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| Papal conclave Next | |
|---|---|
| Dates and location | |
| Sistine Chapel, Apostolic Palace, Vatican City | |
The next papal conclave will occur after the death or resignation of Pope Francis.
The next conclave saw speculation in February and March 2025 after Francis developed double pneumonia. [1]
The conclave cardinals may elect any baptized Catholic male, [2] [3] but since 1389 they have always elected a fellow cardinal. Observers of papal elections tend to consider a few cardinals more likely choices than the others – these are the papabili, the plural for papabile , an Italian word which is practically rendered into English as "pope-able". Inasmuch as the set of papabili is a matter of speculation from the press, the election of a non-papabile is common; recent cases are John XXIII in 1958, John Paul I and John Paul II, both in 1978.
Pietro Parolin of Italy, [4] Robert Sarah of Guinea, [4] and Luis Tagle of the Philippines [4] are among the cardinals most often identified in press reports as those most likely to be elected.
| Eligible electors by region as of 1 March 2025 | |
Italy | 17 |
Rest of Europe | 36 |
Asia | 24 |
North America | 20 |
South America | 18 |
Africa | 18 |
Oceania | 4 |
| Total electors | 137 |
|---|---|
Cardinals aged 80 years or older before the day the papacy fell vacant will be ineligible to participate. As of 1 March 2025, there are 252 cardinals of whom 137 are aged under 80. Since the Romano Pontifici eligendo , a maximum of 120 cardinals can participate in a conclave; it is unclear how they will be chosen when the number of eligible cardinals exceeds 120. [5]