2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee

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2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marsha Blackburn
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign. [1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.

Contents

Background

At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.

Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 16, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marsha Blackburn (R)$12,465,678.90$4,574,318.85$8,505,460.08
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marsha Blackburn (incumbent)
Republican Tres Wittum
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Joanne Sowell, attorney [11]

Endorsements

Gloria Johnson
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 16, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marquita Bradshaw (D)$23,575.44$16,438.45$7,136.99
Gloria Johnson (D)$3,633,302.74$1,579,669.51$2,048,985.47
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marquita
Bradshaw		Gloria
Johnson		Civil
Miller-Watkins		OtherUndecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15 – April 2, 2024282 (LV)± 2.77%7%38%2%1%52%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] December 14–28, 2023251 (LV)± 2.66%11%41%2%1%45%

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Marquita Bradshaw
Democratic Lola Brown
Democratic Gloria Johnson
Democratic Kevin McCants
Democratic Civil Miller-Watkins
Total votes

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [17] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [18] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [20] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [21] Safe RNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marsha
Blackburn (R)		Gloria
Johnson (D)		Undecided
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 26 – May 9, 20241,003 (RV)± 3.4%51%40%9%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15 – April 2, 2024955 (LV)± 2.77%45%29%26%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] October 5–16, 2023850 (LV)± 2.79%49%29%23%
Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marsha
Blackburn (R)		Marquita
Bradshaw (D)		Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15 – April 2, 2024947 (LV)± 2.77%46%22%32%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] October 5–16, 2023824 (LV)± 2.79%48%36%17%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee

See also

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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Tennessee, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for August 1, 2024.

References

  1. ↑ Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Tennessee US Senate Poll".
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Candidate Lists | Tennessee Secretary of State". sos.tn.gov. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  4. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ↑ "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  7. ↑ "BLACKBURN, MARSHA MRS. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  8. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  9. ↑ Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News . Retrieved September 5, 2023.
  10. ↑ McCall, Holly (October 26, 2023). "Fayette County educator Civil Miller-Watkins enters Democratic primary for 2024 Tenn. U.S. Senate". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
  11. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Bloom, Madison (March 13, 2024). "Brittany Howard, Allison Russell, Maren Morris, and More Support U.S. Senate Candidate Gloria Johnson With New Song: Listen". Pitchfork . Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  13. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  14. ↑ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  16. ↑ "JOHNSON, GLORIA - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  17. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  21. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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