Opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election

Last updated

This article presents detailed opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election .

Contents

Overall poll results

Overall poll results for each party in geographical constituencies according to each constituency.

Opinion polling

By parties

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  DAB
  PP–LSD
  Civic
  Democratic
  FTU
  Labour
  NPP
  Liberal
  BPA
  CP–PPI–HKRO
  ALLinHK
  Demosisto
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size DAB PP
LSD 		Civ DP FTU Lab NPP LP BPA CP
PPI
HKRO 		AHK D OthersLead
4 Sep 2016Election result16.6%7.2%9.6%9.2%7.8%4.7%7.7%1.0%2.3%7.1%3.8%2.3%20.7%7%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,16416%6%11%9%6%4%9%2%4%6%4%1%22%5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,18818%4%13%10%7%4%9%2%2%6%4%1%19%5%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,81215%6%11%10%7%3%9%2%4%7%3%1%20%4%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,31116%6%12%10%7%4%9%2%4%7%4%1%19%4%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,51515%6%11%10%7%3%9%2%4%8%4%1%21%4%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,18115%6%11%10%7%3%9%2%4%8%4%1%21%4%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,01616%5%15%9%6%5%10%2%2%5%5%<1%18%1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,97517%5%12%10%7%3%9%2%3%9%4%1%19%5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78416%6%13%10%7%3%9%1%3%9%4%<1%19%3%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78215%6%14%10%7%3%8%2%3%7%5%1%19%1%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78315%6%14%10%7%4%8%2%4%6%5%1%18%1%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78916%6%15%10%7%3%9%2%3%6%4%1%18%1%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,63414%6%15%9%6%3%10%2%4%7%4%1%19%1%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,48215%5%14%9%7%3%10%2%4%6%5%1%18%1%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,33116%5%14%9%6%3%11%2%4%7%4%1%19%2%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,17814%4%15%8%6%4%13%1%3%7%5%1%18%1%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04213%4%15%7%7%5%12%2%4%7%5%1%19%2%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,02317%5%16%8%6%5%10%2%2%5%5%<1%19%1%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04714%4%14%8%7%6%11%2%3%6%4%1%20%Tied
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04512%4%14%7%6%6%11%2%3%7%5%1%21%2%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04812%5%14%8%6%6%10%2%3%6%6%1%21%2%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04614%6%13%7%5%6%11%2%3%6%4%<1%22%1%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02714%6%15%7%5%5%10%1%4%6%5%<1%22%1%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02514%5%15%8%6%3%11%1%4%6%5%<1%21%1%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02815%5%15%7%7%3%11%1%4%6%4%<1%22%Tied
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03015%4%14%7%7%4%13%1%4%6%4%1%20%1%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03113%5%16%8%6%5%11%1%4%6%5%1%21%3%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03315%5%15%8%6%5%11%1%3%6%4%<1%21%Tied
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03214%6%14%7%6%6%10%1%3%5%5%<1%22%Tied
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02414%6%14%8%5%7%12%1%3%6%5%<1%19%Tied
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,10014%5%17%7%5%6%13%2%4%5%3%<1%19%3%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,18715%5%16%8%6%7%12%1%4%5%3%<1%19%1%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,07214%4%15%9%6%6%13%1%4%5%3%<1%19%1%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,15814%4%16%9%6%7%13%1%4%5%3%<1%18%2%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,05613%3%17%9%7%7%11%1%4%6%3%1%18%4%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,01116%4%16%8%6%6%9%3%2%5%2%1%21%Tied
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,08415%5%18%7%6%5%10%3%3%4%3%1%20%3%
9 Sep 2012Last election results1,815,44820.2%14.6%14.1%13.7%7.1%6.2%3.8%2.7%————12.3%5.6%

