Daily inflation-indexed bonds (also known as inflation-linked bonds or colloquially as linkers) are bonds where the principal is indexed to inflation or deflation on a daily basis. They are thus designed to hedge the inflation risk of a bond. [1] The first known inflation-indexed bond was issued by the Massachusetts Bay Company in 1780. [2] The market has grown dramatically since the British government began issuing inflation-linked Gilts in 1981. As of 2019, government-issued inflation-linked bonds comprise over $3.1 trillion of the international debt market. [3] The inflation-linked market primarily consists of sovereign bonds, with privately issued inflation-linked bonds constituting a small portion of the market.
Daily inflation-indexed bonds pay a periodic coupon that is equal to the product of the principal and the nominal coupon rate.
For some bonds, such as in the case of TIPS, the underlying principal of the bond changes, which results in a higher interest payment when multiplied by the same rate. For example, if the annual coupon of the bond were 5% and the underlying principal of the bond were 100 units, the annual payment would be 5 units. If the inflation index increased by 10%, the principal of the bond would increase to 110 units. The coupon rate would remain at 5%, resulting in an interest payment of 110 x 5% = 5.5 units.
For other bonds, such as the Series I United States Savings Bonds, the interest rate is adjusted according to inflation.
The relationship between coupon payments, breakeven daily inflation and real interest rates is given by the Fisher equation. A rise in coupon payments is a result of an increase in inflation expectations, real rates, or both.
The real yield of any bond is the annualized growth rate, less the rate of inflation over the same period. This calculation is often difficult in principle in the case of a nominal bond, because the yields of such a bond are specified for future periods in nominal terms, while the inflation over the period is an unknown rate at the time of the calculation. However, in the case of inflation-indexed bonds such as TIPS, the bond yield is specified as a rate in excess of inflation, so the real yield can be easily calculated using a standard bond calculation formula. [4]
The most liquid instruments are Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), a type of US Treasury security, with about $500 billion in issuance. The other important inflation-linked markets are the UK Index-linked Gilts with over $300 billion outstanding and the French OATi/OAT€i market with about $200 billion outstanding. Germany, Canada, Greece, Australia, Italy, Japan, Sweden, Israel and Iceland also issue inflation-indexed bonds, as well as a number of Emerging Markets, most prominently Brazil. [5] [6] [7]
Country | Issue | Issuer | Inflation Index |
---|---|---|---|
United States | Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) [8] | US Treasury | US Consumer Price Index |
United States | Series I Inflation-Indexed Savings Bonds (I-Bonds - domestic retail bonds) [9] | US Treasury | US Consumer Price Index |
United Kingdom | Index-linked Gilt | UK Debt Management Office | Retail Price Index (RPI) |
United Kingdom | Index-linked Savings Certificates (domestic retail bonds) | National Savings and Investments | Retail Price Index (RPI) |
France | OATi and OAT€i [10] | Agence France Trésor | France CPI ex-tobacco (OATi), EU HICP ex-tobacco (OAT€i) |
Canada | Real Return Bond (RRB) [11] | Bank of Canada | Canada All-Items CPI |
Australia | Capital Indexed Bonds (CAIN series) | Department of the Treasury (Australia) | Weighted Average of Eight Capital Cities: All-Groups Index |
Germany | iBund and iBobl [12] | Bundesrepublik Deutschland Finanzagentur | EU HICP ex Tobacco |
Russian Federation | Federal loan bonds (GKO-OFZ) with a nominal value indexed by the inflation rate | Ministry of Finance (Russia) | Russian Federation's CPI |
Greece | EU HICP ex Tobacco | ||
Hong Kong | iBond (domestic retail bonds) | Hong Kong Government | Composite Consumer Price Index |
Italy | BTP€i | Department of the Treasury | EU HICP ex Tobacco |
Italy | BTP Italia (domestic retail bonds) [13] | Department of the Treasury | Italy CPI ex tobacco |
India | Inflation Indexed Bonds [14] [15] | Reserve Bank of India | Wholesale Price Index Consumer Price Index |
Japan | JGBi | Ministry of Finance (Japan) | Japan CPI (nationwide, ex-fresh-food) |
Sweden | Index-linked treasury bonds | Swedish National Debt Office | Swedish CPI |
Brazil | Notas do Tesouro Nacional - Série B / C | Tesouro Nacional | B: IPCA / C: IGP-M |
Mexico | Udibonos | Banco de Mexico | UDIs |
Colombia | COLTES UVR | Ministerio de Hacienda y Crédito Público | CPI via the UVR indexing unit (Real Value Unit) |
Israel | Index-linked treasury bonds | Ministry of Finance (Israel) | Israel CPI |
Spain [16] | Bonos indexados del Estado and Obligaciones indexadas del Estado [17] | Tesoro Público | EU HICP ex Tobacco |
Argentina | Bonos CER (Coeficiente de Estabilización de Referencia) | Ministry of Economy (Argentina) | INDEC IPC |
