Opinion polling for the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election started early after the previous election with polls on individual parties. As electoral coalitions were formed, coalition ratings started to be polled as well. The poll results below are listed by category and ordered in reverse chronological order. Major political events are indicated chronologically between individual polls. Concurrent polling was at the time also done for the 2012 Croatian European Union membership referendum.
The three main national television stations contracted Ipsos Puls to conduct exit polling at 403 stations. [1] [2] [3]
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ · HGS · DC | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Grubišić et al. | HSP-AS · HČSP | Ladonja |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 Dec 2011 19:50 | Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija | 30,000 | 40 | 82 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
4 Dec 2011 19:00 | Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija | 25,000 | 40 | 83 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 Dec | Election Day. [4] | |||||||||||
3 Dec | Election silence begins. [4] | |||||||||||
29-30 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19% | 37.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 14% |
25 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 19% | 37.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 14.7% |
17 Nov | Official candidate lists finalized. [4] | |||||||||||
8 Nov | Croatian Democratic Union signs a pre-election coalition with the Croatian Citizen Party in two electoral districts. [5] | |||||||||||
2-3 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.3% | 37.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3% | 4.7% | 18% |
31 Oct | General election officially called: President of the Republic agrees to a dissolution of Parliament, allowing the general election to take place on 4 December. [6] | |||||||||||
28 Oct | MPs vote to dissolve Parliament. [7] | |||||||||||
28 Oct | Former PM and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader appears in court for the first of many pending trials for corruption. [8] | |||||||||||
27 Oct | As a result of the ongoing investigation of the party's 'black funds', USKOK and the Attorney General issue an indictment against HDZ as a legal entity. [9] | |||||||||||
25 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.3% | 38.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 13% |
13 Oct | After Vladimir Šeks and HDZ caused a number of incidents in a parliamentary immunity proceedings, most of the opposition parties (Kukuriku coalition and Labour) decided to boycott the work of the Sabor. Their concerns were also echoed by SDSS which is part of the ruling coalition, causing a quorum issue. [10] | |||||||||||
6 Oct | Ljubo Jurčić signs a formal pre-election coalition agreement with the Party of Pensioners and the Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar. [11] | |||||||||||
3-4 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19% | 36.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | ~5% | 7.2% | 18% | |
27 Sep | HDZ reveals its manifesto for the upcoming election. [12] | |||||||||||
26 Sep | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.1% | 37.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% |
23 Sep | USKOK issues a second indictment against Ivo Sanader for taking a 10 million euro bribe from MOL [13] | |||||||||||
18 Sep | Hendal for HRT | 873 | 10% | 33.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 8.7% | 40.2% | |
17 Sep | HDZ holds its 14th party convention. [14] | |||||||||||
15 Sep | Kukuriku coalition reveals its political manifesto called 'Plan 21'. [15] | |||||||||||
11 Sep | Former HDZ treasurer Branka Pavošević testifies to USKOK about the party's 'black funds' and illegal finances used for previous elections. [16] | |||||||||||
1-2 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 20.4% | 37% | 4.4% | 2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7% | 19.7% | |
25 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.8% | 35.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% |
23 Aug | Prizma for HDZ | 3,000 | 24.9% | 37.8% [17] [18] | ||||||||
1-3 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 20.1% [19] | 37.4% [18] | 4.5% | <2% | 3.1% [20] | 2.8% | 4.3% | <2% | N/A | 20.4% |
25 Jul | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 23.8% [21] | 37.8% [22] | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | N/A | 9% | 11% |
15 Jul | Kukuriku coalition leaders sign a formal pre-election coalition agreement. [23] |
Because the seats in the Parliament are split according to Croatian Parliament electoral districts, seat projections significantly vary from a generic overall poll.
The seat projections do not include:
The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.
