2018 Fremantle by-election

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2018 Fremantle by-election
Flag of Australia (converted).svg
  2016 28 July 2018 (2018-07-28) 2019  

The Division of Fremantle (WA) in the House of Representatives
Registered103,149
Turnout66.09% Decrease2.svg 22.72
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Labor Placeholder.png
LDP
Dorinda Cox (2022) (Cropped).jpg
Candidate Josh Wilson John Gray Dorinda Cox
Party Labor Liberal Democrats Greens
Popular vote33,2778,91610,456
Percentage52.62%14.10%16.53%
SwingIncrease2.svg 11.63Increase2.svg 14.10Decrease2.svg 1.21
2CP 73.33%26.67%
2CP changeIncrease2.svg 15.81Increase2.svg 26.67

Division of FREMANTLE 2016.png

MP before election

Josh Wilson
Labor

Elected MP

Josh Wilson
Labor

A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Fremantle took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Josh Wilson. [1]

Contents

In early counting, within 90 minutes of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate with an increased margin. [2] This election is notable for being the first time that a Liberal Democrats candidate was included in the two-candidate-preferred counting in an Australian federal election.

The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.

Background

Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, Wilson and three other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day, [1] while the Perth incumbent resigned for family reasons. [3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history. [4] The others are:

Key dates

Key dates in relation to the by-election are: [5]

Candidates

Candidates (7) in ballot paper order [6]
PartyCandidateBackground
  Christians Mark StaerContested Cannington at the 2008 state election and Gosnells at the 2013 state election. [7]
  Greens Dorinda Cox Small business owner, former police officer, anti-domestic violence campaigner. [8]
  Animal Justice Katrina LoveParty's national vice president and state convenor. [6]
  Labor Josh Wilson Previous MP for Fremantle elected at the 2016 federal election. [9]
  Liberal Democrats John GrayFormer Navy officer, Notre Dame University law student, Starlight Children's Foundation entertainer. [10]
  People James Harfouche Curtin University commerce student. [6]
  Independent Jason SpanbroekRunning on an anti-Labor platform. [11]

The Liberals declined to contest the Fremantle and Perth federal by-elections, but concentrated their resources on the Darling Range state by-election. [12]

Polling

Fremantle by-election polling
DateFirmCommissioned bySample Primary vote TCP vote
ALPGRNLDPOTHUNDALPGRN
23 July 2018 ReachTEL Legalise Vaping Australia [13] 69249.3%16.0%17.4%11.2%6.1%69%31%
2016 election 41.0%17.7%41.3%57.5%

Results

Fremantle by-election: 28 July 2018 [14] [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Josh Wilson 33,27752.62+11.63
Greens Dorinda Cox 10,45616.53−1.21
Liberal Democrats John Gray8,91614.10+14.10
Christians Mark Staer3,3505.30+5.30
Animal Justice Katrina Love3,2975.21+5.21
Independent Jason Spanbroek3,2395.12+5.12
People's Party James Harfouche7081.12+1.12
Total formal votes63,24392.76−3.24
Informal votes4,9337.24+3.24
Turnout 68,17666.09−22.72
Two-candidate-preferred result
Labor Josh Wilson 46,37573.33+15.81
Liberal Democrats John Gray16,86826.67+26.67
Labor hold Swing N/A

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 Citizenship drama flares again, with four MPs and one senator on the way out after High Court ruling: ABC 9 May 2018
  2. July 2018 Federal By-elections: Antony Green ABC
  3. Federal Member for Perth Tim Hammond quits politics for family, triggering WA by-election: ABC 2 May 2018
  4. "Date set for by-elections in Perth, Fremantle, Mayo, Longman and Braddon". ABC News. 24 May 2018. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  5. "2018 Fremantle by-election". Australian Electoral Commission.
  6. 1 2 3 2018 Fremantle by-election guide: Antony Green ABC
  7. 2018 Fremantle by-election: australianchristians.org.au
  8. Dorinda Cox for Fremantle: greens.org.au
  9. Labor's quadruple edge in the citizenship by-elections: Candidates, time, history and money - ABC 10 May 2018
  10. John Gray - Liberal Democrats candidate for Fremantle: Facebook
  11. Jason Spanbroek for Fremantle: Facebook
  12. Mathias Cormann admits Liberals have given up on Perth, Fremantle by-elections: ABC 14 May 2018
  13. Super Saturday minus one day: Poll Bludger 27 July 2018
  14. "Fremantle by-election results: AEC".
  15. "Fremantle by-election results: ABC".