Latin American spring

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Latin American spring
Renuncia Ya-36.jpg
Demonstration against corruption in Guatemala
Date2014–present
Location
Caused by
StatusOngoing

The Latin American Spring (Spanish : Primavera Latinoamericana, Portuguese : Primavera Latino-americana) was a series of anti-government protests and uprisings that spread across much of Latin America between the late 2010s and early 2020s. These protests are a response to opposing neoliberal economic policies and negligence in the COVID-19 pandemic. [1] [2] The term was first coined by British newspaper The Guardian to describe series of escalation in Latin America in 2019. [3]

Contents

Background

This chapter examines historic developments in Latin America (especially South America) over the past twenty five years that have been underreported in the United States but that have helped to transform the region and hemispheric relations. Beginning in 1998, voters in Latin America began to elect a series of leaders who ran on platforms explicitly opposing neoliberal economic policies. These left-wing governments (often referred to as a Pink tide) have pursued some policies that departed from those of the previous two to three decades. The rebound in economic growth, poverty reduction, and other changes in these countries, including Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Ecuador, and Venezuela, are examined in turn, as well as recent economic problems. These countries’ political choices have also led the region to become more independent of the United States than ever before, and the change in hemispheric relations is also examined. [4]

Causes

2000s commodities boom

In 2000s, world commodities has experienced a surge in price due to the rising demand after the end of Great Commodities Depression in 1980s and 1990s and driven by rising demands from emerging markets such as China and Russia. [5] However in 2008, the commodity prices fell drastically due to 2008 financial crisis. After the crash of commodity prices, several Pink tide leaders began to lose its popularity due to its dependence onon China's commodity trade turned out to be unsustainable as the national income diministed. The effect of commodity boom decline was also felt in other non Pink tide aligned countries such as Mexico, Colombia, Peru, and Chile which also have its economy dependent on mineral extractions. [6] [7]

During the commodity boom. Many Pink tide leaders such as Rafael Correa, Hugo Chávez and Evo Morales are able to use the profit from the commodity boom to fund social programmes. However once the decline of the commodity boom that affected the economy, most of Pink tide leaders unable to run their social programmes resulting overspending that caused economic and social crises. Many social crises later caused protests in most of Pink tide countries as well as Latin America countries that are not affiliated with it. [8] His social policies resulted in overspending [9] [10]

2010s oil glut

In 2014, crude oils began to experience surplus with trend accelerated further in 2016. The oil glut was seen as part of the commodity boom decline as well as geopolitical rivalries between oil producing nations. Oil was priced US$125 per barrel until at least 2014 where it entered downward spiral until 2016 when it rose back to $40s. [11]

The 2010s oil glut was proven to be catastrophic for Latin American countries. In Venezuela, the overspending of Chávez social policies caused widespread shortages in Venezuela which later turned into hyperinflation due to scarcity of basic goods in the country. [12] According to Cannon, the state income from oil revenue grew "from 51% of total income in 2000 to 56% 2006"; oil exports increased "from 77% in 1997 ... to 89% in 2006"; and his administration's dependence on petroleum sales was "one of the chief problems facing the Chávez government". [13] However, exports that were non-oil collapsed in 2008. In 2012, the World Bank explained that Venezuela's economy is "extremely vulnerable" to changes in oil prices since in 2012. "96% of the country's exports and nearly half of its fiscal revenue" relied on oil production. In 2014, the crisis began to worsen and has been regarded as "the worst economic collapse outside of war since World War II". [14]

In Ecuador, public debt was tripled due to the oil glut, as a result the government begin to use Central Bank of Ecuador reserve for fundings. [15] In total, Ecuador was left $64 billion in debt and was losing $10 billion annually. [16] As a result, Correa successor, Lenín Moreno began to launch austerity measures that includes the cut of fuel subsidies to save billion dollar. As a result, the move caused widespread protest and popularity of Moreno presidency. [17]

History

Prelude to the protest

In 2016 Pedro Pablo Kuczynski was elected as President of Peru succeeding Ollanta Humala. However, the divide between legislative](dominated by opposition Popular Force) and executive has caused clashes in the Peruvian political landscape. [18] In 2017, Kuczynski was summoned by congress to explain his involvement in Operation Car Wash in which he was accused of covering up illegal payments of $782,000 from Odebrecht. [19] As a result, Kuczynski resigned from the Presidency on 21 March 2018 and was succeeded by his vice president Martín Vizcarra. [20] Unlike Kuczynski, Vizcarra take more confrontative approach against the congress and caused him to be removed from power after he was accused for planning a judicial coup, his removal caused a constitutional crisis.