Because of the nature of the D'Hondt method and the division into constituencies, seat projections are less reliable, so some polls list tentative options, indicated in parentheses.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Grubišić et al. | HSP-AS | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15-28 Nov 2011 | Promocija Plus for HRT | 8,000 | 42 | 79 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
15-29 Nov 2011 | Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV | 4,171 | 43 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
15-25 Nov 2011 | GFK for RTL | 4,000 | 39 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
11-24 Nov 2011 | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 4,000 | 41 | 83 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 Nov 2011 | Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV | 4,047 | 41 | 78 | 2 (3) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 (3) | 4 | 1 (0) | 1 | 0 |
14-28 Oct 2011 | GFK for RTL | 4,000 | 35 | 90 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25 Oct 2011 | Promocija Plus for HNS [24] | 8,000 | 44 | 77 | 2 (2) | 4 (1) | 2 | 0 (4) | 6 | 2 (3) | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided | HDZ coalition | SDP coalition |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.4% | 27.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | N/A | N/A | 21.5% [25] | 38% [22] |
26 Jun | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 19.3% | 26.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 20.6% [25] | 35.9% [22] |
2-3 Jun | CRO Demoskop [ dead link ] | 1,300 | 17.8% | 29.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | N/A | N/A | 19.9% | 39.8% |
25 May | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.3% | 30.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 22% [25] | 38.2% [22] |
16 May | GFK for RTL | 600 | 8% | 26.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | N/A | 40.9% | ||
2–3 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18% | 29% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | 19.9% [25] | 39.8% [22] |
22 Apr | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.9% | 26.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4% | 2.6% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 22.5% [25] | 33.2% [22] |
15 Apr | Former Croatian general Ante Gotovina is sentenced to 24 years in prison by ICTY after being found guilty of war crimes during Operation Storm. [26] | ||||||||||||
1-3 Apr | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.3% | 29.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | 21.2% [25] | 40.4% [22] |
24 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 17% | 27.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.9% [25] | 40.9% [22] |
20 Mar | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 15.1% | 26.7% | 5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | N/A | 15.9% | |||
14 Mar | GFK for RTL | 600 | 6.6% | 30% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | N/A | 41.7% | ||
4 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19.2% | 29.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4% | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | 24.4% [25] | 41.2% [22] |
2 Mar | Anti-government protests are held across the country. The protesters burn the flags of major political parties as well as the flag of Europe and calling for an early general election. [27] | ||||||||||||
24 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22% | 29% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 24.2% [25] | 44.3% [22] |
1-2 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 21.9% | 31% | 5.6% | 5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | 27.8% [25] | 42% [22] |
25 Jan | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22.5% | 33.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | N/A | 12.5% | 11.1% | 24.2% [28] | 44.3% [18] |
3-4 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.6% | 31.2% | 6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | 27.9% [25] | 41.2% [22] |
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided | HDZ coalition | SDP coalition |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Dec | Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor reshuffles the Cabinet with four ministerial changes as well as adding a new vice-presidential post. [29] | ||||||||||||
25 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.7% | 32% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | 27.4% [30] | 47% [18] |
10 Dec | Ivo Sanader is arrested in Salzburg, Austria. [31] | ||||||||||||
9 Dec | Former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader flees the country after he is indicted under charges of corruption. [32] He is put on the Interpol wanted list. [33] | ||||||||||||
7 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 4,000 | 21.2% | 34.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 20.5% [28] | 44% [18] |
30 Nov-1 Dec | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.1% | 32.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | 27.5% [25] | 41.6% [22] |
25 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 25.5% [28] | 42.1% [18] |
23 Nov | Leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; sign a declaration in Kastav officially forming a coalition for the next parliamentary election called Alliance for Change [34] | ||||||||||||
2-3 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.3% | 32.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | 27.6% [17] | 43.7% [17] |
29 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22% | 31% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | 15.4% | 13.7% | 25.2% [28] | 40.5% [18] |
15 Oct | Former Vice President of the Government Damir Polančec is sentenced to 15 months in prison for abuse of power while Minister of the Economy. A letter surfaces where Polančec accuses Prime Minister Kosor and the Vice President of Parliament Vladimir Šeks of knowing the judge's verdict over a month before it was actually sentenced. [35] | ||||||||||||
13 Oct | Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader reactivates his mandate in Parliament. [36] | ||||||||||||
4-5 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23% | 32.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | 28.2% [17] | 43% [17] |
30 Sep | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 26% | 31.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | N/A | 9% | 10.3% | 25.1% [28] | 41.6% [18] |
1-2 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.4% | 32.3% | 6% | 5.1% | 3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | 28.5% [17] | 42.6% [17] |
31 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 964 | 25.7% | 34.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | N/A | 3.8% | 8.4% | N/A | 25.8% [28] | 42.9% [18] |