By camps

Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size Anti-establishment [lower-alpha 1] Pro-establishment Lead
4 Sep 2016Election result55.0%40.2%14.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,16453%44%9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,18852%43%9%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,81252%44%8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,31154%44%10%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,51553%44%9%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,18153%44%9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,01654%42%12%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,97553%44%9%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78455%42%13%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78255%42%13%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78356%42%14%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78954%43%11%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,63455%42%13%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,48253%44%9%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,33152%44%8%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,17855%42%13%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04254%42%12%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,02353%42%11%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04753%43%10%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04555%41%14%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04856%40%16%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04653%41%12%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02754%41%13%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02553%41%12%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02853%42%11%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03051%44%7%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03154%41%13%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03353%41%12%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03255%40%15%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02456%41%15%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,10056%43%13%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,18754%42%12%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,07254%42%12%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,15854%43%11%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,05653%41%12%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,01153%39%14%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,08453%41%12%
9 Sep 2012Last election results1,815,44856.2%42.7%13.5%

Seat projection

By parties

Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size DAB PP
LSD 		Civ DP FTU Lab NPP LP BPA CP
PPI
HKRO 		AHK D OthersLead
4 Sep 2016Election result72553130112142
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,16472543120121162
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,18870544231112052
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,81262443130221162
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,31171553021131062
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,51571453031131062
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,18171543021131072
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,01670542341111062
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,97570553021131072
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78471553021131062
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78271553021132052
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78372553121112052
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78971543131131052
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,63461543131122061
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,48271543041122052
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,33170543141131052
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,17870532150131162
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04270532241122152
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,02370542241112062
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04770522341122062
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04561422241142062
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04861522341122061
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,0465153224112207Tied
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02762532140122071
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02571523050123062
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02881523040131073
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03061532150231062
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,0315154224012207Tied
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03371531240122072
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03272521340112072
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02472521340111082
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,1005252225022107Tied
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,18771522350111072
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,07271533250112052
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,15871532250220062
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,05671533240220062
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,01172542321111062
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,08472522341111062
9 Sep 2012Last election results1,815,44894543321—1——34

By camps

Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size Anti-establishment [lower-alpha 1] Pro-establishment Lead
4 Sep 2016Election result19163
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,16417161
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,18815183
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,81217161
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,31117161
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,51516171
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,18117161
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,01617161
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,97517161
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78417161
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78218162
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78318162
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,78916171
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,63417161
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,48215183
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,33116171
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,17817161
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04217161
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,02317161
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04716171
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04517143
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04818153
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,04618144
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02718153
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02516171
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02816171
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03017161
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03120137
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03319145
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,03219145
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,02418144
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,10018153
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,1871616Tied
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,07216171
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,15816171
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,05616171
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,01119145
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,08417161
9 Sep 2012Last election results1,815,44818171

Opinion polls by constituency

Key:   1 seat or   2 seats secured for anti-establishment;   1 seat or   2 seats secured for pro-establishment;   secured for non-aligned independent.

