2013 Western Australian state election

Last updated

2013 Western Australian state election
Flag of Western Australia.svg
←  2008 9 March 2013 2017  →
All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council
30 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Colin Barnett (formal) crop b.jpg Mark McGowan headshot.jpg Brendon Grylls.jpg
Leader Colin Barnett Mark McGowan Brendon Grylls
Party Liberal Labor National
Leader since6 August 2008 (2008-08-06)23 January 2012 (2012-01-23)21 June 2005 (2005-06-21)
Leader's seat Cottesloe Rockingham Central Wheatbelt
(won Pilbara)
Last election24 seats28 seats4 seats
Seats before24265
Seats won31217
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 7Decrease2.svg 5Increase2.svg 2
First preference  vote557,903392,44871,694
Percentage47.10%33.13%6.05%
SwingIncrease2.svg 8.71Decrease2.svg 2.70Increase2.svg 1.18
TPP 57.29%42.71%
TPP swingIncrease2.svg 5.44Decrease2.svg 5.44
2013 Western Australian election - Vote Strength.svg
The map on the left shows the first party preference by electorate. The map on the right shows the final two-party preferred vote result by electorate.
Premier before election

Colin Barnett
Liberal

Elected Premier

Colin Barnett
Liberal

The 2013 Western Australian state election was held on Saturday 9 March 2013 to elect 59 members to the Legislative Assembly and 36 members to the Legislative Council.

Contents

The incumbent Liberal–National Coalition government, led by Premier Colin Barnett, won a second consecutive four-year term in government, defeating the Labor Party, led by Opposition Leader Mark McGowan, in a landslide. [1] [2] [3] [4] The Liberals alone won a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly for the first time since the election of 1996, retaining government with 31 seats. Labor won 21 seats and the Nationals won 7 seats. In the Legislative Council, the Liberals won 17 of the 36 seats.

Results

Legislative Assembly

Winning party by electorate. 2013 Western Australian election - Simple Results.svg
Winning party by electorate.

Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013 [5]
Legislative Assembly
<< 2008–2017 >>

Enrolled voters1,412,533
Votes cast1,260,089 Turnout 89.21%+2.73%
Informal votes75,657Informal6.00%+0.68%
Summary of votes by party
PartyPrimary votes %SwingSeatsChange
  Liberal 557,90347.10+8.7131+7
  Labor 392,44833.13–2.7021–7
  Greens 99,4318.39–3.520±0
  National 71,6946.05+1.187+3
  Christians 21,4511.81–0.770±0
  Family First 7,0390.59–1.350±0
  Independents 34,4662.91–1.440–3
Total1,184,432  59 
Two-party-preferred
  Liberal 678,23157.29%+5.44%
  Labor 505,65042.71%–5.44%

Legislative Council

Legislative Council results per region in the 2013 state general election Western Australian Legislative Council 2013 results.svg
Legislative Council results per region in the 2013 state general election

Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013
Legislative Council

Enrolled voters1,412,533
Votes cast1,260,929 Turnout 89.27%+2.72%
Informal votes35,706Informal2.83%+0.00%
Summary of votes by party
PartyPrimary votes %SwingSeatsChange
  Liberal 583,50047.62+8.0217+1
  Labor 398,26032.51–3.6311± 0
  Greens 100,6248.21–2.872–2
  National 59,8044.88–0.445± 0
  Christians 23,8771.95–0.370± 0
  Shooters and Fishers 21,7651.78+1.781+1
  Family First 16,7601.37–1.150± 0
  Independent 20,6331.68+0.210± 0
Total1,225,223  36 