1-2 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.7% | 30.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | 27.9% | 41.7% |
28 Jul | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 25.8% | 30.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7% | 4.2% | 3% | 8% | N/A | 29.9% [28] | 40.5% [18] |
13-16 Jul | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 700 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 6.2% | 19.5% | 25% [25] | 44% [22] |
12 Jul | The Government signs an agreement with three independents: the Croatian Social Liberal Party's two former representatives and Zlatko Horvat. This brings the governing coalition from 82 to 83 of 153 seats in parliament. [37] | ||||||||||||
11 Jul | The leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; hold a meeting in Baranja and announce their intention to form a coalition for the next general election. | ||||||||||||
10 Jul | Darinko Kosor, the leader of the Croatian Social Liberal Party, announce his party's decision to leave the governing coalition. | ||||||||||||
1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.5% | 31.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | ||
30 Jun | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.5% | 34.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 30.7% | 44.7% |
24 Jun | Labour Unions announce they have collected the necessary number of signatures to trigger a binding referendum against the new labour bill proposed by the Government. | ||||||||||||
1-2 Jun | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.9% | 30.5% | 6.1% | 5% | 3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | ||
31 May | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 28% | 30% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | N/A | 18.7% | N/A | 33% [25] | 42% [22] |
3–4 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.4% | 30.8% | 6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | N/A | N/A | ||
30 Apr | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 962 | 29.7% | 30.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | N/A | N/A | 11% | 10% | 36.4% | 39.8% |
31 Mar-1 April | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.3% | 31% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3% | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||
30 Mar | Former Vice President of the Government of Croatia Damir Polančec, the Minister of the Economy in the Sanader II and, until his resignation, the current Kosor cabinet is arrested under charges of corruption during his tenure as a member of government. | ||||||||||||
25 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27.7% | 33% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | N/A | 7.5% | 11% | ||
4 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24% | 32.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | N/A | N/A | ||
27 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 30.2% | 33.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | N/A | 37.9% [25] | 42% [22] |
3 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24% | 32.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2% | N/A | N/A | ||
29 Jan | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 27.6% | 34% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2% | N/A | N/A | 32.9% [38] | 45.2% [39] |
10 Jan | SDP presidential candidate Ivo Josipović is elected the third President of the Republic. | ||||||||||||
4-5 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.5% | 33% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||
3 Jan | Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader issues a press conference attacking Jadranka Kosor, Andrija Hebrang and most of the HDZ party leaders for their 'failed leadership', announcing his return. He is expelled from the party the day after. |
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27% | 33% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | N/A | N/A | 12.2% | 9.6% |
30 Nov-1 Dec | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.2% | 31% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2% | 9% | 18.5% |
30 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 26.3% | 32% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | N/A | 7.5% | 12.4% |
4 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.6% | 30.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
31 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27.1% | 31.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 Oct | Damir Polančec, member of the HDZ Presidency, resigns as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of the Economy following allegations of corruption. | ||||||||||
31 Sep-1 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.1% | 30.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 7.1% | 21.2% |
3 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 21.9% | 30.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 23.3% | 34.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | N/A | 8.3% | 10% |
1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.7% | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1 Jul | Prime Minister Ivo Sanader resigns giving no specific reason. Jadranka Kosor becomes the new Prime Minister. | ||||||||||
6 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 25.3% | 28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
31 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 30% | 29.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | N/A | 8.3% | 9.5% |
5 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23% | 29.5% | 5.3% | 5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 29.3% | 29% | 8.1% | 8% | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | 8.8% | 12% |
5 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 25% | 28.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | N/A | N/A |
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-4 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 27.7% | 29.2% | 5.3% | 5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 6.7% | N/A |
31 Jul-1 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 31.8% | 31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 32.9% | 31.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 33.7% | 31.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | N/A | 1.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 35.6% | 33.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11 Jan | The sixth assembly of Parliament is constituted. | ||||||||||
7 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 34.7% | 33.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | N/A | N/A |
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Nov | 2007 parliamentary election | 2,429,078 | 36.6% | 31.2% | 6.8% | 6.5%* | 4.1%* | 3.5% | 6.5%* | 10.7% | N/A |
* – HSS and HSLS contested the election together, with HSS being the senior partner. HSU contested the election with another smaller party.
