Gordon G. Chang

Last updated

Gordon G. Chang
Gordon G. Chang by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Born
Gordon Guthrie Chang

(1951-07-05) July 5, 1951 (age 73)
NationalityAmerican
Education Cornell University (BA, JD)
Occupation(s)Journalist, political commentator, writer, lawyer
SpouseLydia Tam
Chinese name
Chinese 章家敦
Transcriptions
Standard Mandarin
Hanyu Pinyin Zhāng Jiādūn
Wade–Giles Chang¹ Chia¹-tun¹

Website www.gordonchang.com

Gordon Guthrie Chang (born July 5, 1951) is an American journalist, lawyer, political commentator, and writer. [1] He is the author of The Coming Collapse of China in which he attempted to predict the collapse of China and claimed that it would collapse by 2011. In December 2011, he changed the timing of the year of the predicted collapse to 2012.

Contents

In 1976, Chang graduated from the Cornell Law School. He then lived in mainland China and in Hong Kong for close to two decades, where he worked as Partner and Counsel at the US international law firms Baker & McKenzie and Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP.

Chang has given briefings at the National Intelligence Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, the US State Department, and the US Department of Defense, and he has testified before the US House Committee on Foreign Affairs. The New Yorker has characterized him as a "longtime überhawk on China". [2]

Early life and education

Chang was born in New Jersey to a Chinese father and an American mother of Scottish ancestry. [3] His father is from Rugao, Jiangsu, China. [4]

In 1969, Chang graduated from Columbia High School in Maplewood, New Jersey, where he was class president in his senior year. Four years later, he graduated from Cornell University, where he was a columnist for The Cornell Daily Sun and a member of the Quill and Dagger society. In 1976, Chang graduated with a Juris Doctor degree from the Cornell Law School. [1]

Career

Chang lived and worked in mainland China and Hong Kong for almost two decades, most recently in Shanghai, as counsel to the international American law firm Paul Weiss and earlier in Hong Kong as Partner in the US international law firm Baker & McKenzie. Chang has been elected twice as a trustee of Cornell University. [5] [ when? ]

Chang has given briefings at the National Intelligence Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, the US State Department, and the US Defense Department, and he has appeared before the United States House Committee on Foreign Affairs. [6] He is a former contributor at The Daily Beast . [7] His writings on China and North Korea have appeared in The New York Times , The Wall Street Journal , the International Herald Tribune , Commentary , National Review , and Barron’s among others, and he has appeared on CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, CNBC, PBS, Bloomberg Television, and others as well on as The Daily Show with Jon Stewart. [6] Chang has spoken at Columbia, Cornell, Harvard, Penn, Princeton, Yale, and other universities. [8]

Chang is a contributing editor for 19FortyFive, an online international affairs website, and serves on the advisory board of the Global Taiwan Institute, a policy incubator based in Washington, D.C. [9] [10] He is a member of the Board of Directors of the Conservative Political Action Conference. [11]

Views

Chinese influence

Chang has appeared before the United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission among others. [6] He has warned that Chinese students attending US colleges and universities have become the long arm of Chinese totalitarianism and that Chinese students, professors, and scientists have become “nontraditional collectors” of intelligence for China.

As reported by The Cornell Daily Sun, Chang said that students from China suspiciously probe US universities' faculties, "engage in abusive conduct and harassment with other students, heckle criticizers of China and pressure universities to suspend activities. Their demands to remove research for political concerns infringe on academic freedom." [5] Further, Chang has said that China is not trying to compete with the United States within the Westphalian order but to overthrow that order altogether. [8]

U.S.–China "cold tech war"

In his book The Great U.S.–China Tech War (2020), Chang posits that China and the United States are involved in what he terms as a "cold tech war," with the winner being able to dominate the 21st century. He notes that a decade ago, China was not considered a tech contender but that Chinese leaders have since made their regime a tech powerhouse, with some now finding China to be a leader, with America lagging behind in critical areas. Chang advocates mobilization for the US to regain the control of cutting-edge technologies that it once had. [12]