Summary of Assembly results

Popular vote
Liberal
 
47.10%
Labor
 
33.13%
Greens
 
8.40%
National
 
6.05%
Others
 
5.32%
% of the seats won
Liberal
 
52.54%
Labor
 
35.59%
National
 
11.86%

Seats changing parties

SeatPre-2013
Swing
Post-2013
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Alfred Cove  Independent Liberal Janet Woollard 0.2*N/A23.6** Dean Nalder Liberal 
Balcatta  Labor John Kobelke 2.29.57.3 Chris Hatton Liberal 
Belmont  Labor Eric Ripper 6.77.60.9 Glenys Godfrey Liberal 
Churchlands  Independent Liz Constable 23.5**N/A20.2** Sean L'Estrange Liberal 
Forrestfield  Labor Andrew Waddell 0.22.32.1 Nathan Morton Liberal 
Fremantle  Independent Adele Carles 4.0**N/A7.9* Simone McGurk Labor 
Joondalup  Labor Tony O'Gorman 3.37.84.5 Jan Norberger Liberal 
Kalgoorlie  Independent John Bowler 3.6***N/A6.3* Wendy Duncan National 
Morley  Labornotional0.85.54.7 Ian Britza Liberal 
Perth  Labor John Hyde 7.710.32.6 Eleni Evangel Liberal 
Pilbara  Labor Tom Stephens 7.218.711.5 Brendon Grylls National 

Background

At previous elections, the government was able to choose the date of an election, but on 3 November 2011, the government introduced fixed four-year terms, with elections being held every four years on the second Saturday in March. [6] [7] This was the first election under the new system.

Key dates

Seats held

Lower house

At the 2008 election, Labor won 28 seats, the Liberals won 24 seats, the Nationals won four seats, with three seats won by independents. Three changes have occurred since; the Greens won the seat of Fremantle off Labor at the 2009 by-election, Vince Catania in the seat of North West defected from Labor to the Nationals in July 2009, [9] and Fremantle MP Adele Carles resigned from the Greens in 2010, leaving Labor with 26 seats, the Liberals with 24 seats, the Nationals with five seats, while independents hold four seats.

Boundary changes took effect at this election. The only changes to the notional 2008 results were that the seat of Morley shifted from Liberal to Labor [10] and the seat of North West (renamed North West Central) shifted from Labor to National. [11]

Upper house

At the 2008 election, the Liberals won 16 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, and the Greens won four seats.

Retiring MPs

Labor

Liberal

National

Independent

2008 pendulum

The following Mackerras pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis.