Hong Kong Island

List №123456789101112131415
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample sizeCH Wong
(PD)		 Lau
(PP)		 Ip
(NPP)		 Ho
(Lab)		 Cheung
(DAB)		 Chim Cheng
(CP)		 Law
(D)		Shum WK Wong Chui Zimm. Hui
(DP)		 Chan
(Civ)		 Kwok
(FTU)
4 Sep 2016Election result2.7%1.9%16.1%5.2%10.9%0.7%6.0%13.5%0.4%8.9%0.2%0.7%11.3%9.4%12.2%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown3%3%19%6%12%2%4%8%<1%11%1%<1%7%14%9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown1.4%2.0%20.5%9.0%9.9%1.0%4.4%4.4%0.8%16.1%0.8%3.3%6.4%12.8%7.2%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown2%3%20%5%13%2%4%7%<1%12%1%<1%7%15%8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown1%3%22%4%12%2%4%6%<1%12%1%1%8%15%9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown2%4%19%5%13%2%5%6%<1%12%1%1%8%15%8%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown2%5%20%4%13%2%5%5%<1%12%1%1%8%15%8%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown0.5%3.3%24.1%8.1%10.4%0.8%4.4%2.1%0.5%13.4%0.3%2.1%7.0%16.5%6.6%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown1%4%21%2%12%2%5%4%1%12%<1%1%9%17%8%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown1%3%23%4%10%2%5%2%<1%13%<1%2%9%17%8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown1%3%22%4%9%1%5%3%<1%13%<1%2%10%17%9%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown<1%3%24%4%10%1%4%3%<1%14%<1%2%10%16%9%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown<1%2%27%4%8%1%3%3%1%16%<1%2%7%16%9%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown<1%2%30%4%7%1%3%4%<1%15%<1%2%7%16%8%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2411%2%29%3%9%2%2%5%<1%13%<1%2%6%16%9%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2401%2%32%2%8%2%2%5%<1%14%<1%3%6%14%7%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2281%2%33%3%5%1%2%7%<1%16%<1%3%5%18%5%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2111%2%30%4%8%2%2%7%<1%11%1%4%5%19%5%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown0.5%2.3%23.2%7.7%10.5%2.2%2.9%1.8%0.4%14.2%0.4%2.6%6.5%19.5%5.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2251%2%28%9%9%2%2%5%<1%11%1%3%5%17%6%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2202%2%27%11%7%2%3%4%<1%12%1%2%6%18%4%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2113%3%25%12%8%2%4%3%<1%11%1%2%4%18%5%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2113%2%26%12%10%3%5%2%<1%13%1%2%2%13%6%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1933%2%25%11%9%2%6%1%<1%15%<1%3%2%15%6%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1793%2%27%5%10%2%6%2%<1%16%<1%3%2%15%6%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1841%2%29%5%10%3%6%2%<1%17%1%3%2%13%7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1901%1%34%3%11%2%7%3%<1%16%2%2%2%11%6%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1801%<1%31%4%10%3%6%3%<1%16%2%2%2%14%6%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1851%<1%33%4%9%2%7%2%<1%17%2%2%3%13%5%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1942%1%32%6%9%2%6%2%<1%17%1%2%1%14%5%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1972%2%30%6%8%1%5%2%<1%16%1%4%3%15%4%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2031%4%30%9%6%1%6%1%<1%12%2%5%3%18%4%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2182%4%30%8%9%1%5%1%<1%12%1%4%4%18%4%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1912%4%29%9%8%1%3%2%<1%11%1%3%5%17%5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1922%4%29%8%7%2%4%2%<1%11%1%3%6%17%5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1892%2%25%7%8%2%3%1%<1%15%1%2%5%18%7%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown0.6%0.4%20.9%8.7%14.1%2.8%2.9%2.8%-15.6%--6.6%17.3%6.2%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 1,0160.5%1.6%26.3%8.2%6.2% [lower-alpha 2] 1.8%1.3%1.6%-14.6%1.3%1.9%5.2%20.0%6.2%