The seat projections do not include:
The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ-HSS-DC | SDP-HNS-IDS-HSU | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 December 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 2,619 | 41 | 85 | 14 |
25 November 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 49 | 80 | 11 |
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HDSSB | IDS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Dec 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 4,000 | 42 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
25 Nov 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 50 | 68 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Parliamentary elections to elect all 151 members of the Croatian Parliament were held on 23 November 2003. They were the fifth parliamentary elections to take place since the first multi-party elections in 1990. Voter turnout was 61.7%. The result was a victory for the opposition Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) which won a plurality of 66 seats, but fell short of the 76 needed to form a government. HDZ chairman Ivo Sanader was named the eighth Prime Minister of Croatia on 23 December 2003, after parliament passed a confidence motion in his government cabinet, with 88 MPs voting in favor, 29 against and 14 abstaining. The ruling coalition going into the elections, consisting of the Social Democratic Party (SDP), Croatian People's Party (HNS), Croatian Peasant Party (HSS), Party of Liberal Democrats (Libra) and the Liberal Party (LS), did not contest the elections as a single bloc; the SDP ran with the Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS), the Party of Liberal Democrats (Libra) and the Liberal Party, HNS ran with the Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar (PGS) and the Slavonia-Baranja Croatian Party (SBHS), while HSS ran on its own.
The Croatian Democratic Union is a major conservative, centre-right political party in Croatia. Since 2016, it has been the ruling political party in Croatia under the incumbent Prime Minister Andrej Plenković. It is one of the two major contemporary political parties in Croatia, along with the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SDP). It is currently the largest party in the Sabor with 62 seats. The HDZ governed Croatia from 1990 before the country gained independence from Yugoslavia until 2000 and, in coalition with junior partners, from 2003 to 2011, and since 2016.
The Social Democratic Party of Croatia is a social-democratic political party in Croatia. The SDP is anti-fascist, progressive, and strongly pro-European. The SDP was formed in 1990 as the successor of the League of Communists of Croatia, the Croatian branch of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia, which had governed Croatia within the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia since World War II.
Jadranka Kosor is a Croatian politician and former journalist who served as Prime Minister of Croatia from 2009 to 2011, having taken office following the sudden resignation of her predecessor Ivo Sanader. Kosor was the first and so far only woman to become Prime Minister of Croatia since independence.
Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on 25 November 2007 and for overseas voters on 24 and 25 November. The campaign officially started on 3 November. The President of Croatia announced elections on 17 October and 14 days were allowed for candidate lists to be submitted.
Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on Sunday, 4 December 2011 to elect 151 members to the Croatian Parliament. They were the sixth parliamentary election in Croatia since independence.
The Eleventh Government of the Republic of Croatia was the Croatian Government cabinet led by Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor. It was announced on 6 July 2009 and its term ended on 23 December 2011. The cabinet came into existence after Prime Minister Ivo Sanader abruptly resigned on 1 July 2009, designating Kosor as his successor and making her the first woman to serve as Prime Minister since Croatia gained independence in 1991. It was succeeded by the Cabinet of Zoran Milanović following the centre-left Kukuriku coalition's success in the 2011 parliamentary elections.
