Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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2008 |
Opinion polls |
2011 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2015 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2019 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2021 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2015 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Opinion polls have been conducted from the months following the previous general election held in May 2011, and have increased in frequency leading up to the general election.
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.
A total of 204 polls in 107 ridings across 9 provinces and 1 territory were conducted.
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 39 | 6 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 688 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 47 | 11 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 531 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 44 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
2012 By-election | November 26, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 27,732 | Election |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 41,452 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 19 | 38 | 6 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 679 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 52 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,770 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ThinkHQ | October 15, 2015 | 36 | 24 | 33 | 4 | 2 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 31 | 38 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 701 | IVR | |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 30 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 524 | IVR |
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 547 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,093 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 32 | 48 | 15 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 509 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 37,766 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 45 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 512 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 6 | ±0.0 pp | 34,180 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 39 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 0 | ±3.73 pp | 684 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 59 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,454 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 44 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 522 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 59 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,267 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 4 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 618 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 64 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,267 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 15 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 494 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 73 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 25,650 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 56 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | ±3.81 pp | 657 | IVR |
Environics | September 17, 2015 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 639 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 52 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 4 | ±0.0 pp | 41,165 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 28 | ±3.74 pp | 681 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 29 | ±5.0 pp | 490 | IVR |
Environics | September 17, 2015 | 39 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 22 | ±3.1 pp | 1,030 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 64 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 42,842 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2015 | HTML | 63 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | ±4.1 pp | 569 | IVR |
2014 By-election | November 17, 2014 | HTML | 63 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 3 | ±0.0 pp | 12,601 | Election |
Forum Research | November 16, 2014 | 51 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 13 | ±6.0 pp | 311 | IVR | |
Forum Research | November 11, 2014 | 62 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 360 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 78 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 40,013 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 26 | 27 | 9 | 0 | ±3.65 pp | 716 | IVR |
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 37 | 21 | 9 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 20 | 46 | 8 | 25 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,290 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 43,239 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 31 | 34 | 29 | 6 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 504 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 40,286 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 34 | 18 | 15 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 16 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR | |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 39 | 13 | 12 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 30 | 42 | 14 | 11 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 54,470 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 35 | 14 | 19 | 4 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 28 | 41 | 15 | 10 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 43 | 44 | 6 | 7 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 47,766 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 19 | 39 | 20 | 21 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 19 | 19 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 17 | 50 | 14 | 16 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 39 | 10 | 13 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,652 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 35 | 6 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 34,582 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 37 | 15 | 11 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 529 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 39 | 3 | 6 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 52,801 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 26 | 35 | 18 | 21 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 24 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 699 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 55,879 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 41 | 18 | 14 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 556 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 50,897 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 33 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 0 | ±3.6 pp | 755 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | PDF [ permanent dead link ] | 45 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 567 | IVR |
Oraclepoll Research | October 6, 2015 | 38 | 41 | 12 | 9 | 0 | ±5.5 pp | 312 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,921 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 11 | 41 | 15 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 14 | 41 | 13 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 297 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 30 | 24 | 31 | 14 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 17 | 30 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 50,306 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 543 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 35 | 6 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,418 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 34 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 529 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 27 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 511 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,458 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 42 | 18 | 4 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 25 | 55 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 39 | 45 | 7 | 8 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 56,652 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 28 | 33 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 505 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 20 | 28 | 44 | 9 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 665 | IVR | |
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 29 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 541 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 24 | 10 | 0 | ±4.5 pp | 482 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 30 | 9 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,654 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 19 | 38 | 8 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 22 | 40 | 8 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 24 | 30 | 39 | 4 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 21 | 34 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 36,706 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 15 | 37 | 16 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 673 | IVR |