Inflation-indexed bond indices include the family of Barclays Inflation Linked Bond Indices, [18] such as the Barclays Inflation Linked Euro Government Bond Indices, and the Lehman Brothers U.S. Treasury: U.S. TIPS index. [19]
In finance, a bond is a type of security under which the issuer (debtor) owes the holder (creditor) a debt, and is obliged – depending on the terms – to provide cash flow to the creditor. The timing and the amount of cash flow provided varies, depending on the economic value that is emphasized upon, thus giving rise to different types of bonds. The interest is usually payable at fixed intervals: semiannual, annual, and less often at other periods. Thus, a bond is a form of loan or IOU. Bonds provide the borrower with external funds to finance long-term investments or, in the case of government bonds, to finance current expenditure.
In economics and finance, present value (PV), also known as present discounted value, is the value of an expected income stream determined as of the date of valuation. The present value is usually less than the future value because money has interest-earning potential, a characteristic referred to as the time value of money, except during times of negative interest rates, when the present value will be equal or more than the future value. Time value can be described with the simplified phrase, "A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow". Here, 'worth more' means that its value is greater than tomorrow. A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow because the dollar can be invested and earn a day's worth of interest, making the total accumulate to a value more than a dollar by tomorrow. Interest can be compared to rent. Just as rent is paid to a landlord by a tenant without the ownership of the asset being transferred, interest is paid to a lender by a borrower who gains access to the money for a time before paying it back. By letting the borrower have access to the money, the lender has sacrificed the exchange value of this money, and is compensated for it in the form of interest. The initial amount of borrowed funds is less than the total amount of money paid to the lender.
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A government bond or sovereign bond is a form of bond issued by a government to support public spending. It generally includes a commitment to pay periodic interest, called coupon payments, and to repay the face value on the maturity date.
An interest rate is the amount of interest due per period, as a proportion of the amount lent, deposited, or borrowed. The total interest on an amount lent or borrowed depends on the principal sum, the interest rate, the compounding frequency, and the length of time over which it is lent, deposited, or borrowed.
In finance, the yield on a security is a measure of the ex-ante return to a holder of the security. It is one component of return on an investment, the other component being the change in the market price of the security. It is a measure applied to fixed income securities, common stocks, preferred stocks, convertible stocks and bonds, annuities and real estate investments.
United States Treasury securities, also called Treasuries or Treasurys, are government debt instruments issued by the United States Department of the Treasury to finance government spending, in addition to taxation. Since 2012, the U.S. government debt has been managed by the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, succeeding the Bureau of the Public Debt.
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A mortgage-backed security (MBS) is a type of asset-backed security which is secured by a mortgage or collection of mortgages. The mortgages are aggregated and sold to a group of individuals that securitizes, or packages, the loans together into a security that investors can buy. Bonds securitizing mortgages are usually treated as a separate class, termed residential; another class is commercial, depending on whether the underlying asset is mortgages owned by borrowers or assets for commercial purposes ranging from office space to multi-dwelling buildings.
A corporate bond is a bond issued by a corporation in order to raise financing for a variety of reasons such as to ongoing operations, mergers & acquisitions, or to expand business. It is a longer-term debt instrument indicating that a corporation has borrowed a certain amount of money and promises to repay it in the future under specific terms. Corporate debt instruments with maturity shorter than one year are referred to as commercial paper.
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Gilt-edged securities, also referred to as gilts, are bonds issued by the UK Government. The term is of British origin, and then referred to the debt securities issued by the Bank of England on behalf of His Majesty's Treasury, whose paper certificates had a gilt edge, hence the name.
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In finance, inflation derivative refers to an over-the-counter and exchange-traded derivative that is used to transfer inflation risk from one counterparty to another. See Exotic derivatives.
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