Kowloon West

List №123456789101112131415
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size Ng
(LSD)		Ho
(HKLP)		 Mo
(Civ)		 Leung
(BPA/
KWND)		 Tam
(ADPL)		Chu
(PVP)		 YM Wong
(PPI)		 PW Wong
(DP)		Lam Chiang
(DAB)		Kwan
(PSS)		 Lau
(DG)		 Yau
(Y)		Lee Tik
(TS)
4 Sep 2016Election result2.4%0.1%11.6%17.8%5.5%0.2%7.3%9.3%0.2%18.8%0.3%13.7%7.4%0.3%4.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%<1%8%24%3%1%8%9%1%17%<1%11%7%1%5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown2.6%0.7%17.2%12.8%4.0%1.1%7.7%13.4%0.7%16.6%0.0%8.1%8.8%0.8%5.4%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%<1%6%25%4%1%9%10%<1%19%<1%10%5%1%6%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown4%1%10%22%3%1%8%12%1%18%<1%9%6%1%5%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%1%7%23%5%1%9%12%1%19%<1%8%5%1%5%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown3%1%7%21%5%1%9%15%1%17%1%7%6%<1%6%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown4.7%0.1%18.7%15.4%5.1%0.0%6.2%11.1%0.1%16.4%0.1%6.1%8.8%1.8%5.4%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown3%2%8%20%4%2%10%14%1%19%<1%7%5%<1%5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown3%1%11%17%5%1%9%14%1%20%<1%7%6%<1%5%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown3%1%13%18%5%1%8%15%1%16%<1%7%9%<1%3%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%1%11%21%3%<1%6%14%1%16%<1%9%9%<1%4%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%<1%15%19%2%<1%6%13%1%17%<1%10%6%<1%4%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%<1%16%21%3%<1%6%13%<1%14%1%11%7%1%4%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2335%<1%14%22%4%<1%6%13%<1%13%1%10%8%1%4%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2125%<1%13%22%4%<1%8%12%1%15%<1%11%4%1%5%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1734%<1%13%20%6%<1%12%10%1%13%<1%10%6%1%4%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1453%1%12%24%7%<1%13%11%<1%9%<1%6%9%<1%6%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown4.9%0.5%19.0%14.0%5.5%0.1%7.8%10.7%0.3%17.5%0.4%3.3%8.0%1.2%6.7%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1462%1%17%20%6%<1%12%13%<1%8%<1%5%8%<1%7%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1451%1%19%19%4%<1%13%11%<1%8%<1%6%8%<1%9%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1381%1%19%18%5%<1%9%11%<1%12%<1%5%11%<1%8%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1402%1%21%18%4%2%6%11%<1%15%<1%5%7%<1%9%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1312%<1%19%22%5%3%4%7%<1%17%<1%5%8%<1%8%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1291%1%15%21%5%3%6%6%<1%23%<1%5%8%<1%5%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1281%1%16%21%4%3%6%5%<1%22%<1%5%9%1%5%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1291%1%14%24%3%3%7%7%<1%20%<1%6%8%1%4%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 134<1%2%14%24%4%1%10%8%<1%21%<1%3%8%2%4%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 141<1%1%17%19%4%<1%9%9%<1%24%<1%3%5%1%6%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 145<1%<1%18%19%4%<1%9%11%1%20%<1%2%7%2%7%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1551%<1%16%19%3%<1% 11%13%1%21%<1%4%4%<1%6%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1561%<1%18%22%3%1% 11%12%1%21%<1%4%3%<1%5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1511%1%16%22%1%1% 10%12%1%19%<1%4%6%<1%6%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1291%2%13%21%<1%1% 12%14%1%18%<1%5%7%<1%5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1152%2%11%23%2%1% 11%16%<1%18%<1%5%5%<1%3%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 97<1%2%15%25%2%1% 16%12%<1%15%<1%2%6%<1%3%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown0.4%-19.2%9.5%7.7%- 12.6%10.6%-16.4%-2.6%9.1%-8.1%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 8061.1%-19.8%16.0%5.4%-11.0%13.9%-17.9%-1.8%7.3%-0.3%

