2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Nominee Donald Trump (presumptive) Joe Biden (presumptive) Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate TBA Kamala Harris (presumptive)

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

A deeply red state entrenched in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964 and since then has only been competitive at this level in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020. Oklahoma is expected to be safely carried by the GOP in 2024. ^[2]

The Oklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9. ^[3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	66,882	72.98%	36		36
Marianne Williamson	8,356	9.12%	0		0
Dean Phillips	8,182	8.93%	0		0
Stephen Lyons	4,441	4.85%	0		0
Cenk Uygur	1,974	2.15%	0		0
Armando Perez-Serrato	1,809	1.97%	0		0
Total:	91,644	100.00%	40	4	40
Source: [4]

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary

The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Oklahoma Republican primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	254,928	81.83%	43		43
Nikki Haley	49,406	15.86%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	3,946	1.27%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,095	0.35%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,022	0.33%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	431	0.14%
David Stuckenberg	397	0.13%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	303	0.10%
Total:	311,528	100.00%	43		43
Source: [5] [6]

Libertarian primary

2024 Libertarian primary results

The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state. ^[7]

Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024. ^{[8] [9]}

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Chase Oliver	569	61.25%
Jacob Hornberger	360	38.75%
Total:	929	100%
Source: [10]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [11]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [12]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13]	Solid R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14]	Solid R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [15]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [16]	Solid R	January 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	April 11–12, 2024	615 (LV)	± 3.83%	61%	30%	9%
Emerson College	October 1–3, 2023	447 (RV)	± 4.6%	55%	27%	18%
Emerson College	October 25–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	30%	11%
SoonerPoll	October 4–6, 2022	301 (LV)	± 5.7%	53%	41%	6%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	63%	30%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	April 11–12, 2024	615 (LV)	± 3.83%	56%	24%	7%	2%	1%	10%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	53%	28%	19%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
2. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
3. Savage, Tres; McNutt, Michael; Brinkman, Bennett; Loveless, Tristan; Patterson, Matt (May 12, 2024). "Roundup: Judge indicted, Russ and Drummond spar, Epic and St. Isidore cases continue". NonDoc. Retrieved May 17, 2024.
4. "Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved March 28, 2024.
5. "Oklahoma Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
6. "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
7. "Who is on the presidential primary ballot in Oklahoma?". USA Today .
8. Denwalt, Dale (February 23, 2024). "Presidential candidates skip Oklahoma ahead of Super Tuesday". The Oklahoman . Retrieved March 8, 2024. The two Libertarian Party candidates on Oklahoma's ballot, Chase Oliver and Jacob Hornberger, spoke at Rose State College this month.
9. "2024 Libertarian OK Presidential Forum". Oklahoma Libertarian Party – via YouTube.
10. "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved March 6, 2024.
11. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
15. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
16. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.