2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

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2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election
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Nominee Patrick Morrisey Steve Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Jim Justice
Republican



The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican State Attorney General Patrick Morrisey is running against Huntington Mayor Steve Williams for Governor. Incumbent Jim Justice is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office; he is instead running for the U.S. Senate. [1] First elected in 2016 as a Democrat by 6.8 percentage points, Justice switched parties in August 2017 and won re-election in 2020 as a Republican by 33.3 percentage points. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024. [2]

Contents

Background

A conservative rural southeastern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and since 2015, Senator Joe Manchin has been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.

With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary was expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts consider Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margin from the previous election. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Moore Capito
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
Newspapers
Chris Miller
Individuals
Patrick Morrisey
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Moore
Capito		Chris
Miller		Patrick
Morrisey		Mac
Warner		OtherUndecided
Emerson College May 2–5, 2024558 (LV)± 4.1%29%21%33%15%3% [lower-alpha 2] –
Research America [upper-alpha 1] April 24 – May 1, 2024407 (LV)± 4.9%24%25%32%10%3%6%
NMB Research [upper-alpha 2] April 20–22, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%31%14%23%13%–18%
Research America [upper-alpha 1] April 3–9, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%29%16%31%12%3%10%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 3] April 1–3, 2024501 (LV)± 4.4%20%19%37%14%–9%
Emerson College March 19–21, 2024735 (LV)± 3.6%14%16%33%6%–29%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 3] November 27–29, 2023507 (LV)± 4.4%23%10%39%14%–14%
American Pulse Research
& Polling (R) [upper-alpha 4] 		November 13–14, 2023414 (LV)± 4.8%23%10%31%14%–23%
CAMP [upper-alpha 5] November 10–12, 2023863 (LV)± 3.26%18%11%24%21%5%21%
Orion Strategies [upper-alpha 6] June 17–20, 2023651 (LV)± 6.0%30%5%31%9%8% [lower-alpha 3] 17%
National Research Inc. February 23–28, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%15%6%28%11%6% [lower-alpha 4] 29%

Results

Republican primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Patrick Morrisey 74,777 33.3%
Republican Moore Capito 61,92827.6%
Republican Chris Miller 45,79120.4%
Republican Mac Warner 36,04216.0%
Republican Mitch Roberts3,1131.4%
Republican Kevin Christian3,0561.4%
Total votes224,707 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Williams 89,070 100.0%
Total votes89,070 100.0%

Other candidates

Mountain Party

Declared

  • Chase Linko-Looper, human rights advocate and U.S. Army veteran [29]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [30] Solid RJuly 21, 2023
Inside Elections [31] Solid RJuly 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [32] Safe RJuly 13, 2023
Elections Daily [33] Safe RJuly 12, 2023

Endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary elections.

Patrick Morrisey (R)
Federal officials
Individuals
Organizations

Results

2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Patrick Morrisey
Democratic Steve Williams
Mountain Chase Linko-Looper
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Mitch Roberts with 2%; Kevin Christian with 1%
  3. ↑ J.B. McCuskey with 3%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  4. ↑ J.B. McCuskey and Jeff Mullins with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews and The Health Plan
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Coalition for West Virginia’s Future, which supports Capito
  3. 1 2 Poll commissioned by Black Bear PAC, which supports Morrissey
  4. ↑ This poll was sponsored by WMOV
  5. ↑ This poll was sponsored by American Freedom Builders, which supports Warner
  6. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce

