Graham T. Allison

Last updated
Graham Allison
Graham T. Allison, Jr.jpg
Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
In office
June 1, 1995 July 1, 2017
Succeeded by Ash Carter
Assistant Secretary of Defense for Policy and Plans
In office
August 6, 1993 March 15, 1994
President Bill Clinton
Dean of the John F. Kennedy School of Government
In office
June 1, 1977 May 30, 1989
Preceded by Don K. Price
Succeeded by Robert D. Putnam
Personal details
Born
Graham Tillett Allison Jr.

(1940-03-23) March 23, 1940 (age 80)
Charlotte, North Carolina, U.S.
Spouse(s)Liz Allison
Education Davidson College
Harvard University (BA)
Hertford College, Oxford (BA, MA)
Harvard University (PhD)

Graham Tillett Allison Jr. (born March 23, 1940) is an American political scientist and the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. [1] He is renowned for his contribution in the late 1960s and early 1970s to the bureaucratic analysis of decision making, especially during times of crisis. His book Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection, co-written with Peter Szanton, was published in 1976 and had some influence on the foreign policy of the administration of President Jimmy Carter who took office in early 1977. Since the 1970s, Allison has also been a leading analyst of U.S. national security and defense policy, with a special interest in nuclear weapons and terrorism. [2]

Contents

Biography

Allison is from Charlotte, North Carolina. He attended Davidson College for two years, then graduated from Harvard University in 1962 with an B.A. degree. Allison then completed a two-year B.A. degree at Oxford University as a Marshall Scholar in 1964 and returned to Harvard to earn a Ph.D. degree in political science in 1968. In 1979 Allison received an honorary doctorate from the Faculty of Social Sciences at Uppsala University, Sweden. [3]

Allison has spent his entire academic career at Harvard, as an assistant professor (1968), associate professor (1970), then full professor (1972) in the department of government. He was dean of the John F. Kennedy School of Government from 1977 to 1989 while the School increased in size by 400% and its endowment increased by 700%. He was director for the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs from 1995 until 2017, when he was succeeded by former Secretary of Defense Ash Carter. [4] Allison remains Douglas Dillon Professor of Government.

Allison has also been a fellow of the Center for Advanced Studies (1973–74); consultant for the RAND Corporation; member of the Council on Foreign Relations; member of the visiting committee on foreign policy studies at the Brookings Institution (1972–77); and a member of the Trilateral Commission (1974–84 and 2018). [5] He was among those mentioned to succeed David Rockefeller as President of the Council on Foreign Relations. In 2009 he was awarded the NAS Award for Behavior Research Relevant to the Prevention of Nuclear War from the National Academy of Sciences. [6]

Analyst work

Allison has been heavily involved in U.S. defense policy since working as an advisor and consultant to the Pentagon in the 1960s. He has been a member of the Secretary of Defense's Defense Policy Board from 1985. He was a special advisor to the Secretary of Defense (1985–87) and the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Policy and Plans (1993–1994), where he coordinated strategy and policy towards the states of the former Soviet Union. President Bill Clinton awarded Allison the Defense Medal for Distinguished Public Service, for "reshaping relations with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan to reduce the former Soviet nuclear arsenal". He was also an informal advisor to Michael Dukakis's 1988 presidential campaign. [7]

Academic work

Allison is best known as a political scientist for his book Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis (1971), in which he developed two new theoretical paradigms – an organizational process model and a bureaucratic politics model – to compete with the then-prevalent approach of understanding foreign policy decision-making using a rational actor model. Essence of Decision swiftly revolutionized the study of decision-making in political science and beyond. [8]

Thucydides trap

In the book Destined for War, Allison uses the phrase the Thucydides Trap which, according to him, refers to the theory that "when one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result". [9] Allison's term follows the ancient text History of the Peloponnesian War , in which Thucydides wrote, "What made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta." [10] The term appeared in a paid opinion advertisement in The New York Times on April 6, 2017, on the occasion of U.S. President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, which stated, "Both major players in the region share a moral obligation to steer away from Thucydides's Trap." [11] Allison asserts that circumstances at the start of World War I (involving British fears about Germany), the War of the Spanish Succession, and the Thirty Years' War (involving French insecurity about the Habsburg empires of Spain and Austria) exhibit the trap. [12]

Both Allison's conception of Thucydides's Trap and its applicability to U.S.-Chinese relations have encountered heavy scholarly criticism. [13] [14] [15] In March 2019, the Journal of Chinese Political Science dedicated a special issue to the topic, [16] suggesting power transition narratives do appear to matter with regard to domestic perception. [17]