In Venezuela, the administration of Nicolás Maduro who succeeded Hugo Chávez after his death in 2013 was marred with past problems which caused shortages and hyperinflation in the country due to social programmes overspending. Maduro implemented price control to fix the economy which however failed to save the economy as Venezuela entered recession and GDP decline in 2014. [21] [22] As a result of the economic crisis, PSUV was ended in a humiliating defeat in the 2015 parliamentary election which the opposition won the election for the first time since 1999. Prior to the election, peaceful protest began to emerge in 2014 and subsequently became violent in one point due to constant clashes between protesters and authorities. [23] [24] The government responded the election result by dissolving the National Assembly and summoned the Constituent Assembly to rewrite a new constitution which caused a constitutional crisis. The move was internationally condemned as consolidation of power which grant the president to rule indefinitely. [25]

2019 Latin American protests

In 2019, a larger scale protests began to emerge regional wide with protesters mainly complaining about inequality and corruption that have ravaged the region for long. British newspaper The Guardian began to discuss if the 2019 mass movement is the beginning of the "Latin America spring" in which later used by other media to describe the event as well. Mexican newspaper El Universal described the region as "red hot" due to the revolutionary wave at the time. [3]

Colombia

On 21 November 2019, a group of protesters with estimated between 200,000 and over 1 million strong began a mass movement in Bogotá protesting the administration of Iván Duque Márquez. Inspired by neighboring Chile and Ecuador, protesters waved the flag of two countries as part of solidarity while chanting "South America wake up". Clashes between police and protesters occurred when a group of protesters tried to storm the Capitolio Nacional. Clashes also occurred in El Dorado International Airport and the National University of Bogotá. [26] In Cali, the municipal government imposed curfew as violence escalated in the city. [27]

At the beginning of 2020, government begin to work into meeting the protesters demand by meeting the trade union, students, and social movement to find a solution to the national problems on 13 January. [28] However, the meeting did not produce any fruitful result, causing more mass strikes the following days. [29]

Chile

Protest in Plaza Baquedano, Santiago, Chile Protestas en Chile 20191022 07.jpg
Protest in Plaza Baquedano, Santiago, Chile

On 7 October 2019, Chile experienced a massive protest which started in capital Santiago and spread to other cities. The protest was organized as a response to the fare hike of Santiago Metro along with cost of living crisis, corruption, privatization, and inequality. The protest began with a grouo of high school students organizing mass fare evasion of public transport. The movement sparked harsh reaction from the Carabineros de Chile after protesters took over the main train station in Santiago. After clashes with Carabineros, protest began to spiral into violence on 18 October which involves arson and vandalism against Santiago Metro stations, causing mass disruption of the services. [30] [31] As a response, President Sebastián Piñera annouced the impoosition of state of emergency which authorize the involvement of Chilean Army and imposition of curfew. [32]

After days of protest in Santiago, many other cities such as Concepción, San Antonio, and Valparaíso began to see similar mass movement. [33] The movement however turned into anarchy as protesters began to loot shops in most Chilean cities. As a result, the state of emergency was expanded beyond Santiago metro area to several regions afffected by the protests.