The Tenth Government of the Republic of Croatia was the second of two Croatian Government cabinets led by Prime Minister Ivo Sanader. It was announced on 12 January 2008 and its term ended on 6 July 2009, when Jadranka Kosor formed the 11th cabinet following Sanader's surprise resignation. Cabinet members represented parties of the ruling coalition which was formed following the 2007 parliamentary elections:
A referendum on the EU accession of the Republic of Croatia was held on 22 January 2012. Croatia finished accession (membership) negotiations on 30 June 2011 and signed the Treaty of Accession on 9 December 2011, setting it on course to become the bloc's 28th member state. The Constitution of Croatia requires that a binding referendum be held on any political union reducing national sovereignty, such as via European Union membership. On 23 December 2011 the Croatian Parliament made a preliminary decision on EU accession and determined that the referendum would be held on 22 January 2012. The 2012 Croatian EU accession referendum was the first referendum held in Croatia since the Croatian independence referendum held more than 20 years earlier, in 1991.
Rivers of Justice is a centre-left political alliance in Croatia. Gathered around the Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP), the coalition was originally formed in 2010 as the Kukuriku coalition. This somewhat facetious name meaning 'cock-a-doodle-doo', taken from a restaurant of the same name in Kastav where the coalition leaders first convened in July 2009, became well known and was eventually taken as the coalition's official name. The coalition originally consisted of four centrist and centre-left parties in the Croatian Parliament: the Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP), Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats (HNS-LD), Croatian Party of Pensioners (HSU) and Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS). The coalition won an absolute majority of seats in the 2011 parliamentary election and successfully formed a government led by Zoran Milanović (SDP).
Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on 8 November 2015. All 151 seats in the Parliament were up for election. This parliamentary election was the 8th since the first multi-party election in 1990 and the first since Croatia joined the European Union in 2013. The ruling center-left Croatia is Growing coalition, led by Prime Minister Zoran Milanović, was challenged by the center-right Patriotic Coalition led by the HDZ and headed by its party chairman Tomislav Karamarko, and also faced several new political coalitions.
Croatian Party of Rights Dr. Ante Starčević was a nationalist political party in Croatia.
Opinion polling for the 2015 Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2011 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls, Mediana and Promocija Plus.
Presidential elections were held in Croatia on 28 December 2014 and 11 January 2015, the sixth such elections since independence in 1991. Only four candidates contested the elections, the lowest number since 1997. Incumbent President Ivo Josipović, who had been elected as the candidate of the Social Democratic Party in 2009–2010 but ran as an independent, was eligible to seek reelection for a second and final five-year term. As no candidate received 50% of the vote in the first round in December 2014, a run-off took place in January 2015 between the two candidates with the most votes; Josipović and Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović. Grabar-Kitarović went on to win the elections by a slim margin of 32,509 votes or 1.48%, making her Croatia's first female president.
Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on 5 July 2020. They were the tenth parliamentary elections since the first multi-party elections in 1990 and elected the 151 members of the Croatian Parliament. 140 Members of Parliament were elected from geographical electoral districts in Croatia, three MPs were chosen by the Croatian diaspora and eight MPs came from the ranks of citizens registered as belonging to any of the 22 constitutionally recognized national minorities.
The Amsterdam Coalition was an electoral alliance of centre-left and liberal political parties in Croatia.
The 2024 European Parliament elections in Croatia will be held on 9 June 2024 as part of the 2024 European Parliament election. This will be the fourth parliamentary election since Croatia’s EU accession in 2013, and the first to take place after Brexit.
Elections were held in Zagreb on 7 May 2000 for members of the Zagreb Assembly. The elections were called after the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) lost the majority in the Assembly, and the Croatian Government dismissed it and appointed an acting mayor.
Parliamentary elections were held in Croatia on 17 April 2024 to elect the members of the 11th Sabor. Prior to the elections, the government consisted of a coalition of the Croatian Democratic Union and Independent Democratic Serb Party, with parliamentary support of five national minority MPs, two MPs from the Croatian Social Liberal Party and Croatian Demochristian Party, and one independent MP, Silvano Hrelja.