Books

Controversy

From 2012 to 2013, the Belfer Center (through the Wikimedia Foundation) paid an editor to cite Allison's scholarly writings in various articles. Funding for the position came from the Stanton Foundation, for which Graham Allison's wife, Liz Allison, was one of two trustees. The editor also made "supposedly problematic edits" based heavily on work of other scholars affiliated with the Belfer Center. [18]

See also

Related Research Articles

Cuban Missile Crisis Confrontation between the U.S. and Soviet Union over ballistic missiles in Cuba

The Cuban Missile Crisis, also known as the October Crisis of 1962, the Caribbean Crisis, or the Missile Scare, was a 13-day confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union initiated by Soviet ballistic missile deployment in Cuba. The confrontation is often considered the closest the Cold War came to escalating into a full-scale nuclear war.

Pre-emptive nuclear strike pre-emptive surprise attack employing overwhelming force

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World War III and the Third World War are names given to a hypothetical third worldwide large-scale military conflict subsequent to World War I and II. The term has been in use since at least as early as 1941. Some have applied it loosely to refer to limited or smaller conflicts such as the Cold War or the War on Terror, while others assumed that such a conflict would surpass prior world wars both in its scope and in its destructive impact.

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Brinkmanship extreme strategy

Brinkmanship is the practice of trying to achieve an advantageous outcome by pushing dangerous events to the brink of active conflict. It occurs in international politics, foreign policy, labor relations, and military strategy involving the threat of nuclear weapons, and high-stakes litigation. This maneuver of pushing a situation with the opponent to the brink succeeds by forcing the opponent to back down and make concessions. This might be achieved through diplomatic maneuvers by creating the impression that one is willing to use extreme methods rather than concede. The term is chiefly associated with American Secretary of State John Dulles, during the early years of the Eisenhower administration 1953-1956. Dulles sought to deter aggression by the Soviet Union by warning that the cost might be massive retaliation against Soviet targets.

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Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis is an analysis by political scientist Graham T. Allison, of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. Allison used the crisis as a case study for future studies into governmental decision-making. The book became the founding study of the John F. Kennedy School of Government, and in doing so revolutionized the field of international relations.

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References

  1. https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/graham-allison
  2. "Graham Allison". www.hks.harvard.edu. Retrieved 2018-05-23.
  3. http://www.uu.se/en/about-uu/traditions/prizes/honorary-doctorates/
  4. Stewart, Martha (March 28, 2017). "Ash Carter to head Belfer Center". The Harvard Gazette . Retrieved 6 April 2018.
  5. "Membership – The Trilateral Commission". trilateral.org. Retrieved 2018-12-27.
  6. "NAS Award for Behavior Research Relevant to the Prevention of Nuclear War". National Academy of Sciences. Archived from the original on 4 June 2011. Retrieved 16 February 2011.
  7. Gold, Allan R.; Times, Special to The New York (1988-08-31). "Dukakis Learned Lesson as Teacher". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 2019-06-01.
  8. "Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2nd ed". Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Retrieved 2019-06-01.
  9. Allison, Graham (June 9, 2017). "The Thucydides Trap". FP. FP.
  10. Ben Schott (January 31, 2011). "The Thucydides Trap". The New York Times . Retrieved 2013-06-07.
  11. Zhu Dongyang (Xinhua News Agency) (April 6, 2017). "Advertisement". The New York Times .
  12. Allison, Graham. "The Thucydides Trap". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 2019-06-01.
  13. Waldron, Arthur (2017-06-12). "There is no Thucydides Trap". SupChina. Retrieved 2020-06-09.
  14. Feng, Huiyun; He, Kai (2020). China’s Challenges and International Order Transition: Beyond “Thucydides's Trap”. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. doi:10.3998/mpub.11353648. ISBN   978-0-472-13176-1.
  15. Chan, Steve (2020). Thucydides’s Trap?: Historical Interpretation, Logic of Inquiry, and the Future of Sino-American Relations. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. doi:10.3998/mpub.11387628. ISBN   978-0-472-13170-9.
  16. Zhang, Chunman; Pu, Xiaoyu (2019-01-25). "Introduction: Can America and China Escape the Thucydides Trap?". Journal of Chinese Political Science. 24 (1): 1–9. doi:10.1007/s11366-019-09609-y. ISSN   1080-6954.
  17. Gries, Peter; Jing, Yiming (2019-07-04). "Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace". Cambridge Review of International Affairs. 32 (4): 456–482. doi:10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170. ISSN   0955-7571.
  18. Tim, Sampson. "One of Wikimedia's largest donors accused in paid editing scandal". The Daily Dot. Retrieved April 2, 2017.

Bibliography

Works