References

  1. "The 'Latin-American Spring': Why South America is protesting". SBS Spanish. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
  2. ""Latin America Spring" - its causes and implications". National Defence Journal. 1 August 2020. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
  3. 1 2 Phillips, Tom (24 October 2019). "An explosion of protest, a howl of rage – but not a Latin American spring". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 27 October 2019.
  4. "Could 2020 Be the Beginning of the "Latin American Spring"?". The Politics Society. 21 November 2020. Retrieved 1 May 2022.
  5. Jay, Krish (2025-07-06). ""super-cycle," often called the mining boom". ASTON PRECISION METAL FABRICATION. Retrieved 2025-07-06.
  6. Caballero, Ricardo J.; Farhi, Emmanuel; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier (Fall 2008). "Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances". Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. 2008 (2): 1–55. doi:10.1353/eca.0.0013. JSTOR   27720394.
  7. Lopes, Dawisson Belém; de Faria, Carlos Aurélio Pimenta (Jan–Apr 2016). "When Foreign Policy Meets Social Demands in Latin America". Contexto Internacional (Literature review). 38 (1). Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro: 11–53. doi: 10.1590/S0102-8529.2016380100001 . The fate of Latin America's left turn has been closely associated with the commodities boom (or supercycle) of the 2000s, largely due to rising demand from emerging markets, notably China.
  8. ""Pdvsa is the government's piggy-bank," a U.S. official says". El Universal. 29 June 2004. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 28 June 2014.
  9. Siegel, Robert (25 December 2014). "For Venezuela, Drop In Global Oil Prices Could Be Catastrophic". NPR. Retrieved 4 January 2015.
    - Scharfenberg, Ewald (1 February 2015). "Volver a ser pobre en Venezuela" [To be poor again in Venezuela]. El Pais (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 February 2015.
  10. Reid, Michael (September–October 2015). "Obama and Latin America: A Promising Day in the Neighborhood" . Foreign Affairs . Vol. 94, no. 5. pp. 45–53. Retrieved 14 October 2019. As China industrialized in the first decade of the century, its demand for raw materials rose, pushing up the prices of South American minerals, fuels, and oilseeds. From 2000 to 2013, Chinese trade with Latin America rocketed from $12 billion to over $275 billion. ... Its loans have helped sustain leftist governments pursuing otherwise unsustainable policies in Argentina, Ecuador, and Venezuela, whose leaders welcomed Chinese aid as an alternative to the strict conditions imposed by the International Monetary Fund or the financial markets. ... The Chinese-fueled commodity boom, which ended only recently, lifted Latin America to new heights. The region -and especially South America- enjoyed faster economic growth, a steep fall in poverty, a decline in extreme income inequality, and a swelling of the middle class.
  11. "OPEC Basket Daily Archives". OPEC. Retrieved 21 May 2016.
  12. Siegel, Robert (25 December 2014). "For Venezuela, Drop In Global Oil Prices Could Be Catastrophic". NPR. Retrieved 4 January 2015.
    - Scharfenberg, Ewald (1 February 2015). "Volver a ser pobre en Venezuela" [To be poor again in Venezuela]. El Pais (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 February 2015.
  13. Cannon, p. 87.
  14. "Venezuela Overview". World Bank. Retrieved 13 April 2014.
  15. "Lenín Moreno's new economic policy" . The Economist . 2019-04-11. ISSN   0013-0613. Archived from the original on 2019-07-08. Retrieved 2019-10-11.
  16. Weissenstein, Michael; Solano, Gonzalo (2019-10-12). "Ecuador clash site has party clowns, recycling, tear gas". Associated Press . Archived from the original on 2019-10-14. Retrieved 2019-10-12.
  17. España, Sara (23 August 2018). "Ecuador anuncia un nuevo ajuste para enderezar el déficit fiscal". El País (in Spanish). Guayaquil. Retrieved 13 October 2019.
  18. "The Political Limits of Presidential Impeachment: Lessons from Latin America". German Institute for Global and Area Studies . 2021. Archived from the original on 9 December 2022. Retrieved 2022-12-09.
  19. Sanchez, Mariana (21 December 2017). "Peru's Congress debates impeachment of President Kuczynski". Lima: Al Jazeera . Retrieved 22 December 2017.
  20. Collyns, Dan (22 March 2018). "Peru president Pedro Pablo Kuczynski resigns amid corruption scandal". The Guardian. Retrieved 24 March 2018.
  21. "Venezuela's April inflation jumps to 5.7 percent: report". Reuters. 17 May 2014. Retrieved 18 May 2014.
  22. Greg Botelho; Marilia Brochetto (2013-09-22). "Facing shortages, Venezuela takes over toilet paper factory". CNN. Retrieved 2026-01-06.
  23. "Protestas aumentan 278% en primer semestre 2014" (in Spanish). La Patilla. 17 July 2014. Retrieved 9 April 2015.
  24. Milne, Seumas (8 April 2014). "Venezuela protests are sign that US wants our oil, says Nicolás Maduro". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 April 2015.
  25. Casey, Nicholas; Torres, Patricia (30 March 2017). "Venezuela Muzzles Legislature, Moving Closer to One-Man Rule". The New York Times . Retrieved 31 March 2017.
  26. "Colombia anti-government protesters clash with police". Deutsche Welle . 22 November 2019. Archived from the original on 22 November 2019. Retrieved 22 November 2019.
  27. "Colombia protests prompt teargas, curfew and border closures". CNN . 22 November 2019. Archived from the original on 22 November 2019. Retrieved 22 November 2019.
  28. "En blanco y negro: lo que hay sobre el cacerolazo del 21 de enero" (in Spanish). El Tiempo. 14 January 2020. Archived from the original on 18 January 2021. Retrieved 20 February 2021.
  29. "¿Por qué se realizará el paro nacional del 21E?". KienyKe (in Spanish). 18 January 2020. Archived from the original on 9 February 2020. Retrieved 20 February 2021.
  30. "BNamericas – Metro de Santiago: 80 estaciones dañadas o d..." BNamericas.com. Archived from the original on 25 October 2019. Retrieved 26 October 2019.
  31. Digitalproserver. "Usuarios reportan nuevo incendio en la Estación de Metro Plaza de Maipú". radioagricultura.cl. Archived from the original on 26 October 2019. Retrieved 26 October 2019.
  32. "General Iturriaga decreta toque de queda en Santiago para afrontar graves disturbios". Radio Bío-Bío . 19 October 2019. Archived from the original on 19 October 2019. Retrieved 20 October 2019.
  33. "Protestas y destrucción se registran en San Antonio y Valparaíso tras caos en el Gran Santiago". BioBioChile – La Red de Prensa Más Grande de Chile. 19 October 2019. Archived from the original on 19 October 2019. Retrieved 20 October 2019.