raynaud José Núñez
Party PSOE–A PP PA
Leader since27 June 199824 September 200229 August 1986
Last election12 seats, 35.4% [a] 13 seats, 35.8%6 seats, 17.6%
Seats won14124
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote130,958119,39541,805
Percentage38.6%35.2%12.3%
SwingIncrease2.svg 3.2 pp Decrease2.svg 0.6 pp Decrease2.svg 5.3 pp

 Fourth party
  (Paula Garvin) Participacion ciudadana- La Ciudadania, protagonista - Mauricio Valiente, Sira Rego, Paula Garvin (cropped bis).jpg
Leader Paula Garvín
Party IULV–CA
Leader since30 October 2002
Last election2 seats, 7.8%
Seats won3
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1
Popular vote30,443
Percentage9.0%
SwingIncrease2.svg 1.2 pp

Mayor before election

Alfredo Sánchez Monteseirín
PSOE

Elected mayor

Alfredo Sánchez Monteseirín
PSOE

A municipal election was held in Seville on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 7th City Council of the municipality. All 33 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Overview

Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish : ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly. [1] [2] In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville. [3]

Electoral system

Voting for local assemblies was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality of Seville and in full enjoyment of their political rights (provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote), as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty. [2] [4] [5]

Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each municipality. [6] Each municipality constituted a multi-member constituency, entitled a number of seats based on the following scale: [7]

PopulationCouncillors
<2505
251–1,0007
1,001–2,0009
2,001–5,00011
5,001–10,00013
10,001–20,00017
20,001–50,00021
50,001–100,00025
>100,001+1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction
+1 if total is an even number

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [8]

The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly. [2] A legal clause required candidates to earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee was to be determined by lot. [9]

Election date

The term of city councils in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years (as of 2025, this has been the year before a leap year). The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE). [10] The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the date for election day on Sunday, 25 May 2003.

Local councils could not be dissolved before the expiry of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—agree to call a by-election. [11]

Elections to local councils not bound to the open council system were officially called on 1 April 2003 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 25 May. [12]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Results

Summary of the 25 May 2003 City Council of Seville election results
SevilleCouncilDiagram2003.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±pp Total+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)1130,95838.60+3.2114+2
People's Party (PP)119,39535.20−0.6512−1
Andalusian Party (PA)41,80512.32−5.324−2
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)30,4438.97+1.203+1
The Greens of Andalusia (LVA)24,5351.34+0.550±0
Socialist Party of AndalusiaAndalusian Left (PSA–IA)1,8230.54New0±0
Group of Independent Citizens (GCI)1,0560.31New0±0
Independent Spanish Phalanx–Phalanx 2000 (FEI–FE 2000)3090.09+0.050±0
Humanist Party (PH)2960.09+0.030±0
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)2170.06−0.010±0
Blank ballots8,3952.47+0.29
Total339,23233±0
Valid votes339,23299.56+0.07
Invalid votes1,4940.44−0.07
Votes cast / turnout340,72658.55+2.06
Abstentions241,21341.45−2.06
Registered voters581,939
Sources [13] [14] [15]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PSOE–A
38.60%
PP
35.20%
PA
12.32%
IULV–CA
8.97%
LVA
1.34%
Others
1.09%
Blank ballots
2.47%
Seats
PSOE–A
42.42%
PP
36.36%
PA
12.12%
IULV–CA
9.09%

Notes

  1. Results for PSOE–A (35.2%, 12 seats) and PDNI–A (0.2%, 0 seats) in the 1999 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid". ABC (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019.
  2. "Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE". ABC (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019.
  3. "El sondeo de Demoscopia da mayoría al PP en Madrid capital, Valencia y Málaga". ABC (in Spanish). 25 May 2003.
  4. "Los sondeos pronostican una importante subida de los partidos de izquierda en toda España". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 2003.
  5. "El Partido Andalucista decidirá la alcaldía de Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 19 May 2003.
  6. "La 'batalla' de Madrid, la más reñida en los comicios del 25-M". El Mundo (in Spanish). 20 May 2003.
  7. "Una alianza PP-PSOE podría gobernar las tres capitales de provincia del País Vasco". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.(subscription required)
  8. "Sevilla". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 9 May 2003.
  9. "El PSOE y el PA podrán repetir su pacto en Sevilla". Diario de Córdoba (in Spanish). 9 May 2003.
  10. "El PSOE y el PA podrán repetir su pacto en Sevilla". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 9 May 2003.
  11. "El PA se consolida en Sevilla como llave de la gobernabilidad tras el descenso de PSOE y PP". ABC (in Spanish). 28 April 2003.
  12. 1 2 3 4 "Preelectoral elecciones municipales 2003. Sevilla (Estudio nº 2503. Marzo-Abril 2003)". CIS (in Spanish). May 2003.
  13. "Los candidatos reaccionan con cautela frente a las últimas encuestas antes del 25-M". El País (in Spanish). 19 May 2003.
  14. 1 2 3 "Un sondeo de la patronal da al PSOE entre uno y dos ediles más en Sevilla que en 1999". El País (in Spanish). 26 April 2003.
  15. "Raynaud es el candidato a la Alcaldía mejor valorado por los sevillanos, según una encuesta del PP". ABC (in Spanish). 14 February 2003.
  16. 1 2 "Una encuesta del PP le da hasta tres ediles más que al PSOE en Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 15 February 2003.
  17. "Un sondeo del PSOE para las municipales otorga a los socialistas quince concejales". ABC (in Spanish). 23 January 2003.
  18. "El descenso del PP permite al PSOE colocarse como la fuerza más votada en la ciudad". ABC (in Spanish). 20 December 2002.
  19. "El PP pregunta en un sondeo por la popularidad de Gómez y Raynaud". El País (in Spanish). 3 May 2002.
  20. "El PP opta por Jaime Raynaud como candidato a la Alcaldía de Sevilla". ABC (in Spanish). 6 June 2002.
  21. 1 2 3 "Un sondeo de la patronal sevillana prevé la victoria del PSOE en las municipales". El País (in Spanish). 15 June 2002.
  22. "Una encuesta de la CES suspende al alcalde, pero lo sitúa como ganador de las elecciones". ABC (in Spanish). 15 June 2002.
  23. "El desafío de ganar en Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 13 October 2002.
  24. "El 83 por cien de los sevillanos pide una "renovación profunda" del Gobierno municipal y la oposición". ABC (in Spanish). 18 April 2001.
Other

Bibliography