2018 Dutch Intelligence and Security Services Act referendum

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2018 Dutch Intelligence and Security Services Act referendum
Flag of the Netherlands.svg
21 March 2018

Are you for or against the Intelligence and Security Services Act 2017?
Wiv referendum Winterswijk 2018.jpg
Results
Choice
Votes %
For3,122,62846.53%
Against3,317,49649.44%
Blank votes270,2884.03%
Valid votes6,710,41299.65%
Invalid votes23,8130.35%
Total votes6,734,225100.00%
Eligible to vote/turnout13,064,93251.54%

Niederlande Referendum 2018.svg
Results by municipality

  For
  Against

An advisory referendum on the Intelligence and Security Services Act 2017 (Dutch : Wet op de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten 2017, abbreviated 'Wiv') was held in the Netherlands on 21 March 2018, alongside the municipal elections. It was the second referendum to be held under the Dutch Advisory Referendum Act after the 2016 Ukraine–European Union Association Agreement referendum.

Contents

A plurality of voters (49.44%) voted against the law, resulting in its rejection. Voter turnout was 51.5%, above the 30% threshold for validation of the result. [1] As with the previous referendum, the referendum created a no-show paradox, where the 46.5% of voters who turned out to vote for the bill instead causing its rejection, by helping the referendum meet the quota. If voters who cast for ballots had instead refused to show up, the turnout of 27.5% would have been insufficient for the result to be declared valid.

Although the referendum itself was non-binding, Prime Minister Mark Rutte had promised to take a potential "no" vote into account prior to the referendum. [2]

Background

The draft Intelligence and Security Agencies Act 2017 was laid before the States General by the Government of the Netherlands at the end of 2016. On 14 February 2017, a majority in the House of Representatives voted in support of the act, [3] which was then approved in the Senate on 11 July. [4] [5]

Request

StageRequiredReceivedValid
Preliminary requests10,00019,26617,162 [6]
Definitive requests300,000417,354384,126 [7]

A campaign to obtain sufficient support declarations for a referendum was initiated by a group of students at the University of Amsterdam concerned about the sweeping surveillance powers granted to the General Intelligence and Security Service (AIVD) under the law. [5] On 1 November 2017, the Electoral Council (Dutch : Kiesraad) announced that a sufficient number of signatures had been collected to trigger an advisory referendum on the tapping law, with 384,126 valid signatures, over 92 percent of those collected, well above the 300,000 required for a referendum. [8]

Party positions

The referendum comes after the formation of the Third Rutte cabinet following the 2017 general election, [8] with the coalition divided whether to hold a referendum on the law, Democrats 66 (D66) being the only one of the four coalition parties that voted against disregarding the result ahead of the referendum. [9]

The party positions listed below are based on the vote of the law in the House of Representatives on 14 February 2017, with the exception of Forum for Democracy (FvD), which was not represented in the lower chamber before the 2017 general election. [10]

PartySeatsPosition
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy For
Party for Freedom For [a]
Christian Democratic Appeal For
Democrats 66 For
GreenLeft Against
Socialist Party Against
Labour Party For
Christian Union For
Party for the Animals Against
50PLUS For
Reformed Political Party For
Denk Against
Forum for Democracy Against

Opinion polls

Vote in referendum

Polling firmDateForAgainstDon't knowWill not voteLead
Ipsos [11] 20 Mar 201853341319
I&O Research [12] 12 Mar 201851301921
Peil.nl [13] 11 Mar 20184542133
Kantar Public [14] 4 Mar 20183524261510
Ipsos [15] 26 Feb 201848322016
I&O Research [16] 6 Feb 201842283014
Kantar Public [17] 28 Jan 20183222301610
Peil.nl [18] 3 Dec 2017406020
I&O Research [19] 30 Oct 201752321720
I&O Research [20] 9 Oct 201750302020
I&O Research [21] 11 Sep 201760241736

Support for the law

Polling firmDateForAgainstDon't knowLead
GfK [22] 31 Oct 201734531319
GfK [23] 23 Oct 20174049119

Results

Results by province Dutch Intelligence and Security Services Act referendum, 2018 Provincial Results Map.png
Results by province
ChoiceVotes%
For3,122,62846.53
Against3,317,49649.44
Blank270,2884.03
Total6,710,412100.00
Valid votes6,710,41299.65
Invalid votes23,8130.35
Total votes6,734,225100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,064,93251.54
Source: Kiesraad