Collapse of China

As the author of The Coming Collapse of China , [6] Chang has made numerous predictions of the imminent collapse of the Chinese government and fall of the Communist Party since 2001 including the specific years. [13] [14] [15] Chang insisted that it would be year 2011 when the Chinese government would collapse. When 2011 was almost over, he admitted that his prediction was wrong but said that he was off by only a year and wrote in the Foreign Policy magazine, that "Instead of 2011, the mighty Communist Party of China will fall in 2012. Bet on it." Consequently he made Foreign Policy's "10 worst predictions of the year" twice in a row when his predictions were proven wrong again. [16]

In 2011, Chang stated that China was the "new dot-com bubble" and added that the rapid growth by China was contradicted by various internal factors, including a decrease in population growth and a slowdown of retail sales. [17] In a separate interview, he remarked that China achieved its 149.2 percent trade surplus with the United States by "lying, cheating, and stealing" and that if China decided to realize its threat, expressed since August 2007, to sell its Treasury bonds, it would actually hurt its own economy since it is reliant on exports to the United States. The US economy would be hurt by a selloff of Treasuries, which would the US to buy less from China, which would in turn hurt the Chinese economy. [18]

Advocate for genocidal war crimes

In a 2022 piece for the Gatestone Institute, Chang suggested that Taiwan should deter the PRC by threatening a conventional missile attack on the Three Gorges Dam and drowning of the downstream population, to signal that they are "prepared to take Chinese lives in the hundreds of millions". [19] [20]

Other views

In Nuclear Showdown: North Korea Takes on the World (2006), Chang says that North Korea is most likely to target Japan, not South Korea. He also says that North Korean nuclear ambitions could be forestalled if there were concerted multinational diplomacy, with some "limits to patience" backed up by threat of an all-out Korean war.

Chang often criticized South Korean President Moon Jae-in's term as "dangerous" and said that Moon should be considered "North Korea's agent." [21] Chang also asserted that Moon Jae-in is "subverting freedom, democracy, and South Korea." [21]

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Chang praised the U.S. and claiming it had acted "very, very quickly" in response to the epidemic. [22] In what The New Yorker described as the "loopiest" speech of CPAC 2023, Chang alleged that Chinese government had "deliberately spread [COVID-19] beyond its borders to America and to the world". [2] He has also claimed in relation to the second wave of COVID-19 in India that "it is entirely possible [China] released another pathogen." [23] He also made claims that China was "likely planning to launch pathogen" from an illegal California lab. [24] However a federal investigation into the lab in question, had not substantiated those claims but instead determined that it wasn't trying to make biological weapons, but instead was simply growing antibody cells to produce test kits for Covid-19. [25] [26]

Chang had stated that Donald Trump is "the only thing that stands between us and a world dominated by China." [27] In his 2020 book The Great U.S.–China Tech War, Chang posits that China and the United States are now involved in what he terms as a "cold tech war". [28]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">China–United States relations</span> Bilateral relations

The relationship between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the United States of America (USA) has been complex and at times tense since the establishment of the PRC and the retreat of the government of the Republic of China to Taiwan in 1949. Since the normalization of relations in the 1970s, the US–China relationship has been marked by numerous perennial disputes including the political status of Taiwan, territorial disputes in the South China Sea, and more recently the treatment of Uyghurs in Xinjiang. They have significant economic ties and are significantly intertwined, yet they also have a global hegemonic great power rivalry. As of 2023, China and the United States are the world's second-largest and largest economies by nominal GDP, as well as the largest and second-largest economies by GDP (PPP) respectively. Collectively, they account for 44.2% of the global nominal GDP, and 34.7% of global PPP-adjusted GDP.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Huawei</span> Chinese multinational technology company

Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. is a Chinese multinational digital communications technology conglomerate corporation headquartered in Bantian, Longgang District, Shenzhen, Guangdong. It designs, develops, manufactures and sells telecommunications equipment, consumer electronics, smart devices and various rooftop solar products. The corporation was founded in 1987 by Ren Zhengfei, a former officer in the People's Liberation Army (PLA).

