2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia

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2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Flag of West Virginia.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate TBA Kamala Harris
(presumptive)

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. West Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat. [1]

Contents

West Virginia was Trump's strongest state in 2016 and second-strongest state in 2020. Trump is expected to easily win the state again in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates. [3]

Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot: [4]

Results

West Virginia Democratic primary, May 14, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)68,09870.5%20
Jason Palmer 11,06411.5%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)7,3687.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)7,2147.5%
Armando Perez-Serrato2,7832.9%
Total:96,527100.0%20525
Source: [5]

Republican primary

The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. [6]

Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot: [4]

Results

West Virginia Republican Primary, May 14, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 198,43688.4%32
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)21,1239.4%
Rachel Swift2,3111.0%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)1,4760.7%
David Stuckenberg1,1620.5%
Total:224,508100.0%3232
Source: [7]

Mountain primary

The Mountain primary (the state's Green Party affiliate) is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024.

Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot, [4] who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates: [8]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Solid RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [12] Solid RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN [14] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023539 (RV)±4.2%59%23%18%

See also

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References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. "West Virginia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
  4. 1 2 3 "Who is running for election in West Virginia?". ballotpedia.org. February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
  5. "West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  6. "West Virginia Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. October 13, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  7. "West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  8. "Apportionment of GPUS National Committee 2023 and GPUS Presidential Nominating Convention 2024". GPUS National Committee. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
  9. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  14. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.