Kowloon East

List №123456789101112
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size KK Wong
(FTU)		 SS Wu
(Lab)		 Ko
(VLHK)		 HM Tam
(TF)		 Tse Or
(DAB)		Lui CW Wu
(DP)		 MH Tam
(Civ)		 YT Wong
(CP)		Chan
(KEC)		 TC Tam
(PP)
4 Sep 2016Election result14.4%0.8%0.7%0.8%14.5%15.7%0.4%15.3%13.8%10.1%3.9%9.7%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown19%2%1%2%18%11%1%13%14%10%4%5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown15.0%1.5%1.5%2.9%10.2%15.9%0.6%18.1%18.4%7.2%2.6%6.1%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown18%2%<1%2%17%11%<1%14%14%12%3%5%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown18%2%1%2%15%14%1%14%16%9%3%6%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown19%2%1%2%16%13%<1%13%12%12%3%5%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown21%<1%2%2%15%14%<1%15%14%9%2%4%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown15.3%1.1%0.8%3.4%9.7%14.9%0.3%16.7%25.9%6.0%1.5%4.2%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown21%<1%2%1%12%16%<1%14%15%10%3%5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown20%1%2%1%11%16%<1%13%19%9%2%6%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown21%1%2%1%12%16%<1%15%19%6%1%5%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown17%1%1%1%11%15%1%17%22%6%2%6%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown16%1%<1%2%12%15%1%16%21%7%2%7%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown16%1%<1%1%12%16%1%15%21%8%3%6%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 24015%2%<1%1%11%19%1%16%18%8%4%6%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 20514%1%<1%1%12%19%2%15%17%8%4%6%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 18319%3%<1%2%9%16%1%17%17%7%5%5%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15922%4%<1%1%12%13%1%17%13%9%4%4%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown17.1%1.5%0.4%1.5%9.6%15.8%0.3%18.6%23.6%6.2%1.9%3.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15420%4%1%1%16%14%<1%17%10%8%4%5%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 14719%4%1%1%21%13%<1%15%6%8%4%6%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15815%4%1%2%19%10%<1%19%11%7%5%7%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15312%3%1%1%18%14%<1%18%14%7%4%8%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 14715%3%1%2%15%14%<1%18%16%6%4%8%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 16020%3%<1%2%12%9%<1%22%17%7%2%7%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 16822%2%<1%2%9%9%<1%23%17%8%2%7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15826%3%<1%1%10%10%<1%20%15%8%1%7%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 14524%3%<1%1%14%7%<1%21%12%9%1%7%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 15723%2%<1%<1%13%11%<1%21%13%9%2%7%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 14221%2%1%<1%15%14%1%18%11%7%3%6%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 14215%3%1%1%15%12%2%23%12%9%3%5%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 17117%3%1%3%15%12%2%20%14%8%2%3%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 18715%4%1%4%14%14%2%20%14%8%3%1%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 17015%4%1%5%15%11%2%21%14%8%3%1%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 27515%4%<1%7%14%11%1%22%14%8%3%1%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 18118%5%<1%7%14%12%2%18%14%7%3%<1%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown12.2%2.1%--9.2%18.4%-19.9%16.9%8.8%1.4%4.5%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 84513.6%0.9%--13.5% 16.8%-16.8%24.8%4.5%2.1%3.6%