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Taiwan and weapons of mass destruction</span>

Taiwan pursued a number of weapons of mass destruction programs from 1949 to the late 1980s. The final secret nuclear weapons program was shut down in the late 1980s under US pressure after completing all stages of weapons development besides final assembly and testing. Taiwan lacked an effective delivery mechanism and would have needed to further miniaturize any weapon for effective use in combat. Currently, there is no evidence of Taiwan possessing any chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. However, nuclear weapons from the United States were deployed to Taiwan during a period of heightened regional tensions with China beginning with the First Taiwan Strait Crisis and ending in the 1970s.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">ZTE</span> Chinese telecommunication company

ZTE Corporation is a Chinese partially state-owned technology company that specializes in telecommunication. Founded in 1985, ZTE is listed on both the Hong Kong and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges.

The Government of China is engaged in espionage overseas, directed through diverse methods via the Ministry of State Security (MSS), the Ministry of Public Security (MPS), the United Front Work Department (UFWD), People's Liberation Army (PLA) via its Intelligence Bureau of the Joint Staff Department, and numerous front organizations and state-owned enterprises. It employs a variety of tactics including cyber espionage to gain access to sensitive information remotely, signals intelligence, human intelligence as well as influence operations through united front activity targeting overseas Chinese communities and associations. The Chinese government is also engaged in industrial espionage aimed at gathering information and technology to bolster its economy, as well as transnational repression of dissidents abroad such as supporters of the Tibetan independence movement and Uyghurs as well as the Taiwan independence movement, the Hong Kong independence movement, Falun Gong, pro-democracy activists, and other critics of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The United States alleges that the degree of intelligence activity is unprecedented in its assertiveness and engagement in multiple host countries, particularly the United States, with economic damages estimated to run into the hundreds of billions according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd., trading as Hon Hai Technology Group in China and Taiwan, and as Foxconn internationally, is a Taiwanese multinational electronics contract manufacturer established in 1974 with headquarters in Tucheng District, New Taipei City, Taiwan. In 2021, the company's annual revenue reached 6.83 trillion New Taiwan dollars and was ranked 20th in the 2023 Fortune Global 500. It is the world's largest contract manufacturer of electronics. While headquartered in Taiwan, the company earns the majority of its revenue from assets in China and is one of the largest employers worldwide. Terry Gou is the company founder and former chairman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kim Jong Un</span> Supreme Leader of North Korea since 2011

Kim Jong Un is a North Korean politician who has been supreme leader of North Korea since 2011 and the leader of the Workers' Party of Korea (WPK) since 2012. He is the third son of Kim Jong Il, who was the second supreme leader of North Korea, and a grandson of Kim Il Sung, the founder and first supreme leader of the country.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Taiwan–United States relations</span> Bilateral relations

After the United States established diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1979 and recognized Beijing as the only legal government of China, Taiwan–United States relations became unofficial and informal following terms of the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA), which allows the United States to have relations with the Taiwanese people and their government, whose name is not specified. U.S.–Taiwan relations were further informally grounded in the Six Assurances in response to the third communiqué on the establishment of US–PRC relations. The Taiwan Travel Act, passed by the U.S. Congress on March 16, 2018, allows high-level U.S. officials to visit Taiwan and vice versa. Both sides have since signed a consular agreement formalizing their existent consular relations on September 13, 2019. The US government removed self-imposed restrictions on executive branch contacts with Taiwan on January 9, 2021.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Robert C. O'Brien</span> American lawyer (born 1966)

Robert Charles O'Brien Jr. is an American attorney who served as the twenty-seventh United States national security advisor from 2019 to 2021. He was the fourth and final person to hold the position during the presidency of Donald Trump. He is currently the chairman of the American Global Strategies firm advising companies on international politics, the U.S. government, and crisis management.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mike Pompeo</span> American politician (born 1963)

