2024 Hornsby state by-election

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2024 Hornsby state by-election
Flag of New South Wales.svg
  2023 19 October 2024 2027  

Electoral district of Hornsby in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly
Registered61,047 [1]
Reporting
52.3%
as of 7:50 PM AEDT
  Liberal Placeholder.png Tania Salitra.png
ON
CandidateJames WallaceTania SalitraSteve Busch
Party Liberal Greens One Nation

Incumbent MP

Matt Kean
Liberal



A by-election was held for the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Hornsby on 19 October 2024, following the resignation of Liberal Party MP Matt Kean. [2] [3] [4]

Contents

Background

The by-election was triggered by the resignation of Liberal MP Matt Kean, who served as the state party's deputy leader and as the state's Treasurer under Premier Dominic Perrottet. He held many other ministerial roles under both Perrottet and his predecessor, Gladys Berejiklian. Kean is a member of the party's Moderate faction, and during Perrottet's tenure as Premier was regarded as the faction's de facto leader in New South Wales. [5]

Hornsby is a blue-ribbon seat in northern Sydney, and is one of two of the original post-1927 electoral districts to have only ever been held by the Liberal Party, its predecessors or an independent, the other being Vaucluse.

Key dates

Previous result

2023 New South Wales state election: Hornsby [7] [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Matt Kean 23,45143.3−11.6
Labor Melissa Hoile13,41824.8+4.0
Greens Tania Salitra7,73814.3+3.3
One Nation Steve Busch4,2987.9+4.5
Liberal Democrats Jeffrey Grimshaw2,1253.9+3.9
Independent Benjamin Caswell1,5572.9+2.9
Sustainable Australia Justin Thomas9181.7+1.7
Independent Adrian Dignam6611.2+1.2
Total formal votes54,16697.6+0.1
Informal votes1,3082.4−0.1
Turnout 55,47492.0+0.2
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Matt Kean 26,50658.0−8.8
Labor Melissa Hoile19,16342.0+8.8
Liberal hold Swing −8.8

Candidates

PartyCandidateBackground
  Independent Brendan Clarke [9] Three-time contestant for the electorate of Berowra for the Science Party and the Fusion Party.
  Greens Tania Salitra [9] Greens candidate for mayor of Hornsby Shire Council at the 2024 local elections and commercial photographer
  Independent Justin Thomas [9] Candidate for Hornsby at the 2023 state election and former corporate accountant
  Animal Justice Sheila Millgate [10] Psychologist
  Independent Benjamin Caswell [11] Former education and childcare industry worker
  Libertarian Marc Hendrickx [9] Geologist, author, volunteer firefighter and activist
  Liberal James Wallace [9] Former president of NSW Young Liberals
  One Nation Steve Busch [9] Bus driver and former pilot, candidate for One Nation at the 2023 state election.
  Independent Roger Woodward [12] Accountant and volunteer firefighter

Liberal

On 3 August 2024, the Liberal Party preselected James Wallace. Wallace's preselection was unsuccessfully contested by former Deputy Mayor of Hornsby Michael Hutchence and barrister Ishita Sethi. [13] [14]

Preselection results

PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal James Wallace12365.77
Liberal Michael Hutchence3619.25
Liberal Ishita Sethi2814.97
Total formal votes187100.00

Labor

The governing Labor Party has stated they will not contest this by-election with Premier Chris Minns stating "a swing against us would be a massive distraction". [15]

Others

On 16 August 2024, One Nation announced their candidate as Steve Busch, who previously stood at the 2023 state election. [16]

The Libertarian Party announced Marc Hendrickx as their candidate on 19 September 2024. [17] The Sustainable Australia Party has preselected Justin Thomas. [18]

Results

2024 Hornsby by-election [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal James Wallace18,85750.5%+7.2%
Greens Tania Salitra9,94026.6%+12.3%
One Nation Steve Busch1,8665.0%-2.9%
Independent Brendon Clarke1,6324.4%+4.4%
Independent Benjamin Caswell1,2413.3%+0.4%
Animal Justice Sheila Milgate1,2073.2%+3.2%
Libertarian Marc Hendrickx1,0422.8%-1.1%
Sustainable Australia Justin Thomas9792.6%+0.9%
Independent Roger Woodward5831.6%+1.6%
Total formal votes37,34796.6%
Informal votes1,3093.4%
Turnout
Two-candidate-preferred result
Liberal James Wallace20,36264.1%
Greens Tania Salitra11,42135.9%
Liberal hold Swing +6.0%

