CVoter

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Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India. [1]

Contents

History

Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter. [1] [2]

Clients

CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7, [3] United Press International, [4] Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, Aaj Tak , ABP News, Zee News, Zee Business, the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation, India TV, Lok Sabha TV, UTVi business news channel (owned by UTV Software Communications), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers. [5] [6] Studies have included market research, [7] [8] conflict resolution research, [9] and opinion polls. [10] [11] [12]

2022 State Elections

Goa

Opinion polls
Date PublishedPolling agencyLeadRemarks
NDA UPA AAP AITC+ Others
7 February 2022ABP News C-voter [13] 14-1810-144-83-70-20-8Hung
10 January 2022ABP News C-voter [14] 19-234-85-92-60-410-18Hung
11 December 2021ABP News C-Voter [15] 17-214-85-96-107-15Hung
12 November 2021ABP News C-voter [16] 19-232-63-78-127-15Hung
8 October 2021ABP News C-voter [17] 24-281-53-74-816-24BJP majority
3 Sept 2021ABP News C-voter [18] 22-263-74-83-714-22BJP majority
10 March 2022Election results20122248Hung
Exit polls
Polling agencyLeadRemarks
NDA UPA AAP AITC+ Others
ABP-CVoter [19] 13-1712-161-55-90-20-1Hung
Election results20122248Hung

Manipur

Opinion polls
Date PublishedPolling agencyLeadRemarks
INC BJP NPF Others
10 January 2022ABP News C-Voter [20] 22-2623-272-65-90-5Hung
11 December 2021ABP News C-Voter [21] 23-2729-332-60-22-10Hung
12 November 2021ABP News C-Voter [22] 20-2425-294-83-71-9Hung
8 October 2021ABP News C-Voter [23] 21-2526-304-81-51-9Hung
3 September 2021ABP News C-Voter [24] 18-2232-362-60-410-18BJP majority
10 March 2022Election results53251814NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agencyLeadRemarks
BJP INC NPP NPF Others
ABP News-CVoter [25] 23-2712-1610-143-72-67-15Hung
Election results325751121NDA majority

Punjab

Opinion Polls
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadRemarks
UPAAAPSAD+NDAOthers
7 February 2022ABP News - C-Voter [26] 24-3055-6320-263-110-225-39Hung
10 January 2022ABP News - C-Voter [27] 37-4352-5817-231-30-19-21Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [28] 39-4550-5617-230-30-15-16Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [29] 42-5047-5316-240-10-10-11Hung
8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [30] 39-4749-5517-250-10-12-16Hung
4 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [31] 38-4651-5716-240-10-15-19Hung
19 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [32] 43-4951-5712-180-30-52-14Hung
10 March 2022Election results189242174AAP Majority
Exit polls
Polling agencyLeadRemarks
UPAAAPSAD+NDAOthers
ABP News - C Voter [33] 22-2851-6120-267-131-523-39Hung
Election results189242174AAP Majority

Uttar Pradesh

Opinion polls
Polling agencyDate PublishedLeadRemarks
NDA SP+ BSP UPA Others
18 March 2021ABP-CVoter [34] [35] 284-29454-6433-431-710-16220-240NDA majority
3 September 2021ABP-CVoter [36] 259-267109-11712-163-76-10142-158NDA majority
8 October 2021ABP-CVoter [37] 241-249130-13815-193-70-4103-119NDA majority
13 November 2021ABP-CVoter [38] 213-221152-16016-206-10NA53-69NDA majority
11 December 2021ABP-CVoter [39] 212-224151-16312-242-102-649-73NDA majority
10 January 2022ABP-CVoter [40] 223-235145-1578-163-74-866-90NDA majority
10 March 2022Election results273125122178NDA majority
Exit polls
NDALeadRemarks
SP+ BSP UPA Others
ABP News - CVoter [41] 228-244132-14813-214-8NA80-112NDA majority
Election results273125122178NDA majority