Results by province or territory

Province or territoryElectorateVoter turnoutIn favourAgainstBlank
Votes %Votes %Votes %
Flag of Drenthe.svg  Drenthe 387,61154.1699,78747.72100,85048.238,4724.05
Flag of Flevoland.svg  Flevoland 297,20650.2867,37745.2477,16851.814,3902.95
Frisian flag.svg  Friesland 504,85542.8097,59445.30111,04951.556,7793.15
Flag of Gelderland.svg  Gelderland 1,602,01654.19415,20748.01411,92447.6337,7374.36
Flag of Groningen.svg  Groningen 458,13137.2261,20035.97105,00961.723,9162.30
Flag of Limburg.svg  Limburg 873,20150.23206,90147.33209,89148.0220,3104.65
North Brabant-Flag.svg  North Brabant 1,947,97348.43469,11549.90430,93245.8440,0324.26
Flag of North Holland.svg  North Holland 2,075,43652.87453,84041.51598,60654.7540,9273.74
Flag of Overijssel.svg  Overijssel 882,34456.92247,30949.41230,93046.1422,3114.46
Utrecht (province)-Flag.svg  Utrecht 969,42157.65253,20845.46278,93550.0824,8634.46
Flag of Zeeland.svg  Zeeland 291,51456.7088,95054.0269,17442.016,5363.97
Flag of Zuid-Holland.svg  South Holland 2,760,06551.22661,82247.00692,44349.1754,0093.84
Flag of the Netherlands.svg Caribbean Netherlands 15,1596.0631834.9858564.3660.66
Source: Kiesraad

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References

  1. Results referendum on Wiv: majority against Kiesraad
  2. "Dutch referendum: Spy tapping powers 'rejected'". BBC. 22 March 2018. Retrieved 28 March 2018.
  3. "Tweede Kamer stemt voor 'aftapwet' inlichtingendiensten". Algemeen Dagblad. 14 February 2017. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  4. "Nieuwe Wet op de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten is een feit". Algemene Inlichtingen- en Veiligheidsdienst. 11 July 2017. Archived from the original on 7 November 2017. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  5. 1 2 "Raadgevend referendum over 'aftapwet' komt er". NOS. 1 November 2017. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  6. "Inleidend verzoek referendum over Wiv toegelaten". Kiesraad. 1 September 2017. Retrieved 2 November 2017.
  7. "Referendum over Wiv gaat door". Kiesraad. 1 November 2017. Retrieved 2 November 2017.
  8. 1 2 "Nederland gaat stemmen over 'sleepwet'". Trouw. 1 November 2017. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  9. Lennart Zandbergen (28 October 2017). "CDA en D66 oneens over betekenis referendum 'sleepwet'". Het Financieele Dagblad. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  10. Referendum over sleepwet (PDF) (Report). I&O Research. 12 October 2017. Retrieved 1 November 2017.
  11. https://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/panels/opiniepanel/alle-uitslagen/item/referendum-voorstanders-lopen-uit/
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20180315070628/https://ioresearch.nl/Portals/0/I%26O%20Research%20peiling%20Wiv_v3_140318.pdf
  13. https://www.noties.nl/v/get.php?a=peil.nl&s=weekpoll&f=2018-03-11+jef.pdf
  14. http://www.nipo.nl/nieuws/persberichten/in-de-peiling-gemeenteraadsverkiezingen/
  15. https://nos.nl/artikel/2222441-peilingen-voor-stem-referendum-inlichtingenwet-op-voorsprong.html
  16. https://web.archive.org/web/20180215204200/https://ioresearch.nl/Portals/0/I%26O%20Research%20peiling%20TK%20en%20sleepwet_def.pdf
  17. http://www.nipo.nl/nieuws/persberichten/in-de-peiling-gemeenteraadsverkiezingen/
  18. https://www.noties.nl/v/get.php?a=peil.nl&s=weekpoll&f=2017-12-3+ccc.pdf
  19. https://ioresearch.nl/Portals/0/I%26O%20Research%20referendum%20sleepwet_eind_okt_def_1.pdf
  20. https://web.archive.org/web/20171107015447/https://ioresearch.nl/Portals/0/I%26O%20Research%20referendum%20sleepwet_def.pdf
  21. https://web.archive.org/web/20170921001145/https://ioresearch.nl/Portals/0/I%26O%20Research%20politieke%20peiling%20sept%202017_def.pdf
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20171107011720/https://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/fileadmin/user_upload/PDF/Rapportage_Buma_en_de_Aftapwet.pdf
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20171107022733/https://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/fileadmin/user_upload/PDF/Rapportage_online_privacy_en_sleepwet.pdf

Notes

  1. PVV announced that even though they voted in favor, they would respect the outcome of the referendum.