See also

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References

  1. "NSW Enrolment Statistics". NSW Electoral Commission . 10 September 2024. Hornsby. Archived from the original on 26 September 2024. Retrieved 14 August 2024.
  2. Wang, Jessica (18 June 2024). "Liberal MP Matt Kean resigns from NSW Parliament". NewsWire . Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 18 June 2024 via news.com.au.
  3. Maddison, Max (18 June 2024). "Former Treasurer Matt Kean quits parliament" . The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 18 June 2024.
  4. Greg Piper, Speaker (14 August 2024). "Electoral District of Hornsby Issue of Writ". Legislative Assembly Hansard – 14 August 2024 – Proof. New South Wales: Legislative Assembly. Archived from the original on 14 August 2024. Retrieved 14 August 2024.
  5. Maddison, Max (10 September 2023). "'They made Dom premier then he switched off his phone': The moment disillusionment set in at the NSW Liberal Party" . The Sydney Morning Herald. A future of fractures?. Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 4 August 2024. The "unity deal" – an agreement struck between conservatives and moderate heavyweight Matt Kean to manufacture election-winning outcomes – has disintegrated with Perrottet's looming exit from politics.
  6. "2024 Hornsby State by-election". NSW Electoral Commission . Archived from the original on 2 September 2024. Retrieved 2 September 2024.
  7. LA First Preference: Hornsby, NSW State Election Results 2023, NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
  8. LA Two Candidate Preferred: Hornsby, NSW State Election Results 2023, NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Green, Antony. "Hornsby By-election - NSW Election 2024". ABC News. Archived from the original on 4 October 2024. Retrieved 4 October 2024.
  10. "Sheila Millgate, Hornsby". nsw.animaljusticeparty.org. Archived from the original on 4 October 2024. Retrieved 4 October 2024.
  11. "About me". benjamincaswell.com. Foxglove Road, Mount Colah NSW 2079. Archived from the original on 4 October 2024. Retrieved 4 October 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
  12. "Roger Woodward FCA". rogerwoodwardfca.me. Bridge Road Hornsby NSW 2077. Archived from the original on 4 October 2024. Retrieved 4 October 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
  13. Lewis, Alexander (3 August 2024). "NSW Liberals preselect James Wallace to stand in former treasurer Matt Kean's seat of Hornsby". ABC News . Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 4 August 2024. Former Hornsby deputy mayor Michael Hutchence came a distant second, despite being endorsed by Mr Abbott.
  14. Preselection Updates [@Preselection_AU] (3 August 2024). "Wallace comfortably defeated former state treasurer Michael Hutchence and barrister Ishita Sethi in the first round" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 4 August 2024 via Twitter. 123 Wallace 36 Hutchence 28 Ishta
  15. Dowling, James (26 September 2024). "NSW Labor will not contest blue ribbon by-elections despite opposition woes" . The Australian . Archived from the original on 26 September 2024. Retrieved 26 September 2024. "We'd have to put a lot of time and effort and resources into campaigns that we would be unlikely to prevail in, and a swing against us would be a massive distraction."
  16. Preselection Updates [@Preselection_AU] (16 August 2024). "Hornsby (NSW State, 8.0%):" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 16 August 2024. Retrieved 16 August 2024 via Twitter. One Nation have chosen former Qantas pilot Steve Busch as their candidate to succeed retiring Liberal Matt Kean at October's by-election. Busch also ran in Hornsby at last year's state election, coming in fourth with 7.9% of the vote.
  17. Ruddick, John [@JohnRuddick2] (19 September 2024). "Libertarian Party will vigorously contest the Hornsby by-election on 19 Oct" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 19 September 2024. Retrieved 19 September 2024 via Twitter. Our superb candidate is Marc Hendrickx.
  18. Preselection Updates [@Preselection_AU] (3 August 2024). "Wallace, a moderate, was Kean's preferred successor following his retirement from politics to take up a role as the head of the federal Climate Change Authority" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 4 August 2024 via Twitter. So far just one other candidate has put their hand up for the by-election, Sustainable Australia's Justin Thomas.
  19. Hornsby By-election - NSW Election 2024, 'Australian Broadcasting Corporation'. Retrieved 20 October 2024.