Michael Richard Pompeo is an American politician who served in the administration of Donald Trump as director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) from 2017 to 2018 and as the 70th United States secretary of state from 2018 to 2021. He also served in the United States House of Representatives from 2011 to 2017.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Arthur Waldron</span> American historian (born 1948)

Arthur Waldron is an American historian. Since 1997, Waldron has been the Lauder Professor of International Relations in the department of history at the University of Pennsylvania. He works chiefly on Asia, China in particular, often with a focus on the origins and development of nationalism, and the study of war and violence in general.

Paul Thomas Haenle is an American analyst and China specialist currently serving as Maurice R. Greenberg Director’s Chair at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Gatestone Institute</span> American think tank focused on Islamic radicalism.

Gatestone Institute is an American conservative think tank based in New York City, known for publishing articles pertaining to U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East, specifically with regard to Islamic extremism. It was founded in 2012 by Nina Rosenwald, who serves as its president. John R. Bolton, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations and former National Security Advisor, was its chairman from 2013 until March 2018. Its current chairman is Amir Taheri. The organization has attracted attention for publishing false or inaccurate articles, some of which were shared widely.

<i>The Coming Collapse of China</i> Book by Gordon G. Chang

The Coming Collapse of China is a book by Gordon G. Chang, published in 2001, in which he argued that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was the root cause of many of China's problems and would cause the country's collapse by 2011. When 2011 was almost over, Chang admitted that his prediction was wrong but said it was off by only a year, asserting in Foreign Policy that the CCP would fall in 2012. Consequently he made the magazine's "10 worst predictions of the year" twice.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mike Gallagher (American politician)</span> American politician (born 1984)

Michael John Gallagher is an American politician who served as a member of the United States House of Representatives, representing Wisconsin's 8th congressional district for the Republican Party between 2017 and 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kelly Craft</span> American businesswoman and diplomat (born 1962)

Kelly Dawn Craft is an American businesswoman, politician, and former diplomat who served as the 30th United States Ambassador to the United Nations from 2019 to 2021 under President Donald Trump. She was confirmed as the US ambassador to the United Nations by the US Senate by a vote of 56–34, and was officially sworn in September 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Matthew Pottinger</span> American journalist, Marine Corps officer, and former government official (born 1973)

Matthew Forbes Pottinger is an American former journalist and U.S. Marine Corps officer who served as the United States deputy national security advisor from September 22, 2019 to January 7, 2021. Previously Asia director on the National Security Council since 2017, his tenure was unusual among senior aides serving under President Trump for its length, given an administration marked by high turnover. Pottinger worked to develop the Trump administration's policies towards China.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Michael Waltz</span> American politician (born 1974)

Michael George Glen Waltz is an American politician and a colonel in the United States Army serving as the U.S. representative for Florida's 6th congressional district. A member of the Republican Party, he was first elected in 2018 and succeeded Ron DeSantis, who went on to be elected the 46th governor of Florida in 2018.

The foreign policy of the Joe Biden administration emphasizes the repair of the United States' alliances, which Biden argues were damaged during the Trump administration. The administration's goal is to restore the United States to a "position of trusted leadership" among global democracies in order to address challenges posed by Russia and China. Both Biden and his Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin have repeatedly emphasized that no other world power should be able to surpass the United States, either militarily or economically. Biden's foreign policy has been described as having ideological underpinnings in mid-twentieth century liberal internationalism, American exceptionalism, and pragmatism.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Artificial Intelligence Cold War</span> Geopolitical narrative

The Artificial Intelligence Cold War (AI Cold War) is a narrative in which tensions between the United States of America, the Russian Federation, and the People's Republic of China lead to a Second Cold War waged in the area of artificial intelligence technology rather than in the areas of nuclear capabilities or ideology. The context of the AI Cold War narrative is the AI arms race, which involves a build-up of military capabilities using AI technology by the US and China and the usage of increasingly advanced semiconductors which power those capabilities.