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
North West Vince Catania NAT−3.1 pp 1
Riverton Mike Nahan LIB0.2 pp
Wanneroo Paul Miles LIB0.7 pp
Morley Ian Britza LIB0.9 pp
Southern River Peter Abetz LIB1.6 pp
Jandakot Joe Francis LIB1.8 pp
Mount Lawley Michael Sutherland LIB2.2 pp
Nedlands Bill Marmion LIB2.5 pp v IND
Moore Grant Woodhams NAT3.1 pp v LIB
Swan Hills Frank Alban LIB3.5 pp
Eyre Graham Jacobs LIB3.6 pp v NAT
Ocean Reef Albert Jacob LIB4.4 pp
Kingsley Andrea Mitchell LIB4.5 pp
Scarborough Liza Harvey LIB5.2 pp
Darling Range Tony Simpson LIB5.6 pp
Fairly safe
Kalamunda John Day LIB6.3 pp
Murray-Wellington Murray Cowper LIB8.4 pp
Geraldton Ian Blayney LIB8.5 pp
Safe
Dawesville Kim Hames LIB11.1 pp
Bateman Christian Porter LIB11.4 pp
Hillarys Rob Johnson LIB11.4 pp
Bunbury John Castrilli LIB11.7 pp
Vasse Troy Buswell LIB13.5 pp
South Perth John McGrath LIB14.3 pp
Carine Tony Krsticevic LIB14.5 pp
Blackwood-Stirling Terry Redman NAT17.3 pp v LIB
Central Wheatbelt Brendon Grylls NAT17.9 pp v LIB
Cottesloe Colin Barnett LIB19.4 pp
Very safe
Wagin Terry Waldron NAT27.1 pp v LIB
Independent seats
Alfred Cove Janet Woollard IND LIB1.0 pp v LIB
Kalgoorlie John Bowler IND3.6 pp v NAT
Fremantle Adele Carles IND4.0 pp v ALP 2
Churchlands Liz Constable IND23.5 pp v ALP
Labor seats
Marginal
Albany Peter Watson ALP0.2 pp
Forrestfield Andrew Waddell ALP0.2 pp
Kwinana Roger Cook ALP0.8 pp v IND
Collie-Preston Mick Murray ALP1.0 pp
Balcatta John Kobelke ALP2.3 pp
Joondalup Tony O'Gorman ALP3.5 pp
Pilbara Tom Stephens ALP3.6 pp
West Swan Rita Saffioti ALP4.4 pp
Gosnells Chris Tallentire ALP5.5 pp
Fairly safe
Belmont Eric Ripper ALP6.7 pp
Kimberley Carol Martin ALP6.8 pp
Perth John Hyde ALP7.8 pp
Midland Michelle Roberts ALP8.3 pp
Mindarie John Quigley ALP8.5 pp
Cannington Bill Johnston ALP9.0 pp
Maylands Lisa Baker ALP9.0 pp
Victoria Park Ben Wyatt ALP9.0 pp
Cockburn Fran Logan ALP9.6 pp
Warnbro Paul Papalia ALP9.7 pp
Safe
Bassendean Martin Whitely ALP10.3 pp
Mandurah David Templeman ALP10.5 pp
Rockingham Mark McGowan ALP10.6 pp
Willagee Peter Tinley ALP10.6 pp v GRN
Girrawheen Margaret Quirk ALP11.5 pp
Nollamara Janine Freeman ALP12.7 pp
Very safe
Armadale Tony Buti ALP20.3 pp v CDP
1. ^ Elected as Labor member, defected to the Nationals in July 2009, margin is ALP v NAT.
2. ^ Elected as Green member, resigned from The Greens in May 2010.

Polling

Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of around 1,100 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percent.

Voting intention

Graphical summary of opinion polls for voting intention.
Graphical summary of two-party-preferred opinion polls.
Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
Primary vote TPP vote
LibNatALPGreOthLib/NatALP
2013 election47.1%6.1%33.1%8.4%5.3%57.3%42.7%
4–7 Mar 201348%6%32%8%6%59.5%40.5%
3–7 Feb 201345%6%35%8%6%57%43%
Oct–Dec 201243%6%30%12%9%58%42%
Jul–Sep 201243%5%30%12%10%57%43%
Jan–Mar 201239%6%35%11%9%53%47%
Oct–Dec 201146%4%29%12%9%59%41%
Jul–Sep 201142%6%29%13%10%57%43%
Apr–Jun 201143%6%30%12%9%57%43%
Jan–Mar 201143%6%31%13%7%57%43%
Oct–Dec 201042%7%29%13%9%58%42%
Jul–Sep 201041%6%30%14%9%57%43%
Apr–Jun 201038%6%32%16%8%54%46%
Jan–Mar 201040%5%37%11%7%53%47%
Jan–Mar 200942%5%33%13%7%55%45%
2008 election 38.4%4.9%35.8%11.9%9.0%51.9%48.1%
2–4 Sep 200837%6%35%12%10%50%50%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian .

Preferred Premier

Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for preferred Premier.
Better Premier polling^
Liberal
Barnett		Labor
McGowan
2013 election––
4–7 Mar 201352%31%
3–7 Feb 201344%40%
Oct–Dec 201248%29%
Jul–Sep 201245%29%
Jan–Mar 201243%30%
Oct–Dec 201159%18%2
Jul–Sep 201156%22%2
Apr–Jun 201158%18%2
Jan–Mar 201156%17%2
Oct–Dec 201060%16%2
Jul–Sep 201061%17%2
Apr–Jun 201060%19%2
Jan–Mar 201058%19%2
Jan–Mar 200960%14%2
2008 election ––
2–4 Sep 200835%48%1
Polling conducted by Newspoll
and published in The Australian .
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
1 Alan Carpenter.
2 Eric Ripper.

