Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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Part of a series on the |
44th Canadian Parliament |
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Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Given the cost associated with polling individual constituencies, polling typically occurs in constituencies that are of particular interest, such as those considered marginal or facing an impending by-election. However, it's important to note that the constituencies polled may not necessarily be representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system, true marginal seats, by definition, hold significant influence over the outcome of the election.
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spadina Strategies | September 14, 2021 | HTML | 12.9 | 43.7 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 6.7 | ±5.23 pp | 350 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 37.6 | 35.4 | 12.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 9.2 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 28.3 | 52.5 | 14.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,552 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.0 | 41.5 | 20.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,092 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 19.0 | 38.4 | 28.2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 5.1 | ±4.6 pp | 454 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 17.3 | 51.4 | 25.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,963 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 37 | 35.4 | 14.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 3.3 | ±5 pp | 299 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.6 | 50.3 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,177 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 26 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7.9 | ±5 pp | 379 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 32.8 | 22.7 | 13.2 | N/A | N/A | 6.2 | 25.1 | ±4.1 pp | 558 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 19.5 | 32.3 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,525 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 28 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 34 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 304 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oracle Poll | September 7, 2021 | HTML | 7.6 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 | N/A | 23.6 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | Telephone |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 13.6 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 34.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 306 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 24.4 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 2.7 | ±5.5 pp | 320 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 4, 2021 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 285 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 33 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26.6 | 21.9 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 32.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 39 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 242 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 5, 2021 | 25.1 | 42.3 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 5.4 | ±3.8 pp | 662 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 23.1 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 11.9 | N/A | 4 | 14.1 | ±3.9 pp | 624 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.9 | 26.7 | 13.9 | 22.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,980 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 36.2 | 37.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 9.8 | ± pp | 317 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 40.7 | 14.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,228 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 27.9 | 44.8 | 21.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 44,298 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 43.4 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.9 | ±5 pp | 304 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.1 | 38.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 47,889 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 43.2 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1 | 10.9 | ±5 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45.7 | 39.5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 32,179 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 45.3 | 15.2 | 26.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 9 | ±5.1 pp | 363 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.2 | 18.1 | 46.9 | 1.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 42 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 37.4 | 34.0 | 12.2 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 39.3 | 37.6 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 7.1 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 38.9 | 34.5 | 14.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | ±4.7 pp | 442 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 30.9 | 27.7 | 20.1 | 5.5 | N/A | 21.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 40,565 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | ±6 pp | 262 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.4 | 39.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 | N/A | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,798 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | HTML | 47 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | N/A | ±5 pp | 309 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.4 | 44.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,109 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 46 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 32 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 294 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 7 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.5 | 39.2 | 16.5 | 6.13 | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 36.3 | 32.8 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6.2 | ±5 pp | 297 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 43 | 36.5 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 66,772 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 48.1 | 38.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ±5.6 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45 | 43.2 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,446 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2021 | HTML | 34 | 27 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 0 | N/A | ±5.9 pp | 287 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | August 24, 2021 | 27.8 | 23.4 | 23.6 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 5.5 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 25.8 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 14.3 | N/A | 4 | 26.8 | ±4 pp | 601 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.7 | 23.8 | 11.3 | 26 | 1.9 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 55,374 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 35 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | 42 | 21 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ±5.3 pp | 344 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 34.5 | 14.3 | 16.6 | 8.8 | N/A | 2.9 | 23 | ±4 pp | 600 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 47.4 | 13.2 | 31.5 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 25.8 | 37.5 | 17.9 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.9 | ±5.7 pp | 291 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.9 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 69,801 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 47.5 | 18.9 | 12 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 10.1 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 55.8 | 17.6 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 2, 2021 | 30 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ±5.9 pp | 273 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 39.9 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 15.5 | N/A | 2.3 | 24.3 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR |
2020 By-election | October 26, 2020 | HTML | 42 | 5.7 | 17 | 32.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 25,205 | Election |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 57.4 | 12.1 | 22.3 | 7.1 | N/A | 1.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 54,512 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 26.8 | 18.8 | 28.1 | 3.5 | 16.6 | 0.8 | 5.5 | ±4.9 pp | 390 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.4 | 27.8 | 32.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 56,957 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 36.5 | 25.3 | 7 | 12.1 | N/A | 0.2 | 19 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 41.4 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 26.5 | N/A | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 23,039 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SOM | March 29, 2021 | HTML | 25 | 9 | 5.5 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 6 | 35 | ±5.1 pp | 501 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 25 | 15 | 10 | 45.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,155 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 26 | 30 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 313 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 35.1 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 7.5 | ±5.6 pp | 308 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 370 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 2, 2021 | 24.0 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 24.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 8.5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 40.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | ±5.2 pp | 355 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 42.4 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 34.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.4 | ±5.6 pp | 311 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.2 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 38.5 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 59,844 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | ±4.9 pp | 398 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 48.9 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 31, 2021 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±4.7 pp | 436 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 29, 2021 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 38.2 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 40.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | ±6.6 pp | 221 | IVR | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | ±5 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26 | 25.2 | 16.7 | 28.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,538 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error [1] | Sample Size [2] | Polling Method [3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 25, 2021 | 19 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 15.5 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 7.3 | 47.7 | 40.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 38,985 | Election |
Notes
In statistics, survey sampling describes the process of selecting a sample of elements from a target population to conduct a survey. The term "survey" may refer to many different types or techniques of observation. In survey sampling it most often involves a questionnaire used to measure the characteristics and/or attitudes of people. Different ways of contacting members of a sample once they have been selected is the subject of survey data collection. The purpose of sampling is to reduce the cost and/or the amount of work that it would take to survey the entire target population. A survey that measures the entire target population is called a census. A sample refers to a group or section of a population from which information is to be obtained.