New Territories West

List №1234567891011121314151617181920
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample sizeYT Wong
(NWSC)		 Wan
(DP)		Ko
(PSS)		Chow
(LP)		 Cheng
(CP)		Kwong Tien
(NPP)		 Ho Leung
(DAB/
NTAS)		 Kwok
(Civ)		 HM Wong
(LSD/
PP)		 Lee
(Lab)		CK Wong
(Y/
TSWNF)		 Mak
(FTU)		 KK Fung
(ADPL)		 Chan
(DAB)		CheungLui
(CTTW)		Tong Chu
4 Sep 2016Election result3.5%6.9%0.1%0.2%9.0%0.1%11.7%5.9%8.3%7.0%4.7%5.0%1.7%8.2%3.0%9.7%0.4%0.1%0.4%13.9%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown5%10%<1%1%8%<1%17%7%7%6%4%4%2%6%3%8%1%1%<1%12%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown3.2%8.5%0.0%1.7%6.4%0.0%16.2%5.4%9.3%7.0%4.4%5.9%3.9%7.9%5.2%10.0%0.0%0.7%0.1%4.2%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%11%<1%<1%8%<1%17%6%7%6%4%4%2%8%2%7%1%<1%<1%10%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown4%9%<1%1%8%<1%16%7%8%7%4%5%3%8%3%7%<1%<1%<1%9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%10%<1%<1%10%<1%18%7%6%6%3%4%2%8%3%7%1%<1%<1%11%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%10%<1%<1%10%<1%17%8%7%6%4%4%2%8%3%7%1%<1%<1%9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown3.7%8.8%0.1%1.0%3.5%0.1%17.6%4.8%7.6%7.8%5.0%9.9%7.1%6.5%5.8%8.1%0.4%0.0%0.1%2.1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%9%<1%<1%11%<1%16%7%7%7%4%4%4%7%2%9%<1%<1%<1%8%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%8%<1%1%10%<1%14%8%7%6%5%5%6%9%3%8%<1%<1%<1%8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%8%<1%1%7%<1%15%9%8%7%5%5%6%7%3%7%<1%<1%<1%8%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%8%<1%1%6%<1%13%9%8%7%5%7%6%7%3%7%<1%<1%<1%7%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%7%<1%1%7%<1%13%8%10%9%5%6%5%8%3%7%<1%<1%<1%6%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%8%<1%1%7%<1%15%8%10%8%4%6%5%8%4%5%<1%<1%1%5%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3933%7%<1%2%6%<1%18%7%10%8%3%6%5%7%4%6%<1%1%1%4%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3372%7%<1%1%8%<1%18%6%10%9%4%7%3%8%3%8%<1%1%1%4%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2912%7%<1%2%8%<1%21%4%11%8%3%7%4%8%4%8%<1%1%1%3%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2592%6%<1%2%7%<1%21%5%9%7%4%8%4%6%4%10%<1%1%1%4%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown3.0%8.3%0.4%1.3%4.1%0.1%16.9%6.1%7.6%8.0%4.7%7.3%7.1%6.6%6.2%8.9%0.6%0.0%0.3%2.5%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2663%4%<1%1%6%<1%21%5%8%8%4%9%3%7%3%11%1%1%<1%4%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2703%4%<1%1%8%<1%21%4%7%8%3%11%5%8%4%7%1%1%<1%4%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2633%5%<1%2%7%<1%20%5%7%7%3%9%6%8%7%6%1%2%<1%3%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2683%6%<1%1%9%<1%20%4%7%9%3%7%5%8%6%6%1%1%<1%3%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2714%6%<1%1%7%<1%19%6%7%11%3%6%6%8%6%4%1%2%<1%2%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2634%8%1%1%8%<1%19%4%6%11%2%5%7%8%7%5%<1%2%<1%1%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2626%9%1%1%6%<1%17%3%8%11%3%5%5%8%7%6%<1%3%<1%2%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2657%7%1%<1%6%<1%20%4%8%11%3%8%5%7%5%6%<1%2%<1%1%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2718%6%1%1%3%<1%19%5%5%13%4%8%7%5%6%5%<1%2%1%1%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2598%6%1%1%4%<1%19%4%5%10%4%10%5%4%8%8%1%1%<1%1%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2618%6%<1%2%2%<1%18%5%6%8%4%14%8%3%7%6%1%1%<1%4%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2656%4%<1%3%4%<1%22%4%5%8%3%14%8%3%6%7%1%<1%<1%3%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2854%4%<1%3%3%<1%23%4%5%11%3%13%6%2%6%8%1%1%<1%5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3212%5%<1%2%4%<1%23%3%6%10%2%16%5%4%5%8%<1%<1%<1%5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3062%5%<1%2%4%<1%25%2%7%9%1%15%5%6%4%7%<1%1%<1%5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3013%5%<1%2%5%<1%25%3%8%10%1%15%4%6%5%7%<1%1%<1%3%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3033%4%<1%1%5%<1%24%3%8%12%1%15%3%6%5%7%<1%1%<1%3%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown4.8%6.5%-1.8%4.6%-15.1%5.5%7.4%11.2%7.1%9.8%0.5%8.1%6.7%8.6%---1.8%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 1,2172.9%4.1%-2.0%3.1%-18.0%3.3%6.0%9.8%6.0%9.3%5.1%7.7%5.7%6.8%---2.1%