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 14 | 42 | 13 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 403 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 22 | 34 | 11 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 582 | IVR | |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 30 | 26 | 31 | 12 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 52,062 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 552 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 30 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 34,287 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 25 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±3.83 pp | 651 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 40,418 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 23 | 38 | 8 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 18 | 37 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,619 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 14 | 43 | 12 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 839 | IVR |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | 32 | 20 | 37 | 10 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 580 | IVR | |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 29 | 26 | 34 | 12 | 0 | ±3.5 pp | 799 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 24 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 38,772 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 36 | 26 | 34 | 4 | 0 | ±4.33 pp | 510 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 25 | 33 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 623 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,964 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 19 | ±3.74 pp | 679 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 29 | 33 | 1 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,623 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 23 | 20 | 50 | 7 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 573 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 26 | 30 | 8 | 0 | ±3.82 pp | 652 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,878 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 7 | 54 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 617 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 12 | 48 | 7 | 0 | ±3.79 pp | 660 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 38,878 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 20 | 37 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 690 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 11, 2015 | 35 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 425 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,166 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 45 | 20 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 50 | 14 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,174 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 40 | 14 | 41 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 653 | IVR | |
Forum Research | October 2, 2015 | 39 | 25 | 32 | 4 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 456 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 24 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 598 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 23 | 25 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 34,796 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±3.73pp | 684 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 23 | 38 | 36 | 3 | 0 | ±3.98 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 29 | 38 | 31 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 28,625 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 37 | 16 | 46 | 1 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 689 | IVR | |
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 39 | 24 | 34 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 336 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 42 | 20 | 33 | 5 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 19 | 28 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,812 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 18 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 599 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 16 | 35 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,560 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 20 | 36 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 28,505 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 622 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 55,085 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 41 | 16 | 40 | 4 | 0 | ±3.2 pp | 966 | IVR | |
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 20 | 29 | 9 | 0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,022 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 51,054 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 17 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 552 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 44,827 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 23 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±3.88pp | 625 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,376 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 13 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.72pp | 688 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,984 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 14 | 44 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 823 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 21, 2015 | 38 | 17 | 44 | 2 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 634 | IVR | |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 37 | 4 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 565 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 36 | 25 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 588 | IVR | |
Forum Research | August 5, 2015 | HTML | 41 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 709 | IVR |
Forum Research | February 13, 2015 | HTML | 49 | 13 | 28 | 7 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 659 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 12 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 48,389 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 655 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,219 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 11, 2015 | 42 | 11 | 43 | 3 | 1 | ±3 pp | 885 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 15 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 49,685 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 16 | 43 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 665 | IVR |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 40 | 3 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 537 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 17, 2015 | 33 | 22 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±3 pp | 835 | IVR | |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 31 | 28 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 544 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 20 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 48 | 14 | 28 | 9 | 0 | ±3.80 pp | 659 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,387 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 25 | 18 | 45 | 12 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 601 | IVR |
Environics | July 13, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 17 | 43 | 6 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 59,218 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 27 | 16 | 50 | 7 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 53,119 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 39 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 861 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 8 | 43 | 4 | 0 | ±3.89 pp | 630 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 44 | 13 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 562 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,802 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 29 | 28 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 647 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 28 | 22 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 24,586 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | July 13, 2015 | HTML | 23 | 37 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 563 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,663 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 28 | 22 | 46 | 4 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 856 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 30 | 33 | 7 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 672 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 7 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 625 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 22 | 32 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,998 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 15 | 48 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 668 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 25 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 540 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 700 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 24 | 34 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,445 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 33 | 19 | 42 | 6 | 0 | ±3.75 pp | 678 | IVR | |
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 20 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±2.9 pp | 1,132 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 58,342 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 3, 2015 | 40 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 439 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 17 | 29 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 47,183 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 35 | 16 | 44 | 5 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 308 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 36 | 20 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 19 | 37 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 42,677 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 37 | 19 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 601 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 18 | 36 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,249 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 41 | 16 | 39 | 4 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 16 | 34 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,468 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 41 | 12 | 44 | 3 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 538 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 32 | 24 | 42 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 13 | 37 | 0 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 51,746 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 2, 2015 | 29 | 20 | 44 | 5 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 335 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 41 | 14 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 38 | 23 | 37 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 36,632 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 16 | 40 | 5 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 599 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,236 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 40 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.2 pp | 1,032 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 41 | 13 | 42 | 4 | 0 | ±3.81 pp | 655 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 19 | 34 | 8 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 569 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 51 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 51,130 