Quantitative marketing research is the application of quantitative research techniques to the field of marketing research. It has roots in both the positivist view of the world, and the modern marketing viewpoint that marketing is an interactive process in which both the buyer and seller reach a satisfying agreement on the "four Ps" of marketing: Product, Price, Place (location) and Promotion.
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster.
A straw poll, straw vote, or straw ballot is an ad hoc or unofficial vote. It is used to show the popular opinion on a certain matter, and can be used to help politicians know the majority opinion and help them decide what to say in order to gain votes.
An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take many hours to count.
The 2007 Ontario general election was held on October 10, 2007, to elect members (MPPs) of the 39th Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario, Canada. The Liberals under Premier Dalton McGuinty won the election with a majority government, winning 71 out of a possible 107 seats with 42.2% of the popular vote. The election saw the third-lowest voter turnout in Ontario provincial elections, setting a then record for the lowest voter turnout with 52.8% of people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record of 54.7% in the 1923 election, but would end up being surpassed in the 2011 and 2022 elections.
The Literary Digest was an American general interest weekly magazine published by Funk & Wagnalls. Founded by Isaac Kaufmann Funk in 1890, it eventually merged with two similar weekly magazines, Public Opinion and Current Opinion.
An open-access poll is a type of opinion poll in which a nonprobability sample of participants self-select into participation. The term includes call-in, mail-in, and some online polls.
Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election of 2006 showed a long period of variable support for the governing Liberal Party of Canada and opposition Conservative Party of Canada. Prior to and throughout much of the campaign, the Liberals held a small lead over the Conservatives; as of early January 2006, the Conservatives had taken the lead. This was confirmed on election day when the Conservatives won a plurality of votes and seats, being empowered to form a minority government in the 39th Canadian parliament.
SurveyUSA is a polling firm in the United States. It conducts market research for corporations and interest groups, but is best known for conducting opinion polls for various political offices and questions. SurveyUSA conducts these opinion polls under contract by over 50 television stations . The difference between SurveyUSA and other telephone polling firms is twofold. First, SurveyUSA does not use live call center employees, but an automated system. Taped questions are asked of the respondent by a professional announcer, and the respondent is invited to press a button on their touch tone telephone or record a message at a prompt designating their selection. Secondly, SurveyUSA uses more concise language, especially for ballot propositions, than competitors. This can lead to diverging results, such as for California Proposition 76, where one version of the SurveyUSA question with a one sentence description, polled significantly differently compared to another version with a three sentence description.
Gallup, Inc. is an American multinational analytics and advisory company based in Washington, D.C. Founded by George Gallup in 1935, the company became known for its public opinion polls conducted worldwide. Gallup provides analytics and management consulting to organizations globally. In addition the company offers educational consulting, the CliftonStrengths assessment and associated products, and business and management books published by its Gallup Press unit.
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
This article provides a list of federal opinion polls that were conducted between the 2007 election and 2010 election.
Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2015 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2011 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns the nearly 300 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Mainstreet Research is a Canadian market research and polling firm with headquarters in Toronto, and offices in Montreal and Ottawa. The company was founded in 2010 by Quito Maggi, who currently serves as its president. Mainstreet Research conducts regular Canadian national, regional, and municipal public polling and private market and public opinion research. Their data is reported by various media organizations. In a comparison of polling results with election results, Mainstreet was ranked fourth in Canada by polling analyst Philippe J. Fournier.
Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2019 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
In the run up to the 2024 Pakistani general election, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention throughout Pakistan and the approval rating of the civilian Pakistani government, first led by Imran Khan's Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf until 10 April 2022 and then by Shehbaz Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League (N), with the latter government being supported by the Pakistan Democratic Movement and the Pakistan People's Party. The results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 25 July 2018, to the present day.
Various polling organizations have conducted opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 45th Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.