New Territories East

List №12345678910111213141516171819202122
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size Fong Lam
(DP)		Liu Chin
(HKRO/
CP)		 KH Leung
(LSD)		 Cheung
(Lab)		 Yeung
(Civ)		Mak
(PD)		 Cheng Quat
(DAB)		 Hau TK Lee
(LP)		 Tang
(FTU)		 Fan
(ND)		YN ChanWong SY Lee
(JA)		 CC Chan
(PP)		 CH Leung
(Y)		KS Leung Yung
(NPP/
CF)		 HK Chan
(DAB/
NTAS)
4 Sep 2016Election result6.0%6.8%0.2%4.1%6.1%8.6%9.0%1.4%3.1%10.1%1.2%3.5%4.6%5.4%0.1%0.3%0.5%7.9%6.6%0.1%6.2%8.4%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown6%8%<1%3%6%6%13%2%3%12%2%5%2%5%2%<1%1%6%7%<1%4%9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown5.1%5.8%0.7%3.7%4.6%3.2%14.1%1.2%4.2%12.9%0.7%5.7%5.5%4.6%0.1%0.0%1.5%1.8%6.1%0.4%6.0%11.9%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown7%8%<1%5%6%5%14%2%3%10%3%5%3%5%<1%1%1%5%6%<1%3%8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown6%7%<1%6%7%5%15%1%3%10%2%5%3%5%<1%<1%1%5%7%<1%4%9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown6%7%<1%7%6%5%14%2%3%10%2%6%3%5%<1%1%1%5%7%<1%3%8%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown6%5%<1%8%6%5%13%1%4%9%2%6%3%6%<1%<1%<1%5%7%<1%4%9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown5.9%6.8%0.7%3.7%4.1%5.5%13.7%1.0%6.3%11.9%1.0%8.2%3.3%5.3%0.1%0.0%1.1%3.0%3.8%0.7%5.5%8.7%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown6%6%<1%8%5%5%15%1%4%9%1%6%3%6%<1%<1%<1%4%7%<1%5%10%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown7%7%<1%9%7%4%16%<1%3%7%1%5%3%4%<1%<1%<1%4%8%<1%4%11%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown4%7%<1%8%7%4%18%<1%3%7%1%5%4%5%<1%<1%<1%5%7%<1%3%11%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown5%7%<1%7%7%5%18%<1%3%9%1%6%3%5%<1%<1%<1%5%6%<1%3%10%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown5%8%<1%7%7%3%17%<1%4%12%<1%6%3%4%<1%1%<1%4%7%<1%3%9%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown6%8%<1%8%8%4%17%<1%4%10%<1%6%3%4%<1%1%<1%3%6%<1%3%8%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3756%7%<1%7%6%4%18%<1%4%11%<1%6%4%4%<1%1%<1%3%7%<1%3%8%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3378%6%<1%7%5%4%18%<1%6%10%<1%6%4%5%<1%1%<1%1%8%<1%5%8%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3037%5%<1%7%5%3%21%<1%7%7%<1%3%3%6%<1%1%<1%<1%9%<1%6%9%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 26811%4%<1%4%4%6%23%<1%6%6%<1%5%4%8%<1%<1%<1%<1%6%<1%5%8%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown6.2%5.4%0.3%3.4%4.8%4.4%16.8%1.2%5.2%13.4%0.7%8.1%3.4%5.0%0.1%0.1%0.7%3.0%4.2%0.4%5.9%7.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 25612%4%<1%3%5%5%20%<1%7%9%<1%5%4%9%<1%<1%<1%1%6%<1%4%8%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 26310%4%<1%5%7%4%18%1%7%10%<1%5%3%9%<1%<1%<1%2%5%<1%3%7%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 27810%4%<1%5%8%6%15%1%7%10%<1%6%2%8%<1%<1%1%3%6%<1%3%5%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 27411%3%<1%5%9%5%13%1%6%12%1%6%2%8%<1%<1%1%3%5%<1%4%5%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2858%4%<1%6%8%3%16%1%7%12%1%4%1%8%<1%<1%1%5%5%<1%5%5%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2948%3%<1%5%7%3%19%1%6%11%1%3%<1%7%<1%<1%1%4%6%<1%6%7%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2869%4%<1%5%6%4%17%<1%6%11%1%3%1%8%<1%<1%1%3%4%1%7%7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2889%5%<1%4%5%4%20%<1%5%10%1%3%1%7%<1%<1%<1%4%4%1%6%9%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3018%5%<1%4%4%6%23%<1%5%8%1%3%2%7%<1%<1%<1%6%5%1%3%9%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2919%5%<1%3%8%6%21%1%5%8%1%3%2%6%<1%<1%<1%4%5%1%3%8%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2908%5%<1%4%8%6%18%1%8%9%2%3%4%6%<1%<1%<1%6%4%1%1%7%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2658%3%<1%3%7%6%20%1%8%10%1%2%4%6%<1%<1%<1%7%4%<1%3%7%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2855%3%<1%1%7%4%24%1%8%11%1%3%5%7%<1%<1%<1%6%3%<1%6%5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 3107%4%<1%2%8%2%21%1%9%12%1%3%6%7%<1%<1%2%4%1%<1%5%5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2766%5%<1%2%6%2%23%<1%9%12%<1%3%6%6%<1%<1%3%4%1%<1%6%5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2759%5%<1%1%6%4%24%<1%5%11%<1%3%5%6%<1%<1%3%3%3%<1%6%5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2887%6%<1%1%7%6%25%1%7%10%<1%4%5%5%<1%<1%3%2%2%<1%4%5%
14–29 Jul 2016 [lower-alpha 3] HKRA Unknown6.4%5.4%0.8%1.0%5.7%6.2%15.4%--8.4%1.9%10.0%4.8%7.5%---5.0%--4.5%8.2%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 [lower-alpha 3] PD/HKUPOP 1,2007.7%3.9%0.1%1.5%4.6%4.9%21.6%0.5%-9.9%-10.4%3.2%7.9%---3.1%--2.5%8.1%