Approval ratings

Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for Colin Barnett.
Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for Labor leaders (Alan Carpenter, Eric Ripper and Mark McGowan).
Satisfaction polling^
BarnettMcGowan
SatisfiedDissatisfiedSatisfiedDissatisfied
2013 election––––
4–7 Mar 201351%36%49%29%
3–7 Feb 201347%42%51%26%
Oct–Dec 201249%37%44%26%
Jul–Sep 201248%37%48%23%
Jan–Mar 201251%33%43%17%
Oct–Dec 201158%28%34%239%2
Jul–Sep 201151%35%34%243%2
Apr–Jun 201150%37%33%243%2
Jan–Mar 201154%33%31%244%2
Oct–Dec 201055%35%33%243%2
Jul–Sep 201056%32%34%242%2
Apr–Jun 201055%33%36%244%2
Jan–Mar 201051%34%33%243%2
Jan–Mar 200956%23%35%234%2
2008 election ––––
2–4 Sep 200840%43%42%148%1
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian .
^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
1 Alan Carpenter.
2 Eric Ripper.

Newspaper endorsements

NewspaperEndorsement
The Australian Liberal [22]
The Australian Financial Review Behind paywall [23]
The West Australian Liberal

See also

References

  1. ↑ "How the West was won: Landslide for Liberals". ABC News. 9 March 2013. Retrieved 6 August 2023– via www.abc.net.au.
  2. ↑ "Liberals elected in landslide victory". ABC News. 9 March 2013. Retrieved 6 August 2023– via www.abc.net.au.
  3. ↑ Staff Writer (11 March 2013). "WA's Liberal landslide good for miners" . Retrieved 6 August 2023.
  4. ↑ "Landslide win for Liberals in Western Australia poll". RNZ . 10 March 2013. Retrieved 6 August 2023.
  5. ↑ "2013 State General Election Results". Western Australian Electoral Commission. 5 July 2013. Archived from the original on 15 December 2013. Retrieved 15 December 2013.
  6. ↑ "New laws fix state election dates". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 3 November 2011. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
  7. ↑ Antony Green (8 February 2011). "Future election dates". Blogs.abc.net.au. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
  8. ↑ "Election Timeline". Western Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 March 2013.
  9. ↑ "Catania quits Labor to join Nationals: ABC News 20 July 2009". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 20 July 2009. Retrieved 4 February 2011.
  10. ↑ "Morley - 2013 Western Australian Election". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 11 March 2013.
  11. ↑ "North West Central - 2013 Western Australian Election". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 11 March 2013.
  12. 1 2 3 4 "Woodhams retiring from politics". Au.news.yahoo.com. 4 April 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  13. ↑ Mills, Vanessa (15 November 2012). "Carol Martin farewells parliamentary life". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  14. ↑ "Whitely bids for Senate in challenge to Bullock". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 23 July 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  15. ↑ "Labor man slams Senate as 'unionists' retirement home'". The Australian. 30 July 2012.
  16. ↑ "Labor puts pressure on older MPs to retire". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 3 January 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  17. ↑ "MP Jon Ford to retire at next election". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 21 March 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  18. ↑ "Port Hedland Mayor to take on Grylls". Yahoo. 22 May 2012. Retrieved 1 January 2013.
  19. ↑ Courtney Trenwith (1 February 2012). "Father of WA Politics Norman Moore To Retire". Watoday.com.au. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  20. ↑ "Kalgoorlie MP Bowler retires from politics". Au.news.yahoo.com. 1 November 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  21. ↑ "Retiring MP Constable not bitter about dumping". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 16 October 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  22. ↑ Tyldesley, Hazel (8 March 2013). "Tackling Canberra works for Barnett in the west". The Australian. Retrieved 9 March 2013.
  23. ↑ Tyldesley, Hazel. "The challenge for Liberal governments". The Australian Financial Review . Retrieved 9 March 2013.
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