2017 Bennelong by-election

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2017 Bennelong by-election
Flag of Australia (converted).svg
  2016 16 December 2017 (2017-12-16) 2019  

The Division of Bennelong (NSW) in the House of Representatives
Registered106,534
Turnout85.96% Decrease2.svg 5.70
 First partySecond party
  John Alexander cropped.jpg Kristina KeneallyCrop.jpg
Candidate John Alexander Kristina Keneally
Party Liberal Labor
Popular vote37,89830,850
Percentage45.04%35.75%
SwingDecrease2.svg 5.37Increase2.svg 7.27
TPP 54.88%45.12%
TPP swingDecrease2.svg 4.84Increase2.svg 4.84

Division of BENNELONG 2016.png

MP before election

John Alexander
Liberal

Elected MP

John Alexander
Liberal

A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Bennelong was held on 16 December 2017.

Contents

Previous incumbent and Liberal candidate John Alexander won the by-election despite a 4.8 percentage point two-party swing to Labor candidate Kristina Keneally which made the seat marginal. [1] [2] [3] [4]

Background

Amid the 2017–18 Australian parliamentary eligibility crisis, the trigger for the by-election was the resignation of Liberal incumbent John Alexander effective 11 November 2017. Following the increased media attention on the citizenship status of parliamentarians, Alexander asked British authorities for evidence of his British-born father renouncing British citizenship. They were unable to find any, leaving Alexander unable to demonstrate he was not a British citizen by descent, meaning he would be ineligible under Section 44 of the Constitution to sit in the Parliament of Australia. [5] Alexander subsequently renounced his British citizenship, in order to nominate for election again. [5]

Speaker of the House of Representatives Tony Smith issued the writ for the election on 13 November 2017, the same day that Alexander submitted his resignation. [6]

Key dates

As at least 33 days must elapse between the issue of a writ and the date of a by-election, the earliest Saturday that the by-election could take place was on 16 December.

Candidates

12 candidates in ballot paper order [7]
PartyCandidateBackground
  Liberty Alliance Tony RobinsonOrthopaedic surgeon [8]
  #Sustainable Wesley FolitarikUrban planner [9]
  Science James JanssonEntrepreneur [10]
  Liberal John Alexander Bennelong MP 2010−2017 and former professional tennis player [11] [12]
  Labor Kristina Keneally Journalist, NSW state MP for Heffron 2003−2012 and 42nd Premier of New South Wales 2009−2011 [13] [14]
  People's James PlatterFormer teacher, writer and former Army Reservist [15]
  Greens Justin AlickOverseas aid and sustainable development advocate [16]
  Affordable Housing Anthony ZiebellSoftware engineer [7] and tenancy advocate [17]
  Non-Custodial Parents Anthony Fels Former member of the Western Australian Legislative Council [7]
  Conservatives Joram RichaManager [7] and conservative activist [18]
  Christian Democrats Gui Dong CaoPastor [7]
  Progressives Chris GoldingFormer policy officer in the NSW Department of Primary Industries [19]

Events

Following the win by Barnaby Joyce in a similarly Section 44 triggered by-election in the Division of New England on 2 December 2017, the Liberal-National coalition maintained its one-seat majority in the Australian House of Representatives. [20] However, a loss in Bennelong would have left the government reliant on crossbench support. Given this unusual opportunity for an Opposition to destabilise the government's position in parliament outside of a general election, the Labor Party chose former New South Wales Premier Kristina Keneally as a high-profile candidate. [21]

In the months prior to the by-election, the 2017 Australian Marriage Law Postal Survey was conducted asking the question, "Should the law be changed to allow same-sex couples to marry?". Bennelong was among 12 of 47 federal electoral divisions in New South Wales and among 17 of 150 seats nationally to record a majority No response; with Yes on 49.8 percent and No on 50.2 percent, compared to the New South Wales result of Yes on 57.8 percent and No on 42.2 percent, and the national result of Yes on 61.6 percent and No on 38.4 percent. Parliament passed legislation to legalise same-sex marriage on 8 December 2017. [22] [23] [24]

On 12 December 2017, Labor Senator Sam Dastyari announced his intention to resign from the Australian Senate, after weeks of controversy over his links and interactions with Chinese donors. [25] Commentary deriving from Dastyari's statement was mixed, with some commentators signalling it might damage the Labor brand with voters right before they headed to the polls while others pointed to the large Chinese-Australian community in the electorate who might have got an impression that the government was pushing a "China-phobic narrative", given the pressure placed on Dastyari to resign in the weeks prior. [26]

On 14 December 2017, it was revealed that Liberal candidate John Alexander had failed the requirement to declare rental income to the parliamentary register of members' interests from his $1440-a-day 100-acre $4.8-million property in the New South Wales Southern Highlands which he had purchased in June 2017. [27] [28] [29]

Results

2017 Bennelong by-election [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal John Alexander 37,89845.04−5.37
Labor Kristina Keneally 30,08535.75+7.27
Greens Justin Alick5,6886.76−2.37
Conservatives Joram Richa3,6094.29+4.29
Christian Democrats Gui Dong Cao2,6263.12−3.28
Science James Jansson1,0411.24+1.24
Sustainable Australia Wesley Folitarik9951.18+1.18
Affordable Housing Anthony Ziebell7420.88+0.88
Liberty Alliance Tony Robinson7190.85+0.85
Progressives Chris Golding4260.51+0.51
People's Party James Platter1860.22+0.22
Non-Custodial Parents Anthony Fels 1320.16+0.16
Total formal votes84,14591.88−3.03
Informal votes7,4368.12+3.03
Turnout 91,58185.96−5.74
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal John Alexander 46,17954.88−4.84
Labor Kristina Keneally 37,96645.12+4.84
Liberal hold Swing −4.84

Previous incumbent and Liberal candidate John Alexander won the by-election despite a 4.8 percentage point two-party swing to Labor candidate Kristina Keneally which made the seat marginal. [1] [2] [3] The Liberal primary vote was the lowest on record in Bennelong's 68-year history, including the 2007 Bennelong outcome which was the only election in which the Liberals failed to win Bennelong. [30] [31]

Polling

Bennelong by-election polling
DateFirmSample Primary vote Two-party vote
LIBALPGRNOTHLIBALP
2017 by-election45.0%35.8%6.8%12.4%54.9%45.1%
13–14 Dec 2017 Galaxy [32] 52440%38%8%14%51%49%
12 Dec 2017 ReachTEL [33] 81941.3%36.3%7.5%14.9%53%47%
9–10 Dec 2017 Newspoll [34] 52939%39%9%13%50%50%
16 Nov 2017 ReachTEL [35] 86441.6%34.5%5.9%18.0%53%47%
15 Nov 2017 Galaxy [35] 57942%39%50%50%
2016 election 50.4%28.5%9.1%12.0%59.7%40.3%

See also

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References

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