References

  1. 1 2 "author bio". gordonchang.com. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  2. 1 2 Cassidy, John (6 March 2023). "The Serious Takeaway from CPAC: Trump and Trumpism Are Still a Threat". The New Yorker. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
  3. "Gordon Chang's Story of Belonging". TVOntario. 22 March 2009. Retrieved 9 December 2018 via YouTube.
  4. Chang, Gordon G. (29 September 2013). "$3.9 Trillion Of Local Gov Debt In China . . . And Counting". Forbes. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  5. 1 2 Li, Karen (25 October 2018). "Cornell Political Union Debates Chinese Influence on U.S. Campuses". The Cornell Daily Sun. Retrieved 6 October 2019.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Gordon G. Chang." Kitco Media. Retrieved on December 16, 2020.
  7. "Author Page Gordon Chang". TheDailyBeast.com. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
  8. 1 2 "Interview with Gordon Chang." Carnegie Mellon University. Retrieved on December 16, 2020.
  9. "Meet Our Editorial Team". 19FortyFive. Retrieved 2021-07-05.
  10. "Advisory Board – Global Taiwan Institute" . Retrieved 2022-06-20.
  11. "Gordon Chang". C-SPAN. Retrieved 2023-05-16.
  12. "The Great U.S.-China Tech War." Google Books. Retrieved on December 22, 2020.
  13. Chang, Gordon G. (29 December 2011). "The Coming Collapse of China: 2012 Edition". Foreign Policy. Archived from the original on 17 October 2014. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  14. "China's Collapse Is Coming, More So Now Than Ever - Gordon Chang". Kitco News. 23 December 2016. Retrieved 9 December 2018 via YouTube.
  15. "US rejects China Dalai Lama warning". Al Jazeera English. 3 February 2010. Retrieved 2010-02-03.
  16. "Survival of China's Communist Party". The Korea Times . 2013-01-02. Retrieved 2022-08-29.
  17. Macke, Jeff (24 June 2011). "China Is The New Dot-Com Bubble: Gordon Chang". Yahoo! Finance. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  18. Nesto, Matt (27 June 2011). "Chinese Piracy Costs US 1 Million Jobs: Gordon Chang". Yahoo! Finance. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  19. Taiwan's Message for China: We Have a Nuke-Like Weapon. Gordon C. Chang, Gatestone Institute, June 27, 2022
  20. ‘Kills tens of millions’: Taiwan’s chilling message for China, Ben Graham, news.com.au, June 29, 2022
  21. 1 2 Gordon G. Chang [@GordonGChang] (8 October 2018). "#MoonJaein could be a #NorthKorea agent, yet whether he is or not we should treat him as one. He is subverting freedom, democracy, and #SouthKorea. He is dangerous" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 28 October 2018. Retrieved 2018-10-29 via Twitter.
  22. Creitz, Charles. "Gordon Chang praises US for acting 'very, very quickly' against coronavirus spread" . Retrieved 5 April 2020.
  23. Paskal, Cleo (2021-05-22). "'China turned Covid-19 into biological weapon, committed mass murder'". The Sunday Guardian . Retrieved 2023-09-06.
  24. "China was likely planning to launch pathogen from illegal California lab: Gordon Chang | Fox News Video". Fox News . 2023-08-05. Retrieved 2023-09-06.
  25. "Owner of California biolab that fueled bio-weapons rumors charged with mislabeling, lacking permits". AP News. 2023-10-20. Retrieved 2023-12-20.
  26. "An illicit, Chinese-owned lab fueled conspiracy theories. But officials say it posed no danger". AP News. 2023-08-09. Retrieved 2023-12-20.
  27. Chang, Gordon G. (2019-07-24). "Opinion | Xi Changed My Mind About Trump". Wall Street Journal . ISSN   0099-9660 . Retrieved 2023-09-06.
  28. "The Great U.S.-China Tech War." Google Books. Retrieved on December 22, 2020.