Uttarakhand

Opinion polls
DatePolling agencyLeadRemarks
NDA UPA AAP Others
7 February 2022 ABP News - C-Voter [42] 31-3730-362-40-10-7Hung
10 January 2022 ABP News - C-Voter [43] [44] 31-3730-362-40-10-7Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [45] 33-3929-351-30-10-10Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [46] 36-4030-340-20-12-10BJP majority
8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [47] 42-4621-250-40-217-25BJP majority
3 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [48] 44-4819-230-40-221-29BJP majority
18 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter [49] 24-3032-382-80-92-14Hung
10 MarchElection results47190428NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agencyLeadRemarks
NDA UPA AAP Others
ABP News C-Voter [50] 26-3232-380-23-70-12Hung
Election results47190428NDA majority

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)

Assam

Poll typeDate publishedPolling agencyLeadRef.
NDAMahajotOthers
Exit poll29 April 2021ABP News- CVoter58-7153-660-5Hung [51]
Times Now-CVoter655926 [52]
Opinion poll24 March 2021Times Now-CVoter65-7352-600-45-21 [53]
ABP News- CVoter65-7352-600-45-21 [54]
15 March 2021ABP News- CVoter64-7252-600-24-20 [55]
8 March 2021Times Now-CVoter6757210 [56]
27 February 2021ABP News- CVoter68-7647-550-313-29 [57]
18 January 2021ABP News- CVoter73-8141-490-424-40 [58]
Election Results
Election ResultsDate publishedElection ResultsLeadRef.
NDA Mahajot Independent
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 7550125 [59]

Kerala

Type of pollsDate publishedPolling agencyLeadRef.
LDF UDF NDA
Opinion Poll24 March 2021 Mathrubhumi–CVoter73–8356–660–12–12 [60]
Times Now–CVoter776216 [61]
19 March 2021 Mathrubhumi News–CVoter75-83 (79)55–60 (57)0–2 (1)4–12 (8) [62]
15 March 2021 ABP News–CVoter77–8554–620–26–14 [63]
8 March 2021 Times Now–CVoter8256111 [64]
27 February 2021 ABP News–CVoter83–9147–550–212–20 [65]
18 January 2021 ABP News–CVoter81–8941–470–210–18 [66]
Exit polls29 April 2021Times Now / ABP - C-Voter71 - 7762 - 680 - 21 - 6 [67]
Election Results
Election ResultsDate publishedElection ResultsLeadRef.
LDF UDF NDA
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 9941058 [67]

Tamil Nadu

Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day
Type of PollDate publishedPolling agencyLead
DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ MNM+ NTK Others [lower-alpha 1]
Opinion Poll24 Mar 21 Times Now - CVoter [68] 17749332128
15 Mar 21 ABP News - CVoter [69] 161 - 16953 - 611 - 52 - 63 - 7100 - 116
8 Mar 21 Times Now- CVoter [70] 1586588- 104
27 Feb 21 ABP News- CVoter [71] 154 - 16258 - 661 - 52 - 65 - 988- 104
18 Jan 21 ABP News- CVoter [72] 158 - 16660 - 682 - 60 - 40 - 490 - 106
Exit polls29 Apr 21 ABP/Times Now - CVoter [73] [74] 160 - 17258 - 700 - 40 - 20 - 390 - 114
Election Results
Election ResultsDate publishedElection ResultsLead
DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ MNM+ NTK Others [lower-alpha 1]
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 1597500084

West Bengal

Type of pollDate publishedPolling agencyLead
AITC+ BJP+ SM Others
Opinion Poll24 March 2021Times Now C-Voter [75] 152-168104-12018-260-232-64
15 March 2021ABP News - C Voter [76] [77] [78] 150-16698-11423-313-536-52
8 March 2021Times Now - C Voter [79] 146-16299-11229-37031-63
27 February 2021ABP News - C Voter [80] [81] 148-16492-10831-391-540-72
18 January 2021ABP News - CVoter [82] 15810230456
Exit poll29 April 2021ABP News - C-Voter [83] [84] 152-164109-12114-25-31-55
Election Results
Election ResultsDate publishedElection ResultsLead
AITC+ BJP+ SM Others
Election Results2 May 2021Election Results2157711138

2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News

ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey [85]

58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey [86]

Naveen country's best CM [87]

2020 Trust on Media Institutions

CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions [88] [89] [90] [91] [92]

Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds [93]

2020 Bihar elections

Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes). [94] [95] [96] [97] [98]

Polling typeDatePolling AgencyMajorityRef
NDAMGBLJPOthers
Opinion poll
24 October 2020ABP-CVoter135-15977-985-1313-37 [99]
12 October 2020Times Now-CVoter16076739 [100]
25 September 2020ABP-CVoter141-16164-8413-2320–40 [101]
Exit poll
Times Now-CVoter11612016HUNG [102]
ABP News-CVoter104-128108-1311-34-8HUNG
Election Results10 November 202012511017NDA

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)

May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly. [103]

2016 United States elections

The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election. [104] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.

2016 United States presidential election
AgencyPredictionActual WinnerPrediction accuracy
UPI/CVoter Hillary Clinton Donald Trump X mark.svg Wrong
Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter [105] 1 – 7 November 201648.7%46.2%2.51,728± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [106] 30 October – 5 November 201649%46%31,572± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [107] 29 October – 4 November 201649%48%11,497± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [108] 28 October – 3 November 201649%48%11,395± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [109] 27 October – 2 November 201649%48%11,329± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [110] 26 October – 1 November 201649%48%11,383±3.0%
UPI/CVoter [111] 24–30 October 201649%48%11,299±3.0%
UPI/CVoter [112] 23–29 October 201648%48%Tied1,317± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [113] 20–26 October 201649%47%21,363± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [114] 19–25 October 201649%47%21,349± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [115] 17–23 October 201649%46%31,414± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [116] 11–17 October 201651%46%51,326± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [117] 10–16 October 201650%46%41,325± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [118] 7–13 October 201650%45%51,482± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [119] 4–10 October 201650%44%61,367± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [120] 3–9 October 201649%44%51,801± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [121] 30 September – 6 October 201648%47%11,774± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [122] 28 September – 4 October 201647%48%11,274± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [123] 26 September – 2 October 201647%49%21,285± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [124] 23–29 September 201647%49%21,236± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [125] 21–27 September 201648%48%Tied1,239± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [126] 19–25 September 201648%47%11,052± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [127] 12–18 September 201648%47%11,203± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [128] 10–16 September 201647%47%Tied1,246± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [129] 9–15 September 201647%48%11,229± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [130] 8–14 September 201647%48%11,265± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [131] 7–13 September 201647%48%11,245± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [132] 6–12 September 201646%49%31,232± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [133] 5–11 September 201646%49%31,260± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [134] 2–8 September 201646%48%21,256± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [135] 1–7 September 201647%48%11,226± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [136] 31 August – 6 September 201647%47%Tied1,262± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [137] 30 August – 5 September 201648%46%21,220± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [138] 29 August – 4 September 201649%47%21,237± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [139] 28 August – 3 September 201649%46%31,242± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [140] 24–30 August 201649%46%31,162± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [141] 23–29 August 201650%47%31,173± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [142] 22–28 August 201650%47%31,145± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [143] 21–27 August 201650%47%31,682± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [144] 18–24 August 201648%49%11,720± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [145] 17–23 August 201648%48%Tied1,737± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [146] 16–22 August 201648%48%Tied1,752± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [147] 15–21 August 201648%47%11,795± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [148] 14–20 August 201648%47%11,191± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [149] 11–17 August 201650%46%41,009± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [150] 9–16 August 201651%44%71,069± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [151] 9–15 August 201651%44%71,035± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [152] 7–14 August 201650%45%5975± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [153] 7–13 August 201649%46%31,403± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [154] 3–10 August 201649%45%41,077± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [155] 3–9 August 201648%46%21,002± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [156] 2–8 August 201649%45%4993± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [157] 1–7 August 201649%44%51,407± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [158] 31 July – 6 August 201650%43%71,036± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [159] 29 July – 4 August 201650%44%61,060± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter [160] 27 July – 2 August 201649%46%3989± 3.0%

2009 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21. [161] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).

2004 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181. [162] [163] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election, Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).[ citation needed ]

Controversy

CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money. [164] [165] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. After the expose, India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract. [166] [167]

Notes

  1. 1 2 May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey

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