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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Iowa voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
Although Iowa was considered both a swing and a bellwether state for decades, it voted significantly more Republican than the nation-at-large in both 2016 and 2020 and is now considered a moderately red state at the federal and state levels. As a result, it probably will not be as contested by the Democrats in 2024 as Republican Donald Trump won the state by a somewhat comfortable margin while losing nationally in the latter election, despite polls indicating a close race.
Furthermore, during the 2022 midterms, all three statewide incumbent Republicans (governor, secretary of agriculture, and secretary of state) won reelection by more than 18%, two of three statewide incumbent Democrats (28-year incumbent attorney general and 40-year incumbent treasurer) lost to Republican challengers, and the remaining incumbent Democrat (4-year incumbent auditor) won by less than 3,000 votes and 0.23%, further signifying Iowa's rightward shift. [2] [3] Many news organizations predict Iowa to remain a likely to safe red state in 2024. [4]
In April 2023, incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden officially announced a re-election campaign for 2024. [5] If he wins without the state again, he will become the first president since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944 to win another term without carrying the state.
Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in April.
During the Iowa Democratic caucuses, in-person caucusing focusing only on party business was held on January 15, but voting on candidates will be done exclusively via mail-in ballots from January 12 until Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. This was the result of a compromise between the Iowa Democratic Party and the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Iowa traditionally holds its race first during the presidential primary and caucuses season, but the DNC originally wanted South Carolina to instead hold its race first on February 3. [6]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 12,337 | 90.37% | 40 | 40 | |
Uncommitted | 614 | 4.50% | 0 | 0 | |
Dean Phillips | 394 | 2.89% | 0 | 0 | |
Marianne Williamson [lower-alpha 1] | 307 | 2.25% | 0 | 0 | |
Total: | 13,652 | 100.00% | 40 | 6 | 46 |
Source: [7] |
The Iowa Republican caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, the first-in-the-nation nomination contest of the 2024 Republican primaries. Former president Donald Trump won the primary with the largest margin of victory for a non-incumbent in the Iowa caucuses. Trump's overwhelming victory in the state established his position early as the frontrunner.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 56,243 | 51.00% | 20 | 0 | 20 |
Ron DeSantis | 23,491 | 21.30% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Nikki Haley | 21,027 | 19.07% | 8 | 0 | 8 |
Vivek Ramaswamy | 8,430 | 7.64% | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Ryan Binkley | 768 | 0.70% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson | 188 | 0.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Other | 90 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 35 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 110,272 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
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The Iowa Libertarian caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, its first as a recognized party in the state. [9] 2022 U.S. Senate candidate Chase Oliver from Georgia won the non-binding preferential vote with 42.7% of the vote. [10]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Chase Oliver | 38 | 42.70 |
Michael Rectenwald | 15 | 16.85 |
Mike ter Maat | 12 | 13.48 |
Joshua Smith | 12 | 13.48 |
Vivek Ramaswamy | 4 | 4.49 |
Mario Perales | 2 | 2.25 |
Robert Sansone | 2 | 2.25 |
Jacob Hornberger | 1 | 1.12 |
Lars Mapstead | 1 | 1.12 |
Art Olivier | 1 | 1.12 |
None of the above | 1 | 1.12 |
Total | 89 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [12] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections [13] | Likely R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] | Likely R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [15] | Likely R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis [16] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN [17] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. [upper-alpha 1] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19% [lower-alpha 3] |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 2] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Emerson College | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 2] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 2] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [lower-alpha 4] [upper-alpha 2] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Selzer & Co. | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 2] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
The 2020 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arkansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Missouri voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nebraska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nebraska has 5 electoral votes.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Mexico voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oregon voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Utah is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Utah voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Vermont voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.