District Council (Second)

List №801802803804805806807808809
Date(s)
conducted		Polling sourceSample size To
(DP)		 Lee
(DAB)		 Kwong
(DP)		 Ho
(ADPL)		 Chan
(Civ)		 Wong
(FTU)		Kwan
(ND)		 Leung
(NWSC)		 Chow
(DAB)
4 Sep 2016Election result12.8%15.9%25.7%0.9%1.5%12.2%1.2%15.9%13.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown23%24%10%2%5%12%1%12%11%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown22.3%29.4%7.0%4.0%6.7%8.7%4.3%10.0%7.4%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown24%24%10%2%5%12%1%12%10%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown25%24%9%1%5%12%2%12%9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown25%25%9%2%6%13%1%11%9%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown25%25%8%1%6%13%2%12%9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown24.4%28.4%5.7%4.8%5.4%9.7%4.5%12.0%6.1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown26%25%8%1%6%11%2%12%9%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown26%24%8%1%6%12%2%13%8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown27%22%8%1%6%11%2%14%8%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown27%22%8%1%6%11%2%15%8%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown26%24%8%1%5%11%2%14%8%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown25%25%9%1%4%12%1%14%9%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,37927%28%8%1%4%11%2%12%8%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,24026%29%8%1%3%10%1%13%9%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,10329%28%9%<1%3%9%2%12%9%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 96530%28%8%1%3%8%2%14%7%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown27%29%8%1%4%10%4%12%6%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 97331%27%8%1%4%8%2%14%6%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 96632%26%8%1%4%7%2%15%6%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 97932%27%8%1%5%7%2%14%6%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 97831%29%6%1%5%8%2%13%6%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 96632%27%6%1%5%8%2%12%6%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 95530%27%7%1%5%8%2%13%6%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 95330%27%6%1%6%9%2%13%6%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 94729%26%5%1%5%10%2%14%6%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 94633%24%6%1%6%9%3%14%6%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 93932%27%5%1%5%8%2%13%5%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 94533%28%4%1%5%8%2%13%5%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 94933%29%4%1%4%8%3%12%6%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,00734%29%4%1%3%7%3%13%5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,09431%31%5%2%3%7%2%13%5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 99231%29%6%2%3%8%3%13%5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 99432%29%6%2%3%8%3%12%5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 99132%27%6%2%4%8%3%12%6%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown28.0%23.3%5.6%2.3%7.1%8.1%2.7%10.6%7.5%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,08429.9%27.4%4.2%1.6%5.5%4.9%2.5%10.7%6.2%

Methodology

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Anti-establishment included the pan-democracy camp and localist camp.
  2. ↑ This survey did not include Christopher Chung who was considering to leave the DAB and run as an independent candidate at the time.
  3. 1 2 Hong Kong Indigenous's Edward Leung whose candidacy was rejected by the Electoral Affairs Commission due to his pro-independence stance is not listed on this chart, despite the survey showed that he was expected to win a seat.

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References

  1. ↑ "2016 Legislative Council Election Rolling Survey". HKUPOP.
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