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References

  1. ↑ Staff, WDTV News (April 27, 2023). "Gov. Justice announces run for U.S. Senate". www.wdtv.com. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ↑ "West Virginia GOP auditor announces 2024 run for governor". AP NEWS. February 28, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  4. ↑ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV . April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  5. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (November 29, 2022). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  6. 1 2 "WV SOS - Elections - Candidate - Online Data Services". apps.sos.wv.gov. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  7. ↑ Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". www.theintelligencer.net. The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register . Retrieved December 24, 2021.
  8. ↑ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS-TV . January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  9. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 24, 2023). "McCuskey pivots to attorney general's race, and Weld and Stuart say they won't back down". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved July 24, 2023. Two-term state Auditor J.B. McCuskey, who was competing in a crowded field for governor, has pivoted to the attorney general's race instead.
  10. ↑ "W.Va. Agriculture Commissioner Kent Leonhardt to seek third term". Kent Leonhardt announced Wednesday he will seek a third term and will not run for governor.
  11. ↑ "Treasurer Riley Moore jumps into congressional race, another early political announcement". WV Metro News. November 21, 2022. Retrieved November 21, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Capito supports son's move to run for governor, says he will bring energy".
  13. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (April 18, 2024). "Governor Justice endorses Moore Capito to succeed him". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  14. ↑ "In a crowded, quality field, Capito stands out". The Exponent Telegram . May 4, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Former West Virginia University coach Bob Huggins to visit Wheeling to endorse Chris Miller for Governor". WTRF. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  16. 1 2 3 4 Weaver, Alexandra (May 31, 2023). "Citizens United president makes West Virginia governor endorsement". WBOY. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  17. ↑ Davanzo, Serena (May 3, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy joined Patrick Morrisey on the campaign trail after endorsing him for Governor". WOAY-TV . Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  18. ↑ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia Governor". americansforprosperity.org. July 19, 2023. Archived from the original on November 11, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Club for Growth PAC and Black Bear PAC Endorse Patrick Morrisey for Governor". April 5, 2023. Archived from the original on April 5, 2023.
  20. ↑ Edwards, Billy (May 10, 2024). "The National Association for Gun Rights PAC endorses Gubernatorial Candidate Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia". National Association for Gun Rights. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  21. 1 2 "West Virginia". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on April 6, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  22. ↑ "WV Coal Association Endorses Slate of Pro-Coal Candidates for 2024 Election". www.wvcoal.com. Archived from the original on September 2, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  23. 1 2 Gunnoe, Cameron (January 29, 2024). "West Virginia Sheriffs' Association Endorses Attorney General Patrick Morrisey for Governor". Lootpress. Archived from the original on April 6, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  24. ↑ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/west-virginia-governor-results
  25. ↑ Staff, WSAZ News (September 4, 2023). "Huntington Mayor says he plans to file to run for Governor of W.Va". WSAZ. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
  26. ↑ Doherty, Erin (January 22, 2023). "Manchin on 2024 political ambitions: "Everything is on table"". Axios. Retrieved January 22, 2023. He did rule out running for West Virginia governor in 2024.
  27. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 5, 2023). "Salango says he won't repeat bid for governor; Huntington Mayor Williams says he's closer to launch". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  28. ↑ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/west-virginia-governor-results
  29. ↑ Lawrence, Brandy (June 20, 2023). "Chase Linko-Looper announces candidacy for Governor". WOAY . Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  30. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  31. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  32. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  33. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  34. ↑ "Trump endorses Patrick Morrisey in race for W.Va. governor". WCHS-TV . May 21, 2024. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
  35. ↑ Davanzo, Serena (May 3, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy joined Patrick Morrisey on the campaign trail after endorsing him for Governor". WOAY-TV . Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  36. ↑ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia Governor". americansforprosperity.org. July 19, 2023. Archived from the original on November 11, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  37. ↑ "Club for Growth PAC and Black Bear PAC Endorse Patrick Morrisey for Governor". April 5, 2023. Archived from the original on April 5, 2023.
  38. ↑ Edwards, Billy (May 10, 2024). "The National Association for Gun Rights PAC endorses Gubernatorial Candidate Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia". National Association for Gun Rights. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  39. ↑ "WV Coal Association Endorses Slate of Pro-Coal Candidates for 2024 Election". www.wvcoal.com. Archived from the original on September 2, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
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