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 42 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 557 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,980 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 46 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 28 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,148 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 16 | 47 | 6 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 36 | 21 | 37 | 6 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,174 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | May 12, 2014 | 42 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 2 | ±4.0 pp | 530 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 16 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,840 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 19 | 40 | 8 | 0 | ±3.8pp | 660 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 567 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 14 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 64,007 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 22 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±3.79 pp | 685 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 22 | 52 | 20 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 64,689 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 29 | 20 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 661 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | 35 | 15 | 46 | 0 | 4 | ±3.0pp | 1,083 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 20 | 39 | 5 | 0 | ±3.6 pp | 747 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 20 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,602 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-17 at the Wayback Machine | 36 | 21 | 35 | 8 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 652 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 46,401 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 34 | 17 | 46 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 859 | IVR | |
Forum Research | September 24, 2015 | 34 | 24 | 37 | 4 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1294 | IVR | |
Nanos Research | August 26, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-08 at the Wayback Machine | 29 | 27 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 57,384 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 7, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 23 | 35 | 6 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 30 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 632 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 37 | 20 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 40,390 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 3, 2015 | 36 | 19 | 43 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 458 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 35 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 36,811 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 21 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 0 | ±3.83pp | 654 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 22, 2015 | 27 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 608 | IVR | |
Forum Research | April 26, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 34 | 42 | 3 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 587 | IVR |
Forum Research | February 13, 2015 | 27 | 29 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 557 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 35 | 29 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,379 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 1, 2015 | HTML | 17 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 461 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 13 | 45 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 671 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 6, 2015 | 10 | 57 | 28 | 4 | 1 | ±5.0 pp | 345 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | June 30, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 44 | 36 | 6 | 0 | ±3.87 pp | 606 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 21 | 50 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 36,969 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 21, 2014 | HTML | 22 | 29 | 46 | 3 | 0 | ±3.98 pp | 602 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 28 | 50 | 18 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,441 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 11 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 33,706 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 1, 2015 | HTML | 17 | 37 | 42 | 4 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 28, 2015 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 4 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 488 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 17 | 36 | 40 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 37,350 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 30, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 604 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 15 | 43 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.84pp | 644 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 25, 2015 | 17 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 528 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 20 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,665 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 26 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 658 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 15 | 38 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,632 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 15 | 45 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 535 | IVR |
Environics | August 17, 2015 | 32 | 26 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 508 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 19 | 39 | 0 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,984 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | July 8, 2015 | HTML | 21 | 39 | 37 | 3 | 0 | ±3.97pp | 581 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,745 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 40 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 387 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 35,546 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 13 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 698 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 9 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 1 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 48,602 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 19.7 | 33.1 | 22.3 | 22.1 | 2.8 | ||||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-11 at the Wayback Machine | 17.0 | 41.2 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 5.1 | ||||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 25.6 | 37.7 | 5.8 | 28.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | ±0.0 pp | 43,094 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 20.3 | 33.0 | 23.8 | 19.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | |||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 20.1 | 37.1 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 4.8 | ||||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 43 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,657 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 34.6 | 29.6 | 15.8 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 0 | |||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-11 at the Wayback Machine | 34.7 | 29.4 | 10.6 | 20.6 | 4.7 | 0 | |||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 54,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CROP | August 29, 2015 | HTML | 2 | 57 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 377 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 36 | 1 | 0 | ±3.82 pp | 653 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 4 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 51,102 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solutions Logik | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 9 | 28 | 14 | 46 | 3 | 0 | |||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 10 | 45 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 52,165 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 16 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 16 | 15 | 56 | 7 | 6 | 0 | ±3.93 pp | 618 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 36 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,007 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 10 | 33 | 40 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 665 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 13 | 22 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 626 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 18 | 35 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 44,642 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 11 | 36 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 0 | ±3.49 pp | 783 | IVR |
CROP | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 5 | 46 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 0 | ±5.06 pp | 375 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 20 | 0 | 0 | ±4.13 pp | 560 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 5 | 29 | 38 | 25 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 19 | 36 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ±3.74 pp | 673 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 26 | 47 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 35,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 46 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ±3.77 pp | 668 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 25 | 32 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,303 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | ±3.85 pp | 639 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 853 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 34 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 691 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,122 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 0 | ±3.83 pp | 658 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 43 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 30,459 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 29 | 39 | 4 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 497 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 14 | 33 | 19 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 16,057 | Election |
Notes
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster.
A straw poll, straw vote, or straw ballot is an ad hoc or unofficial vote. It is used to show the popular opinion on a certain matter, and can be used to help politicians know the majority opinion and help them decide what to say in order to gain votes.
An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take many hours to count.
The 2007 Ontario general election was held on October 10, 2007, to elect members (MPPs) of the 39th Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario, Canada. The Liberals under Premier Dalton McGuinty won the election with a majority government, winning 71 out of a possible 107 seats with 42.2% of the popular vote. The election saw the third-lowest voter turnout in Ontario provincial elections, setting a then record for the lowest voter turnout with 52.8% of people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record of 54.7% in the 1923 election, but would end up being surpassed in the 2011 and 2022 elections.
An open-access poll is a type of opinion poll in which a nonprobability sample of participants self-select into participation. The term includes call-in, mail-in, and some online polls.
Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election of 2006 showed a long period of variable support for the governing Liberal Party of Canada and opposition Conservative Party of Canada. Prior to and throughout much of the campaign, the Liberals held a small lead over the Conservatives; as of early January 2006, the Conservatives had taken the lead. This was confirmed on election day when the Conservatives won a plurality of votes and seats, being empowered to form a minority government in the 39th Canadian parliament.
Gallup, Inc. is an American analytics and advisory company based in Washington, D.C. Founded by George Gallup in 1935, the company became known for its public opinion polls conducted worldwide. Starting in the 1980s, Gallup transitioned its business to focus on providing analytics and management consulting to organizations globally. In addition to its analytics, management consulting, and Gallup Poll, the company also offers educational consulting, the CliftonStrengths assessment and associated products, and business and management books published by its Gallup Press unit.
Rasmussen Reports is an American polling company founded in 2003. The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections, politics, current events, consumer confidence, business topics, and the United States president's job approval ratings. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. The company generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions to its polling survey data.
The Bradley effect is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other. The theory proposes that some white voters who intend to vote for the white candidate would nonetheless tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for the non-white candidate. It was named after Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California gubernatorial election to California attorney general George Deukmejian, a white person, despite Bradley being ahead in voter polls going into the elections.
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
This article provides a list of federal opinion polls that were conducted between the 2007 election and 2010 election.
Survation is a polling and market research agency based in London, England. Survation have been conducting research surveys since 2010. Surveys are conducted via telephone, online panel and face to face as well as omnibus research for a broad range of clients including television, newspapers, charities, lobby groups, trade unions, law firms and political parties. Damian Lyons Lowe is the company founder and Chief Executive.
This page lists the public opinion polls that were conducted in relation to the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, that was held on 18 September 2014. Overall, polls showed that support for a "No" vote was dominant until the end of August 2014, when support for a "Yes" vote gained momentum and the gap closed significantly, with at least one poll placing the "Yes" vote ahead. In the final week of the campaign, polls showed the "No" vote to be consistently but somewhat narrowly ahead. There were no exit polls although a YouGov post-election poll was published shortly after the polls closed. For the history of the campaign itself see 2014 Scottish independence referendum, Yes Scotland, and Better Together (campaign).
Prior to the 2015 general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.
The referendum on EU membership took place on 23 June 2016. Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum was ongoing in the months between the announcement of a referendum and the referendum polling day. Polls on the general principle of the UK's membership of the European Union were carried out for a number of years prior to the referendum. Opinion polls of voters in general tended to show roughly equal proportions in favour of remaining and leaving. Polls of business leaders, scientists, and lawyers showed majorities in favour of remaining. Among non-British citizens in other EU member states, polling suggested that a majority were in favour of the UK remaining in the EU in principle, but that a similarly sized majority believed that if the UK were only able to remain in the EU on renegotiated terms then it should leave.
Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2011 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns well over 240 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2019 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Various polling organizations have conducted opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 45th Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.